BtcUsd is going to 120k/130k!What I see!
Looking for impulse up.
BtcUsd is going to 120k/130k after a bit more retracement. It might retrace to maximum 90k to 80k. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
Swingtrading
SWING IDEA - SAILSAIL Stock Technical Analysis
Steel Authority of India Limited ( NSE:SAIL ) has been consolidating around the 95 resistance level for over a year. After multiple attempts, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024, turning it into a strong support zone.
Following the breakout, SAIL surged to a peak of 175, marking an 85% gain. However, the stock then saw a sharp retracement, correcting by nearly 47% and revisiting the rising trendline support around the 100-105 range. This level, which previously acted as resistance, has now become a critical demand zone.
Currently, SAIL is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum, bouncing off its trendline support and forming a potential reversal. The weekly MACD crossover, observed in the chart, further reinforces a trend reversal signal. Additionally, a short-term upside target of 12% is indicated, while a long-term potential target of 76% upside is visible in the chart, aligning with the previous swing high.
The chart also highlights three take-profit targets:
Target 1: The first profit-taking zone, offering an initial opportunity to secure gains.
Target 2: A mid-level profit-taking zone, aligning with previous consolidation areas.
Target 3: The final take-profit level around 175, marking the prior high and a potential full exit point for long-term investors.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
One-year resistance of 95 was decisively broken in January 2024
Stock surged 85% to a high of 175 before correcting 47%
100-105 level now acts as a strong rising trendline support
Weekly MACD crossover signals a bullish momentum shift
Three take-profit targets identified, with the final target at 175
Potential upside target of 76% from support levels, aligning with previous highs
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, holding SAIL for the long term could be a strong strategy. The potential returns include:
12% upside in the short term
76% upside from current levels, targeting previous highs around 175
This analysis presents a compelling buying opportunity in SAIL, fueled by its breakout, support validation, and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
Investors should be aware that there is a chance the stock may retest the 100-105 support level before resuming its upward trajectory. This potential pullback should be carefully monitored, and investment strategies should be adjusted accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Technical indicators and historical data are not guarantees of future performance. Investors should conduct thorough research, assess risk tolerance, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Meta - The Breakout Is About To Be Confirmed!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is attempting the breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we have been witnessing an incredible rally of about +750% on Meta. Looking at the long term reverse triangle pattern, this rally was not unexpected and such is the breakout. We still need to see confirmation, but then Meta will target the four digit level.
Levels to watch: $700, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
JNJ Update | Swing Trade 2 PlaysShort term price action is at a high in which I'd like to see a retracement for a short opportunity. The long term play I would like to buy once price is near $150 to hold towards $180.
Last Post
*A break below the trendline followed by a retest and rejection would invalidate the trend based on my bearish TA.*
LEMONTREE HOTELS 240 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
We do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
Thanks for your support
Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy KG
Bearish BTCOn the daily and weekly stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone.
Using fibonacci, on the daily, price has not finished out the fib sequence to the d extension and had less than a 38.2 pullback.
We hit a d extension on the monthly.
Still bearish on this pair at least to 77K = 38.2 up fib retracement zone with inclination toward further downside potential to 68K = 61.8 up fib retracement zone.
Bitcoin - Just Objectively Look At The Chart.Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains very bullish lately:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Many traders are actually calling the top on Bitcoin but if we objectively look at the chart, situation is entirely different. First, Bitcoin just broke above the previous cycle high with a massive candle and second, we still have a valid rising channel acting as a major support.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA: Down 44% – Is This the Bottom?Tesla has been absolutely crushed since hitting its all-time high at $485. A 44% drop isn’t shocking after such a huge rally, but it’s still a brutal move. Now, we’re back into support, sitting near the level of Wave 1 – so far, nothing completely out of the ordinary.
Maybe to counter some of the selling pressure, Elon Musk tweeted yesterday that he sees a 1000% price increase in the next five years – if the work is put in. Take it however you want. The tweet probably gave TSLA a short-term boost, since Musk’s words always spark some level of hope. But we’ve seen this game before – big claims, and sometimes, reality doesn’t follow through.
Technically speaking:
As long as Tesla holds the order block between $240 and $260, or at least the current support, things don’t look too bad. But if that level breaks, things could get ugly – and $150 might not be far off.
For now, this remains one to watch.
Coffee Futures Outlook: Potential Corrections Ahead After HistorCoffee futures have experienced a strong upward movement, breaking their all-time high and unlocking Fibonacci-based mirroring and projection targets. However, the manner in which the price reached this level—overextended and distanced from its moving averages—combined with last month’s candlestick signaling selling pressure, suggests a high probability of corrective movements in the coming months. Should a pullback occur, it will be crucial to monitor how the price reacts upon testing the 20-period moving average.
Bullflag on UNP! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Looking bullish on MSFT! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
KPIT TECH LONGEntry- 1200 (OR any dip till 1188)
Support- 1150 (which is the hammer candle low)
Target- 1300
Reason- A great reversal can be seen with a hammer candle in 4hr and a bullish engulfing in `1hr with 4hr RSI being oversold.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose please take advice from your own financial advisor before taking any decision.
Jai Shree Ram.
Cummins India LongEntry- 2805-2810. ( Any dip till 2780 will be a buying opportunity)
Support- 2650
Target- 2950, 3000
Pattern- Looking great for a reversal from hereon. Making a bullish engulfing on daily chart and a sort of triple bottom around 2600 levels.
Disclaimer- This is just for education purpose please take advice from your financial advisor before making any decision.
Jai Shree Ram.
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover:
Risk management – protecting your capital.
Entry points – how to build your position gradually.
Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains.
Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside.
By the end, you'll understand:
✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels
✅ How to take profits gradually
✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account
BTC Market Analysis
Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity.
Using Fibonacci analysis:
Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K.
Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K.
Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886.
Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement).
Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K.
These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination.
Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule)
Before placing a trade, you must decide:
📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade)
📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan)
How Much Should You Risk?
Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade.
Example (for a $100K Account):
1% Risk = $1,000 max loss
2% Risk = $2,000 max loss
For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run.
Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In)
Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price.
💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price.
www.tradingview.com
BTC Buy (Entry) Levels
We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages:
Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired
1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072
2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181
3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278
4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430
5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606
6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234
7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974
8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275
9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956
10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352
Total Investment: $30,000
Total BTC Acquired:
0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC
Average Entry Price: $80,150
Stop Loss: Set at $76,500
Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650
Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K)
Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out)
We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows:
Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($)
1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10
2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03
3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15
4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39
5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19
6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19
7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12
8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20
9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71
10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68
Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26
Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26
Return on the Trade:
$3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63%
On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1
Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary
Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account
Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%)
Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%)
Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%)
Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation:
If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500):
Average Entry Price: $80,150
Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650
Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account)
If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets:
Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488
Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488
Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63%
Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1
Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out
Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses.
Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price.
Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way.
Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk.
Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan.
Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally.
Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist
🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone?
🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)?
🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account?
🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined?
🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup?
Conclusion
✅ We protect our money by limiting risk
✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in)
✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out)
✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher
Final Tips:
Common Mistakes to Avoid
👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk!
👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits.
👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed below a significant daily horizontal support on Friday.
It feels like the pair is returning to a global bearish trend.
The market will most likely continue falling.
Next support - 0.61725
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Cardano - The Historic Rally Of +700%!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) perfectly repeats the previous cycle:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Cardano perfectly retested a major horizontal support in the beginning of 2023. Recently we then saw the break above the neckline of the double bottom formation and a rally of about +400%. Cardano is clearly repeating the cycle of 2021 and a potential rally of another +700%.
Levels to watch: $0.7, $6.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla - Elon Is Playing The Charts!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high resistance and closed with a massive rejection wick. This means that a correction - which is currently happening - is expected and after the bullish break and retest, we will then finally see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $280, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ ENTRY ON THE FLOOR?! 4H chart Sep-Feb 27.2.25Simple up-trend with a recent confirmation of support.
September24 to Feb 25 is consistent and predictable with an average 7 to 11% rise from the support within a time frame of up to 6 weeks.
If the price closes a 4h candle below the line (20,850) - Up-trend will be broken, as long as the price keeps above, aiming for $800-$1500 swing trade up can be very profitable.
Make logical, consistent decisions based on an overall plan with risk management as top priority.