EUR/USD – Potential Short-Term TradeTime Frame: 1H
Bias: Long (Bullish Reversal Expected)
Setup Type: Reversal from Flip Zone
Date: May 27, 2025
🔍 Market Context:
The price is currently retracing after forming a short-term lower high.
It has entered a prior demand zone (highlighted box) that acted as resistance-turned-support — a classic flip zone.
The market has shown responsiveness to this zone in the past (bounces seen on May 22–23 and again on May 24), suggesting strong buyer interest remains here.
📌 Key Levels:
Interest Zone for Longs: 1.1300 – 1.1320
This is where buyers are expected to step in again. Look for bullish price action confirmation in this zone before entry.
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing, strong wick rejection, or bullish divergence within the demand zone.
Target Zone: 1.1424
A clean 90-pip move (approx. 0.90%) from the entry zone — aligns with the previous high and liquidity pool.
Stop Loss: Below 1.1300 (e.g., 1.1288)
To protect against deeper sweeps of the zone.
Risk-Reward: ~1:5
Excellent R:R if price reacts cleanly from the flip zone.
📈 Trade Idea Summary:
Buy EUR/USD around 1.130–1.132
Stop Loss: 1.1288
Take Profit: 1.1424
R:R Ratio: ~1:4.8
Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick in the zone.
⚠️ Note:
If price slices cleanly through 1.1300 without wicks or slowing down, invalidate the setup — wait for a deeper retest or a fresh demand zone to form.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
Support and Resistance
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the market’s now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/R—don’t miss this one! 😊 Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Let’s dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, it’s firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trend—exactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , we’ve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and we’re on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now we’re primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, let’s check the 1-Hour Timeframe.
For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but don’t close the whole position—since we’re trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, I’ve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! I’d wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, there’s zilch.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out— let’s grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) ✌️
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings exceeded expectations. Despite export restrictions to China under the Trump administration, NVIDIA performed strongly, boosting risk appetite in the markets.
- The May FOMC meeting minutes confirmed that Fed officials will maintain a wait-and-see approach in conducting future monetary policy.
- A U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration’s “reciprocal tariffs” are invalid, stating, “The tariff order is nullified and permanently prohibited,” and ordered a cancellation of all tariffs collected thus far.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated, a peak formed around the 1.35500 level, followed by a downward trend. A mid- to short-term downtrend is likely from the current range, with the next potential low expected near the 1.32000 level.
However, if the price unexpectedly breaks above the 1.36000 level, the high could extend toward the 1.40000 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend.
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Crude oil rebounds after encountering 60 support
📊Technical aspects
Due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, WTI prices fell slightly and rebounded slightly after hitting the 60 mark.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hit the low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short formed, and the embryonic form of the falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell and touched the key support of 60, then rose slightly. The moving average system turned to divergent upward arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines crossed the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to rise during the day, and the probability of breaking through the 63 resistance and moving upward is relatively high.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 60.5-61.5
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29).
NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79)
Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
S&P 500 Futures Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 053025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 5929/61.80%
Chart time frame:A
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
UVXY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 053025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 22.5/61.80%
Chart time frame:A
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Monero Wave Analysis – 30 May 2025- Monero reversed from round resistance level 400.00
- Likely to fall to support level 300.00
Monero recently reversed down from the powerful round resistance level 400.00, standing far above the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The price will form the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bearish Engulfing if it closes this week near the current levels – strong sell signal for Monero.
Given overbought reading on both weekly RSI and Stochastic, Monero can be expected to fall to the next round support level 300.00.
GBPCAD Wave Analysis – 30 May 2025
- GBPCAD reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.8275
GBPCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying between the resistance level 1.8720 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (3) and the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2023.
This resistance zone was further strengthened by the upper daily and the weekly Bollinger Bands.
GBPCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.8275, former weekly low from the start of May.
Wayfair | W | Long at $34.62Wayfair $NYSE:W. Recession fears are valid. But long-term, once this company becomes truly profitable, this will be a multi-bagger. I won't go on much about the fundamentals because there are too many economic unknowns ahead, but from a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average lines/area is repeatedly converging with the price and leveling out. Often, this means a change in directional momentum. There are no more open price gaps below the current price on the daily chart. Thus, at $34.62, NYSE:W is in a personal buy zone.
Note: The price entering the teens in the near-term is a possibility.
Targets:
$40.00
$50.00
The volatility is an illusion, and gold is brewing major changesGold fluctuated downward in the Asian session on Friday, while it remained in the range of 3287-3303 in the European session. Although it tried to break through the short-term pressure level of 3300-3306 many times, it has never been able to stand firmly. I arranged to go long at 3288-3289 in advance, notified to enter the market at the point, and finally reached the target of 3303 perfectly, earning 15 points of profit! Quick, accurate and ruthless, with the right idea, profit-taking is as easy as drinking water! Therefore, it is recommended that we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3290-3285 below. If the price fails to break through the support range like in the early trading, you can consider trying to enter the long position.
Given that today is Friday, the market volatility may be "demon-like", so you need to be extra cautious in operation and pay close attention to the changes in the market. At the same time, you must keep in mind the principle of "taking profits for safety"-lock in profits in time when you can see them, and don't easily bet on trends that you don't understand. If your current gold operation effect is not ideal, I hope my analysis can help you avoid some detours. Welcome to communicate at any time!
Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify.
From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
HolderStat┆XRPUSD rebound renaissanceCRYPTOCAP:XRP bounced off a long falling wedge, logged a labeled “rebound”, and now glides within a widening channel. Multiple consolidation pauses plus higher lows keep momentum positive; watch the 740 USDT overhead zone as resistance where breakout traders may aim next.
USDJPY: Weekly overviewHello Traders, US news could move this pair dramatically.
I've made the white zone no trade because of strong additional zone around 148.225 for the bullish side and a sharp move needed to reach the zone.
The zone around 142.892 is more suitable for short trades, regarding the trend and distance from median of the channel. This zone is only suitable for long if the break be strong enough to overpass the median of the channel.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Gold PCE data outlook
💡Message Strategy
Gold remained under pressure today, hovering around the $3,300 mark, mainly affected by the mild rebound of the U.S. dollar. As gold prices are highly sensitive to the U.S. dollar, a stronger dollar usually suppresses demand for gold. However, gold still remains above this week's low, indicating that there is still a lot of room for further decline.
Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, said: "The market is hesitant to establish new gold long positions before the release of the US core PCE."
The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points by the end of this year, and the first rate cut may begin in October.
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, gold prices have been frustrated at the $3,320 resistance level, with a short-term bias to the downside. The momentum indicator on the 4-hour chart has turned negative, supporting gold prices to further test the $3,280 support level. If it fails, it may fall to the previous day's low of $3,250. If it breaks further, it may fall to the key psychological support of $3,200.
The rebound of the US dollar has put some pressure on gold, but the weak support of gold prices still shows a clear decline. Considering the rising geopolitical risks and the uncertainty of US policies, the market tends to maintain a short position in gold.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3295-3300
EUR/USD Weekly Analysis – Key Price Action Zones & ForecastWelcome back to the long-term EUR/USD roadmap, where we're not just looking at the next move, but building a vision for the next decade.
📉 What's Happening Now?
The market is currently battling between two major macro zones:
Strong Resistance at 1.22 – This is where bulls face their ultimate test. If price breaks through this zone, we could be looking at a sustained bullish trend, with 1.24 and beyond in sight.
First Strong Support at 1.08 – A level that has held in past market corrections, and a key buy signal if we see price rejection with strong confirmation.
Second Support at 1.0176 – If the first level fails, this is where the ultimate buying opportunity lies. Think long-term here. The price tends to rebound sharply from this level.
🎯 The Educational Breakdown:
Here’s how you can approach the price action using the concept of 'range trading' vs 'breakout trading':
1. Bullish Scenario:
Condition to Watch: A breakout above 1.22 would set the stage for the next leg up, with 1.24 as the initial target. This is a high-probability bullish setup. Keep an eye on strong confirmation candles around this resistance, like a bullish engulfing or a close above the level.
2. Bearish Scenario:
Condition to Watch: If price fails to break and retests the support zones, we could see a retracement back down. The first target should be 1.08, but if that level breaks, we’re looking at the 1.0176 support zone, which historically holds.
3. Major Support Opportunities (Unbeatable Long-term Buy):
The 1.06 to 0.97 zone is your "unbeatable first touch support". Price tends to reject hard from this range, offering high-reward long opportunities for those who can time the entry correctly with strong confirmation.
🔥 The Big Picture
This is not just about trading the next week. This is about building a macro trading model that looks at multiple years of price action. Understanding where the big money plays in terms of support and resistance gives you the advantage to position ahead of the market.
🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders:
Be patient with major support zones – This is where price reversals often occur.
If you're playing the breakout, wait for confirmation candles above 1.22 for sustained momentum.
Use multi-timeframe analysis to confirm key levels – Don’t just rely on the weekly chart; lower timeframes (like daily and 4-hour) can provide entry confirmation.
📈 What’s Next?
As we continue through 2025 and beyond, these key zones will play a crucial role in determining EUR/USD's long-term trajectory. Whether you're trading short-term moves or building a macro position, mastering these zones will set you apart from the crowd.
"The best traders are those who anticipate the big moves, not just react to them."
– TradeWithMky
🔔 Follow for more macro insights and exclusive trading strategies.
📈 @TradeWithMky – where the charts talk louder than the noise.