Swingshort
XAU/USD Swing Short IdeaPrice broke below the 200 SMA both on the daily and weekly. Price tested but failed to regain momentum above the 200 SMA on the daily chart. I am short from 1270, stop at 1280, target at 1200 for a 7:1 ratio trade.
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S&P 500 Daily Balance Area BreakdownEvery time the S&P has made a Balance area at it's all time highs it has sold off hard.
We just broke the most recent balance area to the downside again.. Looking for a bear run for quite some time. I fully expect market to revisit 1850's again, just given previous patterns.
Best of Luck
GBPCAD Short ScenarioHere is simple trend continuation analysis on GBPCAD. Dependent on P.A. at the trend line we could look for a valid entry point and candlestick formation.
If however, P.A. breaks above the descending trend line price could rally all the way up to 1.8550. Either way there is a lot of pips here to bag.
Targets are bases on simple fibonacci levels and trend trading.
Trade safe!
Price Action shows Bearish signs on NZDUSD!After a powerful bullish trend the FX:NZDUSD shows a nice indecision candle on top of a resistance area.
From the price action point of view this usually means that the bullish power might be transitioning to the bearish side. What do i do?
I executed a pending order below the low of the indecision candle to go short. As always i keep my Risk/Reward a 1:2 minimum.
Trading Details:
Time Frame: 6hr
Entry: Below the low of the indecision candle
Stop loss: A few pips above the high of the Indecision Candle
Risk/Reward: 1:2
Account Risk: 2%
USDJPY 60min Rising Wedge BreakdownUSDJPY has been putting in this Rising Wedge Pattern. These tend to break to the downside. The Rising Wedge is also occurring at Resistance.
I'm waiting for the Break & Close out of the Wedge on the 60min before I enter.
Stops - 1 ATR Above the Breakdown Bar
Target #1 - Measured move of the Wedge
Target #2 - 78.6% Fib Retracement
You can you also use just purely Structure for Targets if that is what your plan says to do.
Best of Luck!
AUDUSD 60min Bearish Trend Continuation Trade (TCT) & Bat PatterHere is a Bearish TCT setup on AUDUSD. I'm looking to get back in the direction of the overall trend which is bearish. There is also a POTENTIAL Bull Bat lurking down at the lower levels that we can keep our eye on.
I took this @ Market.
Stops - 1 ATR above last swing high
Target #1 - Retest of Previous Lows
Target #2 - 1.27% Fib Ext. This also lines up with a Potential ABCD Pattern.
Crude Oil CL 1hr TCT, Fib Inversion, & CypherWell its been no surprise that CL has been in a bear trend for quite some time. We will continue to keep selling the rallies. I just missed my fill on this trade. Maybe it will come back up for me.. We will see. The TCT was based on the 78.6% fib retracement and Fib Inversion Trade which completes at the 1.618% ext. The pullback also put in a harmonic move (not shown on chart).
Entries, Stops, and Targets are all shown on chart.
The Cypher Pattern i'm not worried about right now because its a long ways away and we could re-visit previous lows and still have the Cypher Pattern Valid.
GBPJPY Breakdown ActivatedThe Rising Channel of the GBP/JPY has been broken and has closed below the Channel. I took a short on the first close below the Channel. My stop is 1 ATR is above Breakdown Bar around 187.05's. I listed a few Target's for you guys. Choose them as you wish. I only Trade 2 Targets per my Trading Rules. In order to get this pair we need to see Risk Aversion. All JPY Pairs are tied to Risk Trends. We saw all the JPY's drop (light Risk Aversion, probably not long lasting) overnight and I believe it was a response to Turkey shooting down a Russian Fighter Jet.
Short EURJPY on the breakdown of the SupportSame play as i posted before on the 4hr chart but this time on a smaller timeframe. (attached in the related links)
Same rationale as well as there is clear selling pressure building from the triangle/wedge pattern from the last few days.
Expected price target for this play is 130.90
EURJPY SHORTPRICE IS STRUGGLING AT AN IMPORTANT STRUCTURE WHICH HAS ALSO FORMED A SMALL DOUBLE TOP. PRICE ACTION IS SHOWING THAT SELLERS ARE PROTECTING THIS LEVEL. THIS IS LOOKING LIKE A GOOD OPPORTUNITY TO GO SHORT IN LINE WITH THE DOWNTREND. IF PRICE MANAGES TO BREAK THE STRUCTURE LEVEL THEN THE NEXT LEVEL TO LOOK TO SELL IS AT THE 200 SMA WHICH HAS BEEN ACTING AS A DYNAMIC TRENDLINE/RESISTANCE AND IT IS ALSO IN CONFLUENCE WITH THE 61.8 FIB LEVEL WHICH IS MAKING THIS TARE A HIGH PORTABILITY WE COULD GET SOME DOWNSIDE PRESSURE. TARGET AT 126.000
GBPUSD 4 HOUR SHORT LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY WITH GBP BECAUSE OF THE ELECTION WHICH IS CAUSING THE POUND TO DEPRECIATE. PRICE BROKE OUT OF THE RANGE LAST WEEK AND IT IS NOW LOOKING TO RETEST THE RANGE LEVEL (SUPPORT TURNED RESISTANCE). THIS IS A TEXTBOOK TREND CONTINUATION PATTERN (BREAK,RETEST,CONTINUATION) IF PRICE MANHES TO RETRACE BACK UP TO MY SELL ZONE I ALSO HAVE 2 FIB CONFLUENCES WHICH ARE THE 38.2 AND 50 FIB LEVEL. TARGET BACK DOWN AT SWING LOW WHICH IS ALSO A PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL.(1.46000) ALSO PRICE SEEMS TO BE APPROACHING A DYNAMIC RESISTANCE (20SMA)
Swing Trading strategy !! (A micro view on swing investing)Through out my time swing trading i have found that there are some desecrate tools and information i must look at in each equity before i make my final decision, certain criteria like Short interest , days to short , SQZMOM indicator along with a sweet chart that channels up.
1. it all starts at finviz where i search up stocks that fall under the lower priced Nasdaq equities, this is also the time i start to look for some nice setups on the chart. On the chart i mainly look for equities that are Channelling up.
2. i have filtered out the equities that don't have nice setups often charts that break the channel pattern, after this is done i start to look at the days to short on the Nasdaq short interest website. This is essential because if there was a big move down and a short share float of more than 20% it could mean that the stock is about to rebound 5-20%.
it also makes the game much easier when you can now how many days those shorts have until they have to cover.
3. Once ive gone a little bit into the fundamentals and short interest i like to then look at that chart again, The indicator SQZMOM on trade view is one of my last type of analysis i do on the equity before i make a decision. As i have shown in the chart if there are 2 green momentum bars on the indicator it signals a buy entry , and once the green momentum bars start to fade it signals a Sell alert.
4. Usually i take profits at 5-10% as i have a stop loss at -5%., remember the key is to grow your account and scale it up so it might start slow. for example most people start of with a $1000 account so your first trades should be making $50 of profit as you scale it up
Remember when you come into swing trading with a plan and prepared it becomes much easier to be successful in
trading the equity.
Its a marathon not a sprint
EURCHF DownTrend Deep Pullback SHORT1. moving averages are 20,50,100,200 and the 200 period MA is above all, 100, is above all except 200. 50 period MA is higher than 20 period Moving Average. Along with Lower Lows and Lower Highs in a downtrend this says the pair -EUR/CHF has been in a down trend.
2. Stochastics are oversold and losing momentum.
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