USDCHF: Bearish Reversal Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
One of the setups that we discussed on a today live stream was on USDCHF.
The price violated both a neckline of an inverted cup & handle pattern
and a support line of a rising parallel channel on a daily.
The broken horizontal support and a trend line compose
the expanding supply zone now.
With a high probability, the price will drop from that at least to 0.9047 level.
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Swingtrader
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD formed 2 bearish patterns on a daily:
first, the price violated a support line of a rising parallel channel,
a neckline of a double top formation was violated then.
It indicates a strong bearish pressure on the market.
The market may reach 1.475 support soon.
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ASX futures tease bearish with a potential swing highSanta's rally put in a poor performance this year. ASX futures sold off into Christmas before the 200-day SMA and 8000 handle came before the market eked out a weak comeback into the new year. Yet price action on the daily chart suggests we could be approaching a swing high.
It appears we're in a third wave higher from 8000, yet momentum lacks the legs of the initial bounce to suggest an ABC correction could be nearing an end. The 50-day SMA has so far capped today's rally and could leave a bearish pinbar should it close the day around current levels. A multi-week bearish divergence has formed on the RSI (14) and the daily RSI (2) is approaching overbought.
The bias is to fade into moves towards the 50-day SMA and target the November low. But if appetite for risk truly sours, we could see prices break beneath the 200-day SMA and 8000 level and head for the lower trendline of the rising channel.
MS
BTCUSD ShortOn the higher timeframe we've broken a down trendline and price has stalled out, not completing the Fibonacci sequence. We had a shallow retracement.
I see the potential for retracement to $77K to $79K with the potential for deeper retracement to $68K should we break the key level of support to the downside.
GBPAUD BuyI believe we are still in an uptrend to 2.16XXX.
On the lower timeframe, price had so much momentum to the upside, we did not have a fibonacci retracement of at least 38.2. Price stalled out at the 1.18 and 1.27 D extension and sold to the 61.8 level.
I believe the 4HR fib is still active and needs to complete.
I think our next stop is 2.063XX to finish out the current sequence.
4HR and Daily stochastic are in the buy zones.
GBPJPY: More Growth is Coming?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY broke and closed above a resistance line of an expanding
wedge pattern on a daily.
It indicates a strong bullish momentum and highly probable
bullish continuation.
With a high probability, the price will reach 196.6 level soon.
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ASX 200 futures look set to bounceThe Nasdaq reached a record high and the S&P 500 is close to reaching its own record high. So while the Dow was lower for a fourth day, 2 out of 3 indices rising could help support the ASX today.
It's been over a week since the ASX began retracing from its record high, and with prices now trying to form a base above the monthly pivot point and historical weekly VPOC (volume point of control), I'm now looking for longs.
The ASX has opened lower but remains within the overnight range. Assuming prices hold above the spike low, the bias is for a move higher to last week's VAL (value area low) or VPOC.
Why we don't trust this bounce on AUD/JPYMy short AUD/JPY bias sprang into action quicker than I expected two weeks ago. While support has since been found, it looks like it wants to retrace against that initial drop. Yet I have my eyes on the bigger (and more bearish) prize, and when comparing this cross to other yen pairs, I suspect another leg lower could be due when the current bounce fizzles out as anticipated.
MS
AMBER: Wave 5 Setup in Progress AMBER Enterprises (AMBER): Wave 5 Setup in Progress
Wave Analysis:
The stock is currently in the Wave 4 corrective zone between 5,762 - 5,667 INR, a key support area.
A potential liquidity sweep below 5,667 INR could attract strong buying interest.
Target zones for Wave 5 completion are 6,976 - 7,127 INR.
Key Observations:
Wave Structure: Completion of Waves 1, 2, and 3; Wave 4 is nearing a reversal zone.
Liquidity Sweep Potential: A dip below 5,667 INR might collect stop-loss liquidity before reversing.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Look for entry near 5,762 - 5,667 INR upon confirmation of reversal (e.g., bullish candle with volume).
Monitor behavior if prices dip below 5,667 INR and recover sharply.
Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss below 5,060 INR (invalidates Wave 4).
Target Levels:
First target: 6,500 INR (partial profit booking).
Final target: 7,000+ INR (completion of Wave 5).
Indicators to Monitor:
RSI for oversold conditions at entry zones.
Volume confirmation during reversal.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
Netflix - Please Buy This All Time High!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the resistance trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Netflix is currently perfectly breaking above the previous all time high and with a +16% candle of November, bulls are totally in control of this stock. If we look at previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that Netflix will now retest the upper resistance trendline of the reverse triangle.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NZDCAD: Important Bearish Breakout 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
The broken structure turned into a strong resistance now.
Taking into consideration the fact that the pair is trading
in a strong bearish trend since the end of September,
we can expect its continuation.
Next support - 0.507
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AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation Signal 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD set a new lower low lower close on a daily,
violating a support line of a descending triangle pattern.
It indicates a continuation of a current bearish trend.
We can expect a bearish movement to 0.64 level
with a consequent continuation to 0.637
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NZDJPY: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY broke and closed below a support line of a wide horizontal
parallel channel on a daily.
The broken structure turned into resistance now.
With a high probability, the market will continue falling
and reach 88.7 level soon.
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XRPUSD: The Next Bull Run is NearXRPUSD is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I'm excited to share my analysis with fellow traders.
Market Context and Probabilities
In this environment, I will leverage probabilities to strategically position myself for long entries. The key support level at $0.54 has held strong, and breaking through the resistance at $0.68 could pave the way for a rally towards $0.93 and beyond. With the altcoin market gaining traction, XRP is poised to attract more buyers, especially if we see increased trading volume that confirms this bullish trend.
Global Fundamentals Aligning with Bullish Sentiment
On a broader scale, several fundamental factors are supporting this bullish bias. The recent US elections have injected optimism into the crypto market, contributing to XRP's impressive 134% increase since November 6. Additionally, ongoing developments in regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies are fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets like XRP.
The combination of technical indicators and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for a bullish outlook.
Let's capitalize on these opportunities together!
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
12M:
2W:
4H:
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought.
However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
EURCHFHello Traders,
Here’s my analysis for this currency pair. Feel free to leave any questions or comments below.
Note: The entry will only be considered once the conditions align with your strategy. I recommend adding this pair to your watchlist and monitoring it closely for potential opportunities.
Pro Tip:
One of the best ways to improve your trading skills is by learning from others. Whether it’s market analysis or trade setups, studying different ideas will not only help strengthen your skills but also refine your strategies.
Good luck and happy trading!
GBPJPYHello Traders,
Here’s my analysis for this currency pair. Feel free to leave any questions or comments below.
Note: The entry will only be considered once the conditions align with your strategy. I recommend adding this pair to your watchlist and monitoring it closely for potential opportunities.
Pro Tip:
One of the best ways to improve your trading skills is by learning from others. Whether it’s market analysis or trade setups, studying different ideas will not only help strengthen your skills but also refine your strategies.
Good luck and happy trading!
Heng Seng seeks rally from 61.8% fib level (7th time this year)This is purely observational, but today I noticed that Hang Seng futures have risen from a 61.8% Fibonacci level six times this year. And as the rallies have landed anywhere between 6.5% to nearly 50%, it is worth noting that it is trying to rally from it a seventh.
A 3-day bullish reversal pattern formed on Monday (morning star formation) and the daily RSI (2) was oversold on Friday. Bulls could seek dis back towards the 61.8% in anticipation of a leg higher to 20k or 20.5k over the near term.
MS
The S&P 500 just hit me with a 'deja vous' - gains to follow?Once every so often I look at a chart and instantly get struck by a familiar pattern, which is exactly what happened today with the S&P 500 futures chart. And with asset managers firmly backing the ES1! futures market, I'm not on guard for a bounce form support. Just as long as Nvidia earnings allow.
MS.