BTCUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Short OpportunityBitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading inside a rising wedge pattern on the 4H chart—typically a bearish reversal structure. Price is currently hovering near the wedge resistance and a previous supply zone, presenting a clean short opportunity with solid risk-to-reward.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Wedge Formation
The price action has formed a clear rising wedge, a pattern often associated with a bearish breakout.
Current price action shows momentum fading near the wedge top, aligning with historical resistance.
2. Key Sell Zone
The 88,600–89,000 region marks an ideal short-entry zone.
This overlaps with a prior consolidation/supply block and wedge resistance—making it a high confluence zone.
3. Bearish Target & Projection
Breakdown of wedge support could drive price down toward the target zone near 78,000, a potential -8.89% move.
This target zone acted as a strong demand area in mid-March and is likely to attract buy interest again.
📌 Trade Plan
Sell Entry: Around 88,600–89,000
Stop Loss: Above 92,923 (beyond wedge + supply zone)
Target: 78,000 zone, prior demand and technical projection
Risk-to-Reward: High conviction R:R setup with structured invalidation
⚠️ Watch for Confirmation
Ideal confirmation would be a strong bearish 4H candle below wedge support or bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
Swingtrade
XAUUSD – Bullish Breakout from Triangle | 3,090+ in SightGold (XAUUSD) has broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation on the 1H chart, signaling bullish continuation. With solid technical structure and momentum building, the path toward 3,093+ remains firmly in play.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price coiled within a classic symmetrical triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs—typically a continuation pattern in trending markets.
A breakout has now occurred to the upside, confirming bullish bias.
2. Breakout Projection
The measured move from the triangle projects a 2.62% upside, targeting the 3,093 zone.
3. Clean Market Structure
Bullish impulse followed by healthy consolidation reflects market strength.
Expectation: Price will print higher highs and higher lows on its way to upper targets.
🎯 Bullish Targets
TP1: 3,047.652
TP2: 3,058.038
TP3: 3,093.957
These levels are based on recent structure highs and the measured move from the breakout.
📌 Trade Plan
Entry Idea: On triangle breakout retest or momentum continuation above 3,025
Stop Loss: Below triangle support (~3,000)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable on breakout continuation setups
🔎 Confluences
✅ Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
✅ Strong Bullish Trend
✅ Measured Move & Clear Targets
✅ Consistent Market Structure
Gold bulls are stepping in with strength. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, expect further upside toward 3,090+.
Want a version with SL-to-BE logic or trailing TP adjustments? Just let me know!
ETHUSD – Bullish Quasimodo + iH&S Breakout | Upside Targets!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has completed a textbook bullish Quasimodo pattern in confluence with an Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has broken out with strong bullish momentum, and the structure suggests more upside ahead.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Quasimodo Pattern
A well-defined Quasimodo reversal formed at the swing low, providing early signs of a bullish trend shift.
This pattern combines a higher low and reclaimed structure—offering an excellent base for trend continuation.
2. Inverse Head & Shoulders
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly structured with neckline breakout confirmed.
Breakout above neckline resulted in a 5.38% rally into minor resistance.
3. Bull Flag Formation
A short consolidation just below the recent highs resembles a bull flag, typically a continuation signal.
Breakout from the flag would trigger the next leg toward the final target.
🎯 Targets
Minimum Target: 2,121.41 — aligns with neckline projection.
Final Target: 2,229.90 — 6.27% projected move based on iH&S measured move.
📌 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: On bull flag breakout above 2,093
Stop Loss: Below 2,060 (flag low support)
TP1: 2,121
TP2: 2,229
🔎 Key Confluences
Pattern Breakouts ✅
Strong Momentum ✅
Clean Structure & Price Geometry ✅
ETH bulls have reclaimed short-term control. If momentum sustains, the upside targets are well within reach.
EUR/USD | Bearish Breakdown & Retest | Short Setup EUR/USD VIP Short Setup | Smart Money Move 🔥📉"
Chart Analysis:
Ascending Channel Breakdown: EUR/USD broke below a well-respected bullish channel, signaling a potential downtrend.
Retest & Resistance: Price is currently retesting the broken structure near 1.08565, a key resistance zone.
Sell Confirmation: The rejection at this level suggests bearish momentum.
