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Swissfranc

USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Reversal at Key SupportThe USD/CHF pair is currently trading near a significant support level around 0.8950, with bullish signals emerging. The harmonic Bat pattern suggests a potential reversal, aligning with historical price reactions at similar levels. Additionally, the presence of green buy markers and RSI indicators approaching oversold conditions indicate possible upward momentum. If price sustains above the 0.8950 region, a bullish move towards 0.9000 and beyond could unfold, with further resistance around 0.9120. Confirmation of reversal signs, such as bullish candlestick formations and RSI divergence, will strengthen the case for a recovery.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
4
CHFJPY - Continuation to the downside?Looking at the CHF/JPY currency pair, the price action shows a clear downward trend since late January 2025, with consistently lower highs and lower lows. The recent bounce from the 166.00 area appears to be a corrective move rather than a trend reversal, suggesting a higher probability of continued downside momentum. However, traders should exercise caution as price approaches the marked blue box zone around 167.00-167.50. This area could act as a support level and potentially trigger a temporary bounce or consolidation. Still, given the overall bearish structure, any rebounds from this zone might present new opportunities for short positions, provided proper risk management is implemented.
Short
by financialflagship
EURCHF Last bearish sequence of the Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a +2 year Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2022 Low and has lately found its price action ranging within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). We are currently on the pattern's 2nd Bearish Leg and based on the 1D RSI's Higher Highs, we are in symmetrical terms on a High like November 17 2023. That was the price's last Lower High before the Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on EURCHF, targeting 0.91000 (Fib 1.236 ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
USDCHF Be ready for these trades based on the 1D MA50.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 2024 bottom. This is inside a larger Rectangle in which the pair is consolidating for the past 1.5 year. The bottom of the Channel Up is being tested again today for the 2nd time since January 27, which was a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test. This is the key of the pair's trend technically in our opinion. The current level being so close to the 1D MA50, is the ideal short-term buy entry to target Resistance 1 at 0.92265 on the lowest risk. If the price breaks below the 1D MA50 however, we will quickly take the minimal loss and reverse to selling the bounce near 0.9100, as this bearish break-out took place on both previous Channel Up patterns on May 15 2024 and October 19 2023. In that case the trade will be long-term, targeting just above Support 1 at 0.84000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF: Should we look for a weaker franc?!The USDCHF pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, we will be provided with further buying positions in this pair with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The continuation of the pair’s rise and its placement in the supply zone will provide us with a selling position. The President of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), Schlegel, stated in an interview with SRF that while the SNB does not favor negative interest rates, it also cannot completely rule them out. He emphasized that implementing such a policy would not be a decision taken lightly. In recent weeks, Schlegel has repeatedly mentioned the possibility of negative interest rates, particularly in light of Switzerland’s inflation dropping to 0.6% in December, which has raised concerns about deflation. However, he noted that temporary periods of negative inflation would not necessarily pose a problem.Additionally, Schlegel reaffirmed the SNB’s commitment to maintaining price stability over the medium term, within the 0–2% target range. Currently, market expectations indicate a 60% probability that the SNB will cut interest rates from 0.5% to 0.25% in March, with a 25% chance of rates reaching 0% by June. In the United States, GDP data for Q4 2024 showed that the economy grew at an annualized 2.3% rate—below market expectations (2.6%) and lower than the 3.1% growth seen in the previous quarter. However, a 2.5% year-over-year growth rate remains substantial and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s outlook. A key takeaway from the recent GDP report is the strong performance of U.S. consumers, who exceeded expectations with 4.2% growth in spending. According to CIBC, American consumers have shown a notable preference for durable goods, with spending in this category surging 12.1% last quarter—a figure significantly above pre-pandemic trends. However, CIBC warns that other sectors of the economy are not as strong. Business investments remain weak, and government spending has played a crucial role in supporting economic growth. Additionally, a 0.9% decline in inventories, driven by weather disruptions and labor strikes, has negatively impacted GDP growth. These factors are expected to persist into Q1 2025, as businesses stockpile inventory ahead of potential tariffs. However, when stripping out inventory effects, final sales to domestic buyers remain strong at 3.1%, which is nearly in line with the two-year average. CIBC also believes that consumer spending will remain resilient, supported by rising asset-related incomes and millennials’ enthusiasm for technology and discretionary spending. That said, trade tariffs could ultimately shave 1% off GDP growth, with their effects likely to linger for some time. Overall, CIBC concludes that while GDP growth may slow slightly under a Trump presidency, the decline is unlikely to cause major concern for the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains more focused on rising prices, their impact on inflation expectations, and wage pressures, as the economy remains strong but inflation is not yet fully controlled. Today’s data reinforces the Fed’s data-dependent approach. Underlying growth is still around 3%, and there is no indication that consumers are scaling back spending, suggesting that they can absorb moderate price increases. As a result, Nomura now expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2025, revising its earlier forecast, which had anticipated at least one rate cut in 2025.
Long
by Ali_PSND
EURCHF: Hit the 1D MA200. Rejection imminent.EURCHF turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.505, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 32.019) as it hit today the 1D MA200 for the first time since July 30th 2024. This test comes only a fraction under the top of the medium term Channel Up, so we are entering a highly probable rejection Zone. Sell and target the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 0.943500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
AUDCHF Having a strong rebound on the 1.5 year Support.Last time we looked at AUDCHF (October 01 2024, see chart below), we took a long-term short trade based on the multi-year Channel Down: The 0.56000 Target got hit and yet again the 1.5 year Support Zone (since August 2023) held. Sooner or later, this demand zone should break the pattern upwards and reverse the bearish trend. Until then, we can continue buying on the Support Zone and target the Lower Highs. This time that trend-line happens to be where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed at, so our Target is now 0.58000. Apart from the Support Zone, we will only buy if the price breaks above Resistance 1, which will be past a Channel Down bullish break-out also, and target the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Resistance 2 at 0.61000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Swiss Franc Futures Decline Amid Weaker US Dollar:Market InsightThe CHF Swiss Franc futures pair experienced a decline to approximately 1.308 during the early European trading session on Monday. This weakening can be primarily attributed to the broad softness of the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure lately. After an initial reversal at the pivotal level of 108.000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to recover some ground, indicating a volatile session ahead for currency traders. Today's market attention is squarely focused on a series of significant economic events that could influence currency valuations. Notably, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech that many analysts anticipate will provide insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Given the current economic climate in Europe, her comments are likely to be closely scrutinized by market participants looking for hints on interest rate adjustments and other monetary policy considerations. Additionally, the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today is another critical data point that traders are monitoring. The PMI serves as a vital barometer for the health of the manufacturing sector, and its results can significantly sway market sentiment. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could lend support to the USD, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's cautious stance in recent months. A resilient manufacturing sector may fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, thus supporting the US dollar. As the market digests these developments, a bearish sentiment appears to be forming for the CHF futures pair. The combination of a weaker Swiss Franc and the possibility of a stable or strengthening US Dollar suggests that traders may be looking to position themselves for a further decline in the CHF/USD relationship. In the current environment of uncertainty and varied economic signals, currency traders must remain vigilant, ready to adapt to rapid changes that could arise from today's pivotal events. In summary, the interplay between the Swiss Franc and the US Dollar is accentuated by current macroeconomic factors, including central bank communications and key economic releases. With a bearish setup on the horizon and investors keenly anticipating these market-moving events, today's trading session promises to be both challenging and potentially rewarding for those engaged in forex trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about CHF Futures in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6S1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
USD/CHF price action: bullish momentum after SNB decisionThe Swiss National Bank's unexpected decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 0.5%, the largest reduction since January 2015, has sent the Swiss franc to its lowest value against the US dollar since November 2022. These aggressive cuts aim to bolster Switzerland's economy amidst rising unemployment and global uncertainties by making borrowing more affordable. Meanwhile, the USD/CHF pair has surged above 0.89019, driven by the franc's depreciation and the broader positive sentiment towards the US dollar, which remains strong despite a slight dip. The Federal Reserve's cautious optimism concerning US inflation and a robust labor market suggests a gradual pace of future rate cuts, supporting the dollar's strength relative to the franc. In the short term, if the SNB maintains its accommodative strategy while the Fed takes a measured approach, the USD/CHF's bullish momentum could persist. Traders should stay attuned to upcoming economic data and central bank communications, which will provide crucial insights into monetary policy shifts affecting the USD/CHF exchange rate.
by tastyfx
CHFJPY: Bearish wave of Channel Down unfolding.CHFJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.014, MACD = -1.180, ADX = 47.694) as it is more than halfway on the new bearish wave of the 5 month Channel Down. Having crossed under both the 1D MA50 and MA200, the 1D RSI appears to technically be on a level much like the July 25th rebound. This indicates that we are on an ideal sell entry. Short and target (TP = 164.300) the full -7.43% extension (the decline of the July-Aug bearish wave). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
CHFJPY expected to bottom soon. Unique long-term buy opportunityThe CHFJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern for more than 2 years (since the September 22 2022 High). More recently on September 16 2024, the price bottomed on its Higher Lows trend-line and the subsequent rebound to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, initiated a new pull-back that broke yesterday below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is identical to the Channel's previous bottom formation in January 2023. The rebound that followed also got rejected near the 0.786 Fib and retraced all the way to the 0.236. Then it started a relentless Bullish Leg all the way to the 2.0 Fib extension. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical and we are at the point where the RSI is about to break below its MA and give the buy signal. As a result, we turn bullish on the CHFJPY pair, targeting 188.000 (near the top of the Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF: Potential rejection on the 1W MA100.USDCHF is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.705, MACD = 0.007, ADX = 41.714) but only just came out of neutrality on 1W (RSI = 58.054) despite the fact that it reached the 1W MA100 last week. Since February 2023, the 1W MA100 has been the first level of Resistance, so taking a short now is completely justified technically. The final Resistance thus short entry for us is the 1W MA200, which hasn't closed a candle over it in 2 years. Now that happens to be at the top of the Rectangle (body candles closings only). Either way, we are targeting the Rectangle's bottom (TP = 0.84100). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EURCHF Channel Down bottoming and giving a buy opportunity.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 4H time-frame and is on its second Bearish Leg, pressured below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 08. Having hit the 0.236 Channel Fib, the current forming of Lower Lows is similar to the bottom pattern formed on October 01. Even the 4H RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical, both on a Double Bottom that was the signal to buy at that time. Our Target is 0.93500, still below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (blue), which was broken during the October rebound. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
AUDCHF: 4H Golden Cross emerging. Buy opportunity.AUDCHF is technically neutral on the 1D (RSI = 49.632, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 25.946) and 4H timeframes alike as the price is consolidating on the HL trendline of a medium term uptrend. That uptrend is technically the bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The pair is about to form a 4H Golden and last time this was formed on the bullish wave prior (Sep 23rd) the wave was only halfway through. The 1D MACD formed the usual Bullish Cross just after the bottom so we have all the technical validations to go long and target the R2 level (TP = 0.58700). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
USDCHF Short-term Channel Up targeting 0.88120The USDCHF pair is following very accurately our September 17 projection (see chart below) and is already half-way through our 0.90500 Target: As mentioned then that was a long-term bottom buy opportunity, but that doesn't mean shorter ones don't exist on the lower time-frames. On this chart, we've identified one on the 4H time-frame where the price got rejected at the top of the October Channel Up and pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This resembles the October 08 0.382 Fib rejection, which was also contained above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and resumed the uptrend all the way to the -0.236 Fib extension. As a result, our short-term Target is 0.88120. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZDCHF Channel Down and Head and Shoulders driving it much lowerThe NZDCHF pair gave us a spot on buy signal last time we looked into it (August 23, see chart below) that easily hit the target and immediately after started a correction that broke the Channel Up to the downside: What has emerged from that top is a Channel Down pattern, which made yesterday a new Lower High on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That's not all however. As you can see, this Lower High can technically be the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which makes the trend even more bearish. The 1st Bearish Leg of the Channel Down reached a -4.55% decline, so another such Leg would price a Lower Low at 0.50255. This happens to be just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is a standard target for H&S patterns. Our Target is marginally above both at 0.50500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CADCHF Strong short-term buy signal.The CADCHF pair is about to test its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as it is coming off a 2-month Support Zone rebound. A break above the Channel Down would confirm the buy signal but with the price within a consolidation Rectangle pattern, the risk of buying after a Support rebound is low. At the same time, the 4H RSI also rebounded exactly on its 30.00 oversold barrier. Similar rebounds have delivered at least a +1.37% rise, so at this stage our Target is 0.62700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1