SOL Trade Blueprint: Waiting for the High-Conviction EntryAfter printing a SFP at the key high of $180.52 followed by a sharp -8% rejection, SOL made a second attempt to breach the major resistance zone between $180–$185 — but once again, bulls fell short. Since then, price has been in a corrective phase. So the big question is: where’s the next high-probability trade setup? Let’s zoom out and break it down.
📏 Zooming Out: Structure, FVG & Fib Confluence
Back on May 8th, SOL broke through the April 25th swing high at $157 with strong momentum, leaving behind an untested Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a key displacement area that’s yet to be filled. When we draw the Fibonacci retracement from the low of that move to the current high, the 0.618 retracement lands precisely at $157.34 — right on the old breakout high. That’s a beautiful confluence.
Timing-wise, if SOL pulls back to that level between May 21–22, the 0.75 Fib speed fan also kicks in — adding dynamic trendline support to the static Fib level.
📉 What About the $164 Golden Pocket?
There's a golden pocket forming around $164 from a recent mini-impulse, and while it may look tempting, context matters. This pocket isn't supported by enough confluence — no major structure, volume shelf, or EMA alignment. For a quick scalp? Yes. But for a high-conviction swing? It's not ideal.
Remember, in trading we're not here to chase every candle — we're here to wait for the setups that stack the most reasons to say yes.
📍 The Zone to Watch: $157
Now let’s talk about that $157 zone — and why it’s standing out as the highest-probability long setup:
0.618 Fib retracement of the major impulse
Retest of the breakout swing high
Untested Fair Value Gap (FVG)
233 EMA + 233 SMA on the 4H timeframe lining up as dynamic support
1.5 outer pitchfork support line crossing through
1:1 trend-based Fib extension confluence
Prior area of interest
This is what we call a “stacked setup.” The more layers of confluence, the more conviction we have in the trade. Add to that the potential for a liquidity sweep (SFP) just below the current low at $159.44 — and it becomes a zone worth watching closely.
🎯 Long Setup:
Entry: $157–$159.44 (watch for SFP confirmation)
Stop-Loss: Below $154
Target: $200
R:R: Approx. 1:12 — a setup worth being patient for
🧠 Educational Note: Why Confluence Is King
High-probability trades don’t come from guessing. They come from stacking confluence: structure, Fibonacci, moving averages, time-based levels, pitchforks, VWAPs, volume profiles — the more that lines up, the less you need to hope and the more you can trust your edge. Think like a sniper, not a machine gun.
The market rewards patience and precision — not noise and FOMO.
🔻 Short Setup (Alternative Play)
While we’re primarily bullish, there’s a valid short opportunity at the psychological $200 mark — but only if price shows clear rejection and confirmation (e.g. SFP, bearish engulfing, high volume reversal).
Entry: $200 rejection
Stop-Loss: Above $205
Target: $185–$180
R:R: Approx. 1:3+
🔥 Final Words: Trade With Purpose
This is what trading is about — not chasing green candles, but waiting for structure, clarity, and alignment. Whether you’re trading long or short, focus on high-conviction setups backed by logic and levels, not emotion.
Don’t trade for action. Trade for precision. The market will always reward the patient ones who are willing to wait for that clean entry, stacked with reasons to act.
Trust the process, stay disciplined, and let the charts do the talking. 💪📈
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