GBPCHF: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF reached 2 years' low last week.
Analyzing the reaction to that structure on lower time frames,
I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling parallel channel on 4H,
and a completed double bottom formation.
I believe that the pair will grow now.
Goals: 1.1215 / 1.125
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Swissfranc
USD/CHF: Three black crows erase head-and-shoulders bottomThe dollar-franc pair ( USD/CHF ) is recording its third straight day of losses, and is about to form a "three black crows" pattern, which is characterized by three consecutive bearish red candlesticks with lower highs and lower lows.
A three black crows pattern typically indicates a bull trend reversal and a shift in trader sentiment. This pattern formation on USD/CHF also invalidates the false bullish signal that had been given by the formation of a head and shoulder bottom earlier this month.
MACD also shows a bearish crossover. The last time it happened in July the pair extended the downside movement.
USD/CHF is now testing the lows of August 19 and the next support is given by the psychological level of 0.95 which also corresponds to August 18's lows.
Fibonacci retracement between August 11 lows and September 6 highs has already exceeded the 50% key mark and now stands at 38.2%.
Below 0.95, next supports are given by 0.9491 (23.6% Fibonacci) and 0.9372 which would then complete the retracement to July lows.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
CAD-CHF Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF broke out of the rising channel
So I am bearish biased on the pair
But I think that we will first see a move up
To retest the broken support line of the channel
And only then the price will go down
Towards the target level below
Sell!
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💵Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc 💵 Analyze(Double Top Pattern)🗻🗻
It seems that the Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc is currently making a double top pattern.
Since the slope of the price approaching the neckline at the Top 2 is more significant than Top 1, as well as the divergence between the two tops, I predict that the neckline will be broken, and the Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc will go down to the support zone and target of the pattern.
It is better to look for confirmation of a valid break of the neckline in lower time frames.
🔅Canadian Dollar/Swiss Franc (CADCHF) Timeframe 1H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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CADCHF: Very Bearish Setup 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF is trading in a horizontal trading range for 2 weeks.
Approaching its resistance, the price formed a double top formation.
The price broke and closed below its neckline this morning.
The price started to fall sharply after a retest.
I expect a bearish continuation to 0.74 level now.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USD/CHF -8/9/2022-• 4H chart is showing some signs of bullish exhaustion
• Correction likely soon
• Minor triple top
• Resistance line since May 22 broken with confirmation
• Bullish bias supported by the green trend line support
• As long as bulls manage to stay above the green line, buy the dips
• Only sell if bears manage to fade the breakout and bring prices back down below the red resistance line
USD/CHF -8/9/2022-• Triangle pattern explained + measurement method
• On the weekly chart, while ago, a triangle formation can be seen
• Breakout can be either way
• In the above case, the breakout was to the upside, supported by strong fundamentals in favor of the dollar
• Traders should wait for a successful breakout before placing any trade
• Breakout was confirmed by several bars above the upper trend line resistance
• Buy order is placed upon the breakout, and the measurement method is applied for profit taking
• What is the measurement method?
