GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum.
As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on:
Key Technical Factors:
Rejection from a prior structure zone
Clean lower highs forming
Breakdown and retest of minor support
Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line)
This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions.
Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
Swingtrading
EURCAD: Another Bearish Pattern 🇪🇺🇨🇦
Earlier, we spotted a head & shoulder pattern on EURCAD on a daily
and a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
Analysing a price action, I spotted another bearish formation today.
The price formed a bearish flag pattern, and it is retesting a broken
trend line at the moment.
I think that the pair may drop lower soon.
Next support - 1.5503
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PEL | Breakout Setup | Short-Term Buy | Target ₹1100🟩 Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: ₹1059 – ₹1060
Target: ₹1100 (approx. 3.77% upside)
Stop Loss: ₹1037
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2:1
Setup Type: Breakout above resistance zone (marked on chart)
Volume Confirmation: Strong bullish candle with high volume
RSI Confirmation: RSI bouncing above 60, momentum building
📈 Chart Annotations (TradingView Tips):
Draw resistance zone on 1H around ₹1060 – ₹1070 (breakout zone)
Plot EMA (9 & 21) or EMA crossover to confirm short-term bullish trend
Use RSI (14) to highlight momentum breakout
Highlight entry point, stoploss, and target with labels
Use TradingView’s “Long Position Tool” to visually display RR
For Education Purposes only
OIL – Oil India Ltd | Target: ₹429.00🟢 Trade Details:
LTP: ₹417.30
Recommended Buy Range: ₹415.50 – ₹416.00
🎯 Target: ₹429.00
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹408.70
🔍 Technical Snapshot:
✅ Strong bullish candle with volume confirmation
✅ EMA crossover supports the uptrend (9 EMA > 13 EMA)
✅ RSI at 62.22 shows healthy momentum
✅ Breakout above previous range box visible on Daily & 1H TF
📊 BB %B at 0.82 – still room before overbought levels
💼 Strategy:
Suitable for short-term MTF holding (2–5 days)
Risk-Reward ~1:1.5
Trail SL to cost once ₹424+ is breached
Use smaller timeframes (15m / 1H) to confirm entry with volume
For Education Purposes Only
GBPUSD SWING: +1000 Pips Later, GU Is Still Climbing in Stealth 🧠 Last Idea Recap from Early Feb 2025:
- We previously caught a multi-leg upside off the bottom channel (~1.2550) with over 350 pips in structured recovery.
- Price is now grinding within upper consolidation, testing the 1.3315–1.3350 supply shelf.
Note: Check out the previous Idea from related publications to verify.
Update: GBPUSD has now delivered over 1000+ pips in swing structure from the bottom breakout (1.2550s), with even more gains harvested through intra-day and scalp setups inside this multi-week ascending channel.
Recent UK macro strength (GDP beat across MoM, QoQ, YoY) injected new life into price action, adding fundamental confluence to the clean bullish technicals already building. Price continues to respect the rising structure with higher lows and controlled consolidation near a breakout shelf at 1.3350–1.3375.
🔍 Current Structure :
- Bullish flag forming near key supply zone
- No sign of distribution or exhaustion
- Channel still intact, buyers defending every dip
Next Leg:
- Break and hold above 1.3375 could fuel another 100–150 pip run toward 1.3470 and eventually 1.3550+
- Short-term traders: watch for a stop-hunt sweep before the real move
Entry Notes:
- Use lower timeframes (4H/1H) for confirmation wicks, volume spikes, or engulfing candles
- Avoid getting trapped on the first breakout candle—look for retest/reclaim plays
Whether you’re swinging or scalping, this pair has remained one of the cleanest GBP structures in months, and this ride might not be over yet.
ENDURANCE – Breakout from Supply Zone | Target ₹2136 ⚙️ ENDURANCE TECH LTD (NSE:ENDURANCE)
Time Frame: 15min / 1 Hour
📊 Trade Type: Positional / Intraday Momentum
📌 Buy Zone: ₹2042 (Above supply zone breakout)
🎯 Target 1: ₹2136
🎯 Target 2: ₹2287
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1915
📈 CMP: ₹2022.60
📌 Chart Insights:
✅ Strong volume breakout from horizontal resistance
✅ Cleared EMA 9/13/26 crossover
✅ RSI > 60 indicates bullish momentum
✅ Bollinger Band breakout (BB %B > 1.00)
✅ Breaking above pivot R2 zone (₹2042) opens room to R3
⚠️ Strategy:
Enter on confirmation above ₹2042 with volume support on 15min or 1H timeframe.
Stop loss below breakout candle or EMA cluster around ₹1915.
Trailing stop as it approaches targets.
For Education Purposes Only
PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend.
What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS).
Now comes the real opportunity.
Wyckoff Accumulation Structure
Following the long consolidation range:
🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS)
🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS)
The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand.
🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown
0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312
Previous highs: ~$0.14
Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level)
These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup.
🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312)
Entry: $0.1312
Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen)
Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694
R:R: ~16:1+
Potential upside: +100%+
📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci
This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure:
SOS breakout signals strength
LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone
Previous highs now acting as support
When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait.
📌 Summary
✅ 70+ days of accumulation
✅ SOS confirmed
🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131
🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation
🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694
💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+
Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose.
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S&P500 - The bottom we have been waiting for!The S&P500 - TVC:SPX - officially created the bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
This month we officially saw one of the craziest stock market fakeouts of the past decade. With a drop and reversal rally of about +15%, the S&P500 is about to even close with a green monthly candle, which then indicates that the stock market bottom was created.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla - Don't get confused right here!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - is about to create the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
2025 has been a rough year for Tesla so far. With a drop of about -50%, Tesla is clearly breaking the average retail trader. But the underlying trend is still quite bullish and if position strategy, risk execution and mindset control are all mastered, Tesla is a quite rewarding stock.
Levels to watch: $275, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
HIMS – Pullback Opportunity After Massive RunHIMS has been one of the hottest stocks in the market recently, with a massive run fueled by strong earnings. But now we’re seeing the first meaningful pullback — and this could be a golden opportunity:
🔹 Earnings Gap Reversal (Bullish Signal)
Despite an earnings gap down, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing the stock higher.
This is a classic earnings gap down reversal — a strong sign of demand.
🔹 First Pullback Opportunity
Historically, the first pullback after a major run tends to get bought.
I’m watching two key levels for a potential buy:
The shaded zone between the 9 EMA and 20 EMA (dynamic support).
The 0.38 - 0.50 Fibonacci retracement for added confirmation.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Initial Entry: Starter position in the shaded EMA zone (9 EMA - 20 EMA).
2️⃣ Confirmation Add: If price bounces off the Fib zone (0.38 - 0.50) with strength.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Below the 20 EMA for any initial position — keeping risk tight.
🔹 Why This Setup is Compelling:
Strong run + earnings reversal shows real buyer interest.
First pullback after a big run is typically a strong buying opportunity.
The dual confluence of EMAs + Fibonacci enhances this setup.
⚠️ Risk Management: Tight stop below 20 EMA — always control risk.
BTC Back to $100K — The Final Dip Before All-Time Highs?Bitcoin has been trading slowly and steadily just below its all-time high at $109588. The key question now is:
💭 Is BTC ready to break through and print a new all-time high? Or does it need one more dip before liftoff?
Let’s break it down.
Elliott Wave Structure & Market Context
BTC recently completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure, with Wave 5 topping out into a major resistance zone. That confluence included:
Value Area High (VAH)
Weekly resistance
Daily multi-level clusters
Final resistance zone before price discovery
After multiple rejections from this zone, BTC lacked the momentum for a breakout — so a retracement was expected.
And that’s what we’re now seeing: a textbook ABC correction.
