EURNZD: Bullish Shift and Institutional Re-Entry from SupportGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bullish. This alignment now provides us with a clear bias to seek buying opportunities in line with the predominant higher timeframe trend.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe is currently delivering bullish order flow. With the recent bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have confluence across both timeframes, which strengthens our confidence in seeking long setups on lower timeframes.
Key Observations on H4:
Sell Stop Raid & Structural Rejection: Price action recently swept sell-side liquidity, a typical behavior indicating institutional order pairing. Following this, price attempted to move lower but failed to break the previous low, instead being supported by a Rejection Block. This led to a bullish market structure shift—our key signal of trend continuation.
Mitigation Block Entry Zone: Price has since retraced into a Mitigation Block—an area where previous institutional selling occurred. The purpose of this pullback is to mitigate earlier positions and initiate fresh buying orders. This now becomes our zone of interest for potential confirmation entries towards the upside.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 Mitigation Block.
Target: The objective is to target the H4 liquidity pool residing at premium prices, aligning with the discount-to-premium delivery model.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
As always, remain patient and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before executing, and manage your risk accordingly.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
Supportandresitance
XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Motion – Watch 3340 for Breakout 🔍 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bearish Reversal Outlook
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Date: July 25, 2025
Indicators Used: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Trendlines, Support & Resistance Zones
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⚙ Technical Breakdown:
1. Previous Market Structure – Accumulation to Expansion:
Descending Channel (Red Box): Market moved within a bearish channel until the breakout occurred.
Key Break of Structure (BOS) around 3365 level signaled the beginning of bullish momentum — a textbook shift from accumulation to expansion phase.
Rally towards 3445 zone: Strong impulsive wave followed by higher highs and higher lows within a green rising channel.
2. Bull Trap and Structural Breakdown:
At the 3445-3460 resistance zone, price failed to maintain momentum and formed a double top / distribution setup.
The second BOS near 3385 confirmed a shift from bullish to bearish market structure.
Ichimoku Cloud also flipped bearish — price is now trading below the cloud, signaling potential continued downside.
3. Current Consolidation and Bearish Retest:
Price is now trapped in a bearish flag / rectangle pattern between 3360 – 3380.
Recent rejections from the descending trendline and overhead supply zone indicate weak bullish attempts and presence of strong selling pressure.
4. Anticipated Move – Bearish Continuation:
The projected red path suggests a retest of the diagonal resistance, followed by a breakdown toward key demand zone at 3340 – 3320.
If that zone fails, we may see a deeper move toward 3280.
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📌 Key Technical Zones:
Zone Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
Resistance 3445 – 3460 Double Top / Strong Supply
Support 3340 – 3320 Historical Demand Zone
Short-term Resistance 3375 – 3385 BOS Retest + Trendline
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🎯 Trading Insight:
📉 Bias: Bearish
⚠ Invalidation Level: Break above 3385 with volume
📊 Potential Target: 3340 → 3320
🧠 Trade Idea: Look for short entries on weak retests near descending trendline or cloud rejection.
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🏆 What Makes This Chart Unique for Editors’ Picks:
✅ Multiple Confluences: Structural shifts (BOS), trendlines, Ichimoku, and classic patterns (channels, flags).
✅ Clear Visual Storytelling: Logical flow from bearish to bullish and back to bearish structure.
✅ Forward Projection: Predictive outlook based on strong technical context — not just reactive analysis.
✅ Educational Value: Useful for beginners and intermediate traders alike to understand structure transitions and key levels.
AUDJPY: Bullish Structure Shift Signals Institutional Buy ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of AUDJPY, we observe a recent bullish market structure shift (MSS), signaling potential for continued upward movement. With this in mind, we aim to capitalize on buying opportunities at key institutional points of interest to target higher premium prices.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe maintains a clear bullish narrative. This long-term bias is now supported by a bullish MSS on the H4 timeframe, offering strong confluence and alignment across both macro and intermediate structures. This increases our confidence in expecting further bullish continuation.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support: Price recently pulled back into a weekly FVG and has rebalanced that inefficiency. This reaction aligns with the H4 MSS, reinforcing the weekly FVG as a strong institutional support zone.
