SMCI: Breakout Ahead?Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, SMCI is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. The price has been making higher lows, suggesting accumulating buying pressure.
The resistance level around 972.44 is crucial. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, if it fails to break through, it might revisit the lower boundary of the triangle or even the 21-day EMA, potentially testing investor sentiment and patience.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, the stock is exhibiting a flag pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong upward move. The price has been consolidating between the 38.20% and 50.00% Fibonacci retracement levels, which often act as support during pullbacks. A breakout above the flag pattern's upper boundary could resume the prior uptrend, potentially reaching new highs. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower boundary and the 50.00% retracement level, it could signify a deeper correction, possibly toward the 61.80% retracement level.
Conclusion:
Considering both time frames, SMCI is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish potential. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 972.44 on the daily chart and the boundaries of the flag pattern on the weekly chart. A break above these levels could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, caution is warranted if the stock fails to break these resistances, as it might signal a possible retracement or a period of further consolidation. Therefore, monitoring these levels closely will be crucial in anticipating the stock's next significant move.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
