SWING IDEA - MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESSMaharashtra Seamless , a leading manufacturer of seamless pipes in India, is showing technical patterns that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Support at 800 Level : The 800 level has proven to be a strong support zone, indicating significant buying interest at this price point.
0.382 Fibonacci Level Support : The price has found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend from this key level.
50 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is trading around the 50-week exponential moving average, which acts as a support level and indicates a long-term uptrend.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent daily candle is a bullish marubozu, characterized by a lack of shadows, indicating strong buying pressure and potential for further upward movement.
200 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is also finding support at the 200-day exponential moving average, which reinforces the overall bullish sentiment and provides additional support for the uptrend.
Target - 965 // 1095
Stoploss - weekly close below 735
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Swingtrading
A US Stock Long setup Swing trade👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in US stock : T for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Swing trade, short setup USDCHF👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in USDCHF for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Sell Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
GRINFRA is Sustaining @ 2 Years High Zone With Positive AttitudeOrder book as on 31st March 2024 is Rs 1,67,806 Mn
During the year, Company has transferred 7 operational HAM
assets to Bharat Highways InvIT
Subsequent to March 31, 2024, PCOD/ COD has been
received for below two projects
• Transmission system in Rajgarh - COD
• Galgalia-Bahadurganj (HAM) – PCOD
As on date Company has total 5 projects which are operational.
P ositive factors
• Significant growth in the scale of operations on a sustained basis with substantial segmental diversification in the revenue
stream while maintaining low leverage.
Key strengths
Transfer of assets to BHIT thereby enhancing its financial flexibility
GRIL has transferred 100% stake in seven operational NHAI assets to BHIT and received units worth ₹1,929 crore during Q4FY24
thus enhancing its financial flexibility. Following the transfer of operational assets to BHIT, GRIL retains four operational assets
in its portfolio, including one NHAI annuity project, one state HAM project, and the balance two NHAI HAM projects (one project
received PCOD during Q4FY24).
As indicated by the management, the InvIT units will have a lock-in period of one year from the
date of the allotment. GRIL has also entered into a right of first offer (ROFO) agreement with the InvIT, pursuant to which, GRIL
will grant a ROFO to InvIT, thus allowing the company to unlock its equity. Additionally, dividend income is also expected from
the InvIT.
Healthy outstanding order book position of the company
GRIL had a healthy outstanding order book position of ₹₹18,680 crore as on December 31, 2023, as against ₹19,529 crore as on
March 31, 2023, indicating revenue visibility of 2.29x of the FY23 TOI. The majority of these orders are with a price variation
clause, thereby shielding GRIL’s profitability from adverse movements in the prices to an extent. The order book is also
geographically diversified with presence in more than 11 states, with no state contributing to more than 25% of the order book.
Furthermore, GRIL has segmentally diversified its portfolio by venturing into new segments of ropeway, multi-modal logistics
park, hydro power project, transmission which is expected to reduce its dependence on the road sector.
The order inflow during current year i.e. FY24 has been slow due to lower awarding in road sector. Nevertheless, healthy order
book position provides revenue visibility over medium term.
Expected range-bound scale of operations in FY24 with stable profitability
GRIL’s scale of operations have shown a healthy growth over the last five years, despite COVID-19 related disruptions.
The TOI grew at a healthy CAGR of 13% over the last five years ended FY23 from ₹4,952 crore during FY19 to ₹8,149 crore during FY23,
led by strong execution capabilities. During FY23, the TOI remained stagnant over FY22 due to a low order intake and the pending
receipt of the appointed date of eight HAM projects. The TOI is expected to remain almost stagnant in FY24; however, it is
expected to witness minor de-growth in FY25 on Y-o-Y basis due to pending receipt of the appointed date in projects. secured in
FY23.
The surge in commodity prices and intense competition in the road sector led to minor moderations in the margins of GRIL,
in line with other industry players, during the last five years ended March 31, 2023. Nevertheless, the margins continued to remain
healthy at 16.12% for FY23.
However, the margins declined to 13.32% during 9MFY24 on account of lesser execution in Q2FY24
due to monsoon and pending receipt of appointed date in HAM projects. Correspondingly, during 9MFY24, GRIL reported TOI of
₹5,532 crore as against ₹6,153 crore during 9MFY23.
EMAMI LTD Have Broken & Sustaining at 6 Years High
Zandu Balm Mal.... Kaam pe Chal ...
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.2% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 33.1%
Consolidated Net Sales at ₹ 881 crore grew by 8%
Revenue from Operations at ₹ 891 crore grew by 7%
Domestic Business grew by 8% (Volume growth of 6.4%)
International Business grew by 8% (Constant currency growth of 9%)
Gross Margins at 65.8% improved by 270 bps
EBIDTA at ₹ 211 crore grew by 6% despite 39% higher investments in A&P
PAT at ₹ 149 crore grew by 3%
TRIL Showing Again Bullish Mood at All Time High ZoneCompany has reduced debt.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 57.2% CAGR over last 5 years
Most preferred Indian Brand, known for manufacturing High Voltage Transformers viz. 220 kV 400 kV, 765
kV, 1200 kV indigenously
❑ Expertise in designing and manufacturing transformers from 5kV up to 1,200kV voltage class
transformers and from 0.5MVA to 500MVA capacity; thereby having presence across the value chain
❑ Manufactures entire range of transformers viz. Power, Distribution, Furnace, Rectifier Transformers &
Shunt Reactors, creating a unique positioning for itself in the transformer industry
❑ Supported by backward integrated manufacturing facilities housed in Gujarat
❑ International presence in 25+ countries
New Order Received during the year ₹ 2,050 crore
Order from Solar Power Plants:
❑ Received order for Solar Power Plants for 4 nos. 250 MVA 2x33 kV/400 kV from a reputed EPC Company
❑ Received order for 8 nos. 315 MVA 2x33/400 kV from a Maharatna PSU
Order from Private Sector Industry:
❑ Received maiden order for 400 kV Single Phase Generator transformers of 6 nos. 210 MVA from a steel plant
Order from Metro Projects/ Railways:
❑ Received order for Delhi Metro (DMRC) and Chennai Metro Projects
Order from Central Power Utility:
❑ Received order for 72 nos. Transformers & Reactors from a leading Central Power Utility in India
❑ Received order for 2 nos. 250 MVA ICT from one of the PPP model Company
❑ Received order of 4 nos. 60 MVA Traction Power Transformer (Scott Connected)
❑ Received an order of 220 MVA EAF transformer for Exports to be used in steel melting application, it
is second biggest rating in the world. Unit to be export in Q1FY25.
Other Achievements:
❑ Successfully tested the most stringent Dynamic Short Circuit test on multiple transformers of various voltage
ratings. With this company has crossed a commendable milestone of successful Dynamic short circuit test on
a record 150 plus transformers in last two decades.
❑ Technology for 765 kV class shunt reactors has been fully absorbed
Q4FY24 revenue ₹ 500 crore; FY24 revenue ₹ 1,273 crore
❑ Q4FY24 EBIDTA ₹ 65 crore; FY24 EBIDTA ₹ 129 crore
❑ Q4FY24 EBIDTA margin 12.9%; FY24 EBIDTA margin 10.0%
❑ Revenue improvement due to faster execution of major orders, better production planning, improved
receivables, internal control systems, etc.
❑ Export Contribution as a % of Revenue 11%
❑ Average monthly collection from customers during H2FY24 was Rs.144 crore which indicates stringent
internal controls systems in place.
❑ Tailwind to continue & company expects much higher profit margins in years to come.
“
SUZLON Entering 14 Years High ZoneCompany has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.7% CAGR over last 5 years
Strengths:
Stable cash flow from the O&M services business to support overall debt servicing: The Group has ~14.5 GW of installed fleet under O&M business as on Dec 31, 2023. While the fleet under O&M reduces with decommissioning of WTGs, post completion of the design life, new wind turbine generators delivered and commissioned get added to the fleet every fiscal. Revenue from O&M services has been steady as this is contractual activity over a fixed timeframe and at contracted price. Also, escalation in revenue is inbuilt into the contracts, ensuring stability of operating margin over a period. The Group has demonstrated stability in revenue and profitability of O&M services business even in stressed times in the past. Stable cash flow with EBIDTA above Rs 700 crore per fiscal from the O&M services business is expected going forward.
Leading market position in the wind turbine segment and a healthy order book: The Group has a successful track record of project execution with technical expertise, evident from the healthy market share of 30-35% in the WTG business in India over the past many years and also in cumulative installed capacity. The company’s healthy market position should help to obtain orders in the long run. SEL’s order book stood at ~3.16 GW (as on 31st Jan 24), to be executed till fiscal 2026. The company has been able to overcome the dependence on customer-backed financing to execute orders which had constrained growth in the last fiscal.
Improved financial risk profile: The term debt stood at Rs. 1,773 crores as on March 31, 2023, on the back of scheduled repayments of term loan and additional reduction of ~Rs 900 crores from rights issue in October 2022. Furthermore, the company’s networth turned positive as on March 31, 2023 on the back of refinancing (gain on derecognition of OCDs & CCPS) and rights issue of Rs 1,200 crores in fiscal 2023.
On August 14, 2023, the company approved the allotment of equity shares to Qualified Institution buyers aggregating to ~Rs. 2,000 crores. The company subsequently utilized the required amount to repay its entire debt at SEL, significantly improving the financial risk profile of the company. Further, SEL does not have material debt funded capex plans over medium term.
GBPCHF: Potential Bullish Continuation 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
After the price updated a higher high, the market started a correctional movement.
The pair is currently approaching a significant support cluster.
I believe that probabilities are high that the next bullish wave will initiate from that.
We can expect a growth at least to 1.16
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SWING IDEA - BSE LTDBSE, one of the leading stock exchanges in India, is showing technical indicators that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support Zone at 2600 : The 2600 level has proven to be a robust support zone, indicating significant buying interest and a strong base for a potential price rebound.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : The recent formation of a bullish marubozu candle, characterized by little to no shadows, indicates strong buying pressure and a potential for continued upward movement.
50 EMA Support : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average, which reinforces the overall bullish sentiment and provides a reliable support level.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The price has found support at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that this key level is acting as a strong base for a potential bounce back.
Target - 3070 // 3250
Stoploss - Daily close below 2570
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
#campus making inv H&S pattern, close above 261 fatega kya?#Campus activewear on daily time frame is making a pattern on popular shampoo pattern, Head & shoulder. A daily close above 261 can take this stock towards 294/308. This is a company where around 12.5% stake is held by FII&DII put together and these big sharks never enter for small gains. Campus is going to publish their results on 28th May, so volatility will be at its peak. Below 240 will be exit sign for me. Lets see if we get desired movement or not.
Buybacks vs. Rotation: JPM and AAPLMany companies are flush with cash right now, so buybacks are going to increase. Buybacks can create plenty of swing trading opportunities.
Buybacks are used by the Board of Directors to drive price upward, or at least maintain price at a certain level. They also remove outstanding shares from public exchanges. The Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions (PSHI) is based on outstanding shares. So with fewer shares outstanding, it can help PSHI hold at a certain level. The Buy Side has been lowering inventory this year. See red arrows on the JPM chart.
In 2018, Buybacks boosted the index components and kept the market from continuing a bear market, which was already underway--a minor bear not a major one. Then in 2019, buybacks surged as the government cut corporate taxes massively. The cash on hand was enormous for most companies so they did mega buybacks, leading the move upward for index components that year. Then, in 2020 the pandemic stock market collapse completed that very odd delayed bear market.
Buyback candles are frequently solid white without wicks or tails. Buybacks often initiate strong swing-style runs, such as they have in $NYSE:JPM. See the blue arrows.
NASDAQ:AAPL also announced a huge buyback program in early May. This gives the Buy Side Institutions the opportunity to lower inventories of AAPL too, without disturbing price much, if at all. AAPL is in a sideways trading range, which is a tough pattern to trade since there is no consensus about what the company is doing to fuel future growth.
Median Lines and Finding the Right Path When it comes to learning about markets and trading, finding the right path and committing to it is the hardest part. The right path has little to do with any technical analysis method. It has to do with structuring our mental framework so that we fundamentally change how we experience markets, trading, and loss.
In the video, I show some Median Line and Action/Reaction work but this work is useless by itself. No tool is good or bad, they are just tools we use to comprehend markets. The problem arises when the tools start using us and we think there is some kind of magic to them.
The essence of our strategy should be to structure our methods and mindset towards functionality. The journey we should commit to is one marked by fostering accountability and responsibility in all our actions. The swing trade Idea I show, takes method and structures it into function.
Shane
eurusd bearish structureAfter falling and hitting the level of 1.06950 which was mentioned in the previous analysis (I will post the link below) and I expected it, it started to correct and become more expensive in the M W and D time frames and we witnessed a price correction and this The correction movement lasted 30 days, so we had a time correction
I think the euro is getting ready for another wave of falling to 1.06666 (yes, the number is very rand).
This is the midterm idea
I will update if needed
TECHNOE is Hammering and Trapped At All Time HighTEECL, headquartered in Kolkata, is promoted by Mr P P Gupta, who is assisted by a team of professionals. It undertakes turnkey engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) projects, predominantly in the power sector, across generation, transmission, and distribution segments. In fiscal 2015, the company received the Best Safety Award from Power Grid. TEECL entered the renewable power generation space in 2009 with 45 megawatt (MW) of wind energy assets by acquiring Super Wind. It acquired Simran Wind Project Ltd (Simran) in 2009, which had installed capacity of 50.45 MW that was subsequently scaled up to 162.35 MW. The company divested 44.45 MW and 33 MW of capacity of Simran in May 2015 and January 2017, respectively. TEECL got its current name post its merger with Simran.
For the nine months through December 2023 profit after tax (PAT) was Rs 200 crore over total income of Rs 1198 crore compared with Rs 126 crore and Rs 516 crore, respectively, in the corresponding period the previous year.
Current
Order Book is
Rs 1600 Crores
Techno is targeting for
Rs 2000 - 2500 crores
every year in its segment
Techno envisages to develop
250 MW of Data Centers with
a capex of over USD 1.3 billion
in the next 5-6 years
As per, Gazette notification (GOI) all Thermal Power Plants
need to limit their sulphur emission.
Total Target is for 211.52 GW (67.25 GW by Central Govt.,
67.74 GW by State Govt. and 76.528 GW by private players)
by 2026.
Of these, around 10.6 GW is already installed, and bids for
102.96 GW are already awarded.
Bids for 23.67 GW has been opened
Around 71.42 GW are around various stages before being
awarded.
They have received the contract for 500 MW from DVC for Rs
3190 million (already commissioned) and an order worth Rs
14550 million from Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Nigam Ltd.
They have tenders worth Rs 1000 crores under bidding in the
pipeline
Govt. of India plans to grow from 1 mn smart meters to 250 mn smart meters
Till now total smart meters sanctioned for installation is 229.8 mn
Out of the above, around 8.64 mn meters have been installed till now, and rest are
under various stages of implementation.
Currently, most of the orders getting bided are on the RDSS Scheme (87.71% of the
sanctioned meters)
Techno has received orders for 3.77 lakh meters at Jammu & Kashmir
Techno has also got an order worth Rs 633.23 crores for 5.53 lakh smart meters at
Indore and J&K for 7.25 lakh meters worth 1041 crores under the DBFOOT model.
Techno is bidding for various projects for 40 Lakh meter projects worth Rs 4500
crores.
Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid UpsideFor Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position.
This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks.
Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news.
On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario.
Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets.
Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.
HINDALCO: METAL TO METTLE?Hey There, Welcome Back.
We are not big fans of industries that are on the commodity (Raw Material) side of the value chain, But for those who don't mind, Here is everything you should know about Hindalco.
- A support trendline has been pushing the price up
- An ascending triangle was formed with the recent 6M consolidation
- A breakout candle broke both the AT Range and crucial resistance zone
- The breakout came in as a Bullish engulfing that adds to the positives
- Overall for the last 15 months, the price has been sideways
- If you draw a resistance line from top, We saw a breakout of that too. Not the most reliable trendline, but it still adds to the analysis
- Price is nicely above 200EMA
- Previously the price failed to sustain the 500 mark. What will it do this time?
Have Insights or Questions? Let us know in the comments below.👇
While you do that, how about a boost for some motivation🚀
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
EID PARRY INDIA Freshly Broken 83 Weeks HighCompany has delivered good profit growth of 41.5% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.7%
Expected diversion for Ethanol in SY 2023-24 is ~ 20LMT of Sugar
(against 38LMT diverted in SY 2022-23). Overall blending is 12%
as of March’24.
E20 petrol is available at 12,000 fuel retail outlets and the
government targets a pan-India rollout by 2025.
Syrup/B Hy diversion to Ethanol restricted from 7
th Dec 2023 and
subsequently on 15th Dec 2023, allowed 17 LMT of Sugar
diversion (as B Hy) across the country. Additional 10LMT has
been allowed in April’24 for supply in Q3 of FY’25.
Maximize and grow the Refined / Pharma Sugar
Business
• Health and wellness segment has been identified
to focus on specialty sweetener business
• Focusing on Brown sugar and Jaggery as
alternate sweetener
• To become a sweetening solutions provider for
B2B Customers
1. Packaged staples has a large Total Addressable Market
(TAM) of ~ INR 9 L Cr
• Highly unorganised with only a few pan-India
players
2. Overall branded penetration is less than 20%.
• Significant growth expected with consumers
preferences shifting towards branded products
• Coincides with India’s overall growth and expansion
of the consumption class
3. Parry’s brand presence and the strong foundation laid
through the sweeteners to be leveraged
• To further build on the capability to ‘brand the
unbranded’
4. Aspiration to capture >10% of the kitchen shelf in every
household in South India
The Company made a pioneering leap towards community water
resource management projects through its flagship Project NANNEER
• Under the first phase, seven lakes and ponds in Oonaiyur area
(Pudukkottai and Sivagangai district in TN) were desilted across 250
acres (depth of 1-3 meter)
• Under the second phase, twelve lakes and ponds (in the Cuddalore,
Tiruppur, Villupuram and Erode districts in TN) were desilted across
127
• The excess desilted soil was utilized to create islands in each of the
water bodies. Close to 1100 Million Liters were conserved in Phase 1
and 2.
• Currently third phase being planned in TN, KN and AP.
• The Company aims to achieve Ten Billion liters of water holding
capacity through Project NANNEER by the end of 2026.
Increase in Cash Fixed Cost in FY’24 majorly due to:
• Manpower capability building for project expansion and new business
• CPG infrastructure building
• Special repairs undertaken in major plants
Lower cane volume by 1.7 LMT over last year further contributed to the
increase in CFC/MT
Increase in cane cost, drop in recovery & yield due to climatic
conditions, restriction in sugar diversion for ethanol has led to drop in
EBITDA.
The benefits on expansion of distillery capacities are expected to flow
in FY’25
PARAS DEFENCE Broken & Sustained Above 133 Weeks HighPositive factors – The outlook will be revised to Stable if the company demonstrates a material improvement in its working
capital cycle and liquidity position, along with improvement in earnings and scale of operations.
Healthy order book provides medium-term revenue visibility – The company’s fresh order inflows over the past four fiscals
remained adequate, with orders worth ~Rs. 621 crore added in the last 21 months ending December 31, 2023.
The pending order book of Rs. 526.3 crore as on December 31, 2023 (OB/OI ratio of 2.4 times of the OI in FY2023) provides medium-term
revenue visibility.
Comfortable capital structure and healthy coverage indicators – The company’s capital structure remains comfortable with
TOL/TNW of 0.3 times as on September 30, 2023, supported by equity infusion of Rs. 162.3 crore during FY2021-FY2022 and
low debt levels.
The interest coverage stood at 12.2 times in 9M FY2024 due to the limited dependence on external borrowings
to fund its working capital. Going forward, ICRA expects the coverage indicators to remain comfortable, benefitting from the
scale-up in operations, given the strong order pipeline.
Extensive experience of management team – PDSTL’s promoters have more than three decades of experience in designing,
developing and manufacturing a wide range of engineering products and solutions for the defence and space sector in the
domain of optics, heavy engineering and electronics. Its long presence in the defence and space sector has helped to establish
strong relationships with its customers as well as suppliers. It has developed a strong management and execution team
comprising several ex-employees of BEL and DRDO, among others.
High working capital intensity due to elongated receivables cycle – The business is working capital intensive with NWC/OI of
88.3% and 114.8% in FY2023 and H1 FY2024, respectively, owing to the high inventory holding period and long receivables
cycle.
The inventory levels are high because of additional stocking of critical raw materials to avoid any disruption in the
delivery schedules and high work-in-progress due to elongated manufacturing cycle.
PDSTL has been partly managing its
working capital cycle by stretching its trade payables by more than three months as it has a longstanding relationship with
most of its suppliers and availing mobilisation advance for part orders. Going forward, the company’s ability to alleviate its
working capital intensity while scaling up its revenues and improving its operating margins will be the key rating monitorable.
Moderate scale of operations – Though the company reported a robust YoY revenue growth of 21% and 10% in FY2023 and
9M FY2024, respectively, supported by healthy order book and the timely execution of orders, the scale of operations still
remains moderate. Given the Government’s thrust on ‘Make in India’ in the defence sector, PDSTL has been mainly catering
to domestic demand (~84% of OI contributed by domestic orders in FY2023). Driven by the healthy order book status, ICRA
expects the company to sustain its revenue growth in FY2024 and FY2025.
High customer concentration risk, though largely mitigated by reputed customer base and repeat orders – The company
faces client concentration risk with top three clients contributing 46% to the total order book as on December 31, 2023 and
top five clients accounting for 51% of the revenue in FY2023. The client profile mostly comprises government organisations
with repeat orders received over the years, largely mitigating the counterparty credit risk. A major part of PDSTL’s clientele
included reputed government organisations, namely Laboratory for Electro-Optics Systems (a unit of ISRO), BEL, Instruments
Research and Development Establishment (a unit of DRDO) and private companies like RRP S4E Innovation Private Limited and
Unifab Engineering Project Private Limited. The company has long standing relationships with most of its clientele. PDSTL also
exports to companies based in Israel, Singapore and USA.