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Swissfranc

USDCHF Struggling on the 1W MA50. Long-term bullish above it.The USDCHF pair is on very critical crossroads as for the past 5 weeks it has been testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but has so far failed to close a 1W candle above it. Going back to late September 2023, we can see that the 1W MA50 has been again tested for successive weeks, but again failed to close a candle above it. In fact the last time it did was back on the week of October 31 2022, which was during the previous Top on the Lower Highs trend-line of the 8-year Bearish Megaphone pattern. As a result, as long as the pair fails to close that weekly candle above the 1W MA50, we 'have' to stay bearish on the medium-term, targeting just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.8500. If however we do get that 1W closing above the 1W MA50 delivered, we will turn bullish long-term, despite the presence of the Inner Lower Highs and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), as in early 2021, and target the top of the Bearish Megaphone at 0.97000. Notice that this scenario attracts stronger probabilities as the 1W RSI has been on a Bullish Divergence from oversold territory since the December 25 2023 Low. This Divergence is similar to the bottom formed on the January 04 2021 candle. Observe also how efficiently the Sine Waves have grasped the Tops and Bottoms of this Bearish Megaphone. Right now they show we are on a bottom formation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
Swiss Franc can exit from pennant and continue fall to 0.8700Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price reached the resistance line of the downward channel, after which CHF rebounded down and declined to the support line of the channel, breaking the 0.8635 level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then the price turned around and entered the pennant, where it made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, exiting from the downward channel and breaking the 0.8635 level one more time. After this CHF broke the 0.8820 level, which coincided with the seller zone, but soon it turned around and fell back and some time traded very close to the resistance level. Later, the price started to grow back and in a short time, CHF reached the 0.8820 level again, broke it, and rose to the resistance line of the pennant. But soon, the price rebounded from this line and declined to support line of the pennant, thereby breaking the 0.8820 resistance level again. After this, the price bounced from the support line and rose to the resistance line of the pennant, where, at the moment, CHF continues to trades near. In my opinion, the Swiss Franc can fall to the support line, after which it at once will bounce to the resistance line and then CHF can make an impulse down, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8700 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
USD/CHF Forecast: Exploring Downside Potential Post-Double TopThe USD/CHF pair is facing resistance around the 0.8830 mark, struggling to regain momentum after a retreat from nearly reaching 0.8900, primarily attributed to encountering a double top formation at 0.88850. This downward movement in the pair is underpinned by the weakened US Dollar (USD) and declining US Treasury bond yields. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the release of the Swiss February Consumer Price Index (CPI), anticipating it to ease from 1.3% in January to 1.1% in February, which could provide fresh impetus to the currency pair. On the US front, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a decline in the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in the previous month, falling short of market expectations set at 49.5. Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony scheduled for Wednesday, seeking insights into the inflation outlook and potential shifts in monetary policy. Hawkish remarks from Fed policymakers could potentially lift the USD, acting as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair. Concurrently, the Swiss Federal Statistical Office is set to release the nation's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February later on Monday. Our analysis suggests a continuation of bearish pressure following the double top formation, with a potential breakout below the neckline, targeting the next fair value gap at 0.86000
Short
by FOREXN1
3
HelenP. I Swiss Franc will turn around and start to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some time ago tried to rise to the 0.8850 resistance level, but later it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line, thereby breaking the 0.8780 support level, which coincided with the support zone. After this CHF started to rise, and soon it reached support level and broke this level again. Then price rebounded a little up, and then started to decline back to the 0.8780 level. After this movement, CHF made impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even soon broke it and rose to 0.8890 points. But then price turned around and in a short time declined below the resistance level, breaking it one more time, even later CHF tried to back up, but when the price entered to resistance zone Swiss Franc rebounded and made an impulse down to the trend line. At the moment, the price trades below this line and I expect that CHF will decline more and later turn around and start to move up. That's why I set my target at the 0.8830 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
