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Supportandresitance

Market Direction - Trend StrengthThe strength of a trend can be a key factor in predicting future price movements. This post will specifically cover how to identify trends, how to determine trend strength, and how to use it to your advantage when trading the markets. Characteristics of a Trending Market To begin, let us understand how to identify a trending market. A trending market is a market that is either making higher highs followed by higher lows (UPTREND) or lower lows followed by lower highs (DOWNTREND). What does this typically look like? Let's see: Uptrend Downtrend Now that we understand how to identify uptrends and downtrends, let's delve further and discuss how to use trend strength to your advantage when trading the markets. Fibonacci Retracement Tool The Fibonacci retracement tool is used in trending markets to determine how strong the trend is. It uses natural numbers to determine the high-probability price levels that the market will hit and continue in its initial direction. This method will use four Fibonacci levels: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. One thing to mention is that in a trending market, the chart is made up of two waves: impulsive and retracement. After an impulsive wave, a retracement wave will usually form; after a retracement wave, the impulsive wave will usually form. The impulsive wave represents the strong momentum of buyers and sellers. The retracement wave shows the weakness of buyers and sellers. Therefore, we must look at the retracement wave when it comes to deciding the strength of a trend. For example, in an uptrend, the impulsive wave will be bullish; therefore, the retracement wave will be bearish. In a downtrend, the impulsive wave will be bearish; therefore, the retracement wave will be bullish. The retracement wave shows the strength of the opposite side of the market. For example, if the impulsive wave is bullish, buyers are stronger. Then, in the retracement wave, sellers will try to dominate the buyers. Therefore, the deeper the retracement goes, the stronger sellers will be than buyers, and the weaker the bullish trend strength will be. With the Fibonacci retracement tool, there are three scenarios to determine trend strength: Strong Trend Strength: 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Moderate Trend Strength: 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Weak Trend Strength: 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement The above examples show why the Fibonacci retracement tool can be extremely effective in determining not only how strong a trend is, but also how likely it is to continue past the beginning of the impulsive wave. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands are very effective in reading trend strength. Bollinger Bands are based on price volatility, which means that they expand when the market is trending and there are big prices, and they contract during sideways consolidations when the market ranges. Bollinger Bands consist of two outer bands (top and bottom bands) on each side and a moving average in the centre between the outer bands (middle band). One of the main reasons Bollinger Bands are so effective in reading trend strength is that they do not lag as much as other indicators because they always change automatically with the price. Three important points to note when using Bollinger Bands to read trend strength: If price pulls away from the outer band and heads towards the middle band as the trend continues, this is a key indication that the trend strength may be weakening. During strong trends, prices stay close to the outer band and significantly away from the middle band. Repeated pushes into the outer bands that do not actually reach the band indicate a lack of trend strength. Let's see a chart example of Bollinger Bands reading trend strength: As you can see, using Bollinger Bands can provide traders with very useful information about trend strength and the balance between bulls and bears. Price Rejection We do not always need indicators or tools to read trend strength; it is possible to do this just by looking at a naked chart. The way rejected continuations or reversals happen on charts can be a huge indicator of being able to read trend strength. Before understanding the price rejection, it is important to know about the wick or shadow of the candlestick. Upper wick The upper shadow shows that the price went up and then came down again. This indicates that buyers wanted to increase the price, but sellers dominated the buyers to push the price back down. Lower wick The lower shadow represents that the price went down and then came back up. This indicates that sellers wanted to lower the price, but buyers dominated the sellers to push the price back up. Identifying price rejection Traders should first wait for the price to reach a strong support or resistance level. Then, at the support or resistance level, candlesticks will likely make wicks opposite the trend due to the strength of the level. For example, wicks or shadows will form on the upper side at the resistance zone, while at the support zone, wicks or shadows will form on the lower side of the candlesticks. These wicks or shadows are identified as price rejections in the market. Price rejections are very important, especially in identifying trend strength, because they accept or reject the identification of key levels in the market. For example, if you are unsure whether a support zone will hold or break, you can see whether price rejection will occur at that level. Let's see a chart example of price rejection and how you can use it to identify trend strength: The chart above is proof alone that trend strength can be identified by just looking at the price action of a chart. Understanding the strength of a trend does not have to be complex. Trend strength can be identified simply by using the three different techniques we have covered in this educational post. The best thing we can all do as traders is to be simplistic and not overcomplicate things; this becomes especially easier when you accept that nothing in the market is certain. Each market has its own unique market conditions and will not trade rationally all of the time. Therefore, when a trade does not go your way even though your trend strength signals were high and you followed the market, understand that it is just one trade and that the market is completely neutral. It is neither personally on your side nor personally against you. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
37
ETC/UST 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC chart on the one-day interval. As we can see, the price did not manage to stay on the downtrend line and was quickly reversed. After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price is holding just below the support at $19.19, the next support is at $16.69, then the third support at $14.84, and when we go lower we have a fourth very strong support at priced at $12.57. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first significant resistance is at $21.67 with the downtrend line, then resistance at $24.15 and then the price will move to resistance at $27.26. At this point, it is worth including the EMA Cross 200, which indicates that the ETC attempted to return to a strong uptrend, but it was a false break and a quick return. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicates the continuation of the downward trend, while the RSI has approached the middle of the range, so the move will be based on BTC price jumps.
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin Hits Prior Peak Resistance Level at 31040As you may already be aware, Bitcoin has hit a significant resistance level at 31040, which is the prior peak resistance level. While this development may seem encouraging initially, I would like to adopt a cautious tone and remind you to exercise vigilance in your trading decisions. It is crucial to consider the potential scenarios that may unfold shortly. Given the current market conditions, it is worth mentioning that there is a possibility of a lower Bitcoin price drop to the previous peak support level at 27000. This level has historically acted as a strong support zone, and it would be prudent to watch any potential price movements in that direction. As a responsible Bitcoin trader, evaluating the risk-reward ratio before making any trading decisions is essential. While the recent surge in Bitcoin's price is promising, it is equally important to acknowledge the possibility of a downward correction. In light of this cautionary update, I encourage you to stay informed and closely monitor the market trends. Utilize the available tools and resources to analyze the market sentiment and make informed decisions based on your risk appetite and trading strategy. Remember, timing is crucial in the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading. Keeping a close eye on the potential lower Bitcoin price drop to the previous peak support level at 27000 can provide valuable insights and opportunities.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
Matic/Usdt 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review SOL in pair to USDT, on a one-day interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel where the price is moving in the upper range. Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. And here, the first support is at $22.38, the second support is at $19.68, the third support is at $17.44, and then we have a strong support zone from $15.20 to $12. Looking the other way, we see that the price has reached an important resistance zone from $ 27.14 to $ 32.34, which so far has no strength to break. However, if it manages to exit the descending channel upwards and break through the resistance zone, the next resistance will appear at the price of $38.89. Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, MACD indicates that we are in a downtrend, while the RSI has a rebound and we are moving at the downtrend line, which may indicate a larger correction.
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by cryptodailyuk
SOL/USDT Review Long-TermHello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart, taking into account the one-day interval. As we can see, the price has moved up from the sideways trend channel, and is currently testing the maintenance of increases, at this point it is also worth using the yellow line to mark the local uptrend line along which the price moves. In order to determine the current support spots when SOL starts a correction, we will use the Fib Retracement tool and we can see that the first significant support is at $22.91, then we have a second support at $20.04, then a strong support zone from $17.31 to $13.24 Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. However, here it is worth noting that the price is struggling to stay above the resistance at $ 26.99, which is located at the golden point fib. then we have a strong resistance at $32.24 where the price turned around and a third resistance is at $38.71. We will now mark the place where the price moved decisively above the EMA Cross 200, which gave a strong confirmation of the transition to an uptrend. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates that the uptrend is maintained, while the RSI crossed the upper limit of the range, which gave the price a pullback, but we should still see a rebound after such a large increase.
