Swingtrader
EURJPY: Bearish Outlook After Massive Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY was consolidating within a horizontal trading range for the entire September.
The market finally dropped yesterday and successfully closed below the support of the range.
The broken support now turned into a strong resistance.
I will anticipate a bearish movement from that to 155.12 / 154.5
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EURAUD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal trading range on a daily.
Taking into consideration the fact that the pair is trading in a minor bearish trend
since the middle of August, such a violation may signify the remaining strength
of the sellers.
I expect a bearish continuation to 1.6275
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GBPUSD: One More Breakout 🇬🇧🇺🇸
It turned out that GBPUSD violated one more key daily structure support and closed below that.
The next key structure that I see is 1.2010 - 1.2055 area.
That will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
For shorting, consider the contracting area based on a falling trend line and a broken structure.
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NZDJPY: Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY broke and closed above a key daily structure resistance.
Taking into consideration that the market is currently rallying,
such a violation may trigger one more bullish wave.
I anticipate a bullish continuation to 89.4
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CHFJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY formed an important high momentum bearish candle last week.
With one single candle, the pair violated a lower boundary of a horizontal range,
and the market also closed below a major rising trend line.
It makes me think that the pair may go lower.
Goals: 162.42 / 160.8
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Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE
Hey traders,
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market, while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
EURUSD LOSS EXPLANATIONSo yesterday i took a trade on EURUSD,and as every trader took a loss,so lets try to explain why did a loss happen,as said i took a sell because i saw 0.5 fib being respected and rejected,and my entry was good,but as u see i didnt draw a blue line that hold my price from going down
I should wait for a better confirmation and BOS-Break of structure or some kind of a lower hi,lower low being formed
EURAUD: Bearish Reversal Confirmed?! 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
Even though, EURAUD is trading in a long-term bullish trend,
we can not deny the following bearish clues:
First, the pair violated a support line of a rising parallel channel and closed below that on a daily.
Second, the price formed a descending triangle formation and broke its neckline as well.
We have 2 important bearish confirmations now.
The market may easily drop lower.
Targets - 1.640 / 1.628
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NZDCAD: Bearish Trend Will Continue 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is trading in a long-term bearish trend.
However, the market was consolidating the entire August within a horizontal range on a daily.
The support of the range was finally broken last week.
It is an important sign of strength of the sellers, and it indicates a highly probable bearish continuation.
The prices may go lower at least to 0.7936 support
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CADCHF: Your Detailed Trading Plan 🇨🇦🇨🇭
Take a look at CADCHF.
The pair broke and closed above a key daily resistance last week.
The price is currently consolidating with a narrow horizontal range, retesting the broken structure.
Your intraday bullish confirmation to buy will be a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range.
4H candle close above 0.6643 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated to 0.6655 / 0.6665 levels then.
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CADCHF: Bullish Pattern & Important Breakout 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF formed a cup & handle pattern on a daily time frame.
The neckline of the pattern was broken yesterday.
It now turned into a strong support.
The market may go much higher now.
Next resistance - 0.66
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EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal range
and a rising trend line.
The violation of both horizontal and vertical key structures is an important sign
of strength of the sellers.
The prices may go much lower now.
Next support - 1.4505
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NZDJPY: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Update for NZDJPY.
The price formed an ascending triangle formation on a 4h time frame.
To buy with a confirmation, wait for a bullish breakout of 0.8707 - a neckline of a triangle.
4H candle close above that will confirm a violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 0.8746 / 0.877
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AUDCHF: Important Resistance to Watch 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a long term bearish trend.
After setting a new lower low, the market is correcting within an expanding wedge pattern.
Ahead, I see a significant supply cluster based on a major falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
The next trend-following wave may initiate from that.
Your bearish confirmation will be a bearish breakout of the support of the wedge.
Daily candle close below will confirm the violation.
A bearish movement will be expected to 0.5626 then
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NZDJPY: Classic Swing Long Setup 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY is trading in a long term bullish trend.
After setting a new high, the market retraced to a major rising trend line.
The price formed a cup and handle pattern,
bounced, violated a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern
and closed above a horizontal neckline.
Feels like, bullish trend will continue.
Goals: 87.77 / 88.28
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EURJPY: Consolidation & Complete Indecision 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is currently trading within a narrow horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the side of a breakout, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 159.5 resistance on a daliy,
I will expect a bullish movement at least to 160.5 level.
Bearish Scenario
If the market violates 157.4 support and closes below that,
a bearish movement will be anticipated to 156.1 level.
As always, breakout is the best confirmation,
so wait patiently for that.
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EURUSD: Your Detailed Trading Plan For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD is currently trading between 2 solid key levels.
Depending on the reaction of the price to these structures,
I see 2 potential scenarios next week.
IF the price breaks and closes above 1.094,
I will expect a bullish movement at least to 1.101.
IF the price violates 1.083 support and closes below that,
a bearish continuation will be anticipated to 1.079
The main catalyst next week will be Powell's speech.
Pay close attention to this news and wait for a breakout.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Consolidation Continues 💸
Dollar Index in consolidating within a horizontal trading range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 102.85 resistance on a daily,
I will expect a bullish continuation to 103.3 area.
Bearish Scenarios
If the price breaks and closes below 101.35 support,
a bearish movement will be expected to 100.6 level.
As always, the best strategy to follow is to wait for a breakout.
For now, it feels like the market will keep staying within the range though.
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