• It is the distance between the lowest point in the triangle and the first high, the widest distance in other words
• In this case, the length is 700 pips, so we project this distance from the breakout point
• We get the target around parity, which was reached accurately at a later stage
USD/CHF Next Possible MoveTechnical Analysis Chart Update
USD/ USD ( U.S Dollar / Swiss Franc )
Time Frame - H4
It is Following the HEAD AND SHOULDER Pattern in the Daily Time Frame ( Long Term - LTF )
It has completed the LEFT SHOULDER and Head now it will Follow Sell Trend to Complete its RIGHT SHOULDER
Its is Rejecting from the Strong Previous #RESISTANCE Level ( Demand Zone )
We have Bullish Channel Pattern in Short Time Frame #STF
It has also Completed the " ABC " Corrective wave
CAD CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSCAD
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: NEUTRAL
BASELINE
The CAD has enjoyed far more upside in the past few weeks than we anticipated. We’ve been cautious on the currency given Canada’s dependency on the US (>70% of exports) where the clear signs of a faster than expected slowdown and possible recession should deteriorate the growth outlook for Canada. Apart from that, the risks to the Canadian housing market can negatively impact consumer spending as interest rates rise higher at aggressive speed. Potentially damaging the wealth effect created by the rapid rise in house prices since covid. However, despite the risks to the economy and the outlook, markets still price in a strangely favourable growth environment for Canada, also supported by a big push higher in terms of trade due to the rise in commodity prices. Furthermore, despite clear warning signals, the BoC has chosen to ignore the negatives and has stayed very hawkish, hiking 1.0% in July. The market’s reaction after the 1.0% was quite telling though, with the CAD pushing lower afterwards. This suggests that those players that were long could’ve used the hike as a spot to take profit, or it could be the market pricing in a possible pause for the BoC in the months ahead because hiking so aggressive now means reaching a level to pause their cycle much faster. Either way, we remain cautious on the CAD and favour short-term catalysts that provide us with shorting opportunities.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
As an oil exporter, oil prices are important for CAD. Catalysts that see further upside in Oil (deteriorating supply outlook, ease in demand fears) could trigger bullish CAD reactions. The correlation has been hit and miss in recent weeks though. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CAD. Even though lots of tightening has been priced for the BoC, any overly hawkish comments from the BoC or big upside surprises in econ data could trigger short-term upside, but with a 100bsp providing no upside, risks are titled to the downside.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
As an oil exporter, oil prices are important for CAD. Any catalyst that triggers meaningful downside in oil (deteriorating demand outlook, ease in supply shortage, less supply constraints) could be a negative catalyst for the CAD as well. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CAD. With a lot of tightening priced into STIRs, and a 100bsp hike providing no support for the CAD, we think risks are skewed lower, and any big downside surprises in econ data could offer decent shorting opportunities for the CAD.
BIGGER PICTURE
The bigger picture outlook for the CAD remains neutral for now. Given the clear risks to the growth outlook due to the slowdown in the US, as well as rising risks to the consumer and the housing market, and potential negative impact for commodities like oil, we remain cautious on the currency (even though it’s moved much higher than we anticipated from the start of the year). With a lot of good news priced in, our preferred way of trading the CAD is lower on clear short-term negative catalysts.
CHF
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH
BASELINE
The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland, as well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to try and weaken the CHF. At their June meeting, the SNB took a very aggressive policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’. Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively. Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland will have positive interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. There is scope for further CHF upside in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. SNB’s hawkish tilt, the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF with less intervention, negative underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown, rising inflation . The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
Any incoming data (especially CPI on Thursday) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. The more aggressive markets think the ECB will be with incoming hikes, the more aggressive they will be for the SNB. Thus, data that trigger hawkish ECB expectations could also be supportive for the CHF.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF. Further lower repricing of ECB hikes could trigger downside in the CHF as well, and the biggest dovish risk for the currency is a big surprise miss on any incoming CPI data.
BIGGER PICTURE
The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. Apart from a hawkish central bank , we also have the economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued (there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means the bias for the CHF is bullish and we’re looking for dips as CHF for buying opportunities.
EUR CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSEUR
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH
BASELINE
Persistently high inflation has seen the ECB tilt more hawkish by hiking rates 50bsp in July. Additional pressure on inflation from gas supply shortages and drought-linked supply constraints has seen ECB members get more uneasy about price pressures, with comments last week suggesting that there is growing support for a 75bsp hike in September. This saw some initial upside in the EUR, but it’s important to remember that the bank quelled hawkish excitement at the July meeting by saying that frontloading hikes are not a signal of a higher terminal rate. Until that changes, higher rate expectations are likely only going to have short-lived upside potential for the Euro . Spread fragmentation, even though largely moving into the background, is still a concern, with the ECB failing to ease the market’s spread concerns with their new Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) as the eligibility criteria means countries like Italy and Spain that will need the support the most might have a tough time qualifying. Even though policy is important, the main driver for the EUR is the economic outlook. Recent growth data has continued to flag recession risks and as energy concerns increase so too does the likelihood of stagflation. Even though the bias remains lower, a lot of negatives have been priced in from a tactical point of view so worth keeping that in mind.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
De-escalation or cease fire in Ukraine would open up a lot of EUR upside. Stagflation risks remains, but with lots of bad news priced any materially better-than-expected data could spark some relief. Spread fragmentation remains a concern, thus, any TPI comments that convinces markets it can solve fragmentation issues should be supportive for the EUR. Energy supply is a problem. If Russia does re-opens gas flows after the planned shutdown it should ease some pressure. Any good news on Rhine water levels and resumption of normal transport could be a bullish catalyst for the EUR.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
Any escalation in the Ukraine war that risks including NATO would be big negative risks. Stagflation risks remains, even with lots of bad news priced any materially worse-than-expected data could see more pressure. Spread fragmentation remains in focus, and if the ECB fails to act when we see big jolts higher in the BTP/ Bund spread could trigger bearish reactions in the EUR. Energy supply is a problem. If Russia does not re-open gas flows after the planned shutdown it should add downside risks. Any bad news on Rhine water levels and continued breakdown in transportation could be a bearish catalyst for the EUR.