📉 ABC Correction Breakdown
✅ Wave A: Dropped sharply, nearly tapping the psychological $100K level
✅ Wave B: Retraced into the prior resistance band between $106133 and $104464 — rejected perfectly off the 0.786 Fib of Wave A
🔄 Wave C: Now unfolding
To project the potential bottom of Wave C, we use the trend-based Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C). The 1:1 extension lands at:
🎯 $99875 — Right at the $100K psychological magnet
Add this confluence:
🟢 Key swing high at $99475
✅ 0.5 Fib retracement of the entire 5-wave rally
🔍 Psychological Level: $100K
🔑 Liquidity and demand zone
This makes the $99K–$101K area a strong, high-conviction support zone.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry zone: Ladder between $101K – $99K
Stop-loss: Below GETTEX:97K
Target: New all-time high at $109588
R:R: ~3:1+
Structure: Correction into high-confluence zone + psychological level = high probability setup
📌 Summary:
BTC likely finishing Wave C of ABC correction
$100K = confluence of Fib, structure, psychology, and liquidity
Setup is simple: Wait for price to retest this zone and trigger your plan
If this level holds, BTC may be ready to attempt a breakout into price discovery
Let the chart come to you — and trade the reaction, not the anticipation. 📉🔁📈
____________________________________
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MKVENTURES CAPITAL – Positional Breakout Setup📈 Buy Above: ₹1,700 (Breakout Zone)
Stoploss: ₹1,630
Target 1: ₹1,790
Target 2: ₹1,880
🔹 RSI is bullish, above 60
🔹 Strong volume build-up
🔹 Near resistance zone – breakout likely
📉 Sell Below: ₹1,630 (Trend Reversal)
Stoploss: ₹1,700
Target: ₹1,550
📊 Chart: Daily
📌 Strategy: Resistance Breakout with RSI & Volume Confirmation
💡 Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Good for swing trade)
For Education Purposes Only
ADA Correction Nearing Completion — Trade It Like a ProADA is respecting structure beautifully and currently consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move. The key question now is: where are the next high-probability trade setups?
Let’s break it down step by step.
Market Structure & Elliott Context
ADA has completed a full 5-wave bullish sequence, and—as expected—is now in a correction phase. This appears to be forming a classic ABC correction.
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool:
0.5 retracement of the entire move sits at → $0.7534
This aligns perfectly with the previous swing high at $0.746 — a level that has yet to be retested
The 1:1 trend-based Fib extension of a potential ABC correction puts Wave C at → $0.7492
Confluence Check:
This entire support zone (~$0.75) is stacked with technical alignment:
✅ Previous swing high: $0.746
✅ 0.5 Fib retracement: $0.7534
✅ 1:1 extension: $0.7492
✅ Daily 21 EMA: $0.7455
✅ Daily 21 SMA: $0.7347
✅ Point of Control (POC): ~$0.7318
✅ Anchored VWAP: Also sitting in this zone
✅ Pitchfork golden pocket: Aligns as dynamic support
All of these support indicators point to one thing: this ~$0.75 zone is a high-probability long entry area.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry zone: Ladder between $0.77 – $0.75
Average entry: ~$0.76
Stop-loss: Below $0.7318 (under POC)
Target: $0.9212 (0.618 retracement of the recent down wave)
R:R: ~5:1
Potential upside: +22%
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection Only)
Entry: $0.9212 (0.618 Fib retracement of downtrend)
Stop-loss: Above 0.666 Fib → ~$0.958
Target: previous swing high or yearly open
R:R: ~1.4:1 (it can be adjusted tighter upon confirmation)
This short setup isn’t ideal in terms of R:R unless we see clear rejection. But with confirmation — like an SFP, bearish engulfing, or divergence — the stop can be tightened, making the risk-to-reward much more favourable.
📘 Educational Insight: Why Structure Beats Emotion
In trading, the strongest setups occur where multiple tools converge—Fib levels, EMAs, VWAP, volume zones, and past price action. When these align, it’s not about guessing—it’s about preparing.
The key is to wait for structure to come to you, not the other way around. Patience allows clarity. Clarity allows precision. And precision pays.
💡 Final Thoughts
The plan is clear. Levels are set. Now it’s just observation and discipline.
Good trades don’t chase attention — they present themselves to those who wait.
___________________________________
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NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher.
🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift?
The next high-probability long zone lies between:
$3.026 – $2.94
Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move)
Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in).
Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739)
Target: $4.00
R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured
This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume.
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00)
Entry: ~$4.00
Stop-Loss: Above $4.25
Target: Yearly open (~$3.65)
R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation
🎯 Summary
NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support
Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80)
Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only)
Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be.
Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈
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Alibaba - This was just the obvious bottom!Alibaba - NYSE:BABA - will head much higher:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Ever since Alibaba actually retested the previous all time low in 2022, we have been able to see the textbook creation of a rounding bottom formation. Even the recent break and retest was perfectly playing out and if Alibaba confirmes the potental breakout, a rally of +50% will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $140, $220
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nifty back to bull controllhi Traders,
Weekly the swing had a correction of 38%.
The daily time frame's Inverted H&S pattern is a confirmation of the trend change(from correction to impulse wave)
Nifty 50 will make a move from 500 to 1500 points till the previous high of the weekly swing.
The targets are mentioned in the chat.
As we have 14days to expiry, there is enough time to hit target 1. Interested traders buy ATM CALL option or FUTURES
sbull.co
ADITYA BIRLA CAPITAL LTD – Trend Reversal Breakout Trade🧠 Technical Highlights:
Downtrend Channel Breakout: Clear breakout from a falling channel pattern
Resistance Break: Strong breakout above supply zone of ₹204–₹210
Volume: Massive volume spike validates bullish strength
RSI: Above 70, indicating strong momentum but not overbought yet
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy Above: ₹219 (today's close confirms breakout)
Stoploss: ₹204 (below the previous resistance/new support)
Target 1: ₹235
Target 2: ₹248
Target 3: ₹260+ (swing/high-risk high-reward)
🔻 Sell/Short Setup (only if reversal)
Sell Below: ₹203
Stoploss: ₹210
Target: ₹190, ₹178
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–6 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
For Education Purposes Only
AAPL Trade Plan – 2025 Outlook📊With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatility—but that’s also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.🍏📉📈
📌 Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic):
1️⃣ 194 – Light entry as weakness sets in
2️⃣ 180 – Strong support historically
3️⃣ 166 – High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates
🎯 Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns):
✅ 209 – Quick recovery zone
✅ 230 – Pre-fear valuation
✅ 260+ – Full macro recovery with bullish momentum
📈 Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
RKLB Gap Down Earnings Reversal Play + Flag BreakoutTwo powerful setups are in play here, and both are primed for action:
🔹 Setup 1: Earnings Gap Down Reversal (Kicker Candle)
Post-earnings flush, buyers stepped in hard — this has been a relentless pattern in this market.
Even on earnings misses, buyers are aggressive. We saw the same setup work beautifully on NASDAQ:TEM and NYSE:HIMS recently.
This is a kicker candle setup — strong reversal signal after a gap down flush.
🔹 Setup 2: Flag Breakout at $23.50
Price is coiling into a tight flag, with a breakout level at $23.50.
Risk is defined, with stops at $22, keeping the trade tight.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Initial Position: Buying May 30th $25 Calls today.
2️⃣ Risk Management: Stop at $22 for the calls and underlying stock.
3️⃣ Add Size: On a clean breakout over $23.50.
🔹 Why This Setup is Hot:
The earnings gap down reversal has been a killer setup in this market — buyers are dominating.
Dual setup means two chances to win: Reversal + Flag Breakout.
Tight risk, with a clear invalidation at $22.
⚠️ Risk Management: Tight stop at $22 — this is a LOW-risk, high-reward setup.
SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare.
So, where’s the next high-probability setup?
Let’s break it down:
🔹 Elliott Wave Context
From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next.
SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones.
📉 ABC Correction in Progress?
Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding.
Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at:
➡️ $3.6413
Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny?
🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64
Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone:
1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413
0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64
Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59
0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653
Weekly level → $3.5594
21-Day EMA → $3.5537
21-Day SMA → $3.6319
0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone
This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between:
📍 $3.56 – $3.646
___________________________________
🟢 Long Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75
Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone)
Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension)
R:R: ~5:1
🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated.
🔴 Short Setup Idea:
If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered.
Entry: On rejection at $4.588
Stop-Loss: ~$4.714
Targets:
TP1: $4.325 (recent highs)
TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level)
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels.
⏰ Alarms set.
📈 Let the chart do the work.
More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp!
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NBCC (India) Ltd (NSE: NBCC) – Breakout Trade Setup🧾 Equity Research Summary – NBCC (India) Ltd.
Sector: Construction & Infrastructure – Government PSU
Technical Setup: Trendline breakout + Base retest + Volume surge
Support Zone: ₹68–₹75
Breakout Zone: ₹100–₹103
Upside Potential: Strong move expected due to order book + infra push
Catalyst:
Government infrastructure spending
Order wins from CPWD, NBCC contracts, redevelopment projects
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–4 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: 1:2.5
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy above: ₹107 (confirmation above resistance zone)
Stoploss: ₹100 (below breakout support)
Target 1: ₹115
Target 2: ₹124
Target 3 (Swing): ₹130–₹135
🔻 Short Setup (if breakout fails)
Sell Below: ₹99
Stoploss: ₹103
Target: ₹91, ₹82
For Education Purposes Only