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Target (TGT): A Buying Opportunity in the GapAfter three months of waiting and planning this setup on NYSE:TGT , we are finally buying shares following the recent drop into the desired breakout gap. Before this move, the stock hovered around the Point of Control (POC), making a breakout in either direction inevitable. This decline now provides a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio, setting us up to aim for the all-time highs once again. If the level of wave (4) is breached, we will need to reassess our bullish outlook and consider a potential deeper correction. However, the setup remains promising as the 78.6% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracements align perfectly with the lower edge of the gap. Historically, NYSE:TGT ’s oversold RSI since 2019 has led to a minimum 50% pump in four out of six cases, further solidifying our bullish view. The next critical level to watch is $180—reclaiming this resistance will be crucial for continued upward movement. Until then, we will stay patient and monitor the situation. ✅
NYSE:TGTLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
100k might start wave 4 of 5Hi all, what an exiting time to be part of crypto. BTC is putting in all time new highs almost daily at the moment, it's incredible to watch. This chart shows that hitting 100k might end the gorgeous wave 3 of 5 we've been having of late and plunge is into a wave 4. Not to worry, if this happens this will be a lovely buy dip as wave 5 will be owed at this point. Don't forget, this 1-5 impulse is only wave ONE of FIVE of a higher degree of trend so there's plenty more up to go as yet. Follow more more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
What's next for PEPE?It looks as though there is a fractal forming with PEPE that can take it onto significant higher highs. If wave 5 completes, we'll see the same fractal playing out from the two boxes. The Hurst cycles at the bottom also infer that this upward surge can happen quite quickly given there's not a huge amount of time left before the end of the cycle, validation the 5 waves. No matter how good PEPE looks, I'm not going near it. But, it's up to you as they say. Follow for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
4
NVIDIA (NVDA): Targeting $166 amid AI momentumNVIDIA continues to dominate the AI and computing landscape, with a significant development in Japan: SoftBank’s telecom unit will soon receive Nvidia’s advanced Blackwell chip design for its supercomputers. The upcoming earnings report on November 20 is critical in sustaining NVIDIA’s exceptional growth trajectory. CEO Jensen Huang’s company has projected third-quarter revenue of approximately $32.5 billion, propelled by substantial demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. These GPUs are crucial for strengthening NVIDIA’s data center segment, which currently operates with an impressive 68% margin. Priced between $30,000 and $40,000, Blackwell chips are already seeing high demand, with production scaling in Q4 2024. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:NVDA still has room to grow, with a targeted area of $166 or higher in the short term. We are closely monitoring the stock for either a move into this target or a shift in market structure that could change the outlook. Stay tuned for updates as we approach the earnings call and as NVIDIA continues to set new milestones in the tech space.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Shopify (SHOP): Preparing for a Long-Term Entry at $49.62Considering Shopify, the situation is unfolding as we anticipated. We expected the beginning of 2024 to potentially mark the peak for Shopify with the completion of Wave (1), indicating a Wave 2 correction. This correction is likely to find support between the 63.8% and 78.6% retracement levels. Currently, the pattern is showing lower lows and lower highs, suggesting that further price declines may occur, potentially closing existing gaps. Our strategy is still developing, but we plan to place a long-term entry at $49.62 with a stop-loss at $31.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Shopify (SHOP): Riding the 130% rally after the earnings surgeShopify kicked off the earnings week with a significant surge, rising 130% since our entry. We’ve taken additional profits at this level and canceled our second limit order. The stock has reached the 161.8% Fibonacci target at $111, aligning with our strategy. In its third-quarter earnings report, Shopify reported revenue that exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, with double-digit gross merchandise volume growth. Looking ahead, the company forecasts a mid-to-high-twenties percentage growth in revenue for Q4, supported by the same factors driving its strong performance this year. While Shopify continues its upward momentum, there’s no clear indication of when this rally might lose steam. The RSI is currently overbought, suggesting a potential pullback in the near future. If we spot a wave 4 correction, we will reassess and update the chart for a potential new entry.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Visa (V): Pullback Incoming After New All-Time HighsVisa ( NYSE:V ) has reached our anticipated wave 3 target, a significant milestone for this stock that has consistently delivered strong performance. Recently, regulators in the EU have begun probing Visa and MasterCard’s fees, assessing their impact on businesses. While this could pose some risks, Visa’s overall trajectory remains promising. The stock has been setting new all-time highs consistently, but with the potential completion of wave ((v)) and wave 3, we are now looking for a pullback. This correction could offer a great opportunity to open new long positions. Our target range for the pullback is between $280 and $260, though the exact level remains uncertain. Before this, there could still be further upside, with a potential minor retracement between $311 and $325 that would support a bearish short-term outlook. We are monitoring this closely and have alerts set to act when the time is right. Visa remains a long-term performer, but patience will be key to capitalizing on its next move.
