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Supportandresitance

Technical Analysis on the EUR/USD and what to look forward toFX:EURUSD We take a look at what the EUR/USD may do going forward and how the current short positions unfolded. We have made a nice and steady decline into the main Pivotal zone and the question now is, do we stay short or watch for buyers to come back into the market and swing momentum back to the upside. In this Video, I describe the thought process and outlook on what price action may be showing us next. Hope you enjoy the video and analysis.
by InternalTraderNYC
2
BTCUSDT - Pennant and Possible Flag4hr chart. UTC+1 Using Fractiles to get lows and highs. Fib fan drawn from low Wed 18 Jan 17:00 to high Thurs 16 Jan 17:00. Levels seem to have confluence with price action. Support lines building up to initial Pennant. - Draw a trend line from low Sat 11 Feb 17:00 to low 17 Feb 01:00 and change setting to Extend the right line. - Draw a trend line from high Thurs 16 Feb 17:00 to high Fri 17 Feb 21:00 and change setting to Extend the right line. The intersecting point create a Pennant formation which can be seen highlighted. 24,400 seems like a hidden daily which interests me as it has not been tested much. It seems the initial breakout was a fakeout. I Interesting to see if the price can breakout again. Yellow line above for reference is vWap. In case you are wondering about the yellow line. Note: * When in an uptrend, above 0.382 Fib is bullish.
by hmaroudas
BTCUSDT - Trading Range (Possible New)2Hour Chart - UTC+1 My best effort attempting to draw a trading range that if the price breaks what I think is the top of the previous range, will form a new range. Trading range: Bottom 24,300 Top 28,400 and Middle 25,700. At the time of writing, possible retest of the top of previous range. Having hit the weekly at 24,295 could possibly be a signal that we continue this new range, keeping in mind the daily resistance levels above. Fibs: A continuation from last range. Fib Channel from low on Saturday 14 Jan at 11:00, to low Mon 13 Feb at 17:00, to high Thurs 2 Feb at 01:00. I have drawn 2 Fib retracement levels, and using them for Fib Expansion levels to determine possible support and resistance levels for price action above. I am doing this because between the range, either price went up very quickly or, went down very quickly. This has not left much for support and resistance as far as monthly, weekly, and daily horizontals are concerned. Interesting that both Fibs extend to top at Fib expansion 2 same price range and top. * For both Fib retracement levels I'm using the expansion levels at 1.133, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, and 2 as support/resistance levels. Indicators as new price discovery levels where there are no timely support/resistance levels. Particularly of interest where there are intersections with timely support levels, such as 1.133 and daily at 24,631. - Fib retracemet (Extended line to the right) from high Thurs 2 Feb at 01:00 to low Monday 13 Feb at 17:00. 1.133 already proven to be a fair enough resistance and possible support. 1.272 seemingly a resistance level. - Fib retracemet from high Thurs 16 Feb at 17:00 to low Friday 17 Feb at 01:00. 0.382 (inverse 0.618) had a good reaction to the upside. 0.618 (inverse 0.382) noticeable resistance. 0.618 a nice alignment with other fib level 1.133, may be an indicator of flipping resistance into support, and good setup for the daily at 24,631 (just an idea). It's worth noting that Fib 1.618 in the previous run up and in the previous range, was the middle of the range for that range. I have chosen to be conservative and rather let time play out before calling it a middle in this possible new range. If this were the case, it would change the top of the range to what I think at approximately 28,600. Assumptions: All monthly, weekly, daily, and nPoc Horizontal rays act as support and resistance levels (* dashed lines are ends of wicks on the retrospective level). Support when price is above and resistance on price action below. Fib channel also used for indication of past and present possible support/resistance levels.
by hmaroudas
GBPJPY 4 Hr Analysis: Mid-Week UpdateHey guys :) So, after seeing some bullish movement this week, we are now waiting for price to retrace a bit deeper to that fib below and then show us what it wants to do from there. As per my analysis, I would like to see price retrace anywhere between 159.500 and 158.500 within the fib drawn above. It may not even retrace much further at all and just continue bullish from there. But I would like to see it pull back further into the fib if I am going to consider taking a trade. There are obviously many pathway options that price may take but these are just the main 2 that I would personally like to see at the moment. If price does not give me either of these I will Of course readjust and plan accordingly. :) Option 1: If price pushes higher into the fib and removes liquidity from the previous highs, then it is likely that price is just enticing and accumulating buyers before it drops and continues bearish. I would like to price push higher to about 162.500 or 163.500 before reversing as that will also satisfy and fill the imbalance to our left - But Of course it doesn't have to. Buyers will see it break the previous highs and think that price has broken Market Structure and is continuing bullish causing them to place buys left, right and center. Little do they know; price is only retracing further into the Higher Timeframe Bearish Fib, removing liquidity, and in fact, NOT breaking Market Structure. Basically, just performing the good old 'strike and reverse'. Option 2: Price will just retrace around the same area (162.500 or 163.500) instead of reversing and continue bullish for the time being. Again, these are not verbatim. As price changes and moves as it wants, I will react accordingly and make the corrections needed for my analysis and projections. :) Remember, it is not about being right or wrong. I know I always say this - but there is absolutely nothing wrong with being inaccurate in your analysis. The problem lies with those who can't ACCEPT being wrong and they try to hold on to their analysis regardless knowing that price is going against them. People think it's embarrassing to be 'wrong'. What's embarrassing is watching your stop loss being hit all in the name of your family, friends and Neighbours thinking you are right. Ego will get you absolutely nowhere in these markets and you WILL be humbled and fast! I can guarantee that there is nobody out there who is 100% right 100% of the time - And if there is, it's from YEARS of wins, losses, trials and error. Adaptation is the key to survival if you want success in this job.
by Pmilanoxx_
Pivotal week (or 2) ahead for the S&P The S&P500 / ES is sitting right at a critical point which I believe will break this week or next The weekly chart shows that the S&P is now above most key moving averages, including the 200 moving average (displayed in black), the 20 moving average (displayed in white) and the 50 moving average (displayed in yellow). Also it has broken above the upper resistance trend line (displayed in red), these are all obviously very bullish but a few major headwinds remain that may upset this upwards momentum. Price last week touched the 100 moving average (displayed in blue) but then rejected back down to end up finishing right at the Fib Extension 0.236 level. Ironically the 100 moving average has been a menacing level that has been difficult for the S&P to break through, 7 weeks ago and 21 weeks ago exactly the same touch and rejection of the 100ma occurred. Further to this we are about to enter one of the most bearish seasonal periods of the year for the S&P, I've included a seasonality indicator in my chart which shows 3 year, 6 year and 9 year tendencies and they all have exactly the same downwards pattern starting in February. The indicator below the Seasonality scan is RVI (relative volatility index), this is good for measuring both the volatility along with direction. Inline with what the market has been doing the past few years the RVI had been generally trending up and created a support line that was largely unbroken from end 2018 - Jan 2022, and since been broken the RVI is now showing a downwards trend and instead of a support line there is a resistance level over head that price is close to approaching. The last indicator on the chart includes Larry Williams Vix_Fix which had turned red recently (2 bars/weeks), signalling we are in historically low volatility period in the VIX, most traders know that large moves often follow periods of very low and/or contracting volatility. This last indicator also includes a display for the bond yield curve and this is currently shown in the maroon/deep red which confirms a fairly long period inverted curve which is also known as a precursor sign of recession and market sell off. The recent closed weekly candle was an indecision candle so this week that is coming or perhaps the one that follows should tell a lot about where the market will be heading over the course of the next few months A bullish bias would mean Price this coming week will disregard the seasonal bearish tendency and instead break above both the 100ma and the 0.236 Fib and close the week above these levels. A bearish bias would mean Price has closed back below the resistance level on the chart (both price resistance & RVI resistance) and price has tracked the normal declining seasonal pattern that plays out around this time of the year. I see more chart evidence of a coming decline than an incline but in any case we still need to wait for direction confirmation which should look like one of the above scenarios. So it is time to pay very close attention to the charts and In the week that follows the market direction confirmation signal I suspect we will see some large and fast moves of either sideline money coming into the market to cause one last blow off top before some kind of recession sell off later in the year or heavy selling as these key levels get rejected and the seasonal sell of takes hold.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by gary_trades
EURJPY - Exciting SELL opportunity with big potential! 🔻As shown on the charts by multi-timeframe analysis, from weekly down to daily and hourly, we can establish a clear bearish bias for EURJPY. Noteworthy observations: - the liquidity pool on weekly timeframe is very obvious and price will eventually go for it, so I keep that in mind. - untested hammer head on daily timeframe is also very obvious and it usually acts as a magnet for price. Depending on how aggressive you want to be with this trade if it works out, entry could be a price action confirmation signal near the buy zone or a sell limit order. I will closely observe the price action near the first target and make a decision whether to close my trade there or adjust my stop loss to the second target. If I have a strong bias that price is ready to make a run on the liquidity pool, I may re-enter the trade after exiting.
Short
by TradingEdgeHQ
🥇Eyes on GOLD, waiting for a pullback to go long.🟢If we see a pullback with good developing price action in GOLD, that's when we make our move. We evaluate if the risk to reward ratio is good enough to justify entering a long trade and set our target accordingly. Entry could be a price action confirmation signal near the zone or a limit order, again depending on how price action develops. We don't just jump in blindly, we also think hard about where to place our stop loss. But if the pullback doesn't happen, I'm not one to chase the market. I stay disciplined and wait for the next high-probability opportunity. No FOMO, no trade. Pass and keep grinding.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by TradingEdgeHQ
1