CADCHF,🟢Is it bullish...?🟢 By examining the CADCHF 1-hour chart we can figure out there is a lot of buy-side liquidity that can be defined as a smart money target. The market structure is bullish and the price had a bullish reaction to the daily order block. Now, there is a sell-side liquidity inside the FVG that creates a high probability buy setup for us. Please keep it in your mind: We need the LTF confirmation for entry. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️07/03/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
USDCHF - Price can exit from pennant and then continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A not long time ago price made upward impulse from support area to $0.8885 points, breaking $0.8770 and $0.8835 levels. After this, price started to trades in pennant, where it soon bounced from resistance line and declined below $0.8835 level. Next, CHF some time traded near this level and later bounced down to $0.8770 support level and even lower to support line of pennant. Price at once backed up, making fake breakout, and rose to resistance line of pennant, also recently it exited from this pattern. But now, CHF trades below this line and I think Swiss Franc can break resistance line, make retest, and then continue grow to $0.8835 level If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
2
NZDCHF Strong buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The NZDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 23 2023 Low. After breaking above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since January 31 2023), the pair confirmed the trend shift from long-term bearish to long-term bullish. The recent 3-day pull-back to the 1D MA200 is a technical buy opportunity. As long as we close 1D candles above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is a buy opportunity, targeting the top of the Channel Up and Resistance 2 at 0.55140. Notice how this is exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which is the level that the November 29 2023 Higher High was priced at. Also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is the level where it double bottomed (November 17 2023) and started the rebound to the Higher High. We are at the 0.5 currently, which indicates a strong Support case. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
USD/CHF Approaches Key Level Amidst Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe USD/CHF pair is edging closer to the critical 0.8900 level, driven by speculation of the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve scheduled for July. This movement comes amidst contrasting economic indicators from both the US and Switzerland. In the US, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and oil prices, surprised investors by rising at a steady pace of 3.9%, contrary to expectations of a decline. Fed policymakers closely monitor core inflation data to gauge the appropriate monetary policy. Persistent core inflation figures could prolong the period of restricted interest rates, adding further support to the argument for maintaining current levels. Conversely, the Swiss Franc faces pressure as price pressures within the Swiss economy decelerate notably. January saw the monthly CPI grow by a modest 0.2%, falling short of the forecasted 0.6% increase. Additionally, annual inflation witnessed a significant slowdown to 1.3% from the anticipated and prior reading of 1.7%. This easing inflationary pressure may provide room for the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to adjust its tight monetary policy stance. From a technical standpoint, the recent surge in the USD/CHF pair towards the 0.8900 resistance level signals a potential retracement. This level coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, amplifying its significance as a potential barrier to further upside movement. Moreover, both the Stochastic indicator and RSI are indicating overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal in the near term.
Short
by FOREXN1
11
USD/CHF bulls eye move to 0.90The daily chart shows a nice bullish trend on the daily chart. A minor retracement has occurred at the cycle highs, although Thursday's bullish hammer found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci level and prior swing high. RSI (2) is confirming the trend and RSI (14) is above 50 to show bullish momentum of the past three weeks. Given the bullish trend structure and shallow retracement, the bias is for a bullish breakout and for prices to head towards the 0.9 handle, near a volume cluster from an older trend.
Long
by CityIndex
2
🚨USDCHF is Ready to fall🚨🏃‍♂️ USDCHF is moving in an Ascending Channel and is currently near the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.891 CHF-0.882 CHF )🔴 and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. It also managed to break the Uptrend line . 🔔I expect USDCHF to start to decline after entering the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and at least break down to the 🟢 Support zone(0.874 CHF-0.871 CHF )🟢. U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target: The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Swiss Franc can fall a little and then continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago rebounded from the current support level and started to decline to the next level, which coincided with the buyer zone. But soon, CHF declined lower than 0.8485 level and declined until to 0.8330 points, after which Swiss Franc turned around and started to move up inside an upward channel. In the channel, the price soon broke the 0.8485 support level again and then in a short time rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and resistance line of the channel. But the price didn't fixed and in a short time fell to the support line of the channel, after which CHF turned around and rebounded back to the 0.8710 level. Soon, the price broke this level, some time traded near, and then continued to grow to the resistance line of the upward channel. Recently price bounced from this line and fell below, so I think that Swiss Franc can decline a little more, after which CHF turns around and then starts to move up to the resistance line of the channel. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8900 level, which coincides near the resistance line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
HelenP. I Swiss Franc will rebound up of support zone to $0.8830Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. If we look at the chart we can see ho the price some time ago rebounded from support 1 and in a short time declined to the trend line, breaking support 2, which coincided with the support zone too. But soon, CHF rebounded from the trend line and started to rise in an upward channel, where the price rose to the support zone and some time traded inside. Next, the price broke support 2 one more time and rose until to support 1, which coincided with the resistance line of the channel with the support zone, but at once rebounded and fell to the support line, which is the trend line too. After this movement, CHF rebounded from this line and made a strong impulse up higher than support 1, thereby breaking it and even recently price rose higher than the support zone and now it trades near this area. For my mind, the Swiss Franc will decline to the support zone, after which it turn around and continues to rise to the resistance line of the upward channel. That's why I set my target at the 0.8830 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
3
USDCHF: Bullish extension on the 1D timeframe.USDCHF is technically bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.467, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 44.050) as it has made a Channel Down bottom on December 29th 2023 and has since rebounded over the 1D MA50. Technically it is still halfway through the new bullish wave that should extend over the 1D MA200 at around +8.18% from the bottom. That falls a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and that's what we will use as target (TP = 0.9000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USDCHF - After breakout, price can make retest and continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After price bounced from support line, which coincided with $0.8570 support level, it rose to resistance area. Price some time traded in this area, made correction, after which CHF rose higher resistance area and then started to fall. Also, price entered to falling channel, where it broke $0.8680 level which support line, and declined to support area. Then price made strong upward impulse from this area higher than $0.8680 level, breaking it again and exiting from channel too. At the moment, price trades near support area, and I think Swiss Franc can bounce up from support area to $0.8745 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1
Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic..Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic Disparities In the realm of global currencies, the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a resilient force, navigating economic landscapes vastly different from its European neighbors. Recent data reveals a slip in Switzerland's Producer and Import Prices in December, impacting currency dynamics. This article explores the recent performance of the CHF against the USD, shedding light on the economic context that shapes its trajectory. Economic Disparities and CHF Strength: Switzerland's economic environment starkly contrasts with that of its immediate European neighbors. The nation boasts inflation comfortably within the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) 2% maximum target and maintains a robust domestic economy. This economic strength has contributed to the resilience of the Swiss Franc. Recent Currency Performance: The CHF showcased its strength by rebounding on Friday, finding resistance at 0.8700 against the USD. The USD/CHF pair has experienced a climb of approximately 4.5% since hitting a 12-year low in December. A Year of CHF Ascendancy: Throughout 2023, the CHF gained significant value, surging nearly 18% against the US Dollar from the Q3 2022 peak of 1.1047. This upward trajectory has posed challenges for the SNB, limiting its ability to fine-tune policy using foreign currency reserves. SNB's Warning and Implications: Faced with the persistent strength of the CHF, the SNB issued a warning to the broader markets. The central bank emphasized that further appreciation of the CHF could transfer disinflationary pressure directly into the Swiss economy. This acknowledgment underscores the delicate balance the SNB must strike to preserve economic stability. Market Outlook for USD/CHF: Given the prevailing economic disparities and the SNB's warning, our outlook for USD/CHF leans towards a new pullback in the direction of the downtrend for the USD. Our target is set around 0.8400, reflecting the challenges faced by the USD against the resilient Swiss Franc. Conclusion: As the Swiss Franc maintains its strength in the face of economic disparities, the USD/CHF pair encounters headwinds. The CHF's ascendancy throughout 2023 and the SNB's cautionary stance signal potential challenges for the USD in the coming months. Traders should keep a close eye on economic indicators and central bank communications, recognizing the intricate dynamics influencing the USD/CHF pair in this evolving financial landscape. Our preference Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
1