NYSE:VLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Deutsche Bank (DBK): Earnings beat but loan losses double We missed the optimal entry for Deutsche Bank (DBK), but the analysis was accurate overall. The earnings report showed some resilience with a revenue increase of 5.2% year-over-year, reaching €7.50 billion, slightly above analyst expectations of €7.30 billion. The stock reacted with a modest dip, but nothing significant. However, Deutsche Bank reported a notable rise in loan losses, which doubled to €494 million in Q3 2024 compared to €245 million a year ago, aligning closely with the €482 million forecasted by analysts. From a technical standpoint, our primary count still appears valid, though it’s a bit on the lower side. This could indicate that wave 3 might not be the longest wave in this count, which is atypical but possible as long as it’s not the shortest. We’re targeting a potential endpoint for wave 5 within the HTF resistance zone, aligning with the 50-61.8% Fibonacci extension level, where we could look for a long position if the setup confirms. We will continue to monitor DBK closely as this potential target level nears and adjust accordingly.
XETR:DBK
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA): Positioning for growth as Musk eyes record salesAs we anticipated in our last update, Tesla bounced right at the expected level following its earnings call. After posting better-than-expected earnings, TSLA shares surged up 20% on market opening. Tesla reported a 17% increase in net income for the September quarter, reaching $2.2 billion, which beat analyst expectations. Additionally, revenue grew by 8%, reaching $25.2 billion, just shy of the consensus estimate of $25.4 billion. Most noteworthy, Elon Musk hinted at a promising future outlook. He stated Tesla aims for a record-breaking quarter in vehicle sales, with potential growth of 20% to 30% in 2025. However, there is still cautious sentiment about whether this will follow the pattern of past announcements, where major news led to temporary rallies, followed by dips if expectations weren’t met. As we highlighted previously, a bounce here suggests a likely revisit to the range high. If the current trend continues, the next high could align with the trendline, potentially forming another lower high. For sustained upside, breaking this trendline with a solid push is critical. We’re closely watching these developments and will keep you updated on any relevant changes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3M (MMM): Building a Bullish Case Despite HeadwindsWith 3M's earnings yesterday, it’s the perfect moment to analyze the stock and assess the upcoming opportunities. The company is expected to have benefited from its restructuring actions, such as headcount reduction, likely lowering costs and improving margins this quarter. Its disciplined spending and restructuring savings could also boost profitability. Despite these positive factors, challenges in 3M’s packaging and expression, along with home and auto care divisions, may drag down its performance. Lower consumer retail spending on durable goods is expected to impact its Consumer segment's results. From a technical standpoint, 3M’s surge from the support zone recently was strong enough to shift the weekly trend from bearish to bullish. Such a structural change on the weekly chart is significant, as it's not common to see such a clean trend reversal. However, as often happens with sharp upward movements, we are now seeing a bearish divergence on the RSI. This divergence doesn’t mean a pullback is imminent but suggests that one could happen eventually. Looking at the daily chart, there may be potential for 3M to move higher if wave 1 isn’t complete. Even if earnings were positive, we should still witness a pullback. We are looking to build a position by layering bids at key levels. Our first target entry is the gap high, followed by the gap low, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci level. If the price continues to drop, we’ll continue adding bids down to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Our stop loss will be set below wave (2) to safeguard the trade. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook and could result in a drop to $56, though this scenario seems less probable for the near future.
