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Swissfranc

USD/CHF Approaches Key Level Amidst Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe USD/CHF pair is edging closer to the critical 0.8900 level, driven by speculation of the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve scheduled for July. This movement comes amidst contrasting economic indicators from both the US and Switzerland. In the US, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and oil prices, surprised investors by rising at a steady pace of 3.9%, contrary to expectations of a decline. Fed policymakers closely monitor core inflation data to gauge the appropriate monetary policy. Persistent core inflation figures could prolong the period of restricted interest rates, adding further support to the argument for maintaining current levels. Conversely, the Swiss Franc faces pressure as price pressures within the Swiss economy decelerate notably. January saw the monthly CPI grow by a modest 0.2%, falling short of the forecasted 0.6% increase. Additionally, annual inflation witnessed a significant slowdown to 1.3% from the anticipated and prior reading of 1.7%. This easing inflationary pressure may provide room for the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to adjust its tight monetary policy stance. From a technical standpoint, the recent surge in the USD/CHF pair towards the 0.8900 resistance level signals a potential retracement. This level coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, amplifying its significance as a potential barrier to further upside movement. Moreover, both the Stochastic indicator and RSI are indicating overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal in the near term.
Short
by FOREXN1
11
USD/CHF bulls eye move to 0.90The daily chart shows a nice bullish trend on the daily chart. A minor retracement has occurred at the cycle highs, although Thursday's bullish hammer found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci level and prior swing high. RSI (2) is confirming the trend and RSI (14) is above 50 to show bullish momentum of the past three weeks. Given the bullish trend structure and shallow retracement, the bias is for a bullish breakout and for prices to head towards the 0.9 handle, near a volume cluster from an older trend.
Long
by CityIndex
2
🚨USDCHF is Ready to fall🚨🏃‍♂️ USDCHF is moving in an Ascending Channel and is currently near the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.891 CHF-0.882 CHF )🔴 and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. It also managed to break the Uptrend line . 🔔I expect USDCHF to start to decline after entering the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and at least break down to the 🟢 Support zone(0.874 CHF-0.871 CHF )🟢. U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target: The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Swiss Franc can fall a little and then continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago rebounded from the current support level and started to decline to the next level, which coincided with the buyer zone. But soon, CHF declined lower than 0.8485 level and declined until to 0.8330 points, after which Swiss Franc turned around and started to move up inside an upward channel. In the channel, the price soon broke the 0.8485 support level again and then in a short time rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and resistance line of the channel. But the price didn't fixed and in a short time fell to the support line of the channel, after which CHF turned around and rebounded back to the 0.8710 level. Soon, the price broke this level, some time traded near, and then continued to grow to the resistance line of the upward channel. Recently price bounced from this line and fell below, so I think that Swiss Franc can decline a little more, after which CHF turns around and then starts to move up to the resistance line of the channel. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8900 level, which coincides near the resistance line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
HelenP. I Swiss Franc will rebound up of support zone to $0.8830Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. If we look at the chart we can see ho the price some time ago rebounded from support 1 and in a short time declined to the trend line, breaking support 2, which coincided with the support zone too. But soon, CHF rebounded from the trend line and started to rise in an upward channel, where the price rose to the support zone and some time traded inside. Next, the price broke support 2 one more time and rose until to support 1, which coincided with the resistance line of the channel with the support zone, but at once rebounded and fell to the support line, which is the trend line too. After this movement, CHF rebounded from this line and made a strong impulse up higher than support 1, thereby breaking it and even recently price rose higher than the support zone and now it trades near this area. For my mind, the Swiss Franc will decline to the support zone, after which it turn around and continues to rise to the resistance line of the upward channel. That's why I set my target at the 0.8830 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
3
USDCHF: Bullish extension on the 1D timeframe.USDCHF is technically bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.467, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 44.050) as it has made a Channel Down bottom on December 29th 2023 and has since rebounded over the 1D MA50. Technically it is still halfway through the new bullish wave that should extend over the 1D MA200 at around +8.18% from the bottom. That falls a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and that's what we will use as target (TP = 0.9000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USDCHF - After breakout, price can make retest and continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After price bounced from support line, which coincided with $0.8570 support level, it rose to resistance area. Price some time traded in this area, made correction, after which CHF rose higher resistance area and then started to fall. Also, price entered to falling channel, where it broke $0.8680 level which support line, and declined to support area. Then price made strong upward impulse from this area higher than $0.8680 level, breaking it again and exiting from channel too. At the moment, price trades near support area, and I think Swiss Franc can bounce up from support area to $0.8745 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1
Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic..Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic Disparities In the realm of global currencies, the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a resilient force, navigating economic landscapes vastly different from its European neighbors. Recent data reveals a slip in Switzerland's Producer and Import Prices in December, impacting currency dynamics. This article explores the recent performance of the CHF against the USD, shedding light on the economic context that shapes its trajectory. Economic Disparities and CHF Strength: Switzerland's economic environment starkly contrasts with that of its immediate European neighbors. The nation boasts inflation comfortably within the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) 2% maximum target and maintains a robust domestic economy. This economic strength has contributed to the resilience of the Swiss Franc. Recent Currency Performance: The CHF showcased its strength by rebounding on Friday, finding resistance at 0.8700 against the USD. The USD/CHF pair has experienced a climb of approximately 4.5% since hitting a 12-year low in December. A Year of CHF Ascendancy: Throughout 2023, the CHF gained significant value, surging nearly 18% against the US Dollar from the Q3 2022 peak of 1.1047. This upward trajectory has posed challenges for the SNB, limiting its ability to fine-tune policy using foreign currency reserves. SNB's Warning and Implications: Faced with the persistent strength of the CHF, the SNB issued a warning to the broader markets. The central bank emphasized that further appreciation of the CHF could transfer disinflationary pressure directly into the Swiss economy. This acknowledgment underscores the delicate balance the SNB must strike to preserve economic stability. Market Outlook for USD/CHF: Given the prevailing economic disparities and the SNB's warning, our outlook for USD/CHF leans towards a new pullback in the direction of the downtrend for the USD. Our target is set around 0.8400, reflecting the challenges faced by the USD against the resilient Swiss Franc. Conclusion: As the Swiss Franc maintains its strength in the face of economic disparities, the USD/CHF pair encounters headwinds. The CHF's ascendancy throughout 2023 and the SNB's cautionary stance signal potential challenges for the USD in the coming months. Traders should keep a close eye on economic indicators and central bank communications, recognizing the intricate dynamics influencing the USD/CHF pair in this evolving financial landscape. Our preference Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury YieldsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury Yields The USD/CHF currency pair is currently navigating a complex landscape, marked by a pullback in the US Dollar, potentially fueled by lower US Treasury yields. Despite the initial cheers from hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials, the Greenback finds itself facing challenges, with risk aversion sentiment lending some support. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has experienced selling pressure, triggered by concerns raised by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan regarding the impact of CHF's strength on inflation and the broader domestic economy. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, the forecast remains clear, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish trend. The failure to breach the resistance at 0.8700, coupled with the rejection at the confluence of the Dynamic trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level, suggests that the bears might still have the upper hand. Traders are keenly watching for any signs of a new bearish impulse aligning with the established downtrend. SNB's Inflation Concerns: The recent selling pressure on the Swiss Franc can be attributed to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan's expressed worries about the CHF's strength and its potential impact on the SNB's ability to maintain inflation above zero. This concern arises despite some positive economic indicators, such as a slight increase in Swiss consumer prices in December and an improvement in consumer demand in November. Economic Indicators: While recent economic indicators paint a mixed picture, with positive signs in consumer prices and demand, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) witnessed a decline in December, following a similar trend in November. These more moderate figures may temper the SNB's decision-making in the upcoming meeting, as they grapple with the delicate balance of supporting economic recovery while ensuring inflation remains within a stable range. SNB's Commitment to Monetary Policy: In the SNB's last policy update in December, the central bank reiterated its commitment to adjusting monetary policy if necessary to maintain inflation within a range consistent with price stability over the medium term. The cautious stance suggests that despite the recent economic fluctuations, the SNB remains vigilant and ready to act to ensure economic stability. Conclusion: As the USD/CHF pair faces headwinds from lower US Treasury yields and the SNB's inflation concerns, traders are keeping a close eye on technical indicators and the broader economic landscape. The failure to breach key resistance levels indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, the SNB's commitment to adjusting monetary policy underscores the uncertainty in the current economic environment. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, considering both technical and fundamental factors shaping the USD/CHF trajectory. Our preference Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
Swiss Franc can rebound up from support line to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. By observing the chart, we can see that the price started to trades in a downward pennant, where it first rebounded from the resistance line and made a strong downward impulse to the support line, thereby breaking 0.8720 and 0.8490 levels. But after this, CHF at once rebounded from the support line of the pennant, and made a short impulse up to 0.8490 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level. After the price some time traded near this level, it bounced and started to rise to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and the resistance line of the pennant. When Swiss Franc reached this area, the price at once turned around and in a short time declined to support line of pennant. But a not long time ago, the price bounced and started to rise. So, I think that the Swiss Franc can fall to the support line, making a little correction, and then rebound up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant, pattern. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8720 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
1
HelenP. I CHF can break resistance level, but then turn aroundHi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. A few moments ago price declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and at once bounced up and some time traded near. But soon, CHF started to decline and in a short time price fell until to trend line, thereby breaking 0.8695 and 0.8465 levels. After this, the price rebounded from the trend line and made impulse higher than the 0.8465 support level, breaking it again. As well price started to trades in a wedge, where CHF some time traded near the support level and later rebounded from it and tried to rise, but soon it made a correction to the trend line. Then Swiss Franc rebounded from this line and made impulse up to the resistance level, and even tried to break it, but failed and now trades below this level. For my mind, the Swiss Franc will break the resistance level and even rise to the resistance line of the wedge. But after this movement, I expect that the price can turn around and start to fall to the trend line, thereby breaking back this level again. So, for this reason, I set my target at the 0.8600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
USDCHF H4 | Potential bullish bounce off overlap supportUSD/CHF could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.86303 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 0.85800 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is between 0.87150 and 0.87307 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Swiss Franc to R23.70 in 2024? InsaneAs we know. The rich get richer. The poor get poorer. Well a rich and sustainable economy like Switzerland (one of the most expensive countries to live) is showing major strength for the Swiss Franc. We are seeing a Cup and Handle form. The price broke above the brim level, came back down and jumped up. This conservative entry is where all the demand and buying kicked in for the CHF. So with the price above 200MA and with the upside momentum with CHF, we could see the target at R23.73
Long
by Timonrosso