by cryptodailyuk
RIOT - uptrend underway (painstakingly but surely)RIOT formed an Adam and Eve base formation and began to break out of its first neckline @7.80 on 17 March. We then saw a classic "breakup and retest (of neckline) several days later before it began to propel on strong volume to break decisively above its 2nd neckline @10.50. Alas, just when we thought it was on its way to the moon after hitting high of 14.43 on 18 April (almost doubling from its first neckline@ 7.80), it then went into a messy and violent wedge consolidation for the next 2.5 months ("death by a thousand cuts"! LOL). Finally on 3rd July, it broke out of this wedge decisively and today (3 days later) we have another clear break above its last significant high @ 14.43. The stock is clearly in a rising trend now (and likely more small cap stocks will follow suit in the coming months). Stops raised to just under 12.60 now. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by Juliac
⭐️ Support And Resistance | Definition & Strategies ⭐️Support and resistance levels are fundamental aspects of trading, holding significant importance in various financial markets, including the dynamic forex market. These critical levels signify specific price zones on a chart where buyers and sellers actively participate, exerting influence on market movements. Consequently, comprehending the impact of support and resistance levels is crucial for traders seeking to make well-informed decisions and capitalize on trading opportunities. This comprehensive article aims to explore the significance of support and resistance levels, delve into methods of correctly identifying and drawing them, outline effective trading strategies, and present techniques for filtering out false signals. Armed with a comprehensive understanding of these concepts, traders can elevate their trading proficiency, potentially leading to improved profitability and success in the forex market. Support and resistance levels act as psychological barriers, reflecting the collective behavior of market participants. Support represents a price level where buying pressure tends to overcome selling pressure, causing prices to reverse direction and rise. On the other hand, resistance signifies a price level where selling pressure typically surpasses buying pressure, leading to price reversals and declines. These levels are formed based on previous market reactions, such as historical highs and lows, trendlines, and chart patterns. Traders consider support and resistance levels as critical reference points, as they help identify potential entry and exit points, define risk and reward ratios, and anticipate market reversals or continuations. To accurately identify and draw support and resistance levels, traders employ various techniques and tools. One popular method is the swing high and swing low approach. Traders identify significant peaks (swing highs) and troughs (swing lows) on a price chart and draw horizontal lines connecting them. These lines act as reference levels, indicating potential areas of support and resistance. Additionally, trendlines can be utilized to identify dynamic support and resistance levels, providing insights into the overall market trend. Once support and resistance levels are identified, traders can implement effective trading strategies to capitalize on these market dynamics. One common approach is to buy at support and sell at resistance. When prices approach a support level, traders anticipate a price bounce and look for buying opportunities. Conversely, when prices approach a resistance level, traders expect a potential price reversal and consider selling or shorting the asset. This strategy allows traders to enter trades with favorable risk-reward ratios, aiming to capture price movements away from support or resistance levels. What is it exactly a Support and Resistance ? Support and resistance levels represent crucial price clusters where buyers and sellers engage in competition. A support level denotes a specific price point where the demand for an asset becomes sufficiently strong to halt further declines in its value. As the price approaches the support level, it is reasonable to expect an increase in buyer activity and a decrease in seller activity, resulting in higher buying volume and reduced selling volume. When the price reaches the support line, there is a high likelihood of a rebound occurring, as this line establishes a significant psychological low within the market. Support levels essentially "support" the price, preventing it from continuing its downward trajectory. It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not fixed points. Prices may approach these levels with slight deviations, either falling just short of reaching them or temporarily dipping slightly below the line. If the price successfully breaks through the support line and proceeds to decline, it undergoes a transformation and assumes the role of a resistance level. Use of the Resistances on Bearish trend. Use of The Supports on Bullish trend. Use of Support and Resistance on Sideways / Range market. Resistance levels are the opposite of support. These marks appear when supply becomes equal to demand. The logic here is that as the resistance level is approached, the volume of buyers decreases, while the volume of sellers gradually increases. At the point where the balance is reached, the price will stop, and further growth will stop. The resistance level is always above the price. The name also speaks for itself. This mark is as if restraining the price from further growth by resisting it. How To Trade On Support And Resistance Levels: Trading based on support and resistance levels is a popular approach within the forex trading community. These levels represent specific areas on a price chart where the market tends to reverse or consolidate, presenting potential opportunities for buying or selling. To effectively trade support and resistance levels, follow these steps: - Identify significant support and resistance levels: Analyze historical price data to locate areas where the price has previously reversed or encountered difficulty in breaking through. This can be done by observing swing highs and swing lows, trendlines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or horizontal price levels. - Mark the identified levels on your chart: Once you have identified key support and resistance levels, mark them on your chart. This visual representation helps you recognize the areas where potential trading opportunities may arise. - Monitor price reactions: Keep a close eye on the price as it approaches the support or resistance levels. Look for indications of a potential reversal or a breakout from the level. These indications can include candlestick patterns, chart patterns, or the signals from indicators that suggest a shift in market momentum. - Confirm with additional indicators: While support and resistance levels can be traded on their own, it can be beneficial to use supplementary indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. For instance, you can employ oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to assess overbought or oversold conditions. - Define your entry and exit points: Once you have identified a potential trading opportunity based on support and resistance levels, establish your entry point, determine a suitable Stop Loss level (to limit potential losses), and set a take-profit level (to secure profits). Technical analysis, such as considering the distance between the entry point and the nearest support or resistance level, can help determine these levels. Manage your risk: Proper risk management is crucial when trading support and resistance levels. Consider implementing appropriate position sizing, setting Stop Loss orders to protect against excessive losses, and maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This approach ensures that even if some trades are unsuccessful, your overall trading strategy remains profitable. Practice and refine your strategy: Mastery of support and resistance trading comes with practice and experience. Begin by testing your approach on a demo account or using backtesting software to evaluate its performance based on historical data. Refine your strategy based on your observations and gradually build your confidence. Support And Resistance Trading Strategies Support and resistance trading strategies offer various approaches to capitalize on price dynamics around these key levels. Here are several common strategies employed by traders: Breakout Strategy: This strategy involves trading the breakout of support and resistance levels. When the price surpasses a resistance level or falls below a support level, it indicates a potential continuation of the prevailing trend. Traders can initiate a long position after a resistance breakout or a short position following a support breakdown. Setting a Stop Loss order below the breakout level helps manage risk. Bounce Strategy: With the bounce strategy, traders anticipate price bounces off support and resistance levels. When the price approaches a support level, traders can enter long positions, placing a Stop Loss order below the support level. Conversely, when the price nears a resistance level, traders can go short, setting a Stop Loss order above the resistance level. The expectation is that the price will reverse from these levels, presenting profitable trading opportunities. Range Trading: Range trading occurs when the price fluctuates between a support and resistance level. Traders can exploit this by buying near the support level and selling near the resistance level. To enhance range trading, traders identify the range boundaries and employ technical indicators such as oscillators to assess overbought and oversold conditions within the range. Pullback Strategy: In this strategy, traders wait for the price to retrace to a support or resistance level after a breakout. The idea is to enter trades in the direction of the breakout once the pullback is complete. For instance, if the price breaks above a resistance level, traders wait for a pullback to the support-turned-resistance level before initiating a long position. Confluence Strategy: This strategy combines support and resistance levels with other technical indicators or chart patterns to increase trading probabilities. Traders search for instances where multiple factors align, such as a support level coinciding with a trendline or a Fibonacci retracement level. This convergence of factors strengthens the signal for potential trading opportunities. How To Filter False Signals ? Filtering out false signals when trading support and resistance levels can indeed be challenging. However, there are several strategies you can employ to increase your accuracy and minimize the impact of false signals. Here are some helpful tips: - Confirm with multiple indicators: Relying on a single indicator can lead to false readings. To enhance the reliability of your analysis, consider using multiple indicators that complement each other. Look for indicators that align with your support and resistance levels, such as trendlines, moving averages, or oscillators. When multiple indicators converge and provide consistent signals, it strengthens the confirmation for potential trading opportunities. - Analyze price action: Study how the price behaves around support and resistance levels. Look for clear and decisive price movements, such as strong breakouts or bounces, accompanied by significant volume. False signals often exhibit choppy or erratic price action, lacking conviction. By analyzing price action, you can gain insights into the strength or weakness of support and resistance levels. - Consider multiple time frames: Analyze support and resistance levels across different time frames. Levels that hold on higher time frames carry more significance. Focus on levels that align and hold on multiple time frames, as they are more likely to attract market participants and generate reliable signals. The confluence of levels across different time frames increases the validity of the signals. - Monitor the market context: Consider the broader market context, including the overall trend, market sentiment, and significant news or events. Support or resistance levels that align with the prevailing trend and market sentiment are more likely to generate valid signals. Conversely, levels that conflict with the trend or market sentiment may produce false signals or indicate potential reversal points. Understanding the market context can help you filter out false signals. - Be patient and selective: Avoid jumping into trades based on every touch of a support or resistance level. Exercise patience and wait for strong confirmation signals before entering a trade. Look for price rejections, candlestick patterns, or breaks with high volume and momentum. Being patient and selective in your trades increases the probability of accurate signals and minimizes the impact of false signals on your trading. - Implement proper risk management: Effective risk management is crucial to mitigating the impact of false signals. Set appropriate Stop Loss orders to limit potential losses if a trade goes against you. Consider using Trailing Stops to protect profits as the trade moves in your favor. By managing your risk properly, you can protect your trading capital and minimize the adverse effects of false signals on your overall trading performance. By incorporating these strategies into your trading approach, you can enhance your ability to filter out false signals and increase your accuracy when trading support and resistance levels. Remember to practice, adapt to changing market conditions, and continuously refine your trading strategy. Conclusion : Support and resistance levels are crucial elements in the forex market, exerting a significant influence on price movements and market dynamics. These levels represent areas where supply and demand imbalances occur, leading to trend reversals, consolidations, breakouts, and impacting market psychology. Correctly identifying and drawing support and resistance levels is vital for traders as it helps them identify potential buying and selling opportunities. Traders can utilize various trading strategies to capitalize on these levels. Breakout strategies involve trading the breakouts of support or resistance levels, while bounce strategies focus on trading price bounces off these levels. Range trading strategies take advantage of price oscillations within established support and resistance boundaries, while pullback strategies involve trading in the direction of the breakout after a price retracement. However, it's essential to filter out false signals to avoid erroneous trading decisions. This can be achieved by using multiple indicators that complement each other and provide confirmation signals. Analyzing price action helps in understanding the strength or weakness of support and resistance levels. Considering different time frames allows traders to identify levels that hold significance across various intervals. Assessing the broader market context, including the overall trend and market sentiment, helps to avoid false signals that conflict with the prevailing market conditions. Additionally, exercising patience and selectivity when entering trades ensures that traders wait for strong confirmation signals before taking action. Implementing proper risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate Stop Loss orders and employing position sizing strategies, protects traders from excessive losses and manages risk effectively. By incorporating these principles into their trading approach, traders can navigate the complexities of support and resistance levels and increase their chances of success in the forex market.
Education
by FOREXN1
18
AMD Target $132 - Pump expected soon🐂 Trade Idea: Long - AMD 🔥 Account Risk: 1.00% - 5.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option (for 1.00% position) or Stock (for 5.00% position) 🔍 Entry: +/- 108.00 🐿 DCA: Yes, down to 102.89 😫 Stop-Loss: 93.05 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 132.82 🎯 Take Profit #2: 150.00 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes (trail after TP #1) 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — AMD hit a larger weekly resistance zone around 132.00 and retraced from there building a double top and a break through the former local low at around 116.00. We might see a move up to that yellow resistance at 116.00 before we finally go south into the support zone. Unless that former high at 102.89 isn’t broken together with that trend line we remain bullish and expect a continuation of that uptrend. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Bitcoin Upside Potential to $40,000With the test of the support at 24,500, Bitcoin has successfully tested the last big untested level. Since the levels below have all already been tested successfully, an upward move was the more likely outcome. At present, there are many technical indications of further upside potential. Bitcoin is currently consolidating bullish at the 2023 high and a very strong weekly resistance at around 30,800 to 32,000. The consolidation is supported by the gain of the 30,000 level. As long as the range (green small box) holds, we can expect a test of 31,800 as well as a potential bullish break out of it. Should the price close significantly below 29,800, the level around 25,000 would become interesting again. In any case, one should wait with a trade until either the level around 31,800 is gained with a bullish move or the level around 29,800 is given up in a bearish move. The corresponding targets would then be 40,000 and 25,000. — 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
ETH/USDT Long-Term Review 1DIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. Using the yellow line, we will mark the uptrend line, which, as we can see, holds the price nicely in corrections. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here in the first place it is worth marking the support zone from $ 1845 to $ 1662, however, when the price drops below, we can see a return to a very strong support zone from $ 1363 to $ 1150. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $2237, before which the price once again turned back, the next resistance is at the price of $2552, and then the third resistance at the price of $3007. When we turn on the EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see the place of transition into a strong uptrend and how far the price stays in this trend. The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy to use. The MACD indicator is in an uptrend. On the other hand, we have a rebound on the RSI, however, looking at the fact that we are in the upper part of the range, the price may go down to a lower level.
by cryptodailyuk
The Best Odds within a Consolidated MarketEvery pattern of the market has precise areas where the probabilities can play in the most favorable way for you, if you trust the pattern (until it expires). Of course, we trust patterns... that's what we do: we drink and trust patterns . This example on the XRPUSDT pair is a good example of this. As a day trader (or a FTT trader), your hope here would be to catch a meaningful impulse, a long movement of the price that could give you profits. If you want that, where would you place your entry? The basic knowledge tells about "zones", but all zones are not equally safe and important in every pattern. For example, we know that the average zone in a consolidated market (the midrange between its resistance and support) is important... but is it safe? Let's think about it: By definition, an established market that goes sideways is bouncing between its resistance and support zones. It also tends to bounce against the midrange, of course (or, at least, it tends to struggle in that place); but normally you would expect the price to break the middle of the channel in order to reach its margins. Why? Because that's the very nature of the pattern! Duh! If the price surpass the midrange, the pattern stays vigorous, healthy and reliable. But what happens if the price exceeds markedly the channel's resistance or support? That would be an apparent or definitive breakout of such pattern... its closure: There's no trustable pattern anymore and you must be careful because your previous analysis now belongs to the past. This reflection is meant to warn you about one of the common mistakes we commit –perhaps because of the nature (a fault?) of our system or because of our unwise decisions–: Not waiting for the price to come up to the best spot for our entry. Not being selective enough when deciding the best settings of the market. In my series about trading psychology I expect to delve more into this attitude of not caring too much about our best chances, which is a way of not protecting our capital –although there is also a problem in caring too much , to the point of inertia–. But, for now, let's just reflect about the significant disadvantage of placing our bets into forecasts that objectively lack the best odds within a known pattern! Surely those are not the most educated bets we are capable of... and a profitable trader is person who makes educated bets.
Education
by adleriantrader
2
BluetonaFX - AUDUSD Range Zone OpportunityHi Traders! There is an established new range zone on the AUDUSD 1H chart. After a bullish momentum push up, the previous range zone resistance was broken and then re-tested as support. We now have a consolidation period before there is either a continuation of the bullish momentum or a reversal back to the previous range zone if the bullish momentum is over. The new range zone is around 38 pips; support is at 0.66371 and resistance is at 0.66752, so there are good risk-reward opportunities to trade the range zone until there is a break to either side. Please remember to like, comment, and follow us, as your support greatly helps us. Thank you for your support. BluetonaFX 
by BluetonaFX
2
BluetonaFX - SILVER Support Break OpportunityHi Traders! We have spotted a potential support break opportunity on the Silver 1D chart. The price action suggests that the market may want to go down to test further levels below. After a double top resistance at 26.129, there was a pullback into a price channel break, and then the market found support at 22.117. There was then a falling three methods candle formation, which is a bearish candlestick pattern. We are looking for a break and a close below 22.117; if we get this, then we have a first target at 21.500 and a second target at 20.787. If we do get a break and close below 22.117, then there are buying opportunities just above this level to target the long-term 26.129 resistance. Please remember to like, follow, and comment to support us. Your support is appreciated. BluetonaFX
TVC:SILVER
by BluetonaFX
2
BITCOIN UPDATE Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. First of all, Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week! Today is Monday, and I have some information to share with you. 📰 Last week was nice, and yesterday we witnessed the highest weekly candle close of the year. This week will also mark the monthly close, which is expected to show significant growth. 📈 Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, forming new HH's and HL's. The correction from $30k was highly predictable, and I have been mentioning it for the past two months. Now, I will share my outlook on future events, and this post will serve as an addition to my recent BTC 1D TF chart. 🔙 The 200MA and 200EMA have performed exceptionally well, and as I mentioned before, I anticipate further growth for BTC in the near future due to several reasons: 1️⃣ The sweep of the high at the $32k level ; 2️⃣ Liq. grab from the monthly FVG ; 3️⃣ The 3.618 level as the next Fib. target ; 4️⃣ The "Manipulation" stage according to PO3 ; 5️⃣ The fifth wave according to Elliot Wave theory ; 6️⃣ Additionally, there is a MACD Bullish Cross. 💡 Remember - Dips are for buying! In the near future, focus more on long positions rather than short ones ! 🔜 Further updates will be provided as new developments unfold !
Short
by bullstraders7
bitcoin update Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. As we said before we can expect more pump here only if the 31K$ resistance zone break but now price is below the resistance so we may have short-term fall too. Major supports: A. 27500$ B. 26700$ C. 25000$ Major resistances are: A. 31000$ B. 34000$
by bullstraders7
GBPJPY Road to 184.4 (UPDATE)Hey Traders! 👋 For Day 38/100 of our challenge, we will look at an update on our GBPJPY long idea we sent last week. Technicals: (update to tagged idea) - We've rejected the 62% fib retracement - Created a new high above 182.500 - Expecting this break of high to clear 184.4 - If 181.2 is broken to the downside, invalid idea *** Note that this trade was based on last week's context. Changes in fundamentals have not yet been accounted for. Rob's notes: Was gone for a while as I had to fix my scheduling the past few days. All will be back to normal programming now. Let's complete this 100 days
Long
by rob_WRLD_
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Support Break Opportunity Hi Traders! There is a potential support break here on the USDJPY 1H chart. There has been a lot of bullish momentum over the past couple of days, and the price action on the chart suggests that the current bullish momentum is possibly running out of steam. Since the market reached 143.387, the current highs and lows on the chart are getting lower. We are looking for a break and a close below 143.235 to continue going down to our previous range zone, which we have highlighted on the chart. If the marker reaches the previous range zone, the next key level at the previous range zone is 142.704. If 143.235 does not break, we will most likely stay in this range to wait for a possible new wave of bullish momentum to retest 143.387. Long-term, we are still bullish on this pair. Please do not forget to like, follow, and comment. We appreciate your support. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4
USDJPY Trade SETUP H4The USDJPY closed at 143.70. Speaking of its resistance, the area around 144.06 will act as a resistance area. If a candle rejects from this level, you can open a sell position with a stop loss of 40 pips and target the support level at 142.20. I hope we can make a good profit from this trade. Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.
by ShaniTradingHub