Reclaimed Bullish Order Block: After the MSS, price retraced into a bullish reclaimed order block—an area where previous institutional positioning occurred. Since price has now reclaimed this level, it becomes a high-probability zone for renewed buying interest in the direction of the dominant trend.
Lower Timeframe Confirmation: This reclaimed order block will serve as our primary zone of interest to seek confirmations on the lower timeframes for precise entries.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation within the reclaimed H4 order block zone before entering long positions.
Target: The primary objective is the H4 liquidity pool situated at premium prices, which the market is likely to be drawn toward.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
As always, execute with discipline and align your trade management with your overall plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
XAU/USD – Ranging Market Prepping for Breakout?Gold has been ranging for the next couple months and usually I am out of the market during the months of April Through July because historically these are not my best months trading XAU/USD. However you will see me posting a lot more in the coming months because my best months historically are August - December where the market really cranks up with some bigger moves.
So in a summarized version below you will find what it is that i am looking at with gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) has remained locked in a defined consolidation range between 3,250 (support) and 3,450–3,502 (resistance) since early April. Price has printed multiple internal falling wedge formations within this zone, indicating compression before potential expansion.
🔍 Technical Overview
Range Duration: ~3.5 months
Key Range:
Support: 3,250
Resistance: 3,450–3,502
Compression Patterns: Multiple falling wedges breaking upwards inside the range, hinting at bullish pressure.
Touch Confirmations: Both range boundaries have been tested multiple times, reinforcing validity (per Multi-Touch Confirmation).
Contextual Bias: Seasonally, August–December tends to be a high-volatility trending period for Gold.
🎯 Trade Plan
Inside Range:
Maintain neutral bias.
Execute range-to-range scalps/swing setups with clear invalidation zones.
Avoid trading mid-range.
Breakout Scenario (Bullish):
A clean close above 3,502 triggers breakout watch.
Ideal setup: Retest + 15-min flag → long continuation.
Potential upside target: ~3,700 (range height extension).
Breakdown Scenario (Bearish):
Loss of 3,250 opens door to bearish continuation.
Look for clean liquidity sweep or structure flip before committing.
Initial downside target: 3,100 zone.
🛡️ Risk Notes
Avoid third-touch entries in aggressive momentum unless followed by flag formation.
Remain disciplined with the 80/20 confluence rule — don't let perfectionism delay entries.
Always execute with pre-trade checklist and defined R:R profile.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a pivotal point. The confluence of a tight multi-month range, internal compression patterns, historical breakout timing, and validated levels builds a compelling case for an imminent expansion move. Remain patient, avoid anticipation, and react to confirmed structure and price behavior.
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection.
Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level.
Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions.
Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect 🏛️📉
USDCHF: Bearish Shift Offers Premium Selling ZonesGreetings Traders,
At present, USDCHF is exhibiting a clear shift in institutional order flow toward the bearish side. In response, we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities within premium price zones.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe remains bearish, offering a macro-level bias. Price recently pulled back into the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), a key internal range area. With this retracement complete, we now expect the market to begin its delivery toward external liquidity pools located in discounted price zones.
Key Observations on H4:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): USDCHF has recently presented a bearish MSS on the H4, confirming a change in the internal structure and further validating the bearish narrative.
H4 Fair Value Gap Rejection: Following the MSS, price retraced into a newly formed H4 FVG. This area now serves as a short-term institutional resistance zone.
Sell Opportunity Zone: This H4 FVG provides a valid zone to seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (e.g., M15), with the objective of targeting downside liquidity.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for short setups via confirmation on the M15 timeframe within the current H4 FVG zone.
Targets: Focus on internal liquidity pools within discounted price levels, with the broader objective being the external liquidity resting beneath recent swing lows.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
Why I Went Long on AMD Near the 2025 Lows🔍 Reason for the Trade
This wasn’t just a “buy the dip” setup — this was a calculated trade based on strong confluence:
✅ Multi-Year Demand Zone
Price returned to a massive support level that’s held since 2020. This zone had previously triggered multiple large bullish reversals.
✅ Falling Wedge Breakout
A textbook falling wedge pattern formed during the pullback. Once price broke out, the momentum confirmed a structural reversal.
✅ Risk/Reward Optimization
I positioned my stop just under key support, with targets set at prior structure highs. The setup offered a clean 2.5:1+ R/R ratio, perfect for swing conviction.
✅ Institutional Accumulation Area
The volume and wick rejections in this zone screamed smart money stepping in. It was a classic sign of fear-based selling into patient buyers.
🧠 Lessons Reinforced
- Wait for the Zone, Then Act: Patience paid off — the best trades come from the best levels.
- Structure Over Emotion: I trusted the technical, not the bearish headlines.
- R/R Always Wins: You don’t need to be right every time, but when you’re right — let it run.
#AMD #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #WedgeBreakout #RiskReward #PriceAction #StockMarket #TradingView #TradeRecap
Bearish Sentiment (Jul 16 Wed) | Intraday S/R for Swing TradingSentiment: Bearish
🟢 Support Levels
1. 3319.20 – Minor support near Friday’s bounce zone
2. 3307.60 – Key support from early U.S. session rejection zone
3. 3296.10 – Institutional support / demand buildup
4. Extreme Support: 3283.40 – Break below this opens extended sell-off zone
🔴 Resistance Levels
1. 3338.70 – Minor resistance from overnight price action
2. 3349.80 – Key resistance aligned with previous close and seller defense
3. 3361.00 – Strong intraday ceiling, potential short trigger
4. Extreme Resistance: 3375.20 – Break above this signals risk-on bullish momentum
You Haven’t Missed It**⏰ Timeframe: 1H**
**🛠 Tools Used: Dow Theory, Support & Resistance, Volume, RSI**
**📈 Market Overview**
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently trading at **110,982**. After hitting a new all-time high at **12K**, the price is undergoing a mild correction. Despite the retracement, price remains supported by both volume and the 25-period moving average.
Yesterday, BTC broke through the **110,267** resistance level with a strong bullish candle, but encountered aggressive selling from market makers and is now consolidating with weak candles below the **12K** mark.
Typically, in such market phases, it’s advisable to close previous positions and consider new entries. However, given the likelihood of **interest rate cuts** and the fact that price is holding near its ATH, keeping previous **long positions** open may be wise, as a **strong upward move** is still on the table.
**⚙️ Technical Analysis**
Yesterday’s breakout above **110,267** was met with seller pressure near **12K**, leading to a shallow correction.
**BTC Dominance (BTC.D)** has broken above **65.04** and **64.69**, moving toward **64.51** resistance. However, a weakening candle structure is visible on both **4H and 1H** timeframes. This indicates that while long opportunities on bullish **BTC pairs** may still exist, we might see a lower high forming above **64.51** and below **64.69**, followed by another move back toward **64.51**.
Meanwhile, **USDT Dominance (USDT.D)** broke below the **4.75** support with a strong candle and is now ranging above **4.63**, suggesting a possible pause or rest phase here.
The **Total Market Cap** shows a similar pattern to **BTCUSDT**, reflecting consolidation with slight bullish bias.
The **Others** chart (excluding BTC & ETH) shows a healthy uptrend and is now facing resistance at **248.68**. A breakout above this level could pave the way for stronger performance among altcoins with bullish BTC pairs.
**🧭 Potential Scenarios**
📗 **Bullish Scenario:**
If BTC forms a **higher low above 110,654**, an entry could be considered above **12,000**, with a stop-loss placed below the higher low (based on the 1H timeframe). Volume confirmation is necessary to support the move.
📕 **Bearish Scenario:**
As long as the price remains **above 109,409**, **short positions are not recommended**.
**💡 Conclusion, Warnings & General Suggestion**
Bitcoin is currently in a **healthy bullish phase**.
