Swingtrading
Trade Review - SYMI plan to be more active and share my trades and insights regularly.
Information
I swing trade with focus on stock with short term momentum. My trades are identified through a two-step screening process. I use a passive screener outside of market hours to manually select stocks based on structure and position, to allow preparation and prevent too many options. At market open, I run an active screener to track for movement within the watchlist, as timing and momentum in selected stocks can be unpredictable. This allows me to be time efficient, I require no more than 20-30 minutes per open session.
Identified through my passive screener outside of market hours, this stock showed an initial momentum move to the upside on the daily timeframe, followed by consolidation near the mean price - a setup conducive to continuation. I occasionally check a higher timeframe (weekly) for context; in this case, it made a overextension to the downside which could follow with a pullback toward the mean (or not). The aim here isn’t to predict but to take a bet / capitalize on potential imbalances when they appear. Thus it was added to the watchlist.
At market open, this stock appeared on my active scanner, and when it reached 24.60, I entered as a clear range expansion was forming. I typically scale out at 1R and hold the remaining position for a measured move (projected from the prior momentum move). While the approach is straightforward, I occasionally adjust based on real-time conditions, as seen in this example. Execution details are shown below.
Trade Overview
• Structure: Bullish Continuation (Daily) and Bearish Pullback (Weekly)
• Position: Near mean price (Daily) and extended from mean price (Weekly).
• Entry Trigger: Range Expansion
Entry Details
• Entry Price: 24.60
• Stop Price: 22.07
• Target Price: 34.32
• Expected Risk/Reward: 3.84 R
Exit Strategy
• Exit Price: Closed 50% at 29.84 and 25% at 29.45.
Performance Summary
• Result: Price have moved 20.53% with a profit of 2R, trailing 25% with a near SL.
I wrote a bit more than usual for this review since it's my first review post, but the real approach itself is quite simple. Future posts will be more concise.
HCL Technologies Ltd Daily Chart Analysis
The daily chart of HCL Technologies Ltd illustrates an upward trend with strong support levels and clear resistance areas, showcasing both bullish momentum and potential pullback scenarios.
Key Observations:
1.Trend Analysis: The stock price is in an overall uptrend, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. It is supported by a well-defined ascending trendline and is trading above the 200 EMA, which is a bullish indicator.
2.EMA Levels: The 13, 48, and 200 EMAs are aligned in a bullish configuration, indicating continued strength. The price’s proximity to the EMAs will be a key indicator of short-term trends.
3.Volume Behavior: There is a healthy volume trend with spikes during up moves, suggesting interest and accumulation during bullish days.
4.Resistance and Support Zones:
• Resistance: The resistance zone around ₹1,888.50 - ₹1,889.30 represents a key hurdle. A sustained move above this level, accompanied by strong volume, could confirm a bullish breakout and indicate further upside potential.
• Support: The primary support level lies around ₹1,719.00. A breakdown below this level could lead to a more significant pullback, possibly retesting previous lows or consolidating around the 200 EMA.
5.RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently around 55.27, indicating mild bullish momentum without being overbought. An upward move in the RSI beyond 60 could further validate any price strength and potential for breakout scenarios.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the ₹1,889 resistance zone with strong volume could propel the stock higher, targeting further resistance levels around ₹2,000 and beyond.
• Bearish Scenario: If the price is unable to break above resistance and reverses, it may test support around ₹1,719. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase.
Impact of Macro Events (e.g., US Elections):
The outcome of significant macroeconomic events, such as the US elections, could influence IT sector stocks, including HCL Technologies. Favorable policies, market stability, and global business sentiment may drive higher demand for IT services and lead to a bullish impact. Conversely, any policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or economic disruptions could lead to increased volatility, potentially affecting the stock’s upward momentum.
Summary: HCL Technologies is currently at a key resistance level. A breakout above ₹1,889 may signal further bullishness, while a rejection and breakdown below ₹1,719 could prompt caution. Traders should watch volume and price action closely, along with any macroeconomic news that might impact the broader market sentiment.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Central Depository Services (I) Long positionCentral Depository Services (I) Ltd Daily Chart Analysis
This daily chart of Central Depository Services (I) Ltd (CDSL) reveals key market movements and a clear ascending trendline support that has provided a strong base for the stock’s recent upward movement.
Key Observations:
1.Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by higher lows connecting through a rising trendline and a relatively horizontal resistance zone near ₹1,660.20 - ₹1,664.40. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the existing uptrend with a potential breakout.
2.EMA Levels: The stock price is above the 13, 48, and 200 EMA levels, which supports the bullish sentiment. The moving averages act as a dynamic support zone, indicating strong buying momentum.
3.Volume Trends: The volume shows periodic spikes, suggesting accumulation. A volume surge during an upward breakout above ₹1,660 - ₹1,664 could confirm the strength of the breakout.
4.Resistance and Support Zones:
• Resistance: The key resistance levels to watch are around ₹1,660.20 and ₹1,664.40. If the price breaks out above these levels with strong volume, it could lead to a significant upward move.
• Support: The immediate support level lies at ₹1,560.55, aligned with the ascending triangle’s support trendline. A break below this level may result in a corrective phase or consolidation around ₹1,486.65.
5.RSI Indicator: The RSI is around 58.93, indicating bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. A move above 60 would further strengthen the bullish sentiment.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above ₹1,664 with strong volume may push the stock toward higher resistance zones, potentially targeting ₹1,750 and beyond.
• Bearish Scenario: A failure to break above the resistance levels and a drop below ₹1,560 could lead to a pullback toward the support levels around ₹1,486.
Impact of US Elections:
The outcome of the US elections can influence global market sentiments, including Indian equities. A favorable or market-friendly outcome (e.g., policies encouraging global trade, fiscal stimulus, or economic stability) could trigger bullish momentum in international markets, including CDSL, especially if investor sentiment turns risk-on. Conversely, market uncertainties or potential negative impacts on global trade and investments could weigh down sentiment, causing increased volatility and possibly stalling upward momentum for stocks like CDSL.
Summary: CDSL is currently showing a bullish pattern with an ascending triangle. The upcoming breakout or rejection from the resistance levels will likely set the direction for the stock. Traders should monitor volume, price action, and global macroeconomic influences, including the US election outcomes, to gauge market sentiment accurately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Sun Pharma - Long Setup (Swing Trade)Sun Pharma has confirmed a breakout above the entry zone, presenting a swing trade opportunity. Here’s the trade setup:
Entry Price: 1836.95 (Confirmed after the 15-minute candle broke above the entry zone at 1833)
Target: 1978.8
Stop Loss: 1760.10 (Triggered if a daily candle closes below this level)
With the entry price confirmed at 1836.95 , this setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The target is set at 1978.8 , with a well-defined stop loss at 1760.10 to manage risk.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Syngene International Ltd. - Long Setup (Swing Trade)Syngene International Ltd. has confirmed a breakout above the entry zone, offering a potential swing trade setup.
Here’s the trade plan:
Entry Price: 897.90 (Confirmed after the 15-minute candle broke above the entry zone at 895)
Target: 1027.90
Stop Loss: 828.65 (Stop loss will be triggered if a daily candle closes below this level)
With the entry price confirmed at 897.90 , the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The stock is targeting a move toward 1027.90 , with a well-defined stop loss at 828.65 to manage risk.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Tech Mahindra - Long Setup (Swing Trade)Tech Mahindra has confirmed a breakout above the entry zone, setting up for a potential swing trade. Here’s the trade setup:
Entry Price: 1654.85 (Confirmed after the 15-minute candle broke above the entry zone at 1640.25 )
Target: 1785.05
Stop Loss: 1567.85 (Stop loss will be triggered if a daily candle closes below this level)
With the entry price confirmed at 1654.85 , the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The stock is targeting a move toward 1785.05 , with a well-defined stop loss at 1567.85 for risk management.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
BAYER CROPSCIENCE - Potential 40% upmove Mid Term IdeaThe stock is in strong uptrend.
Moving out of a 4 year old consolidation zone.
Coming out of a 5 week old
consolidation, Daily VCP Breakout.
Ready for Swing Targets
15% 8215, then 9579 - Short To MId Term Targets 3-6 months.
SL 5% 6576 Daily closing Basis.
IRCTC Breakdown Trading StrategyThe stock price of IRCTC has fallen below major support levels and currently offers good positional opportunity.
The business has a monopoly and the current news flows had impacted the sentiments negatively.
The news impact seems to be over and the stock is prepared to perform.
Note: The idea shared is aimed at spreading practical awareness of the theoretical concept of Breakdown Trading Strategy. Do not make any financial commitments based on this.
Retest on a GOOG Inverse H&S Pattern! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Potential setup today for CHWY at close?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Chennai Petroleum's Sharp Drop Hits All Targets in 15m TradeAnalysis: Chennai Petroleum (CHENNPETRO) displayed strong bearish momentum on the 15-minute chart using Risological Swing Trader , leading to a successful short trade where all targets have been achieved.
Trade Summary:
Entry Level: 912.85
Target Levels:
TP1: 859.65 ✅
TP2: 773.50 ✅
TP3: 687.35 ✅
TP4: 634.10 ✅
Stop Loss: 955.95
Key Points:
Consistent Downtrend: The stock has followed a consistent downtrend, highlighted by the descending red moving average, indicating continued selling pressure.
Sector Impact: The broader energy sector may also be experiencing pressure, impacting stocks like Chennai Petroleum. Recent economic shifts could be contributing to the bearish outlook.
Conclusion:
The Chennai Petroleum short trade has successfully reached all marked targets. This movement reinforces the bearish sentiment in the stock, offering potential opportunities for traders monitoring short positions.
Gold Is Approaching Higher Timeframes TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2700 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SWING IDEA - CAR TRADE TECHCarTrade Tech is showing a promising swing trade setup based on the following key technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Cup and Handle Pattern : The price is attempting to break out of a classic cup and handle pattern, which is a strong bullish continuation signal.
950 Zone Tested Multiple Times : The 950 zone has been tested repeatedly, indicating it is a strong resistance level. A breakout above this level could result in further upward momentum.
VCP Pattern in Uptrend : A Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is forming, which suggests tightening price action and may lead to a breakout if volatility decreases and buying pressure increases.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart reinforces the potential for an upward move, showing strong buying interest.
Increase in Volumes : A noticeable spike in volumes supports the bullish sentiment and confirms that market participants are actively involved in this move.
Higher Lows : The lows are consistently shifting higher, indicating sustained buying pressure and upward momentum.
Target - 1110 // 1210 // 1400
Stoploss - weekly close below 750
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
$UPST Bullish Flag can Test August '23 HighIn my search for technically sound swing trade ideas I stumbled on $UPST. What we are looking at is almost a perfect technical setup of a bullish continuation flag. We have a nice breakout or "flag pole" on high volume followed by a generally controlled flag pattern down with low volume. What I really like about this setup is it is measuring to test its August '23 high almost perfectly. According to technical analysis, "flags fly at half mast" meaning they form at the midway point of the move. In order to measure the following move precisely you can measure the distance of the preceding breakout point. In this case, the breakthrough of the lower level resistance. Measuring this, I found that the following move could be around $12, putting it at $60 a share and right at the upper level resistance. Invalidation would occur with a daily close below the lower trendline of the flag. I think we could see the start of a large upside move within the next week or two. Unfortunately, we also have the election next week which does all sorts of weird things to the market as a whole. If this setup invalidates but bounces off the lower (previous) line of resistance- I will take another look.