Target: The next major support lies at 1.06513, aligning with previous price action levels.
Trading Plan:
✅ Entry: Around 1.08155 - 1.08565 (after rejection confirmation)
✅ Take Profit: 1.06513
✅ Stop-Loss: Above resistance for risk management
Summary: Smart money is eyeing this short trade after a strong bearish breakout. A retest of resistance gives a prime entry for sellers. 📉🔥
EURUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown | FVG in PlayEURUSD has broken down from a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a bearish momentum shift after a strong rally. The current price action indicates a likely continuation lower, targeting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and major support near 1.07047.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Wedge Pattern
A clean bearish rising wedge formed during the uptrend, with price contracting upward and volatility drying.
The breakdown from this wedge came with strong bearish momentum, confirming the pattern's bearish bias.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as Draws on Liquidity
Two unmitigated FVGs lie below current price:
First zone near 1.0780
Second deeper zone near 1.07047, aligning with the projected measured move of the wedge breakdown.
These zones act as magnetic targets for price to fill inefficiencies and collect liquidity.
3. Bearish Retest Structure
Price is currently forming a potential retest of the broken wedge structure, which could provide an ideal short entry opportunity.
Expected continuation downward upon rejection from this retest zone.
🧠 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: After confirmation of rejection near 1.0850 (retest of wedge)
Target: 1.07047 (FVG & measured move confluence)
Stop Loss: Above 1.0885 (above wedge structure)
Risk-Reward: Solid setup with FVG and structure confluence
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.0850–1.0880 (wedge retest)
Support/Target: 1.07047 (FVG fill + structure)
Break back above 1.0900 invalidates the short setup.
GBPUSD – Bearish Setup Forming | Fair Value Gap Rejection PlayThe 4H chart on GBP/USD shows a clean bearish market structure, with price currently in a corrective phase after recent downside momentum. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been identified between the 1.29700–1.30000 range, which acts as a key supply zone for potential short setups.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A visible imbalance was left after an aggressive bearish move—marked in the yellow zone.
Price is expected to retrace into this inefficient zone to fill orders before continuing downward.
The anticipated entry for shorts is around 1.29798, near the midpoint of the FVG.
2. Bearish Market Structure
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the current structure.
The bounce is corrective in nature and lacks momentum, indicating a potential bull trap.
Expecting a short-term retracement up to the FVG zone, followed by a continuation to the downside.
3. Target Zone
Target: 1.28042 — this level sits just above a previous demand zone, making it a natural TP1.
This area also overlaps with previous price reactions, giving it high confluence.
🧠 Trade Idea
Entry: ~1.29798 (within the FVG)
Target: 1.28042
Risk Management : A stop loss above 1.30000 or above the upper boundary of the FVG to account for false breaks.
Rationale: Risk-reward is favorable due to tight invalidation zone and strong downside continuation probability.
⚠️ Key Notes
Watch for confirmation at the FVG zone such as bearish engulfing or lower timeframe break of structure.
If price breaks above 1.3000 and holds, the idea will be invalidated.
Breakout on DIS! 🔉Sound on!🔉
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Breakout to the downside on BA?🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Bearish BTCOn the daily and weekly stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone.
Using fibonacci, on the daily, price has not finished out the fib sequence to the d extension and had less than a 38.2 pullback.
We hit a d extension on the monthly.
Still bearish on this pair at least to 77K = 38.2 up fib retracement zone with inclination toward further downside potential to 68K = 61.8 up fib retracement zone.
Demand Zone for TSM! 🔉Sound on!🔉
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
ETHUSD and Crypto Signaling Risk On?So typically for equities I use the one hour, but when it comes to crypto being that a trading day is 4x a typical day for equities, I use the 4 hour. The one thing about my momentum indicator, is that forward testing has indicated that the longer a trade survives, the more likely it is to win! This one looks like we have a double bottom in the works as it approaches the neckline. If it can breakout, instead of testing that take profit, we are likely to smash thru it. I guess patience pays...
The signal was created by the King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for some equities! ETHUSD and over 100 equities are built into this script, as well as, BTCUSD and SOLUSD with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). I always enable Using Bar Magnifier and On Bar Close in Properties.
MSFT with Room to Run to UpsideI guess what I love about this one is the fact that right now MSFT isn't exactly getting all that much love, and this sleeper has room to run if it can get above it's 200 day SMA! This one has been open for a couple days and if we can get a VIX crush Friday tomorrow it may just be getting started!
The signal was created by the King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for some equities! MSFT and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). I always enable Using Bar Magnifier and On Bar Close in Properties.
Going Long with ADBE!ADBE after hitting take-profit, sold off during first hour of day and got stopped, only to reverse. Typically when trades start to win, they continue doing so, which is why I went long when the signal fired earlier.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! ARKK and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
Swing Trade idea A previous uptrend was followed by a sharp drop.
The price recently broke below the trend cloud, indicating a shift in momentum.
The last long signal appeared near $2,885-$2,890, meaning a potential support zone.
If the price sustains above $2,900, a bullish swing trade is possible.
A breakdown below $2,885 might indicate further downside.
Recommended Swing Trading Strategy:
Entry Points:
Bullish Swing Trade: Enter long near $2,890-$2,900 if support holds.
Bearish Swing Trade: Enter short if price breaks below $2,885 with momentum.
Exit Points (Take Profit & Stop Loss):
Long Position:
Target: $2,920 - $2,930
Stop-Loss: Below $2,880
Short Position:
Target: $2,870 - $2,860
Stop-Loss: Above $2,910
Trade Range:
Support: $2,885 - $2,890
Resistance: $2,904 - $2,920
Breakout Levels: Above $2,920 for bullish continuation, below $2,885 for bearish move.
Godfrey Phillips India – Major Breakout in Progress! 📌 Technical Breakdown & Swing/Positional Trade Idea
Godfrey Phillips India is currently breaking out of a 150-day broadening pattern, signalling strong bullish intent with increasing volume participation. Let’s break it down:
Key Levels & Market Structure:
Monthly Resistance Breakout (Yellow Line): The price has convincingly broken above a key monthly closing resistance, marking a shift in trend.
Supply-to-Demand Zone Flip: A critical supply zone (marked in red) was breached and is now acting as an important demand area, where buyers are likely to step in for re-entries at better prices.
Broadening Structure: The stock has followed a classic expanding range (marked by white trendlines), showing volatility compression and breakout strength.
Weekly Counter-Trendline (CT): A hidden WTF resistance line (yellow) from the weekly timeframe was also taken out, adding further confluence to the move.
Cup & Handle Breakout (Cyan Zone): A recent cup & handle breakout with strong volume clusters confirms bullish momentum.
Trading at 50-Day High: The stock is now at a new short-term high, indicating sustained strength in price action.
Glossary (For Better Understanding):
Broadening Pattern: A technical formation where price swings increase in magnitude, forming an expanding structure.
Supply-Demand Flip: A price zone that initially acted as a supply (resistance) but later turned into a demand (support) after a breakout.
Counter-Trendline (CT): A hidden trendline that acts as a resistance within a prevailing trend, often creating liquidity traps.
WTF Hidden Resistance: A key level that isn't easily visible but plays a crucial role in price reactions.
Cup & Handle Breakout: A bullish continuation pattern indicating accumulation before a breakout.
Volume Clusters: Areas where heavy trading activity occurs, often signaling accumulation or distribution zones.
🚀 Conclusion: With multiple bullish confluences, volume backing, and a clean breakout, this trade setup presents a high-probability swing & positional opportunity. However, risk management remains key!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you tracking this setup?
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment.
Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high.
Scenario
An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment.
DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach
Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below).
The case for beginning the investment approach now
The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment.
The case against beginning the investment approach now
The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH.
Swing trade
Entry: 200
TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head
SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL )
R/R: 1:2
The case for the swing trade
The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times.
The against a swing trade
Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade.
Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
SOXL Has Room to Run?This one has a double bottom look, with a higher low, and another 4% remaining to hit take profit enroute to retesting the neckline before breaking out (another 8% from here) or balance and fail! Stop loss of 5% is pretty steep, so typically I either lower my position size or stop loss. Even at 4% stop loss, according to backtest results this wins more than it loses and has done pretty decent in the past, as I have been forward testing this model for over the past 18 months and profiting from over 100 different equities that I signal on.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes! SOXL and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). Check out my script, as I am always looking for people to help test and I am always interested in feedback...