The **key resistance at 111K** has been broken, and price is pulling back toward that level.
The structure remains bullish, supported by **sufficient volume** and **no clear bearish divergence**.
If current support holds, there’s potential for continuation toward the **113,500–114,000** range.
⚠️ **Warnings:**
* If the pullback turns into a breakdown (falling below **110,200**, then **109,000**), it would signal **buyer weakness**, and strategy must be reconsidered.
* Watch for **RSI divergences** or **declining volume** during further rallies—they may indicate caution.
* Prolonged consolidation **below broken resistance** could also indicate market weakness.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, price failed to break above the minor resistance at $3,341, which led to a sharp sell-off into the Support Zone. The 50MA has now crossed below the 200MA, reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum.
If the Support Zone fails to hold, we could see a move toward the HTF Support Zone, with downside targets at $3,241 and $3,208.
Any short-term recovery may face resistance at $3,300–$3,328. For a more meaningful shift in sentiment, bulls must reclaim $3,328 to open the path back toward higher levels.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,300 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341
Support: $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208
🔎 Fundamental Focus
Markets are positioning ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes, which could give insights into the Fed’s internal sentiment on rate cuts.
⚠️ Stay sharp — manage your risk.
NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again.
We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again.
🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously.
But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside.
Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
Review and plan for 1st July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
swing idea - trent
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 27th June 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing trade.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold needed to close and hold above the $3,330 resistance to open the path toward $3,346 and potentially $3,375.
Since then, price rejected the intraday support and is now trending above the $3,330 level.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance. A clean break above it could trigger a move toward $3,346 and possibly higher resistance zones.
However, if bullish momentum fades, price may drop back toward the key support area, where buyers could look to step in again.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
ARMANFIN Long IdeaARMANFIN chart looks strong. It is in uptrend and going towards ATH.
Supports and Targets are given in Chart.
Risk management is Important.
pro's : Repo Rate fallen down. Overall MFI space is better than previous quarters.
Con's : ArmanFinancial has no growth guidnace for FY26. They are in Asset Quality management currently.
Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on?
USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower.
Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return.
Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup!
🧠 What I See:
We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure.
If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone.
🎯 Next Area of Interest:
Zone: 144.00 – 144.10
📌 Target Remains:
144.76 → 145.36
1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion
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> “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.”
I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
Everybody loves Gold Part 4Gold strategy steadily churning out the pips
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades.
How to Draw Support & Resistance In TradingViewLearn how to effectively identify, draw, and utilize support and resistance levels in TradingView with this comprehensive step-by-step tutorial. Whether you're a beginner trader or looking to refine your technical analysis skills, this video covers everything you need to know about one of the most fundamental concepts in trading.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding support and resistance: the foundation of technical analysis and price action trading
Step-by-step instructions for drawing horizontal support and resistance lines in TradingView
Creating support and resistance zones for more flexible trading approaches
Practical tips for using TradingView's drawing tools effectively
This tutorial may be helpful for day traders, swing traders, and investors using TradingView who want to improve their chart analysis skills. The techniques covered could help you make more informed entry and exit decisions by understanding where price might find support or encounter resistance.
Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
Euro may reach seller zone and then continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, the price started to grow, bouncing from the support line, and soon reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then it declined to support line, making the correction and then made an impulse up from this line to the resistance level, breaking the 1.1070 level. After this movement, the Euro made a correction and then continued to grow and broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and even rose higher than the seller zone. But soon Euro turned around and started to decline and broke the 1.1455 level again, after which it declined to the support line inside the range. Price little grew near this line, but later broke the support line and continued to decline. It fell to the support level, which is the bottom part of the range, and then started to grow. Euro later reached the top part of the range, which is the resistance level, and not long time ago turned around and started to decline. So, after looking for this chart, I think that the Euro may enter to seller zone and then continue to decline inside the range. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1250 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
INDIGOPNTS - Bullish view potential of 28 to 45% ROIAll details are given on chart for educational purpose only. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation