Time to Short?A push to the upside ahead of BOE Gov Bailey"s Speech tomorrow. Could this be a bull trap setting up to trigger the next sell off ? If we continue to see Dollar strength in the market over the next few days this may well be the catalyst leading to a much weaker Pound over the next few weeks. A bearish monthly close for February signals bearish sentiment for March.
Swingtrade
BRIGADE - Bullish Swing ReversalNSE: BRIGADE is closing with a bullish swing reversal candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the trendline support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 11% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.
Yemi_Fx1 | Short for GBPJPYOn GBPJPY the current price pattern is an ascending channel that's more clearer on 15min Timeframe and which is also inline with the 1HTF structure (Pattern inside pattern), if it holds
I'll be considering
A Risk entry type at the top of the bearish structure at an area of value.
Reduced risk entry after the impulsive back down followed by a tight flag or break of the flag.
Share your thoughts in the comments and show your support for the idea by liking it. Thank you for your help.
GBP Set for Record Breaking LowsThe Pound closed weak on Friday as the bearish sentiment continues to drive the market with what appears to be a Double Top on the Daily Timeframe
1.19000 marks what could be the neckline where buyers may attempt to regain control
A break of 1.19000 confirms Double Top and should trigger more shorts
In September 2022 the Pound dropped to 1.0350 forming a 37-year all time low
A break of this low would once again set new records
First Targets will be at the September 2022 lows
A break below could see the Pound trading as low as 0.98000 or lower over the next few months
BABA (Long Swing Idea - trendline bounce, fib retracement, S&R)Trade Rationale:
BABA is looking great for a 2 to 4 week expiration Options Call swing play. It is currently holding a previous resistance turned support area between $100 and $103. In confluence with this level, BABA has also completed a fibonacci retracement back to the 50% level almost perfectly. It is also holding the 200 ema on the 4H and Daily timeframes in confluence with the formation of a falling wedge and 3rd touch on the current uptrend support line (created from the lows of the Oct 24th and Nov 9th daily candles). While we're at it, let's go ahead and add in the bullish divergence on the 4H and Daily timeframes. NOTE: There are currently 4 gaps on BABA's chart right now, 2 above current price and 3 below current price.
Trade Idea:
I am looking to play calls with at least a 2 to 4 week expiration date with a strike price of 107c (Targeting the first gap above current price between $106.63 and $107.79.) The more time on the contract the less THETA decay eats away at the value of the contract. Also consider a contract with a breakeven close to your target as well as an options contract that doesn't have high Implied Volatility, because if IV slows and begins to revert back to the mean value your options contracts could still loss value from IV crush. Basically control for the effect that the options greeks will have on your contracts to maximize gains and minimize losses. My ultimate take profit is at the origin of the falling wedge which is also the beginning of the second gap above the current price between $113 and $116. I will look to place a STOP LOSS (Exit Trade) below $101.87 and 100.53 and will exit if a daily candle closes below these levels.
MASFIN - Bullish Swing ReversalNSE: MASFIN is closing with a bullish swing reversal candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the trendline support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 11% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.
Is EUR/USD set to reclaim 1.0800?On Friday the euro tried (but failed) to close below the ‘pandemic low’, instead closing the day with a bullish hammer candle. It also closed back above the 50-day EMA and has continued to hold above it during Asian trade. Given the fact the US is on a public holiday and data is light, we see the potential for range trading – which means bulls may be tempted to enter around the range lows and see if it can get back up to 1.800.
SWING TRADING: LONG EURUSD. TARGET 1.11500TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY LONG
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.06350
STOP LOSS: 1.040000
TAKE PROFIT: 1.11480
RISK TO REWARD: >1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
SWING TRADING: SHORT USDJPY. TARGET 126.800TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY SHORT
TRADE DIRECTION: SHORT
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
ENTRY PRICE: 134.750
STOP LOSS: 136.350
TAKE PROFIT: 126.800
RISK TO REWARD: 1:5
ANALYSIS: Price broke the demand zone / support and is likely looking to aim for upcoming demand zone / support. stop loss ideally placed above supply zone / swing high
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
NTPC - Consolidation BreakoutNSE: NTPC is closing with a consolidation breakout candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the trendline support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 12% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.
CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
Goal for buyers - 101.0
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US30 forming one of the most consistent patternsEIGHTCAP:US30
Of all the patterns I've traded, the trend line breakout, especially on the US30, has been very consistently profitable. When I see it being formed, my bias begins to shift in that direction.
The US30 is currently forming a flag, with indecision and growing tension being expressed from market participants. What I'll be looking for, as a follow-up to my previous US30 analysis, is a move down to test the previous swing low and to probe liquidity beyond that. Should this happen, it will be an aggressive move down there but also a sharp recoil back to close above the swing points low, which will form the SFP bar. This will also be just beyond the ATR, creating even more reaction in this zone, and also a 3rd push down, creating a descending wedge for even more bullish bias.
From there, I expect the trend line on the H4 to be completed and for the reversal to unfold. Target for this trade would be towards the top of the flag, at previous resistance just below the highest swing point.
Stop would be placed below the SFP bar.
Note: My long position E/S/TP are based on approximations of what would be close to ideal should this unfold as I anticipate.
FDC - Bullish Breakout with VolumesNSE: FDC is closing with a bullish breakout candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the trendline support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 13% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.
Bearish Play on USDCHFEIGHTCAP:USDCHF
Last Friday's daily bar closed as a shooting star, indicated bearish sentiment. On top of that, it also finished as a SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) from a previous swing high, another bearish confluence.
I'm expecting a run down to the previous swing low which is where I'll be taking profit.
Entry is at an imbalance and stop is set above the most recent swing high.
SWING TRADING: LONG USDCAD. TARGET 1.42000TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY LONG
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.34500 TO 1.35000
STOP LOSS: 1.28600
TAKE PROFIT: 1.420000
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
EURJPY: Breakout & Bullish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇯🇵
So, this week, EURJPY broke a key daily structure resistance and closed above that.
We saw a positive bullish reaction from that on Friday.
Probabilities will be high that the market will keep growing next week.
Goals: 145.0 / 146.37
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KSB - Bullish Breakout with VolumesNSE: KSB is closing with a bullish breakout candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the trendline support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 13% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.
GBP/USD grinds higher, but bears eye break of 1.20US producer prices, manufacturing and housing data in focus
No miracles will be expected for US housing data given the Fed’s hikes, but it will be interesting to see if the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index contracts at a much faster pace, like the NY State Empire equivalent did yesterday. And with US retail sales hitting a near 2-year high and inflation hotter than expected, all evidence points towards a soft landing for the US and a case for more hikes. And that view could be bolstered if US producer prices come in hotter than expected today – and it could further support the US dollar on hawkish bets.
GBP/USD 1-hour chart:
Whilst GBP/USD has dragged itself from its post-CPI lows, key resistance looms and momentum could favour further downside. Yesterday’s soft-than-expected inflation report for the UK came as a welcomed surprise, which helped the pound quickly erase all of Tuesday’s hot employment gains. After briefly trading below 1.20, GBP/USD has produced a countertrend move in the form of a potential bear channel / flag. Given the relative hawkishness of the Fed and strong US data, my bias for GBP/USD to break below 1.20. So I’m now looking for evidence of a swing high around or below the weekly and daily pivot points (a break above which invalidates the bearish bias).
Note that the downside band of 1-day implied volatility is just beneath the daily and weekly S1 pivots, and the downside band for 1-week IV is just below 1.1800.