MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, GBPCHF
Hey traders,
here is a brief technical outlook of 4 peculiar instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ EURUSD - Daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
After setting a new lower low lower close on a daily, EURUSD is retracing.
The price is approaching a strong structure resistance at the moment.
For now, I remain bearish biased and look for a confirmation to short from the underlined structure.
Its bullish breakout, however, may trigger a further bullish continuation.
2️⃣ GBPUSD - Daily time frame 🇬🇧 🇺🇸
The market is trading in a long-term bearish trend.
The price is stuck within a descending triangle formation.
Its support breakout will trigger a trend-following movement
while a bullish breakout of a trend line will lead to a correctional movement.
3️⃣ USDCHF - Daily time frame 🇨🇭🇺🇸
The pair set a new higher high higher close on a daily.
Now the market is approaching a broken resistance.
I believe that soon the pair will keep growing.
4️⃣ GBPCHF - Daily time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇭
The market is trading in a long-term bearish trend.
Recently the market retraced to a strong daily structure resistance.
From that, I am looking for a confirmation to short.
Chances are high to see a trend-following movement from that.
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Swissfranc
GBPCHF: Bearish Outlook 🇬🇧🇨🇭
Hey traders,
GBPCHF reached a key daily structure resistance yesterday.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a long-term bearish trend,
chances are high to see a bearish move from that.
On an hourly time frame, the price formed a double top formation
and broke a support line of a rising wedge pattern.
I expect a bearish continuation now to
1.235
1.2285
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBP-CHF Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is going up to retest
The daily falling resistance line
While trading in a rising narrowing wedge pattern
So I think that after the retest of the resistance
We will see a bearish breakout from the wedge
And a move down towards the target below
Sell!
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EUR-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is hovering below the horizontal resistance level
And the pair seems to be locally overbought
Thus, a local move down is to be expected
From the resistance towards the target below
Sell!
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Strong Buy on GBPCHFThe institutional price level of 1.21000 is a very significant level since it's a quarterly low. The price has been on an uptrend forming Bullish Orderblocks which are being respected by price.
I am anticipating that the Bearish OB which the price is at now will also be taken out so that the buyers can take the price up to the equal highs at level 1.26020.
Also, according to the global rates, the pound is stronger than the Swiss Franc. The pound is at 0.75% while the Swiss is at -0.75%
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✅USD_CHF POTENTIAL SHORT🔥
✅USD_CHF broke key horizontal level
And went up, which makes me bullish
However, the pair is trading in a giant
Opening wedge pattern, and the price
Is about to retest the resistance of the wedge
Which coupled with the need for a post-breakout pullback
Makes me expect a local move down
To retest the broken key level below
SHORT🔥
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USDCHF..... THE MISCHIEVOUS ONEHello Fam,
I'm here again with an update on this pair. I was thinking that this short move will happen earlier but guess what, the market makers showed that they are not ready. Hope you guy didn't short just yet as the market is not even ready based on structure. Anyways, in the chart you can see my outlook of this pair. if the market breaks that zone, I will be going for the kill but we need to see the market change structure.
I will keep you posted when I decide to place my limit order.
Regards,
David
CAD-CHF Breakout Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF broke a key horizontal level
And the breakout is confirmed
Which makes me bullish biased on the pair
And I think that after the pullback and retest
We will see bullish continuation
Buy!
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GBP-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF was trading in an uptrend
But now we are seeing a bearish breakout
Of the rising trend-line
Which makes a local bearish correction likely
So we can expect a move down on Monday
Sell!
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CHFJPY Correction ahead.The CHFJPY pair has been on a strong rally that smashed through our target on the last analysis:
Right now the price formed a new Channel Up, remaining within a Fibonacci Channel where it broke above the 1.5 Fib extension and almost reached as high as the 2.0.
However with the RSI hitting its October 20 2021 Resistance and the MACD forming a Bearish Cross, we have a strong set of indicators pointing towards a pull-back similar to June 2021 and August 2020. On both of those correction phases, the price pulled-back to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Currently that is on 126.565. It might make contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) there. If broken, the last Support is the 0.618 Fib at 124.455. After that correction we expect the pair to continue its long-term bullish trend.
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EURCHF: One More Bearish Move?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Hey traders,
EURCHF is retesting a recently broken structure support one more time on a daily.
On hourly time frame, the price formed a tiny double top formation and coiling at the moment.
I expect a pullback to 1.0156
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CHF-JPY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY is trading in an uptrend
And the pair is retesting a support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal support level
So I think that we will see bullish reaction
And a move up from the cluster
To retest the supply levels above
Buy!
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Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighboursThe USD has lived up to its classification as a safe-haven currency since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Other safe-haven currencies, such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, have failed in this respect. Both have lost strength over the past month and a half. The Swiss franc index has fallen 1.2% over this time, while the Japanese yen has plummeted 8.6%.
The physical approximation of Switzerland to the Ukrainian border might explain why the Swiss franc has failed to live up to its safe-haven status. The same reasoning cannot be applied to the yen as Japan has a 5000-mile wide buffer between it and the locale of the conflict. Nevertheless, Switzerland is not the only European country that has been affected by the Ukraine invasion, many of them being direct or close neighbours of Ukraine.
Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighbours
The currencies of several close and bordering countries of Ukraine have followed a similar pattern since Russia entered Ukraine for its ‘special military operation’ on 24 February 2022.
The Czech koruna, Polish zloty, and the Hungarian forint each spent the period of 24 February until the 7 March considerably weakening against the US dollar. The US dollar strengthened in a range of 9% to 14% against these pairs. The two weeks before 24 February saw gradual but moderate de-risking in these European currencies, with the US dollar gaining in the range of 2% to 3.5%.
Strangely, significant movement was seen on the bookends of this period, on the 24 February, 6 March, and 7 March. All the stranger for the very sharp reversals that took place on 8 and 9 March. This may have been when it became evident that Russia had botched its invasion. The reversals that occurred were not entirely successful in erasing the losses the currencies made since 24 February. The Czech koruna (USDCZK) has fared the best during this affair so far, weakening by only -3% and followed by the Polish zloty (USDPLN) at -4.9% and the Hungarian forint (USDHUF) at -7.8%.