"Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching 3,110 – Sell Setup in Play?"The price is in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
A potential reversal zone is identified around $3,110, marked as a possible sell entry.
The chart suggests that after reaching $3,110, the price may decline towards the support zone at $3,010 - $2,999.
Confirmation of the sell trade can be considered if price action forms a bearish structure around resistance.
Key support levels are at $3,010, $2,999, and $2,981, which could act as potential take profit targets for short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Sell Entry: Around $3,110, if resistance holds.
Target: $3,010 - $2,999 zone.
Stop Loss: Above $3,120 to manage risk.
This idea follows technical price action, making it crucial to watch for confirmation signals before executing a trade. 🚀📉
Supportresistence
JPY/USD Descending Triangle Breakdown – Bearish Trading Setup📌 Overview: Understanding the Current Market Structure
This analysis focuses on the JPY/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a well-defined descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup. The price action indicates selling pressure increasing as lower highs form, while support remained relatively stable before ultimately breaking down.
This setup suggests a potential trend continuation to the downside, making it a compelling trade opportunity for short-sellers. Let's dive deeper into the technical breakdown, trading strategy, and market expectations.
📊 Technical Breakdown: Chart Pattern Analysis
1️⃣ The Descending Triangle Pattern: A Bearish Signal
The descending triangle is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis, often leading to a breakdown when support is breached. This chart confirms the pattern through:
✅ Downward Sloping Resistance Line:
The price tested this level multiple times but was consistently rejected.
Lower highs indicate sellers are dominating and buyers are failing to push higher.
✅ Flat Support Level:
The price found strong support at a key horizontal level, bouncing off multiple times.
However, each bounce became weaker, signaling buyers losing strength.
✅ Breakout & Confirmation:
The final breakdown below support occurred with strong momentum.
The price has now turned previous support into resistance, a bearish confirmation.
🔎 Implication:
A descending triangle breakout to the downside often results in an extended downward move, aiming for the measured move target based on the triangle’s height.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Trading Zones
📌 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Triangle Boundary):
0.006700 – 0.006750
This level acted as a strong rejection zone, confirming lower highs.
It now serves as a resistance level after the breakdown.
📌 🟢 Support Level (Triangle Base):
This level previously held price from breaking lower multiple times.
However, with each bounce becoming weaker, it finally gave way.
Break & Close below this level confirms the bearish continuation.
📌 🎯 Target Projection (Based on Triangle Breakout):
0.006448 (Final Target) – This level aligns with historical price action and the triangle’s projected move.
📌 🚨 Stop Loss Placement:
Above the last swing high (~0.006752)
If price reclaims this zone, the bearish outlook becomes invalid.
📈 Price Action & Market Sentiment
3️⃣ Bearish Momentum & Breakdown Confirmation
✅ Lower Highs Indicate Weakness:
Buyers attempted multiple recoveries but were consistently rejected at lower levels.
This pattern suggests exhaustion in buying pressure.
✅ Breakout Candle Strength & Volume Confirmation:
The price broke support with strong momentum and increased volume, confirming sellers’ control.
A breakdown without volume is often a fakeout, but this chart shows clear momentum.
✅ Potential Retest Before Further Drop:
After a breakdown, price often retests the broken support before continuing lower.
A pullback to the resistance zone (~0.006650 - 0.006700) could offer an ideal short entry.
✅ Bearish Trend Confirmation:
The price remains below key resistance and continues forming lower lows.
The downtrend structure remains intact, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup?
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry: Short after a pullback to broken support (~0.006650 - 0.006700).
Aggressive Entry: Short immediately on the breakdown if momentum remains strong.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement:
Place above last swing high (0.006752) to avoid being stopped out by noise.
Ensures protection against sudden bullish reversals or fakeouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
✅ First Target: 0.006500 (Psychological level)
✅ Final Target: 0.006448 (Triangle measured move)
🔹 Risk Management:
Use a Risk-to-Reward ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 for an optimal trade setup.
Never risk more than 2% of total capital per trade.
⚠️ Market Outlook & Key Watchpoints
📌 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
If price retests the broken support and faces rejection, expect further downside.
Target remains at 0.006448.
📌 Scenario 2: Fake Breakdown & Bullish Reversal (Low Probability)
If price closes above 0.006750, it invalidates the bearish setup.
In that case, a bullish move towards 0.006800+ is possible.
📢 Final Thoughts:
The bearish breakout is clear, but waiting for a proper pullback before entry is ideal.
Volume confirmation is crucial to avoid fakeouts.
