Swingtrade
The USD index look set to trade to and through 104We have remained bullish the US dollar the past few weeks, and continue to suspect there are plenty of shorts to be covered as markets finally concede that fewer Fed cuts are coming this year and already priced in.
The dollar has posted a strong rally YTD, and after a brief consolidation momentum is trying to turn higher with a bullish outside candle. It's not major surprise to see it is holding beneath the 200-day EMA, but it did close above the 200-day MA. And if the US delivers a strong set of flash PMI figures or PCE inflation data, we suspect the US dollar can travel to and through 105 on its way to 105.
Potential swing trade long on AUD/USDLike NZD/USD, the Aussie is refusing to roll over despite a strong US inflation report. That is in itself a sign of strength.
The daily chart is yet to see a close beneath the Q3 open, and the lows are holding above the 50-day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci level. A bullish RSI divergence also formed from the oversold zone to suggest a swing low has formed or is near.
The bias remains bullish above last week's low ad for an initial move to 0.6750 - a break above which assumes a move for 0.6800.
The DAX could be at (or near) a swing lowIndex futures held their ground overnight, and the US dollar's rally is showing signs of near-term exhaustion. And that indicates a subtle change in sentiment ahead of today's open.
The DAX found support at its 50day EMA on Wednesday, which is just above the 2021 high. Given a small-ranged bullish hammer formed alongside higher volume suggests a 'change in hands' between sellers to buyers, so we're on guard for a bounce.
Bulls could seek to enter within yesterday's range with a stop beneath the 2021 high and initially target gap resistance around 16,490 - a break above which brings 16,600 into focus for bulls.
However, as we suspect the US dollar is set to extend its gains after a pause in its rally and that equities are yet to make a decent retracement, we're anticipating another leg lower towards the support zone just above 16,000.
EURAUD - Look for Continuation Short 1:5! Building upon the previous analysis of EURAUD as shared in the link:
The recent price action indicates a ranging phase before a potential break of the previously identified Monthly Support Level. Considering the principle that larger time frames involve longer accumulation phases before transitioning into trending phases, it seems plausible that a downtrend may be in the making. The two strong rejections and the formation of a Double Top Chart Pattern, a reversal pattern, support this observation.
In navigating this scenario, exercise patience and adopt a waiting approach for the price to convincingly break the monthly support. Seek confirmation through a strong breakout with a closed body and be vigilant for the crucial retest phase before considering any moves.
Given the onset of a new Yearly Candle, it's advisable to allow the price to establish its own structures, especially after most investors have positioned their orders. Stay tuned for further developments.
AUDCHF: Trend-Following Opportunity 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bearish trend.
After a strong selling wave, the pair was consolidating for 2 weeks
within a narrow range on a daily.
Yesterday, the support of the range was broken.
We see its retest now.
I expect a bearish movement lower.
At least to 0.5636 level.
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ITI for Swing/Positional ViewITI Prediction for Swing/ Posional Trading
First trendline breakout at Entry 1 level. You can entry at Entry 1 level above 125.5 but there is a resistance 132-134 level. You can enter in trade at Entry 2 level above 134 close daily basis or you can entry at any of the above levels according to your experience.
SLs- 122,118,112( according to your entry and RRR)
Targets- 144,165,197,250,…
Intermediate Targets- 140,155,176,187,208,219,229,240,260,…
According to your “STOMACH” book your profit. Always maintain your risk management.
Watch Carefully – The Chart Explains For Itself.
Can anyone tell me which chat patterns are shown up here?
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult your Financial Advisor before taking any decision or trade.
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Happy trading.
About ITI -
ITI Ltd. engages in the business of manufacturing, trading, and servicing of telecommunications equipment and rendering other associated and ancillary services. It offers telecom products and total solutions covering the whole spectrum of switching, transmission, access, and subscriber premises equipment. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Bangalore, India.
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Bearish potential detected for UUP & DXY (ie --> USD weakness)Following US dollar strength looking at DXY during the final hour of trade this morning on the US markets, both DXY and UUP represent a potential bearish opportunity should momentum continue and lower highs and lower lows be made past the current position, aligning with technical indicators of RSI and DMI. Personal stop loss for the trade would be the high of the chart formation on 03-Oct (i.e.: above the high of $30.07 for UUP and $107.348 for DXY).
DEN Networks for Swing/Positional DEN Networks Prediction for Swing/ Posional Trading
You can enter into trade above Entry level (49) daily close basis . CMP is 47.10 . There is a resistance 48.40-48.70 level. It can again come to 45 level or touch more low.
Strong Supports are shown in the chart.
Targets- 57,71,94,100,…
Intermediate Targets- 51.5,54,60,63,66,69,80,86,92,98,..
According to your “STOMACH” book your profit. Always maintain your risk management.
Watch Carefully – The Chart Explains For Itself.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult your Financial Advisor before taking any decision or trade.
Request: Please support by Like, follow, comment, share and boost.
Happy trading.
About DEN Networks –
DEN Networks Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the distribution and promotion of television channels through digital cable distribution network. It operates through the Cable and Broadband segments. The Cable segment includes distribution and promotion of television channels. The Broadband segment offers internet services. The company was founded by Sameer Manchanda on July 10, 2007 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
You can follow me in social media through links given below-
NZDCHF LONG SWING TRADEConsider entering a long position on the NZD/CHF pair at 0.53160 with a stop loss set at 0.51933. This trade reflects a potential upward movement based on my analysis strategy. The risk-reward ratio stands at approximately 1.9, offering a favorable balance between potential gains and losses. Monitor market conditions and be prepared to adjust the position accordingly.
EURCHF: Time For Correction?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
After a strong bearish impulse, EURCHF was consolidating for 2 weeks
within a narrow range on a daily.
Yesterday's CPI report triggered a bullish reaction on the pair.
It managed to violate the upper boundary of the range.
I think that the market may start a correctional movement now.
Closest resistance - 0.94
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Potential swing trade long for NZD/USDWe've seen a nice pullback on NZD/USD into a prior volume cluster, false break of 0.62 with a doji and a bullish divergence with the RSI (2).
Assuming US CPI doesn't surprise to the upside, this looks like a decent swing trade long setup. Although a risk-on vibe and broad USD weakness is required to make it work.
Take note that 1-day implied volatility is 2.5x its 20-day average, which is the highest among FX majors. The NZ-US CESI spread is also diminishing to show economic data from New Zealand is faring better than the US on a relative basis.
A break beneath the doji low invalidates the bullish bias.
EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY managed to violate a neckline of an ascending triangle formation
on a daily and closed above that.
It confirms the dominance of the buyers and increases the chances that the market returns to a global bullish trend.
The next goal for buyers will be 161.2
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Chambal Fertilizers - Ready for up-move.Stock gave break out from historical resistance on 26 Dec 23 with good volumes. Retest of the same completed today. A short-term long side opportunity may unfold if price breached 388 level with good volumes (preferably more than today) then stock may test 440-450 zone. sl to be kept below 367.5. RS and Volume are good. Momentum needed for trade to achieve desired target is not yet visible.
ELECON- Keep on RadarStock has formed Cup & Handle pattern. Price breakout of the handle was seen on 26 Dec 23 with good volumes, but stock started trading in a tight range right below the absolute top of the cup pattern with low volume. if price breaks above 950/- Level with good volumes and breakout sustains, the stock may give a good upwards move of 25% to 28%.
Entry: Above 990; SL: Below 905.
DIS Bullish Target 110 for April 1Taking a look at the weekly chart, Disney is beginning to show signs of a bottom with the RSI divergence dictation along with strong bullish impulse off these lows.
With that said, stocks to tend to underperform in January and I'm expecting to see similar follow through with DIS which is why my bullish target of 110 is set for April 1
Trade Safe - Trade Well
HOLDING UP MY 3 SWING POSITIONSWe are almost done with the first week of the year 2024, and still, my 3 open swing positions are holding up.
Currently, if I close all these 3 positions now, the results will generally GAIN.
I will keep holding this as long as the market does not hit my SL and TSL.
Happy Trading everyone in this Community!!!