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Supportandresitance

Oct.29-Nov.04(BTC)Weekly market recapLast Friday, the non-farm payroll data fell significantly short of expectations, leading to a substantial increase in interest rate cut anticipations. The price of BTC surged before retreating, with the majority of traders attributing the disappointing data to the impact of the hurricane, as the market response was less than favorable. Currently, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is pivotal for the mid-term trajectory of BTC, given the differing monetary policy and inflation outlooks of the two candidates. Should Trump be elected, the promised favorable policies may come to fruition, increasing the likelihood of institutional investments in BTC, thereby enhancing its fundamentals as digital gold. Conversely, if Harris takes office, the SEC is expected to maintain its stringent stance on cryptocurrency regulations. Last week, BTC experienced an initial rise followed by a decline, breaking through the resistance level to reach $73,590 on Tuesday. The WTA indicator showed the emergence of blue bars representing whales, but these disappeared after Saturday, indicating a withdrawal of significant capital. The ME indicator remains in a bullish trend. In summary, we anticipate that BTC may experience considerable volatility this week. We have adjusted the resistance level to $74,000 and the support level to $67,000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
1
Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Short and Long OpportunitiesI'm watching the Nasdaq closely as it approaches a critical decision point. In this analysis, I’ll outline two potential scenarios, including both short and long trade ideas based on the confluence of key technical levels. Current Setup and Key Level: 20,320 Right now, the 20,320 level is my primary focus. This level aligns with: The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downtrend, suggesting potential resistance. The VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), which is acting as a dynamic resistance level. This confluence makes 20,320 a critical resistance zone, where the market might either reverse or push through, setting the tone for the next significant move. Scenario 1: Short Opportunity at 20,320 Resistance If the price approaches 20,320 and shows signs of rejection (like a bearish candle pattern), I’m looking to take a short position at this level. Here’s why: Fibonacci & VWAP Confluence: The alignment of the 38.2% Fib level with the VWAP reinforces this level as a strong potential resistance. Risk Management: I would place a stop-loss above the 50% Fib level (around 20,400) to manage risk if the price breaks higher. Targets: My initial target would be around the 20,000 level. If this breaks, I anticipate a stronger move downward due to potential stop-losses being triggered below 20,000 (more on that below). Note on Stop-Loss Clusters: I believe many traders might have their stops placed just below the 20,000 mark. If the price breaks below this level, we could see a quick, momentum-driven move lower as these stops are triggered, potentially driving price toward deeper levels. Scenario 2: Bullish Break Above 20,320 If the price breaks above 20,320 and holds above both the VWAP and the 38.2% Fib level, it could signal a bullish shift. Here’s what I’m looking for in this scenario: Confirmation Above VWAP and Fib Level: A strong break and close above these levels would indicate that bulls are taking control and might push for higher retracement levels. Potential Targets: In this scenario, I’d look for the price to move towards the 50% Fibonacci level (around 20,400) as the next resistance, followed by the 61.8% level near 20,500 if momentum holds. Invalidation for Shorts: A decisive break and hold above 20,320 would invalidate the short setup. If this happens, I’ll look for potential long entries on a pullback to the VWAP or 38.2% Fib as support, with stops below these levels to manage risk. Conclusion The 20,320 area is the key level to watch here, with potential for both short and long setups: Short Scenario: Look for rejection at 20,320 to target a move down to 20,000, with a possible extension lower if the 20,000 support breaks. Long Scenario: A break above 20,320 could open the door for further upside, with potential targets around 20,400 and 20,500. This setup combines technical indicators with price psychology, as stops clustered around the 20,000 level may drive significant moves if that support level is breached. I'll be monitoring how the price reacts to 20,320 closely for confirmation of either setup. Let me know if you see anything differently or if you have any questions. Happy trading!
CME_MINI:MNQZ2024
by natron
1
BTC Short Trade Opportunity and SetupBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P / BYBIT:BTCUSDT / CRYPTO:BTCUSD Bitcoin/BTCUSD has recently hit the resistance level of a pattern that has generally held true since mid March 24 (4 preceding resistance and support confirmations). Furthermore, it has started a return downward move following on from a 3 day filter for confirmation of the resistance level (an example of how a 3/5 day filter is an important tool for crypto trading). Additionally: The RSI resistance level of 70 has been recently reached and the RSI is trending downwards - a usually statistically significant indicator The downward return move is supported by reasonable (although not enough on it's own) volume A 3 bar pattern (downward move, pause, further downward move for confirmation) A rate of change approaching and trending negative A MACD also approaching negative It's always important to assess the risk that might prove the thesis wrong. And they are: Today's candlestick pattern is close to a dragonfly, i.e. there might be a return upwards move imminent (although this is unlikely to constitute a beginning of a move beyond the previous high as an actual dragonfly candlestick is at the end of a downtrend) The MACD is trending down but has not actually turned negative yet, i.e. it is a bit early to say this indicator is stating a downward trend The ROC hasn't turned negative yet either (but is trending downwards for sure) This all leads to the following conclusion: For those with a high enough risk appetite (and usually crypto traders are those with the highest :-)) this is a good entry point for a short trade. Using the (admittedly early but still reasonable) trend for the past three days to determine the final take profit point of 45500 (blue arrow) by approx. 19 Nov 24, the following can be set as a guide for a trade: Entry: Now or latest tomorrow in case today's candlestick is an indicator of a minor move upwards SL: $70,500 TP1: $63,450 - based on the first potential moving average being a resistance (200 MA) TP2: $60,500 - based on the previous move's consistent (and twice confirmed) low TP3: $54,500 -based on a previous historic low (i.e. psychologically important price point) which also acts as a confirmation of support to a previous move TP4: $45,500 - The approximate price point of an estimated downward trend Exit date (independent of TP level): 19 Nov 24 NOTE: the 19 Nov date here is important. It is the forecasted date by which the current downward price trend would linearly reach the support level. This date would be used as a checkpoint to exit the entire trade to safeguard against the normal, usually dramatic and beyond rational calculation price gyrations of crypto.
Short
by slip_stream
Will Three White Soldiers Lead the Way?OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis 4H Chart Current Price: 2447.215 Analysis Summary • Three White Soldiers Pattern • Volume Analysis • Overbought and Resistance Zone • Overall Bullish Trend Three White Soldiers: The chart shows a clear Three White Soldiers pattern, a strong bullish reversal candlestick formation indicating potential upward momentum. This pattern suggests consistent buying interest, as each candle closes higher than the previous one, signaling sustained demand. Volume Analysis: A closer look at volume reveals a weakening trend in the third candle of the Three White Soldiers pattern, suggesting a slight decline in buying strength: • 1st Candle: 74.889K • 2nd Candle: 134.962K • 3rd Candle: 41.235K This drop in volume in the last candle may indicate limited buying pressure, warranting caution before assuming continued upward movement. Overbought and Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a significant Overbought and Resistance Zone, which could act as a barrier to further upward movement in the short term. Combined with the lower volume in the third candle, this zone could lead to a potential consolidation or minor pullback before the next upward move. Despite this, the bullish reversal signaled by the Three White Soldiers suggests that the overall trend remains positive. Interpretation: Considering the overall bullish trend, the weakening volume in the last candle of the Three White Soldiers, and the approach to the Overbought and Resistance Zone, we anticipate the following: 1. Retracement to Support: The price may retrace down to 2739.624 before rebounding back to the Resistance Zone. 2. Potential Pullback to Ultimate Support: A further dip may take the price towards Ultimate Support at 2734.375. 3. Continued Bullish Momentum: After testing these support levels, the price is expected to resume its upward trend, with a potential breakout beyond the Resistance Zone, targeting the Extreme Overbought Zone. Key Levels to Watch: • Support: 2714.844 • Ultimate Support: 2734.375 • Retracement Level: 2739.624 • Overbought Zone: 2754.116 • Extreme Overbought: 2758.565 • Resistance: 2758.565 Overall Trend: The overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of continued upward movement following any short-term pullbacks. This analysis combines technical patterns, volume insights, and trend direction to provide a comprehensive outlook. Happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SpicyPips
Summary of the week and a swing long position & locked profit FX:HKG33 Summary of the week for the index. 1h chart form a golden cross below zero line and happen that 4h chart had formed the same golden cross even though both are below zero line. I took a aggressive & several long position. TP at 20735 level at time was looking at the index trying to close the week gap. I did keep some position open hoping that the US trading time could continue to boost the index. But it seems it loose its steam and 4h chart not strong for MACD & Signal line breakout zero line. the Index closed at 20506.46 (still record a decline of 1.21% -250.70). Looking at the W chart it seems pulling back and let's continue to monitor if its prepare for the next climb. You may note that the W chart the MACD is above zero line still consider bullish but with weak lighter green histo. Jya. Let's zen during weekend with 🍵 & 📙
FX:HKG33Long
by ChenQianYu
Bharat Electronics Ltd: Key Support Zone and Potential Breakout Technical Overview Descending Triangle Pattern: The price action appears to be forming a descending triangle, which is typically considered a bearish continuation pattern. The triangle's resistance line is a downward-sloping trendline connecting the series of lower highs, and the support is horizontal around the 270-265 INR level. Support and Resistance: Immediate Resistance: The first resistance is at 289.60 INR, as indicated by the horizontal line. Major Resistance: Above this, significant resistance exists around 312.70 INR and 340.25 INR. Support Zone: The highlighted yellow area between 265-270 INR indicates strong support. The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking down, suggesting that it is a key area to watch for either a bounce or a breakdown. Moving Averages: 50-Day Moving Average: The price is currently close to the 50-day moving average. A breakout or breakdown from this average could provide a signal for further price movement. 200-Day Moving Average: The 200-day moving average is trending upwards and acts as long-term support. It's a key indicator for identifying the overall trend, which remains bullish in the long term. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is showing a bullish divergence. Even though the price has made a lower low, the RSI has formed a higher low, signaling a potential reversal or bounce from the current levels. Volume: There is a noticeable drop in volume over the recent sessions, suggesting that traders are waiting for a decisive move. If the price breaks either the support or resistance lines, a spike in volume will likely confirm the direction of the move. Target Price: Bullish Target: If the price breaks above the descending triangle and crosses the resistance at 289.60 INR, the next target could be 312.70 INR, with a long-term target around 340.25 INR. Bearish Target: A breakdown below 265 INR could lead to further declines, with the next significant support level around 240 INR. Conclusion: The stock is currently trading near a critical support zone in a descending triangle pattern. Given the bullish divergence in the RSI, there's potential for a bounce. However, traders should wait for a breakout above the 289.60 INR level for bullish confirmation or a breakdown below 265 INR for bearish continuation. Risk/Reward Tip: Use stop-loss strategies close to support and resistance levels to manage risk effectively, as either scenario (breakout or breakdown) can lead to significant moves.
NSE:BELLong
by AngshumanSaikia
NZDUSD ready to go up after failing to make new lows?NZD/USD has experienced a decline of 5.12% since 27 September, establishing a bearish trend line on the 4-hour chart. However, on 10 October, the pair began to break out of this bearish trend line, signalling a potential pause in the prevailing bearish momentum. On 15 October, NZD/USD retraced, forming a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. Notably, the price was unable to breach the previous support level of 0.6050, suggesting stabilisation in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a value of 21.06 on 24 September. By 15 October, the RSI had risen to 34.10, demonstrating higher lows in the RSI while the price made lower lows — a condition that characterises classical bullish divergence. CPI Data and Its Impact From a macroeconomic perspective, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in lower than expected (0.6% actual versus 0.7% forecast), which tends to be negative for the NZD and that is what caused the downward movement on October 15th. However, since the price failed to break below the previous low, this shows that the selling force is currently showing signs of exhaustion. Key Elements to Consider: 1. Significant downward movement since 27 September, resulting in a depreciation of over 5% in NZD/USD. 2. RSI reading below 30 on 10 October, suggesting exhaustion of the selling momentum. 3. Breakout from the downtrend line on the 4-hour chart. 4. Formation of a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. 5. Classical bullish divergence is observed on the 4-hour chart. Potential for Ascendancy Given the above elements, if NZD/USD manages to surpass the 0.6090 level, it is likely that the currency pair will ascend towards the 0.6160 region within the coming days, where it may face temporary resistance. A Bullish Turn on the Horizon? In conclusion, while recent indicators and patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal for NZD/USD, traders should remain cautious of external factors that may influence market dynamics. As always, close monitoring of price action and macroeconomic developments will be key in navigating this trading opportunity. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
1
The GOLD bears are stuckThese circles (on the chart) show where bears are stuck. Such levels have a great inductive element to them. And how they're crossed, whether they hang around for a while or rebounce quickly, gives a good indication of what the market price will do next. Moreover, according to publicly data, the average retail positions level is approximately $2,580. In other words, the market appears to be trending upwards, with average bulls positions already in the positive field
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
Indecision Reigns: BTC Testing Crucial Resistance ZoneThe recent price action of COINBASE:BTCUSD shows a clear battle between buyers and sellers near a critical resistance level around 66,000. The price has struggled to break above this level, leading to a period of consolidation. However, the price has stayed within a tight range, reflecting indecision in the market. Although there has been some selling pressure, buyers have been able to hold the price above key levels, indicating that bullish sentiment is still present. The recent candle patterns provide insight into this indecision. We’ve seen a mix of candles with longer wicks, indicating attempts by both buyers and sellers to take control, but neither side has dominated. This type of back-and-forth movement often signals that the market is waiting for a stronger catalyst. Some candles show clear rejection from higher prices, suggesting that the 66,000 resistance level is being heavily defended by sellers. On the other hand, the recent green candles with stronger closes near their highs indicate that buyers are slowly gaining strength. COINBASE:BTCUSD next move will likely depend on whether it can break above the 66,000 resistance or lose momentum and fall back to support levels around 62,000 short term, or 58,000 for medium term. A strong bullish candle breaking above resistance could signal a rally toward 70,000, while a failure to break through may lead to further consolidation or a potential pullback.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by David_SpotTheTrend
CGPower : Strong Bullish Momentum: Key Support & Resistance Zone NSE:CGPOWER in Strong Bullish Momentum: Key Support & Resistance Zones NSE:CGPOWER continues to demonstrate solid upward momentum across multiple timeframes, with positive trends seen on the daily, weekly, and even shorter 75-minute charts. Here's an advanced look at key levels and insights: Key Indicators to Watch: Weekly 50 EMA: ₹605 – A strong long-term support level. The price remains well above this, indicating a sustained bullish trend. Daily 50 EMA: ₹736 – Medium-term support. A key level to watch for any pullbacks or corrections. Weekly 10 EMA: ₹745 – Immediate weekly support, offering a clear level for trend continuation. Daily 10 EMA: ₹792 – The near-term support on the daily chart; holding this level is crucial for continued upward momentum. 75-min Chart: 50 EMA: ₹786 – This EMA offers intraday support, crucial for short-term traders. 21 EMA: ₹816 – Further intraday support, maintaining strength at this level keeps the bullish sentiment intact. 10 EMA: ₹840 – Immediate short-term support in intraday action. Key Resistance Levels: 52-Week High : ₹874.70 – A breakout above this significant level could lead to a fresh rally with further upside potential. ₹846 – Short-term resistance that aligns with 75-min 10 EMA, a key test for continued bullish momentum. ₹875-₹900 – If the stock breaks its 52-week high, we may see this range as the next target zone. Support Levels to Watch: ₹756 – Short-term support level; a strong dip-buying opportunity if prices pull back to this region. ₹786 – A key support level on the 75-minute 50 EMA; holding this strengthens the upward move. ₹816 – The 75-minute 21 EMA provides a solid intraday support level. ₹846 – A critical near-term support zone that should hold for the continuation of bullish movement. Outlook: NSE:CGPOWER is showing a healthy bullish momentum, with consistent support levels across the daily and weekly charts. Holding above ₹756 and breaking past ₹874.70 could fuel further bullish activity. Watch for pullbacks near support levels for potential buying opportunities. As long as the price holds above its key EMAs, especially the daily and 75-min EMAs, the trend remains strongly positive. Conclusion: With CGPower's upward momentum intact and strong support from its EMAs, it remains in a bullish trajectory. Monitoring price action near ₹756, ₹786, ₹816, and ₹874 is essential for confirming continued strength. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CGPOWERLong
by Fight_Bulls_vs_Bear
SWING IDEA - OLECTRANSE:OLECTRA Greentech Ltd. has garnered significant interest recently, following the Government of India's announcement of an incentive scheme for electric vehicles (EVs). This development has positively impacted the stock's performance. Key Observations: 1. Resistance Turned Support: The ₹1640 level, previously a resistance point, has been successfully retested and converted into support (June retest). The stock has since maintained an upward trajectory. 2. MACD Crossover: A bullish MACD crossover is imminent on the weekly chart, indicating building momentum. 3. Swing High Target: A successful crossover could propel the stock towards its previous swing high levels in the coming weeks. Recommendation: If the MACD crossover materializes, it could signal a continuation of the upward trend. Investors should monitor the market conditions closely to ensure the trade setup aligns with the anticipated plan. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:OLECTRALong
by thepranam