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Sellers unable to push USDCHF below 0.84; possible upward move?The U.S. dollar to Swiss franc currency pair (USD/CHF) had been trading sideways above a key support level on the daily chart, marking the lowest price since 2015. In addition, a double bottom pattern has formed, signaling that sellers have been unable to continue pushing the price below 0.8400.
On Friday, Oct. 4, the USDCHF broke out of its sideways pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential buying momentum. A possible upward movement could take the price to the 0.8800 level in a few days.
Hot US jobs report, lower-than-expected unemployment favours the dollar
From a macroeconomic standpoint, Friday’s US nonfarm payroll (NFP) data came in well above expectations (254,000 actual vs. 147,000 forecast), pointing to a robust labor market with potential incoming growth over the coming months, which tends to favor the USD.
The NFP data also appears to have led markets to price out expectations of an outsized 50-basis-point interest rate by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting — which could have led to more weakening in the US dollar.
The dollar has also benefited from safe-haven flows amidst rising tensions in the Middle East, with the IDF starting ground operations in Lebanon and Iran unleashing a large-scale ballistic missile attack on Israel for the second time.
Therefore, from a technical standpoint, we can observe the following:
USD/CHF at its lowest level since 2015.
Formation of a double bottom on the daily chart.
Sideways movement above support.
Friday's breakout indicating a potential uptick in buying activity.
From a macroeconomic standpoint, the following factors are in play:
NFP data surpassed expectations (254,000 actual vs. 147,000 forecast).
Unemployment rate came in lower than expected (4.1% actual vs. 4.2% forecast).
Together, these factors suggest that USD/CHF could appreciate, potentially reaching 0.8800 in the near term.
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EURAUD Long term longs, get in now or wait for pullbacksSimple technical analysis here, price has been wallowing around these lows for a while and it's the bottom of the higher time frame channel, great opportunity to start buying here with great risk reward.
Buy now and hold or wait for pullbacks if you're more conservative. Not sure on targets, would hope for a 50% pullback at least or possibly higher but that's a long hold.
Amazon $AMZN - Next leg up??There is a 3 day time at mode bullish trend thathas just been triggered and is set to expire on Oct 7.
Ideal re-entry upon a retrace toward mid $170's or upon a bullish break above $190.
Weekly timeframe had a massive bullish engulfing bar on last week's close which adds confluence.
Gold and luck to climbConsidering the news of the war and contractionary policies of the American government and the reduction of interest rates and the approach of the central and major banks of the world to buy and save gold, I expect gold to move up to the range of $2,800 in the first stage.
But in the short-term analysis, according to what you can see in the chart, we have an upward movement up to the specified range, and after that we will continue with the analysis update.
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