USDCHF Sell opportunity on perfect symmetry.The USDCHF pair broke this week below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the firs time since March 14 and is extending a downtrend that started on the May 01 2024 Top, a rejection on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The last time we had a similar (near) rejection was on the October 03 2023 Top, which also initiated a downtrend. That structure targeted the 1.5 and 2.5 Fibonacci extension levels in succession.
With the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals showing tight symmetry, we see now the final sell opportunity to target the 2.5 Fib. Our Target is at 0.87000 (within Support 1 and Fib 2.5).
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Swissfranc
USD/CHF downtrend pauses for breath ahead of SNBThere is quite a bit of uncertainty with today's SNB rate decision, over whether they'll cut or hold. And that has seen the 1--day implied volatility level more than double its 20-day average. The market is clearly in a downtrend on the daily chart, having broken key support on Tuesday.
Prices are now consolidating above the weekly S1 pivot on the hourly chart. If the SNB do cut and spark a rebound on USD/CHF, the preference is to step aside and seek evidence of a swing high. This is because we now know the SNB no longer want a weaker currency, so any upshot today is likely to be temporary. And this scenario would be preferred as it allows for an improved reward to risk ratio.
However, as the decline of the inflation rate rate is slowing, growth was stronger than expected and the SNB do not want a weaker currency, a hold seems more likely. In which case, a move towards 0.88 is on the cards near the high-volume node of the prior uptrend and the lower 1-day implied volatility band.
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AUDCHF Bottom of Channel Up. Buy opportunity.The AUDCHF pair gave us a solid sell signal last time (April 05, see chart below) but then broke above and established a Channel Up:
The price is now at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of that Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), calling for a short-term buy amidst the start of the next Bullish Leg. On top of that, the RSI is approaching its 1-year Support Zone, which every time it was touched, the price rallied by at least +4.50%.
As a result, we remain bullish as long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is intact and attempt a first buy now, targeting 0.61750 (+4.50%).
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USDCHF 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: USDCHF
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 0.89045
TP: 0.91327
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
USDCHF: Borderline but still bullish on 1D.USDCHF is borderline bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.216, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 24.748) but still inside the 2024 Channel Up. As long as the 1D MA50 supports, we will stay bullish along with the trend, especially since the 1D MACD formed another Bullish Cross. Despite the presence of the R1 level, the bullish waves of the Channel Up have been clear and dominant. The current one targets the R2 level but we pursue a more modest target (TP = 0.9300).
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Euro bearish guard against Swiss francAt the same time as the price hits the ceiling of the descending channel, it has formed a AB=CD pattern as well as 5 rising Elliott waves. Between wave 3 and 5, we see the formation of negative divergence in the RSI indicator. It is expected that we will see the price fall at least to the Fibonacci range of 23%.
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level.
Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200).
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EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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HelenP. I Swiss Franc will rebound from trend line to $0.9150Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. A few days ago price made a correction movement, after which turned around and made an impulse up to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this level. After this, CHF made a retest and started to trades inside consolidation, where it some time traded near the 0.9000 level and later rebounded up to the resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range with the resistance zone. Then price some time traded near this level and later broke it, exiting from consolidation also, after which made a retest and even then continued to grow to the trend line. But when the price reached this line it in a short time declined to the support level, breaking the 0.9150 resistance level one more time. The Swiss Franc some time traded near this level and then rebounded up to the trend line and even broke it. Just now price trades near this line and I expect that the Swiss Franc will make retest, after the breakout, and then continue to grow to 0.9150 resistance level, therefore I set my goal at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
CHF (Swiss Franc Futures, CHFUSD)... BULLISH!The Monthly +FVG was filled, then the CISD was formed.
Price traded through the BB, forming the +FVG on the way.
I am expecting the BB+FVG to hold, and price to move higher from here next week.
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USDCHF - Price can exit from pennant, and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to falling channel, where it first reached resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
Then CHF bounced down from this level and fell to almost support line of channel, after which made upward impulse.
Swiss Franc exited from channel, broke $0.9155 level, and rose to $0.9220 points, but soon turned around and started to fall.
Also, price formed pennant pattern, where it declined to support line and soon bounced up, breaking $0.9050 level.
Later CHF reached resistance line of pennant, but recently CHF bounced down and declined to support line.
So, I think Swiss Franc can exit from pennant pattern and then bounce up from support level to $0.9120
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDCHF Channel Up intact. Aim higher.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2023 Low. In the past 2 weeks, it has been forming its 2nd Bearish Leg that almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting since February 02.
As long as we close 1D candles above it, we stay bullish, targeting 0.94200 (marginally below Resistance 2). Since however the recent Higher High was priced just below Resistance 1 (the October 03 2023 High), we will turn bearish (and take the buy's loss) if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is what happened on November 14 2023. In that case, our Target will be 0.87350 (Support 1).
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