NYSE:MMMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Coinbase (COIN): Strong push ahead after Bitcoin surge!After our last analysis on NASDAQ:COIN two months ago, we saw another leg down into the golden pocket and the imbalances we were watching. These got partially filled, reaching around 50%, which provided the necessary strength for a push higher. This recent jump is largely due to Bitcoin's rise over the past weeks, as Coinbase, being a major holder of Bitcoin, has directly benefited from this positive development. This surge was strong enough to invalidate the bearish trend on the higher time frame, confirming that a bullish sequence is now in play. The biggest and closest resistance ahead is the VAH (Volume Area High) traded since November 2023. With the RSI currently overbought and showing a bearish divergence, a pullback could be on the horizon. However, we aren't too concerned about this unless the price drops below $160.50. The bullish outlook will only be invalidated if it dips under $145. One thing to note about NASDAQ:COIN is its heavy correlation with Bitcoin, which introduces more volatility. The crypto market is also playing a key role in the U.S. elections, with both Trump and Harris addressing the sector. This could provide some tailwinds for Coinbase in the future. In terms of the broader outlook, the potential wave ((iii)) could see a rise toward $263-$323, though this will take time to unfold. Given the market dynamics, it's better to remain cautious, but the setup looks promising. Overall, we continue to monitor NASDAQ:COIN closely, but we are more inclined to invest in Bitcoin itself due to the inherent correlation and volatility with the stock.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Uber (UBER): Missed the Rally? Here comes new opportunitiesIt's been a while since we last looked at Uber, and the stock has moved perfectly since then. Uber reacted exactly as expected to our desired area, but unfortunately, we didn’t buy any shares at the time. If you did, congratulations – this position is now up 60.8%! Shares of rideshare companies Uber Technologies and Lyft surged on Friday, following Tesla's underwhelming Robotaxi reveal. Uber has shifted its focus away from developing autonomous vehicles and is instead concentrating on expanding its marketplace for riders and drivers. This shift has created a robust network effect, making it increasingly difficult for competitors to match Uber's scale, according to a recent report by Business Insider. Uber’s asset-light business model, which doesn't involve owning or maintaining vehicles, has been financially successful, generating $1.7 billion in free cash flow in the second quarter. Now, Uber has reached a new all-time high, and if we look back at the chart, it's easy to see a clear and powerful pattern. After entering our desired area, Uber made a sharp V-shaped correction, followed by a key level retest. In a short period, NYSE:UBER turned bullish, marking a complete turnaround. We will be closely watching Uber Technologies' upcoming earnings report, scheduled for October 31, 2024. After this event, we’ll update our chart and look for possible new opportunities.
NYSE:UBERLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
15
Gilead Sciences (GILD): Pattern Still Intact—What’s the Plan?Let’s quickly review our open position in $GILD. We’ve managed to turn the whole chart around, and I hope everyone who bought in had the strength to sit it out. It was a close call with the stop loss, but now we’re up significantly, and we’ve moved our stop loss closer to $65.46. So far, we’re up 17%, and we don’t want to dictate when to take profits. If you’re in, do your own research and take profits whenever you feel comfortable—it's all up to you 👍. If you take a closer look, you’ll see that NASDAQ:GILD has been following a nice upward pattern: a surge, then three candles down, then another surge. I’m not sure how long this pattern will hold, but as long as we don’t retrace too much, we should be fine. I also like that we’re respecting all the key levels. The RSI is about to be overbought, so we might see another three candles down, but this time it could be a deeper pullback. We’ll see how it plays out, but we’re very pleased with this swing trade so far. Congratulations to everyone who’s been riding this wave 🍾.
NASDAQ:GILDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Gilead Sciences (GILD): First Take Profit in a High RangeGilead Sciences is now back trading at the high end of its range, and we’ve decided to take our first profit here. It’s crucial to respect range-bound trading, and there is a strong possibility of a pullback at this point. However, we don’t expect this pullback to reach the lower end of the range again but rather settle in the middle. If NASDAQ:GILD reclaims this range high, it could provide even more upside and new opportunities. We are also raising our stop loss to $65.80 to lock in gains. Gilead serves as our "natural hedge" against broader risk-on market conditions, and with a 40% bounce from the range low at the same time the S&P 500 is hitting new all-time highs, it’s clear that Gilead can benefit as well. We’re keeping a close eye on this stock, and if another opportunity arises, we’ll be ready to act.
