NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias.
Key Observations:
1. Retracement and Institutional Support:
Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely.
2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone:
Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order block—a zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zone’s validity as institutional support.
Trading Plan:
We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Supportandresistancezones
Buy Fear, Not Euphoria: The Trader's EdgeWhen you look back at the greatest trading opportunities in history, they all seem to share a common element: fear. Yet, when you're in the moment, it feels almost impossible to pull the trigger. Why? Because fear paralyzes, while euphoria seduces. If you want to truly evolve as a trader, you need to master this fundamental shift: buy fear, not euphoria.
Let's break it down together.
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What Fear and Euphoria Really Mean in Markets
In simple terms, fear shows up when prices are falling sharply, when bad news dominates the headlines, and when people around you are saying "it's all over."
Euphoria, on the other hand, is everywhere when prices are skyrocketing, when everyone on social media is celebrating, and when it feels like "this can only go higher."
In those moments:
• Fear tells you to run away.
• Euphoria tells you to throw caution to the wind.
Both emotions are signals. But they are inverted signals. When fear is extreme, value appears. When euphoria is extreme, danger hides.
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Why Buying Fear Works
Markets are pricing machines. They constantly adjust prices based on emotions, news, and expectations. When fear hits, selling pressure often goes beyond what is rational. People dump assets for emotional reasons, not fundamental ones.
Here’s why buying fear works:
• Overreaction: Bad news usually causes exaggerated moves.
• Liquidity Vacuums: Everyone sells, no one buys, creating sharp discounts.
• Reversion to Mean: Extreme moves tend to revert once emotions stabilize.
Buying into fear is not about being reckless. It’s about recognizing that the best deals are available when others are too scared to see them.
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Why Chasing Euphoria Fails
At the peak of euphoria, risks are often invisible to the crowd. Valuations are stretched. Expectations are unrealistic. Everyone "knows" it's going higher — which ironically means there's no one left to buy.
Chasing euphoria often leads to:
• Buying high, selling low.
• Getting trapped at tops.
• Emotional regret and revenge trading.
You’re not just buying an asset — you're buying into a mass illusion.
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How to Train Yourself to Buy Fear
It's not enough to "know" this. In the heat of the moment, you will still feel the fear. Here's how you build the right habit:
1. Pre-plan your entries: Before panic strikes, have a plan. Know where you want to buy.
2. Focus on strong assets: Not everything that falls is worth buying. Choose assets with strong fundamentals or clear technical setups.
3. Scale in: Don’t try to catch the bottom perfectly. Build positions gradually as fear peaks.
4. Use alerts, not emotions: Set price alerts. When they trigger, act mechanically.
5. Remember past patterns: Study previous fear-driven crashes. See how they recovered over time.
Trading is a game of memory. The more you internalize past patterns, the easier it is to act when everyone else panics.
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A Recent Example: April 2025 Tariff Panic
Very recently, at the start of April, Trump’s new tariff announcements sent shockwaves through the market. Panic took over. Headlines screamed. Social media was flooded with fear.
But if you looked beyond the noise, charts like SP500 and US30 told a different story: the drops took price right into strong support zones.
At the time, I even posted this : support zones were being tested under emotional pressure.
If you had price alerts set and reacted mechanically, not emotionally , you could have bought into that fear — and potentially benefited from the rebound that followed just days later.
This is the essence of buying fear.
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Final Thoughts
In trading, you are paid for doing the hard things. Buying when it feels terrible. Selling when it feels amazing.
Remember:
Fear offers you discounts. Euphoria offers you traps.
The next time the market feels like it's crashing, ask yourself:
• Is this fear real, or exaggerated?
• Is this an opportunity hiding under an emotional fog?
If you can answer that with clarity, you're already ahead of 90% of traders.
Stay rational. Stay prepared. And above all: buy fear, not euphoria.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURJPY strong bearish expectations
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish expectations i am have, but things will not go like expected..
Currently price in DESCENDING CHANNEL, in moment we are have break of same, but price is make revers in zone and pushing now bearish.
Here now exepcting fall till trend line.
SUP zone: 163.000
RES ozne: 159.500, 158.500
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 29 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, April 29, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
Sub R/S: An Area where price action could happen.
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
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Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 28 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, April 28, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
Sub R/S: An Area where price action could happen.
S&P 500: Key Levels and Potential ScenariosThis analysis of S&P500 will explore both bullish and bearish scenarios, incorporating key levels and considering possible market and crowd psychology.
Bullish Scenario: Potential Uptrend Resumption
From a bullish perspective, if the S&P 500 maintains a position above the 5482 level, it could suggest a potential end to the current correction and a resumption of the major uptrend. A hold above 5482 might reinforce bullish sentiment, encouraging further buying activity, as traders may view this as confirmation of renewed strength. The index could then potentially retest the 5801 level, where it's possible that the index may encounter resistance on the first attempt. A successful break above 5801 would then open the path towards the 6135 zone, which represents a key upside target.
Bearish Scenario: Potential Retest of Support Zones
Conversely, if the S&P 500 fails to hold above the 5482 support level might trigger increased selling pressure, as traders liquidate positions. The index could then potentially retest the 5092 to 4833 support zone. This zone represents a critical area where buyers may step in, but a break below it would signal further weakness.
Concluding Remarks
In conclusion, the S&P 500's price action around the identified key levels will be crucial in determining its short- to medium-term direction. A sustained hold above 5482 could favor a bullish continuation towards 5801 and potentially 6135, while a break below 5482 might lead to a retest of the 5092 to 4833 support zone.
Accumulation Underway: Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Be ViolentBitcoin has shown a strong recovery after reclaiming the 50 EMA, which had been a major dynamic resistance across multiple levels. After accumulating between $83,000–$87,000, BTC broke out sharply and is now consolidating again just below a major resistance zone at $95,000–$97,000.
The current price action shows another accumulation phase just under resistance — similar to the previous pattern before the breakout.
A clean breakout above this resistance zone could explode Bitcoin toward $100,000+.
On the downside, if rejection occurs, the 50 EMA around $87,000 could act as strong support once again.
CTSI Breaks Major Downtrend – Is the Next Leg Up Here?CTSI/USDT – Bullish Breakout in Play
CTSI has broken out of a long-term descending trendline, signaling a major shift in market structure. After reclaiming the $0.063–$0.068 resistance zone as support, bulls are clearly in control.
Key Highlights:
✅ Downtrend broken after months of lower highs.
✅ Minor resistance flipped to support, confirming strength.
✅ RSI at 75.62 shows strong bullish momentum.
✅ Structure is now forming higher highs and higher lows — a key trend reversal sign.
🎯Upside Targets:TP1: $0.085
TP2: $0.110
Support to hold: $0.063
CTSI is gaining momentum — if support holds, the next leg up could be explosive.
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 25 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, April 25, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
INTEL DROP --- FIELD COMM LOG #02242025🪖 WAR ROOM DISPATCH — FIELD REPORT FROM CAMP JARVIS & CAMP LIVERMORE
Date: 4/24/2025
Status: STANDBY
Volume: Normal
Current Order: HOLD
⚔️ SUMMARY OF ENGAGEMENTS – LAST 30 DAYS
The battlefield has been blood-red. Abnormal reactions litter the map. Morale was tested—but our troops never broke. The Red Army pushed hard, exploiting weakness, creating chaos. Yet we held.
📍Camp Jarvis
Coordinates: 115.10
☑️ Status: HOLD
📈 Trend: UPTREND
📊 ATR: Tightening (3.39)
🟩 Zone: Top of box: 115.10 | Bottom: 86.62
📢 Latest: “We’re nearing breakout. Position secure. Scouting volume now.”
Jarvis is seeing a shift—momentum is whispering beneath the soil. There's life stirring. But RSI is low (sub-45). This isn't the time for heroes—it’s a time for patience. Let the weak exhaust themselves.
📍Camp Livermore
Position: Natural Reaction Zone
☑️ Status: HOLD
📉 Trend: Weak uptrend but too early to act
🔄 Recent movement: Mixed signals, sporadic action, no confirmation.
Livermore's forces are strong in discipline, but not yet in numbers. They report: “Volume’s stable, but not convincing. We’ll move when the field confirms it—not before.”
📛 INTEL WARNING
The maps are clear—we are not in breakout yet.
There’s a false calm in the air.
Do NOT chase. Do NOT preempt.
This is how armies get slaughtered in the fog.
💡 Key Quote from Command:
“The Red Army still has strength. We’re holding—but holding isn’t winning. We wait for the flinch. The break. The rally cry. That’s when we move.”
🎖️ Current Position: HOLD
🛡️ Camp Jarvis: Monitoring breakout zone
🧭 Camp Livermore: Awaiting troop confirmation
📉 RSI low, Trend early
🔕 No All-Signal-Go confirmed
🚨 Mixed Signals = DO NOT ADVANCE
The war is not over.
But neither are we.
Why Should You Care About ER?🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations?
What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence?
Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game: Expected Range Volatility (ER) .
What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)?
The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68% probability of staying within those boundaries.
💡 Key Insight: When the price approaching certain levels, there’s a 68% chance the price won’t break through those boundaries. This means you can use ER as a powerful filter to identify more precise entry and exit points for your trades.
Why Should You Care About ER?
When I first discovered the ER tool, it felt like stumbling upon a gold mine in the trading world. Here’s why:
It’s free and available on the CME exchange’s website.
It’s underutilized —95% of traders don’t even know it exists.
It provides statistical clarity in a world full of uncertainty.
I remember the first time I used ER in my analysis—it completely changed the way I approached intraday trading. Now, I never make a trade without checking the ER data. It’s become an essential part of my strategy.
How to Use ER in Your Trading
1️⃣ Input the Data: Head over to the CME website, plug in the necessary parameters, and get your ER values.
2️⃣ Set Boundaries: Use the ER range as a guide to set potential support and resistance levels.
3️⃣ Filter Trades: Only take trades that align with the ER framework to improve your precision.
A recent example is the Japanese yen futures market.
Don't be confused by the fact that we take futures levels, it can easily be plotted on a spot chart for forex market (the dollar/yen).
Limitations to Keep in Mind
While ER is a powerful tool, it’s not a crystal ball. Here are some limitations:
Market Dynamics: Short-term price movements can be unpredictable due to sentiment, news, or economic events. ER provides a statistical estimate, but it doesn’t guarantee outcomes.
Assumptions: The formula assumes price movements follow a log-normal distribution , which may not hold true in all market conditions.
Your Turn: Are You Using ER in Your Strategy?
💭 Here’s the million-dollar question: Are you leveraging the power of Expected Range Volatility in your trading? If not, why not start today?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below:
Do you currently use ER or similar statistical tools?
Want to Dive Deeper?
If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level, don’t miss out on our all-in-one resource designed to help you master tools like ER and other valuable sources to gain market edge!
🔥 Remember:
No Valuable Data = No Edge!