OIL - DIVERGENCE at resistance level! As we see, the oil is very close to resistance level of 82,0 until 83,50. A divergence has formed which is a sign of weakness.
As soon as we see that the price bounces back from the resistance we can place a short order with SL the highs of the structure and TP 74,0.
We are looking at 1:5 RR which is very good risk to reward.
In case we brake the resistance level we look for a different scenario.
Your comments and support are more than welcome!
Supportandresitance
USDJPY TRADE IDEAHi all
I'm looking for a long opportunity in the USD/JPY to finish the wave 5.
Good Luck to all
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support
Support and Resistance- Flipping Roles⚡In simple terms, support is a level where demand overcomes supply, while resistance is a level where supply overcomes demand. In the market, different types of traders participate, and I have broadly categorized them into four groups based on their behavior.
⚡You may have heard that once a support level is broken, it tends to act as a resistance level, and vice versa. This phenomenon occurs because the roles of support and resistance flip, influenced by the psychology of traders at these levels.
⚡Let's illustrate this with an example. Consider Group A, a set of buyers who bought a stock at 80. The stock price rises to 100 but faces some resistance. At this point, Group B, consisting of short sellers, enters the market and starts selling the stock near 100, with their stop-loss orders placed just above 100. Thus, there is supply present at this level.
⚡The price consolidates within a narrow range and eventually breaks out above 100. Group A is delighted as they bought at a good price, but Group B becomes unhappy. Some members of Group B exit the trade as their stop-loss orders get triggered, while others continue to hold in hope of a favorable outcome.
⚡Now, another group of traders, Group C, known as breakout traders, becomes active above 100. Their buy orders, combined with the buy-stop orders from Group B, add momentum to the upward movement, pushing the price up to 110.
⚡As the buying pressure eases, and short-term traders take profits, the market starts to pull back, eventually reaching the old resistance area around 100.
⚡Many pullback traders look for buying opportunities near this level. Additionally, members of Group B, who shorted at 100, realize their mistake and start buying to close their short positions at breakeven. Some of them also reverse their positions. Other buyers who were waiting on the sidelines also start entering the market. All these buy orders create a strong demand.
⚡Notice that once there was significant supply at 100 and now there is significant demand. If this demand is substantial enough, the price resumes its upward movement, illustrating how changes in market sentiment impact a participant's psychology and consequently affect the nature of support and resistance levels.
⚡The reverse is true for how a support level, once broken down, turns into a resistance level.
⚡I hope you found this tutorial helpful. Please stay tuned for more educational content in the future. Feel free to show your support by liking this post.
Disclaimer: Practical knowledge
USD/BRLFOREXCOM:USDBRL price is at a major resistance zone and seems to be forming a double top on the daily time frame. Price should start heading down. Worst case it breaks the daily zone and hits the Monthly descending trendline (red). Price is currently overbought on the RSI and Bollinger Bands so there is a high probability it will go down.
USDCHF FORECASTThe price may increase from here as we can see the market trying pull back from lower support and from few days there is bearish market here we can expect that market may change the movement and try for a bullish market. right now we can expect that market may reach till 1st resistance and if price breaks the resistance then we can expect that price may reach to 2nd resistance.
GBPUSD Buy SetupOANDA:GBPUSD
Hello traders,
This is my Gbpusd trade idea. Just as i predicted last week that GU will likely buy this week in lower time frames, now it seems GU is ready to start this week bullish run, hence this setup.
Reasons Behind The Setup:
Daily structure is bullish
Price retrace to discount price levels on daily
Retest old high on daily.
Price retest 4Hour discount price Order block.
Price created a shift in market structure on 1hour time frame.
What do you see on your chart?
Kindly share your thoughts in the comment section, will be reading them.
If you love my idea, give me a like and follow me for more future updates like this.
AUDCHF FORECASTSELL SCENARIO
Market is moving in a downward direction along with the trend line and price already breaked the support and that support become a resistance and here are chances that market may move in a downward direction following the trendline. if the price moves downward and break the lower support then we can expect a free fall.
EPL- Darvas Box Pattern - 24% ROIAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered. Please do your own analyses before taking position. This post is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
MKR 1D Review Long-TermI invite you to review the chart of MKR in pair to USDT. Here the price stays above the uptrend line
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that we first have a support zone from $ 1067 to $ 1008, then we can mark the second support zone from $ 950 to $ 867, but when the zone does not hold the price, we can see a drop to the area of strong support at $ 763.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price has rebounded from the beginning of the $1265 to $1349 resistance zone, then it needs to break through the second very strong zone from $1442 to $1569 and then it can move towards the resistance at $1729.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 10 and 30, we see that the MKR is moving in a local uptrend.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the RSI is moving in the upper part of the range, which may result in a larger price correction, and the STOCH indicator shows that there is a lot of energy, which, combined with the RSI, may result in a price correction.
ETH/USDT 1DInterval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the uptrend line above which the ETH price is staying.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we can first mark the support zone from $1784 to $1670, then we have support at $1559, and then another very strong support at $1399.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we will similarly mark the resistance zone from $ 2034 to $ 2160, the price of which has no strength to break through, but when it does, it must overcome a very strong resistance at the price of $ 2291.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. On the RSI we see a rebound and a place for the price to go lower, while on the STOCH indicator we see that the energy has been consumed, although we can still see the price fall.
BTC/USDT 1DInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line over which BTC is moving.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from $ 29,484 to $ 28,738, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $ 28,993 and even $ 26,941.
Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $31,641 to $32,479. Once we manage to break through this zone we will move towards resistance at $33331 and then $34503.
It is worth turning on the EMA Cross 200, as we can see, the BTC price is still in a long-term uptrend.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that there is still some energy left for the continuation of the downward movement, on the RSI we have a visible rebound, but with room for the price to go down, while the STOCH index indicates that most of the energy has been used
BITCOIN Short Supply And Demand Break-Out BTCUSDSee the Picture for analysis:
Higher timeframe:
-Trend = uptrend
-Price inside the weekly supply
-Price reacting off of resistance
-Shorts valid with confirmation on a lower timeframe
Lower timeframe:
-Originally there was a nice confirmation a couple of weeks ago but
not price has taken the first step up of being in control by breaking
the lows/range and showing HTF supply/resistance to holding.
-Valdi area for shorts on 1TF setup (right chart)
TOMMY XAU | BASIC MARKET STRUCTURE Good afternoon gold gang!
Thought id jump on here to talk to you about basic market structure, as its the basis for any strategy and super important to learn.
We can identify that the market moves 3 ways ..
up trend
down trend
sideways (consolidation)
I prefer to trade when the market is trending in either direction. I determine this by looking at the monthly and weekly candles.
In a trending market, i am looking to identify areas that the market can reverse from. If we are making a higher high for example .. I can identify that price is likely to pull back down to the key level it started its ascent from. From there i can wait for confirmations on the lower time frame to take a trade in the direction of the trend.
obviously this doesnt work everytime .. news etc .. but its always good to have it in the back of your mind the phase of the market you are currently in.
you will find with my strategy .. that price will make new structure points around my key levels ( the ones i place on my chart)
Hope this helps some of you out .. back to basics is sometimes the way to go if you are getting overwhelmed with information
Have a great sunday and see you tonight for the outlook
tommy