NASDAQ:GILDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
JD.com (JD): Massive 97% Rally—What's Next?We mentioned Chinese stocks a while ago, and finally, they're starting to pay off—big time. We bought shares of JD.com back in July, and after a small dip, the stock soared an impressive 97% in just 65 days. Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese companies are gaining momentum, fueled by continued stimulus efforts. September's PMI data beat expectations despite a decline in factory activity, which has further bolstered hopes for increased stimulus. Over the past week, JD.com's stock surged following the People’s Bank of China's aggressive monetary easing measures. The central bank reduced the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points, bringing it down to 9.5%. This move will inject around 1 trillion yuan (approximately $140 billion) into the financial system. The increased liquidity gives banks more capital to lend, easing financial pressures on businesses like JD.com that rely heavily on consumer spending and economic confidence. JD.com, often considered a barometer for China’s domestic consumption, has benefited significantly from this shift in sentiment, with investors betting that further stimulus measures could lead to increased consumer spending on e-commerce platforms. From a technical perspective, there's not much left to say—we took some profits on JD.com, as this parabolic rise could either continue or see a pullback before another leg higher. All indications point towards further gains for JD.com, as it has smashed through all resistance and trend channels with remarkable strength. Our stop loss is set at break even, and we’re letting this trade continue to run.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Xiaomi (1810): Major Gains, Next Targets and Updated StrategyThe Hang Seng Index and its constituent stocks have been surging higher, with Xiaomi leading the charge 🚀. The setup we had on Xiaomi was quite similar to the one for Alibaba, featuring a tight stop-loss and a high risk-to-reward ratio, which, just like NYSE:BABA , worked out perfectly. Although we aimed to catch the end of wave (ii), we missed the entry by just a few HKD. Despite this, the position is now up an impressive 85% since we initially sent out the entry back in March. We have taken our first round of profits as we haven't locked in any gains yet, and we have moved our stop-loss to the break-even point. However, we are confident that Xiaomi will not revisit this level for a long time. We took profits upon reaching a key wave 3 extension level. While we expect further gains on the lower time frame, we must also respect what the higher time frame indicates. Whether it's longing wave (iv) or wave 4, the choice depends on whether we are right about the higher or also the lower time frame. On the higher time frame, we anticipate a maximum rise to 30 HKD before we see a significant correction. We believe there is still substantial upside potential for Xiaomi – it's only a matter of time. We'll keep monitoring both scenarios closely and act accordingly 📈.
HKEX:1810Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Light Crude Oil Futures: Mid East Tensions Fuel Price Surge!Light Crude Oil Futures (CL): NYMEX:CL1! As mentioned in our morning briefing, oil is currently extremely interesting, partly due to increasing tensions in the Middle East and the destruction of oil reserves there as well as in Russia. Consequently, oil prices have surged significantly. We are currently at a level of $85, but we still consider it quite likely that the Wave Y and the overarching Wave II have not yet concluded. We expect a three-part movement towards Y, with this Y anticipated to be in the range between 127.2% and 161.8% of a Wave C. This would place it between $63.2 and $57.4, nearly forming a double bottom with Wave ((b)) at $63.64. We would invalidate this scenario and consider a bullish outlook if we surpass the $90 mark in Crude Oil Futures. Should the price fall from here, we would then expect a five-wave structure downwards. However, caution is advised with oil due to the significant political and geopolitical influences on its price. The upcoming elections at the end of the year are particularly noteworthy, as a lower gasoline price in America is hugely important for electoral success, ensuring wins. With rising oil prices and the depletion of reserves, with hardly any reserves left in America, it will likely be necessary to purchase a large amount of oil. Considering the current economic stance of America, this task appears challenging. There is only one option if the goal is to lower oil prices for repurchasing. Even a $20 difference is substantial when buying as much oil as a country the size of America needs. Therefore, we still expect prices to fall further before we see a reversal.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by freeguy_by_wmc
NVIDIA (NVDA): Wave 1 Nearly Complete – New Entry Opportunity?After a break, we’re taking another look at NVIDIA, which is now around $100 — which sounds like a much more attractive level compared to $1100. But it isn't, as in the meantime we witnessed a stock split. We still see more upside for NVIDIA as we believe we are in Wave (5) of the current cycle, if our count is correct. Zooming in, the past surge doesn't need much commentary as it was mostly upward movement without significant corrections. Now, it looks like we’re getting into the intra-wave structure. We expect Wave 1 to finish after one last leg up to complete the five-wave cycle for Wave 1. Afterward, we could look for entry points at the end of Wave 2. If this scenario plays out with the bearish divergence on the RSI, we will update you on how we plan to position ourselves.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Gold (XAUUSD): New All-Time High - Double Top or Further Surge?Gold has reached a new all-time high, creating either a double top or peaking at a maximum of $2,487. The price turned within a very narrow range between $2,472 and $2,487, which was remarkably precise. The precise turnaround within the small range indicates significant resistance at this level. Our primary scenario anticipates a pullback towards $2,200 before the trend resumes upward. This level is crucial for confirming a long-term bullish trend. Alternatively, if the price does not pull back and instead rejects at the Point-of-Control, we may see a continued upward movement. Should the price break above $2,487, we will cancel our long limit order as the bearish pullback scenario would be invalidated.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push. Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal. We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible. The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc