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Swingtrading

ASX to new highs, or fakeout in the making?The ASX 200 futures chart reached a record high on Wednesday, and momentarily traded above 8400. Yet repeatedly we see the market hold above this level (also note the weekly R3 pivot is within the area). A bearish divergence is forming on the 1-hour chart, so the bias is for a false break of the highs and retracement lower ahead of its next sustained record high. Bears could seek a move towards the 20-hour or 50-hour EMA, or bulls could wait for such a level to be respected as support before rejoining the bullish trend. *Take note that AU employment data is released in just over 1hr* MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
WILL EIGEN REACH $4 BEFORE END OF OCTOBER? The probability of reaching $4 is very possible. Here are my confluences: - Weekly Low at $3.29 which had liquidity resting just got raided. - Q4 has seasonally been great for Cryptocurrencies over the years so I expect a great end to Q4 for EIGENUSDT. - Price is currently testing the Daily Bullish Order Block which is within the Range Discount Array. - There is more Liquidity resting above current price rather than below current market price. - Targeting price to reach $3.72 , $3.91 and $4 for this Long entry. Trading is risky so always use proper risk management. Happy Trading Pals
Long
by Evaliste
Bitcoin Warming Up: $74K Breakout or a Pit Stop at $66K?Good morning, Trading Family! Bitcoin is in cruising mode, hovering around $68K, and the market’s energy is building. Will it rev up and shoot toward $74K, or will it need a breather and drift back to $66K? It’s like watching BTC decide if it’s ready to party or just stretch out on the couch for a while. With key levels in play—$68K acting as the middle ground—it’s all about which side grabs the wheel. Green arrows are signaling a breakout if momentum kicks in, but those red arrows are lurking, ready to drag it back down if buyers run out of steam. Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for. – Mindbloome Trader
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla at a Crossroads: Will It Bounce to $275 or Slide to $202?Tesla’s at a make-or-break moment—are we looking at a nice correction back up to $275, or is it about to drop through the floor to $213, $208, and maybe even $202? If that $208 level doesn’t hold, we’ve got a strong 50% Fibonacci support around $203-$202—but whether it’ll catch Tesla or not is anyone’s guess. Let’s dive into the key levels to watch and figure out if Tesla’s going to rebound or if we’re in for a deeper slide. If you found this useful, give it a like, share your thoughts in the comments, and hit follow for more updates. Your support means a lot—after all, I need something to hold me up when Tesla can’t hold $208! Mindbloome Trader
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Will NVDA Bounce or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch at $129 and BGood evening Trading Family NVDA is at a critical point right now—will it bounce back from $129, or are we headed down to $126 (or lower)? Let’s dive into the key levels I’m watching and break down what might happen next. If the market holds up, we could see a solid bounce, but if not... well, buckle up for a bigger drop. No fluff—just some good ol' technical analysis with a dash of Fibonacci and candlestick magic. If you found this helpful (or just mildly entertaining), give it a like, drop a comment with your thoughts, and hit follow for more updates. Your engagement helps me keep the content coming—and who knows, it might even help NVDA bounce back too! MB Trader Trade what you see not what you assume
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
USOIL: Bullish Fundamentals and 61.60% Probability for LongsKey Fundamentals - Decreased OPEC Exports: Recent reports indicate a decline in crude oil exports from OPEC and Russia, tightening the market as refinery runs ramp up for seasonal demand. This reduction in supply is likely to exert upward pressure on prices2. - Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine, continue to add a risk premium to oil prices. Traders are increasingly factoring these uncertainties into their market strategies2. - Rising Demand: With the U.S. economy showing signs of recovery and better-than-expected market fundamentals, demand for oil is anticipated to rise, further supporting higher prices12. - Technical Indicators: Current market sentiment shows USOIL trading above its pivot point of $74.80, with support levels around $74.00. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.16, indicating a healthy trend without being overbought1. I'm employing a probability-based strategy to position myself for long trades in USOIL. By incorporating these fundamentals and probability analysis into my trading approach, I aim to leverage the current bullish sentiment in USOIL effectively. 12M: 2W: Hourly TFs:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
What Is Money Flow In & Out of a Stock? And Why Should You Care?Professionals often speak of money flowing in or out of a stock, but how can that be if there is an equal number of buyers and sellers? It is because “Money Flow” comes from the balance of the lot sizes. There are four possible positions in any one stock: Buy Buy to Cover Sell Sell Short Each investor and trader in the stock has their own separate agenda. Each may come from a different Market Participant Group. There are now 9 Stock Market Participant Groups, starting from those who buy first, at the bottom of a new upward cycle: The giant Buy Side Institutions who invest Mutual and Pension Funds and/or create ETFs and other kinds of stock market derivatives. The Sell Side Institutions, aka the big banks and major market makers Wealthy Individual Investors Corporations Institutional/ Pro Traders High Frequency Traders (HFTs) Small Funds Individual Small-Lot Investors, Investment Groups and Individual Retail Traders Odd-Lot Investors Buyers are anticipating that the stock is going to move up. Their stock order types span the spectrum, for example: Market Orders, Limit Orders, Stop Orders. Buy to Cover Orders are placed by traders who sold short and are now taking profits. Those who are selling the stock are anticipating that the stock is going to move down. In an uptrending stock, this is profit-taking near the top of the run. It can also be similar in a downtrending stock because the seller is afraid that the stock is going to move down more, and they have been holding through what they thought was a short retracement. Most of these stock order types will be “Sell at Market” (SAM). Sell Short Traders are anticipating that the stock is going to move down, and they can place a variety of orders just like the buyers. Both Buyers and Sell Shorters are entering the trade, while Buy to Covers and Sellers are exiting the trade. It is the mix of these different types of buying and selling coupled with the kind of investor or trader and the size of their share lots that causes money to flow in or out of a stock. If the buyers are mostly large lots and the sellers are mostly small lots, who is in control? The buyers purchasing large lots . This is because, at some point, there will not be enough small-lot sellers, and those who are Selling Short will turn and start Buying to Cover, creating more of a shortage of sellers. Consequently, this will put more pressure on the buy side. There are always latecomers to a stock run, and they are usually small-lot buyers. As the stock moves up in price, more of the small-lot buyers will step in, pushing the price up even further. Most small-lot buyers typically use a “Buy at Market” Order, which is the worst kind to use to control the entry price. As the stock moves up further in price, the last of the Short Sellers will panic and Buy to Cover, causing the stock to gap up or jump even higher. This then triggers the large-lot buyers to start selling for profit. As profit-taking begins, the stock dips in price. This causes the odd-lot buyer, who is the last in the market participant cycle to buy, to rush into the stock and buy because they have been told to “Buy the Dip.” By now, the news media has been talking about this stock and its great run. Consequently, the odd-lot uninformed investor finds the dip irresistible and buys on pure emotion without any analysis of the stock. This causes the final gap up and exhaustion pattern. Now, while all of those odd-lot latecomers are buying, who is selling to balance the equation? Market Makers are Selling Short and the Smart Money, who were the first to enter, are selling to take profits. Suddenly, the large lots are now shifting to the downside, and what happens? The control switches to the sellers who are moving larger lots. Now, money is flowing out of the stock, yet the price may go up briefly before a downtrend develops. Large lots are usually wiser investors and traders who know more than the other investors and traders. So the giant Buy Side Institutions investing Mutual and Pension Funds, who have access to information often not yet available to Individual Investors and Retail Traders, are called the Smart Money. It can be assumed that the smaller the lot size, the less the investor or trader knows and understands about the market. As smaller lots move in, a shift of power occurs due to the large lots moving to the sell side, and thus money shifts to flowing out of the stock. As the stock collapses and reaches a price or equilibrium near a base or bottom, those smaller lots who held through the collapse reach an emotional point of extreme pain of loss and begin to sell in panic. In response, the Smart Money and Market Makers switch roles again, Buying to Cover their profitable shorts and buying to hold as the stock moves up again. Summary: Every time you take a position in a stock, there are also three other positions in that same stock. You need to be aware of each of these and make sure that you are with the right group. Most of the time, traders who are having problems with their trades are simply trading with the wrong group. It is important, then, to learn about today's stock market structure and what I call the "Cycle of Market Participants." When traders can trade with the flow of the Smart Money, they have a decided advantage.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
SWING IDEA - MANAKSTEELNSE:MANAKSTEEL 's stock price has been consolidating around the 50 resistance level for approximately two years. Following multiple tests, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024 and has since established it as a key support. The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 107, representing a 114% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 50% to revisit the 50 support level. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support. Currently, MANAKSTEEL is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 107. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 50, indicates a bullish trend reversal. KEY OBSERVATIONS: - Two-year resistance level of 50 broken in January 2024 - Stock surged 114% to 107 before correcting 50% - 50 level now serves as robust support - Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum - Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 107 RECOMMENDATION: Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding MANAKSTEEL for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield: - 50% returns from the current price (as of writing) - 99% returns from the support point (50) This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in MANAKSTEEL, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal. IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware of an unfilled gap between 60 and 60.25, which remains open. There is a possibility that the stock may revisit this level in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 107. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly. DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:MANAKSTEELLong
by thepranam
VOLTAS NSE:VOLTAS One Can enter now! Or Wait for a retest of the trendline(BO)! Or Wait for a better Risk:Reward Ratio! Note : 1. One should go long with a StopLoss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low. 2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2. 3. Plan your trade as per the Money Mangement and Risk Appetite. Disclamier : You are responsible for your profits and loss. The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose. Follow back, for more ideas and thier notifications on your email. Support and Like incase the idea, works for you.
NSE:VOLTASLong
by CreativeCreature
EUR/USD buyers could be lurking around the 200-day SMAThe euro has already seen a decent selloff heading into Thursday's ECB meeting, where expectations for them to cut by 25bp are high. And that runs the risk that that the cut is already priced in, and could leave the euro susceptible to a bounce if a dovish tone (hint of further cuts) are not also delivered. Prices are trying to hold around the 1.09, near the 200-day EMA and monthly S2 pivot point. We have inflation data from Europe up shortly, and if that comes in soft then perhaps we'll see another low. But given the size of the selloff already seen, I suspect buyers could be lurking around the 200-day SMA and a countertrend bounce to 1.0950 at a minimum could be due. MS.
Long
by CityIndex
ICT Long setup on NZDJPY👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in NZDJPY for session trade (a couple of hours) Here is a session trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Long
by ICT_Trader_SB
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