If support turns into resistance, a high-probability short trade is set up.
🔹 What’s your take on this setup? Will JPY/USD reach its target? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Retest📌 Overview of the Chart
The chart illustrates a classic Rising Wedge pattern that has broken down, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The price action respected technical structures, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, and key psychological zones.
The breakdown of the rising wedge led to a sharp decline, followed by a retest of the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside momentum. Traders analyzing this setup can identify clear entry points, stop-loss placements, and target objectives based on price action behavior.
🔹 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
A Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price moves upward within converging trendlines. It indicates that buying momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal or breakdown is imminent.
✔ Characteristics of the Rising Wedge on This Chart:
📈 Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price was trending upwards, but the narrowing structure indicated exhaustion.
📊 Decreasing Momentum: Volume likely started declining as the price approached resistance.
📉 Bearish Breakdown: Price broke below the lower trendline, confirming the pattern’s bearish nature.
🔻 What Happened Next?
The price dropped sharply after the wedge breakdown.
A retest of the broken trendline acted as a confirmation of resistance.
The downtrend continued, targeting a lower support level.
🔹 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔵 Major Resistance – 34.27 USD (All-Time High & Supply Zone)
This level served as a strong supply zone, rejecting multiple bullish attempts.
Price struggled to break this level, leading to a sell-off.
The stop-loss for short trades is placed above this zone to minimize risk.
🟠 Support Level – 32.80 USD (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
This was a key support zone before the wedge breakdown.
Once broken, price retested this level and faced rejection, confirming a trend shift.
⚫ Trendline Support (Now Broken)
The lower support trendline was a crucial guide for bulls.
Once price broke below, it signaled strong bearish control.
A retest of the trendline was unsuccessful, confirming a bearish continuation.
🟢 Target Zone – 31.93 USD (Projected Breakdown Target)
The measured move target of the rising wedge aligns around 31.93 USD.
If selling pressure continues, price may reach this level.
🔹 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – Short Setup & Execution
This setup provides a high-probability short trade based on the pattern breakdown.
📉 Short (Sell) Entry Criteria:
✅ Entry Zone: After the price broke below the wedge and retested the trendline (~33.80 USD).
✅ Confirmation:
Bearish candlestick formations (Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bars).
Increased volume on bearish moves.
🚫 Stop-Loss Placement:
🔹 Above the resistance level (34.27 USD) – If price breaks above this, the setup is invalid.
🔹 Reasoning: Protects against unexpected bullish reversals.
🎯 Take-Profit Target:
🔻 Target Price: 31.93 USD (based on measured move projection).
🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 2:1 (adjusted based on volatility).
🔹 4️⃣ Market Psychology & Price Action Analysis
Understanding trader sentiment is crucial:
📌 Before the Breakdown:
Bulls were in control, pushing price higher.
However, momentum slowed down, forming the rising wedge.
Traders who identified this pattern anticipated a potential trend reversal.
📌 After the Breakdown:
Sellers overpowered buyers, causing a rapid break of structure.
The price retested the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside.
The market sentiment shifted to bearish, aligning with technical confirmations.
🔹 5️⃣ Alternative Scenarios & Risk Factors
🔄 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Bias)
🚨 If price reclaims 34.00-34.27 USD, it invalidates the bearish setup.
📌 A break above this level could trigger a new bullish wave, targeting higher highs.
⚠️ Key Risk Factors:
Unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed policy, inflation data, geopolitical tensions).
Strong bullish rejection at lower support zones (~32.00 USD).
Volume divergence (if selling volume dries up, bears may lose control).
📢 Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Trade with Clear Risk Management
This rising wedge breakdown provides a strong short setup, with technical confirmations and price structure supporting further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Bias Until 31.93 USD
A breakdown retest suggests sellers remain in control.
Price is expected to continue lower unless bulls regain 34.00+ levels.
🔍 Key Trading Question:
Will Silver (XAG/USD) continue to its measured target of 31.93 USD, or will bulls defend key support and push prices higher?
Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price.
Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern
A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely.
In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge:
✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement.
✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion.
✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone.
✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before.
A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone)
The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level.
This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in.
The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance.
If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout.
🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement.
Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area.
If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again.
A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum.
3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution
📌 Entry Confirmation
To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge.
A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry.
Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement
Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses.
A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low.
This placement ensures protection against false breakouts.
📌 Take-Profit Target
The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance.
This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits.
Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR).
A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken.
4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀
If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839.
Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength.
Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move.
📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌
If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated.
A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below.
Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds.
5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation
To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use:
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength.
✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout.
✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move.
6. Conclusion & Trading Plan
This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone.
🔹 Trading Plan Summary:
✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering.
✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle.
✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk.
✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance.
This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation.
📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup.
1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis
Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure:
✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows.
✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone.
✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal.
A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal.
2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown
🔹 First Peak (Top 1):
The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure.
The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820).
🔹 Second Peak (Top 2):
The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance.
The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown):
The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level.
Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation.
3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals
🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone
This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control.
🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone
Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance).
⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190
A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts.
If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure.
🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916
The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline).
The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation.
4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown
For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias:
✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance.
✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken.
✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure.
✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength.
5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Entry Criteria
Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance).
Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal.
📉 Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid.
Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support.
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations
Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes:
🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade.
🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal.
🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction.
7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade
This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable.
Final Takeaways:
✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection.
✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support.
✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution.
📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
EURJPY Breakout Analysis: Falling Wedge & Key LevelsChart Pattern Breakdown
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe for EUR/JPY, revealing a strong technical setup with multiple key patterns in play. The price action has been forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, followed by a breakout.
Falling Wedge Formation
A falling wedge pattern is characterized by a narrowing range, where both highs and lows trend downward but converge towards a breakout point. This setup indicates a loss of bearish momentum and the potential for a strong bullish move once the price breaks out.
The wedge began forming in early February, with price making lower highs and lower lows within the structure.
The support level remained stable, while the resistance trendline kept the price within a tightening range.
Around early March, the price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, confirming the bullish breakout.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 163.500 - 164.000, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
The market tested this level but struggled to break through immediately, confirming its importance.
Support Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 158.500 - 159.000, acting as a strong demand zone.
This area provided multiple bounces before the final wedge breakout.
Current Price Action & Trading Setup
Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke the wedge and moved higher, testing the resistance zone.
Pullback & Retest: The market is currently pulling back, testing the recent breakout area. This could be an ideal entry point for a long trade.
Bullish Target: The next significant resistance is at 166.754, followed by an extended target at 166.938.
Trade Plan
✅ Long Entry: On a successful retest of support near 160.500 - 161.000
🎯 Target 1: 166.754
🎯 Target 2: 166.938
🔒 Sell Stop (Stop Loss): Below 158.918 to minimize risk
Conclusion
The EURJPY chart is showcasing a strong bullish setup with a confirmed falling wedge breakout. As long as price holds above the key support level, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards the 166+ zone. Traders should watch for confirmations such as bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, and trendline support before entering a long position.
🚀 Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
CHF/USD Bearish Reversal: Trendline Break Strong Sell-Off!his CHF/USD (Swiss Franc/U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart showcases a bearish trading setup, signaling a potential downside move after a failed breakout at a key resistance level. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the chart, highlighting key technical elements, potential trade setups, and risk management considerations.
1. Identified Chart Pattern – Cup & Handle (Failed Breakout)
The chart initially formed a Cup and Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup where:
The rounded bottom (cup) indicated accumulation and a gradual shift in trend from bearish to bullish.
The handle consolidation represented a minor pullback before a potential breakout.
However, the pattern failed to hold its bullish momentum. Instead of continuing higher, the price was rejected at the resistance level (ATH – All-Time High), signaling a shift in sentiment.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Level + ATH (All-Time High)
The price reached a significant resistance zone (marked in blue), aligning with an all-time high (ATH) level.
Multiple rejections at this level indicate strong selling pressure, making it a potential distribution area where smart money is offloading positions.
Support Level + Reversal Zone
After rejection from the resistance, the price retraced to a critical support zone, previously acting as a demand area (buyers stepping in).
A break below this level confirms bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Trendline Break – Bearish Confirmation
The trendline (marked in black) represents the primary uptrend support that guided price movement.
The break below this trendline signals a loss of bullish strength, increasing the probability of a trend reversal rather than a continuation.
3. Projected Price Movement – Bearish Scenario
Given the trendline break and rejection from resistance, the chart suggests a bearish wave with the following expectations:
A retest of the broken trendline and support zone before continuing downward.
Lower highs and lower lows formation – confirming a new downtrend.
A potential drop towards key downside targets (marked as TP1, TP2, and the final target).
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
✅ TP1 (1.1128): A minor support level where price may find temporary buying interest.
✅ TP2 (1.1111): A more significant support area that previously acted as demand.
✅ Final Target (1.1035): The ultimate downside objective, aligning with a major support zone and historical price action levels.
Stop-Loss Placement (SL):
📍 Above the broken trendline OR the recent swing high, ensuring protection against false breakouts or retracements.
4. Trade Execution & Risk Management
Entry Strategy (For Short Positions)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: Enter short immediately after the support zone break.
🔹 Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the support-turned-resistance area for confirmation before shorting.
Risk-Reward Ratio Consideration:
A properly placed stop-loss above resistance ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Ideal ratio: 1:2 or better, meaning potential reward should be at least twice the risk.
5. Market Sentiment & Possible Alternative Scenario
While the primary outlook is bearish, traders must remain flexible and monitor price action closely:
If price reclaims the support zone and breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish setup, shifting momentum back to bullish.
A sustained close above the trendline could trap early sellers, leading to a short squeeze rally back toward resistance.
6. Final Thoughts
🔹 Bearish Bias: This setup favors downside movement due to trendline break, resistance rejection, and market structure shift.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch: Support zone retest, trendline confirmation, and target levels.
🔹 Risk Management is Essential: Using stop-loss protection and proper trade sizing to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Setup
🚀 The CHF/USD pair has shifted to a bearish structure after failing to break its ATH resistance. The breakdown of the trendline and key support level suggests a strong sell-off towards the 1.1035 target. Traders should look for short opportunities on pullbacks while managing risk effectively.
Would you like me to refine or simplify any part of this analysis for your TradingView post? 📉🔥
JPY/USD Breakout from Falling Channel – Bullish Trading SetupOverview of the Chart:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) 1-hour chart showcases a well-defined market structure, transitioning from a downtrend within a falling channel to a breakout with bullish momentum. The chart highlights critical support and resistance levels, a confirmed breakout, and a forecasted price movement that could indicate further bullish continuation.
This analysis will break down the chart patterns, technical indicators, and potential trade setups, providing a professional outlook on price action behavior.
Technical Breakdown of the Chart
1. Falling Channel Pattern – Downtrend Phase
The price had been trading within a descending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines (blue lines), indicating a controlled downtrend.
A falling channel is a bullish reversal pattern, as it signals that bearish momentum is weakening.
Within the channel, price action consistently created lower highs and lower lows, adhering to the structure of the pattern.
The red dashed trendline inside the channel acted as a dynamic resistance, rejecting price movements multiple times before the breakout.
📌 Key Observation: The falling channel pattern suggests accumulation, where selling pressure gradually diminishes, paving the way for a bullish reversal.
2. Support Zone & Bullish Breakout
The price eventually reached a strong horizontal support level (highlighted blue zone at the bottom), which acted as a critical demand area.
This support level had previously led to strong rebounds, making it a significant zone for potential reversals.
Bullish breakout confirmation:
A strong bullish candle closed above the upper boundary of the channel, breaking the trendline resistance.
The breakout suggests a shift in market structure from a downtrend to an uptrend, as buyers regained control.
The price has now moved above the previous resistance, confirming the bullish momentum.
📌 Key Takeaway: The breakout is a strong signal that sellers have lost control, and a potential bullish trend could emerge.
3. Resistance Zone – Key Barrier for Buyers
The next area of interest is the resistance level (highlighted in a blue rectangular zone).
This level has historically acted as a strong supply zone, where price previously struggled to break through.
If the price manages to sustain above this level, it would confirm bullish continuation toward higher price targets.
📌 Technical View: If buyers break past this resistance, it could lead to a strong bullish rally, reinforcing the new uptrend.
4. Target Projection & Forecasted Price Movement
The chart outlines a forecasted bullish path using a zigzag projection (black lines). Here’s the expected price action:
Short-Term Movement:
Price might face temporary resistance near the blue resistance zone.
A minor pullback or consolidation in this area is expected before further movement.
Retest of Support:
If price pulls back, it could retest the broken channel resistance or the support zone.
A successful retest and bounce would validate the strength of the breakout.
Bullish Continuation:
If the resistance zone is broken, price is likely to continue toward the target level of 0.006842, a previous swing high.
This level acts as the final upside target based on historical resistance levels.
📌 Key Insight: The market structure suggests that price will follow a higher-high, higher-low pattern, which is characteristic of an uptrend.
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position.
Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan
1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20
Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure.
The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement.
A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals.
2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50
Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure.
If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades.
3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation
Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position.
A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry.
4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00
The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones.
If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target.
5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20
Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup.
This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts.
Trade Execution Strategy:
📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection.
📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs.
📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion & Risk Management:
The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations.
📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation