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Swissfranc

Why is the Swiss Franc Defying the Odds?In a global economy where central banks are leaning towards softer monetary policies, the Swiss Franc is charting its own course—strengthening against the odds. But what forces are truly at play here? Is it merely the cautious whispers of the Swiss National Bank, or is there a deeper undercurrent, tied to inflation expectations and global safe-haven flows? As we peel back the layers, we uncover a narrative that challenges conventional wisdom. Discover the intricate dynamics that could redefine how we perceive currency resilience in today's volatile market landscape. The franc's unexpected strength has sparked a flurry of theories. Some point to the SNB's potential reluctance to cut interest rates as aggressively as its peers. Others suggest that the widening gap between Swiss and global inflation expectations could be fueling the franc's appreciation. Yet, the franc's safe-haven status and its role in carry trades add another layer of complexity to this puzzle. The EUR/CHF currency pair, a barometer of the Eurozone and Switzerland's economic health, is particularly sensitive to the franc's strength. As the franc appreciates, it can impact trade balances, inflation, and overall economic competitiveness. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the enigma of the Swiss franc's resilience persists. Is this a temporary anomaly, or a harbinger of a new era in international finance? Only time will tell.
Short
by signalmastermind
USD/CHF: Jordan’s Final Moves as SNB Chief Switzerland's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August is forecast to show a year-over-year increase of 1.2%, down from 1.3% in July. On a month-over-month basis, CPI is expected to rise by 0.1%, rebounding from the prior month’s 0.2% decline. The figures, due on Tuesday, come as Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Thomas Jordan recently acknowledged the challenges posed by the strong Swiss franc on the nation’s industry. Speculation is mounting over whether the central bank will respond with a 50-basis-point rate cut in September or intervene in the currency markets to ease pressures. Bear in mind, Jordan, who has steered the SNB for over a decade, will step down at the end of September 2024, marking the end of an era for Swiss monetary policy. On the daily chart, we can see that USDCHF broke the August low last week. The near-term resistance is possibly around 0.8590,
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCHF - Short Trade IdeaThis a short trade idea I have for the USDCHF. It is pretty straight-forward. Trade back into a Weekly iFVG and SIBI then move lower from there. First target is the immediate swing low, and the second target is the older low to the left. Entry somewhere in the gap, and stoploss above the high that entered the previous SIBI. Sometimes I feel as though I should make my analysis more complicated so it can get featured, but truth be told, there is nothing useful about having a complicated analysis. In terms of technical analysis, this is as accurate and simple as it gets. And usually if a trade is wrong, there is unanticipated news or the tides have turned and a trade in the opposite direction is warranted. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
NZDCHF Short-term buy on this Channel Up.The NZDCHF pair has been trading within a short-term Channel Up and yesterday hit its bottom, technically pricing the new Higher Low. Being around the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) currently, we expect this to be the start of the new Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by +2.63% and +2.19% respectively so we expect the current one to be at least another +2.19% from the Higher Low. As a result our short-term Target is 0.53100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
CADCHF Strong buy signalThe CADCHF pair offered us an excellent sell signal last time we looked into it (July 02, see chart below) as trading within a Channel Down pattern, it was rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and hit our 0.63100 Target: The Channel Down priced its new Lower Low, even broke momentarily below its bottom aggressively, and now seems to have recovered. The recent pull-back offers a good opportunity to enter this confirmed uptrend, which is technically the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Down. Our Target is 0.65000, firmly below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous Lower High of the Channel, which is where both Lower Highs so far have been priced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCHF Strong long-term bullish wave expected.The USDCHF pair followed almost perfectly our projected course last time we made an analysis on it (June 20, see chart below), as after a 1.5 Fibonacci rebound, it resumed the downtrend and hit our 0.8700 Target: Having completed a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, on the same level as the January 04 2024 one, we view the recent rebound as the start of the new Bullish Leg towards the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). As you can see, we've been basically within a wide but sideways structure for more than one year and the symmetry between the October - December 2023 Leg is very high with May - August 2024. Even the 1D MACD patterns are very similar. As a result, we turn bullish on USDCHF again on a 0.9100 Target, just below the 1W MA200, which is the technical long-term Resistance. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
4
USDCHF Pattern FormationThis price has been forming a falling flag for the past few weeks which IMO it is a strong indicator of a long bullish momentum. As for the now, the price seems to be at major market zone, at 0.883 - 0.885, hence we are waiting for; 1. If the price breaks out and closes above 0.886, the bullish momentum might continue. 2. If the price fails to break out of that zone, it will continue with the bearish momentum and completing the pattern where the target is 0.857
Short
by Vapari_Inc
AUDCHF Channel Up intact. This pull-back is a buy opportunity.The AUDCHF pair is on the 3rd straight day of a strong short-term pull-back and just touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 3 weeks. The long-term bullish trend remains intact though as the dominant structure is a 7-month Channel Up. As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we will remain bullish, targeting 0.62250 (+6.20% Bullish Leg, similar to the previous two). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot