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Swingtrading

Crude oil saved by the 200-day MA (for now)A combination of factors saw crude oil snap its 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. China's equity markets plunged at double-digit levels when traders realised no new stimulus from China was to be unveiled after golden weak. US production forecasts were lowered by the EIA and concerns over the Middle East receded somewhat. An elongated bearish engulfing / outside day formed after its daily high met resistance at the September 2023 trendline. Yet the 200-day MA came to the rescue. For now at least. Given the 4-hour bullish hammer at the 200-day MA and weekly R1 pivot, alongside a heavily oversold RSI (2) on that timeframe, I suspect a cheeky bounce could be in order. Bulls could cautiously seek dips for a move to $75 or $76. Yet the magnitude of Tuesday's selloff suggests bears may be lurking at higher prices to re-enter upon any such bounce. Bears could wait to fade into such levels in anticipation of a return to the $70, near a high-volume node (HVN) and 61.8% Fibonacci level. MS
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
Why I’m Betting Bearish on GBPNZD: Key Market Drivers ExplainedAs I prepare to share my trade idea for GBPNZD, my overall bias is bearish. Here are some key fundamentals currently influencing this outlook: 1. UK Economic Slowdown: The UK is facing economic challenges, with high inflation and downgraded growth forecasts. This situation tends to weaken the British Pound against other currencies, including the New Zealand Dollar. 2. RBNZ's Hawkish Stance: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain a strong monetary policy, focusing on controlling inflation. This contrasts sharply with the UK's more cautious approach, which supports a stronger NZD. 3. Seasonal Trends: Historically, GBPNZD has shown a bearish trend from mid-August through December. This seasonal behavior suggests that now is an opportune time to consider short positions. In my trading strategy for GBPNZD, I rely on probabilities to guide my decisions for entering short positions. In summary, by leveraging probabilities based on historical data and current market fundamentals, I aim to position myself advantageously for short trades on GBPNZD. This disciplined approach aligns with my bearish outlook and enhances my trading effectiveness. I look forward to sharing my journey in this trade and welcome any thoughts or feedback! 2W: Hourly TF:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
Why I'm Going Short on USDCAD: Analyzing Market ConditionsKey Reasons for a Bearish Outlook 1. Economic Differences: The U.S. economy is doing well, showing strong growth, while Canada’s economy is struggling. This usually strengthens the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar. 2. Oil Prices: Canada’s currency is closely tied to oil prices. If oil prices stabilize or drop, it could weaken the Canadian dollar further, especially since Canada’s economy isn’t performing well. 3. Central Bank Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve might lower interest rates, which could attract more investment into the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is likely to stay cautious due to weak economic data. Given these factors, I believe there’s a good chance for USDCAD to move lower. I’ll be using probabilities to guide my short positions and manage risk effectively. Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below! 12M: On the 12M timeframe, there is insufficient data available. Therefore, we will move to lower monthly timeframes to identify a valid range and look for FB mitigation. 1M: 1D: 1H:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
SWING IDEA - KPR MILL LTDToday, we delve into KPR Mill Ltd , where a confluence of technical factors suggests a potential swing buying opportunity. Reasons are listed below : KPR Mill Ltd recently revisited the critical support at 760 levels, a zone that has historically proven significant. The noteworthy aspect is the successful breach and subsequent retest, signaling potential strength. Weekly charts showcase a bullish dragonfly doji, signaling a potential trend reversal, while daily charts reveal a bullish hammer pattern, enhancing positive sentiment. The stock bounced precisely off the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart, highlighting this level as a robust support. Continuous formation of higher highs affirms the sustained uptrend in KPR Mill Ltd, reflecting positive market sentiment. With the stock trading above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, there is added strength to the current positive trend. Target - 861 // 928 // 1050 StopLoss - weekly close below 716 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:KPRMILLLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
6
SWING IDEA - CITY UNION BANKCity Union Bank is showing promising technical signals for a potential swing trade. Reasons are listed below : 170 Zone Tested Multiple Times : This key resistance level has been tested several times, indicating a potential breakout. VCP Pattern (Volatility Contraction Pattern) : A bullish chart pattern signaling a possible price surge. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A strong reversal signal, highlighting increasing buying pressure. 50 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is well-supported by the 50-day EMA, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Target - 185 // 205 Stoploss - daily close below 159 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:CUBLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - HUDCOHUDCO is showing potential for a swing trade based on technical signals. Reasons are listed below : 230 Zone as Strong Support : The 230 level has been a crucial support zone, providing a solid base for potential upward movement. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A strong bullish engulfing candle indicates growing buying pressure. 0.618 Fibonacci Support : The price is bouncing off the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal. 200 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 200-day EMA, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Target - 280 // 310 // 345 Stoploss - daily close below 225 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:HUDCOLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
11