BIGGER PICTURE
The fundamental outlook remains bearish with recent leading indicators pointing to a much faster economic slowdown than markets previously expected. The current bearish drivers (geopolitics, stagflation, spread fragmentation, energy supply concerns) far outweigh the positives from a hawkish ECB. Recession risks have opened up a narrative change for the EUR which have seen markets adjust forecasts to reflect higher recession probabilities which has continued to weigh on the EUR. With lots of bad news priced in there is risks in chasing the EUR lower, but the fundamental outlook remains bleak.
CHF
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH
BASELINE
The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland, as well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to try and weaken the CHF. At their June meeting, the SNB took a very aggressive policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’. Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively. Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland will have positive interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. There is scope for further CHF upside in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. SNB’s hawkish tilt, the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF with less intervention, negative underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown, rising inflation . The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
Any incoming data (especially CPI on Thursday) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. The more aggressive markets think the ECB will be with incoming hikes, the more aggressive they will be for the SNB. Thus, data that trigger hawkish ECB expectations could also be supportive for the CHF.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF. Further lower repricing of ECB hikes could trigger downside in the CHF as well, and the biggest dovish risk for the currency is a big surprise miss on any incoming CPI data.
BIGGER PICTURE
The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. Apart from a hawkish central bank , we also have the economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued (there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means the bias for the CHF is bullish and we’re looking for dips as CHF for buying opportunities.
USDCHF (US Dollars/Swiss Franc) Currencies Analysis 26/04/2022 Fundamental Analysis:
NUMBER OF TRADERS NET-SHORT HAS INCREASED BY 5.22% FROM LAST WEEK.
SYMBOL TRADING BIAS NET-LONG% NET-SHORT% CHANGE IN LONGS CHANGE IN SHORTS CHANGE IN OI
USD/CHF BEARISH 49.71% 50.29% 4.44% Daily -10.07% Weekly 15.93% Daily 5.22% Weekly 9.92% Daily -2.98% Weekly
USD/CHF: Retail trader data shows 49.71% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.01 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Mar 18 when USD/CHF traded near 0.93, price has moved 2.82% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 4.44% higher than yesterday and 10.07% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.93% higher than yesterday and 5.22% higher from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USD/CHF prices may continue to rise.
Our data shows traders are now net-short USD/CHF for the first time since Mar 18, 2022 when USD/CHF traded near 0.93. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USD/CHF-bullish contrarian trading bias.
Technical Analysis:
We can clearly see that the Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD has Started Forming in 6H time frame and it is one of the biggest signs that the bullish Trend is reversing and we can see some Price Correction on this Forex Instrument.
we have defined 3 Targets using the Fibonacci Retracement Tools which we have forecasted the Price to fall.
please check the Forecast
CADCHF Starting a rally to 0.78000The CADCHF pair has been trading within a very long-term Channel Up since the July 31 2020 Low. Our most recent idea back in May was focused around the incredible sell opportunity that we were handed when the price hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of that Channel Up:
As you see the strategy was successful and the pattern played out exactly as expected. The price made a new Higher Low on August 15 and rebounded. Now it is back above both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), indicating that this is the start of the new rally to a long-term Higher High. This notion is further strengthened by the fact that the 1D RSI and MACD indicators between June - August 2022 and July - September 2021 are identical. Our first target is the previous Higher High and now Resistance of 0.78000.
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💵Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen 💵Analyze !!!Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen wasn't able to break the resistance line successfully and made a Double Top pattern.
I expect that the Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen will go down at least to the Double Top pattern's target.
🔅Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen Analyze ( CHFJPY ) Timeframe 4H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NZDCHF About to break the 1D MA50 towards a new High.The NZDCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down pattern since the February 25 2021 High. The last Lower Low on the Channel took place on July 01 2022 and that Low was re-tested on August 29, which held, making the Support so far a Double Bottom.
The 3 day rebound is now testing again the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 4th time in the past 2 weeks with strong probabilities of breaking out not just due to the Double Bottom but also due to the 1D RSI and MACD indicators. Those show that the current rebound is similar to the one that started on February. A break above the 1D MA50 can kick start the new bullish leg to the Lower Highs (top) trend-line of the Channel Down. Moderate target would be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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US Dollar forms a bullish flag against Swiss FrancAfter having made research and taking in to account the current conditions i think that sadly we can see a strong pump in the us dollar for the coming weeks.
If you look at the chart of Swiss Franc against US Dollar you can clearly see a bullish flag pattern which usually indicates an accumulation followed by a continuation on the actual uptrend.
If the price opens and closes over the upper trend line i will consider to open a long with targets 1.021 1.07 1.15 and 1.25 and i will set an stop loss order at 0.957.
In the case that a clean daily candle is printed over the upper trend line i will try to enter at the pullback of the breakout with a limit order on 0.974.
If the price fails to close over the upper trend line this setup is invalidated.
I would be glad to see what do you think in the comments and if you agree with me don't forget to give a boost.
Regards and happy trading.
USDCHF enter around the supply level. consider probabilities! There is a supply level around the entry setup.
Trend is bullish!!
Another touch to the level might be a great chance to a good profit!
never forget that trading is the game probabilities!
ATTENTION:
According to the the long-term back-tests (from 15 to 20 years) on different instruments, the W% of this setup is only around 25% to 30%! So the only way you can make money continuously out of this setup is risk and money management! the proper risk management for this setup is risking around 0.5% of your total trading capital as SL amount.
EUR-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF broke out of the massive falling wedge
And went up but has hit a horizontal resistance
So I will be expecting a local pullback
Because a bearish correction is needed on the pair
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
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💵Swiss Franc/New Zealand Dollar 💵Analyze !!!I expect the Swiss Franc/New Zealand Dollar goes up to my PRZ(Price Reversal Zone) and then reverse from that zone to the support zone.
🔅Swiss Franc/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (CHFNZD) Daily Timeframe ⏰.
🔴Price Reversal Zone (PRZ): 1.7375NZD - 1.7155NZD
🟢Support Zone: 1.6520 NZD - 1.6430 NZD
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR CHF - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSEUR
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH
BASELINE
Persistently high inflation has seen the ECB tilt more hawkish by hiking rates 50bsp in July. Additional pressure on inflation from gas supply shortages and drought-linked supply constraints has seen ECB members get more uneasy about price pressures, with comments last week suggesting that there is growing support for a 75bsp hike in September. This saw some initial upside in the EUR, but it’s important to remember that the bank quelled hawkish excitement at the July meeting by saying that frontloading hikes are not a signal of a higher terminal rate. Until that changes, higher rate expectations are likely only going to have short-lived upside potential for the Euro. Spread fragmentation, even though largely moving into the background, is still a concern, with the ECB failing to ease the market’s spread concerns with their new Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) as the eligibility criteria means countries like Italy and Spain that will need the support the most might have a tough time qualifying. Even though policy is important, the main driver for the EUR is the economic outlook. Recent growth data has continued to flag recession risks and as energy concerns increase so too does the likelihood of stagflation. Even though the bias remains lower, a lot of negatives have been priced in from a tactical point of view so worth keeping that in mind.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
De-escalation or cease fire in Ukraine would open up a lot of EUR upside. Stagflation risks remains, but with lots of bad news priced any materially better-than-expected data could spark some relief. Spread fragmentation remains a concern, thus, any TPI comments that convinces markets it can solve fragmentation issues should be supportive for the EUR. Energy supply is a problem. If Russia does re-opens gas flows after the planned shutdown it should ease some pressure. Any good news on Rhine water levels and resumption of normal transport could be a bullish catalyst for the EUR.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
Any escalation in the Ukraine war that risks including NATO would be big negative risks. Stagflation risks remains, even with lots of bad news priced any materially worse-than-expected data could see more pressure. Spread fragmentation remains in focus, and if the ECB fails to act when we see big jolts higher in the BTP/Bund spread could trigger bearish reactions in the EUR. Energy supply is a problem. If Russia does not re-open gas flows after the planned shutdown it should add downside risks. Any bad news on Rhine water levels and continued breakdown in transportation could be a bearish catalyst for the EUR.
BIGGER PICTURE
The fundamental outlook remains bearish with recent leading indicators pointing to a much faster economic slowdown than markets previously expected. The current bearish drivers (geopolitics, stagflation, spread fragmentation, energy supply concerns) far outweigh the positives from a hawkish ECB. Recession risks have opened up a narrative change for the EUR which have seen markets adjust forecasts to reflect higher recession probabilities which has continued to weigh on the EUR. With lots of bad news priced in there is risks in chasing the EUR lower, but the fundamental outlook remains bleak.
CHF
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BULLISH
BASELINE
The CHF has been supported in recent months as STIR markets have steadily priced in higher interest rates for Switzerland, as well the SNB’s reluctance to intervene in the currency markets to try and weaken the CHF. At their June meeting, the SNB took a very aggressive policy step by hiking rates with 50bsp and removing their previous classification that the CHF is ‘highly valued’. Unlike other central banks, the SNB has chosen to try and tackle inflation before it runs rampant by hiking rates aggressively. Their hike in June was the first hike since 2007, and if the bank follows through with a hike in September it will mean Switzerland will have positive interest rates for the first time in almost a decade. There is scope for further CHF upside in the months ahead with 4 supporting drivers. SNB’s hawkish tilt, the bank’s acceptance of a stronger CHF with less intervention, negative underlying risk sentiment driven by the global cyclical slowdown, rising inflation. The SNB did note that they are willing to be active in the foreign exchange market to ensure appropriate monetary conditions which means too much CHF strength could get the wrong attention from the bank.
POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES
Any incoming data (especially CPI on Thursday) or SNB comments that causes markets to price in even more aggressive policy from the bank could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk off sentiment could trigger bullish reactions in the CHF. The more aggressive markets think the ECB will be with incoming hikes, the more aggressive they will be for the SNB. Thus, data that trigger hawkish ECB expectations could also be supportive for the CHF.
POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES
The SNB has not been as active in trying to devalue the CHF through sight deposits as they have been in recent years. With the bank now on a hiking cycle, any drastic appreciation could spark some intervention and would be a bearish catalyst. As a risk sensitive currency, and catalyst that causes big bouts of risk on sentiment could trigger bearish reactions in the CHF. Further lower repricing of ECB hikes could trigger downside in the CHF as well, and the biggest dovish risk for the currency is a big surprise miss on any incoming CPI data.
BIGGER PICTURE
The SNB surprised with a 50bsp hike and signalled, that unlike other central banks, they will not get behind the curve. Apart from a hawkish central bank, we also have the economy on a steady footing, as well as less risk of intervention as SNB’s Jordan said they no longer see the CHF as highly valued (there is of course risk that they could intervene if the CHF appreciates too much too fast). This means the bias for the CHF is bullish and we’re looking for dips as CHF for buying opportunities.
GBPCHF: Update & Still Bearish Outlook 🇬🇧🇨🇭
Update for our yesterday's setup on GBPCHF.
The price broke and closed below a rising trend line on 1H time frame
leaving one more bearish clue.
I will keep holding my short trading, expecting a bearish continuation.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURCHF: Bearish Trend Continuation 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Hey traders,
EURCHF is trading in a global bearish trend.
Lower highs are perfectly respecting a falling trend line on a daily.
Approaching that earlier this week, the price formed a double top formation.
The pair broke and closed below its neckline then.
I believe that the market will keep falling now.
Goal - 0.957
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️