CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target:
The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections.
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Swissfranc
Swiss Franc can fall a little and then continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago rebounded from the current support level and started to decline to the next level, which coincided with the buyer zone. But soon, CHF declined lower than 0.8485 level and declined until to 0.8330 points, after which Swiss Franc turned around and started to move up inside an upward channel. In the channel, the price soon broke the 0.8485 support level again and then in a short time rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and resistance line of the channel. But the price didn't fixed and in a short time fell to the support line of the channel, after which CHF turned around and rebounded back to the 0.8710 level. Soon, the price broke this level, some time traded near, and then continued to grow to the resistance line of the upward channel. Recently price bounced from this line and fell below, so I think that Swiss Franc can decline a little more, after which CHF turns around and then starts to move up to the resistance line of the channel. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8900 level, which coincides near the resistance line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCHF - Short & Long IdeaI anticipate a bearish week ahead, as I believe the price may need to mitigate a beautiful Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour chart. Additionally, it could pull back to the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Area, where it might begin to gather confluences for potential buy opportunities.
HelenP. I Swiss Franc will rebound up of support zone to $0.8830Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. If we look at the chart we can see ho the price some time ago rebounded from support 1 and in a short time declined to the trend line, breaking support 2, which coincided with the support zone too. But soon, CHF rebounded from the trend line and started to rise in an upward channel, where the price rose to the support zone and some time traded inside. Next, the price broke support 2 one more time and rose until to support 1, which coincided with the resistance line of the channel with the support zone, but at once rebounded and fell to the support line, which is the trend line too. After this movement, CHF rebounded from this line and made a strong impulse up higher than support 1, thereby breaking it and even recently price rose higher than the support zone and now it trades near this area. For my mind, the Swiss Franc will decline to the support zone, after which it turn around and continues to rise to the resistance line of the upward channel. That's why I set my target at the 0.8830 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDCHF: Bullish extension on the 1D timeframe.USDCHF is technically bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.467, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 44.050) as it has made a Channel Down bottom on December 29th 2023 and has since rebounded over the 1D MA50. Technically it is still halfway through the new bullish wave that should extend over the 1D MA200 at around +8.18% from the bottom. That falls a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level and that's what we will use as target (TP = 0.9000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCHF - After breakout, price can make retest and continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After price bounced from support line, which coincided with $0.8570 support level, it rose to resistance area.
Price some time traded in this area, made correction, after which CHF rose higher resistance area and then started to fall.
Also, price entered to falling channel, where it broke $0.8680 level which support line, and declined to support area.
Then price made strong upward impulse from this area higher than $0.8680 level, breaking it again and exiting from channel too.
At the moment, price trades near support area, and I think Swiss Franc can bounce up from support area to $0.8745
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Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic..Swiss Franc Resilience: USD/CHF Faces Headwinds Amid Economic Disparities
In the realm of global currencies, the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a resilient force, navigating economic landscapes vastly different from its European neighbors. Recent data reveals a slip in Switzerland's Producer and Import Prices in December, impacting currency dynamics. This article explores the recent performance of the CHF against the USD, shedding light on the economic context that shapes its trajectory.
Economic Disparities and CHF Strength:
Switzerland's economic environment starkly contrasts with that of its immediate European neighbors. The nation boasts inflation comfortably within the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) 2% maximum target and maintains a robust domestic economy. This economic strength has contributed to the resilience of the Swiss Franc.
Recent Currency Performance:
The CHF showcased its strength by rebounding on Friday, finding resistance at 0.8700 against the USD. The USD/CHF pair has experienced a climb of approximately 4.5% since hitting a 12-year low in December.
A Year of CHF Ascendancy:
Throughout 2023, the CHF gained significant value, surging nearly 18% against the US Dollar from the Q3 2022 peak of 1.1047. This upward trajectory has posed challenges for the SNB, limiting its ability to fine-tune policy using foreign currency reserves.
SNB's Warning and Implications:
Faced with the persistent strength of the CHF, the SNB issued a warning to the broader markets. The central bank emphasized that further appreciation of the CHF could transfer disinflationary pressure directly into the Swiss economy. This acknowledgment underscores the delicate balance the SNB must strike to preserve economic stability.
Market Outlook for USD/CHF:
Given the prevailing economic disparities and the SNB's warning, our outlook for USD/CHF leans towards a new pullback in the direction of the downtrend for the USD. Our target is set around 0.8400, reflecting the challenges faced by the USD against the resilient Swiss Franc.
Conclusion:
As the Swiss Franc maintains its strength in the face of economic disparities, the USD/CHF pair encounters headwinds. The CHF's ascendancy throughout 2023 and the SNB's cautionary stance signal potential challenges for the USD in the coming months. Traders should keep a close eye on economic indicators and central bank communications, recognizing the intricate dynamics influencing the USD/CHF pair in this evolving financial landscape.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
GBPCHF SHORTSI have analyzed and seen the weekly and daily timeframe being bearish, these are the main timeframes, so I went to the four hour timeframe to look for opportunity to short, then I spot the resistance zone just below the 50 exponential moving average, now expecting a retracement to the moving average then take shorts.
USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury YieldsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Lower US Treasury Yields
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently navigating a complex landscape, marked by a pullback in the US Dollar, potentially fueled by lower US Treasury yields. Despite the initial cheers from hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials, the Greenback finds itself facing challenges, with risk aversion sentiment lending some support. Additionally, the Swiss Franc has experienced selling pressure, triggered by concerns raised by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan regarding the impact of CHF's strength on inflation and the broader domestic economy.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the forecast remains clear, indicating a possible continuation of the bearish trend. The failure to breach the resistance at 0.8700, coupled with the rejection at the confluence of the Dynamic trendline and the 78.6% Fibonacci level, suggests that the bears might still have the upper hand. Traders are keenly watching for any signs of a new bearish impulse aligning with the established downtrend.
SNB's Inflation Concerns:
The recent selling pressure on the Swiss Franc can be attributed to SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan's expressed worries about the CHF's strength and its potential impact on the SNB's ability to maintain inflation above zero. This concern arises despite some positive economic indicators, such as a slight increase in Swiss consumer prices in December and an improvement in consumer demand in November.
Economic Indicators:
While recent economic indicators paint a mixed picture, with positive signs in consumer prices and demand, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (YoY) witnessed a decline in December, following a similar trend in November. These more moderate figures may temper the SNB's decision-making in the upcoming meeting, as they grapple with the delicate balance of supporting economic recovery while ensuring inflation remains within a stable range.
SNB's Commitment to Monetary Policy:
In the SNB's last policy update in December, the central bank reiterated its commitment to adjusting monetary policy if necessary to maintain inflation within a range consistent with price stability over the medium term. The cautious stance suggests that despite the recent economic fluctuations, the SNB remains vigilant and ready to act to ensure economic stability.
Conclusion:
As the USD/CHF pair faces headwinds from lower US Treasury yields and the SNB's inflation concerns, traders are keeping a close eye on technical indicators and the broader economic landscape. The failure to breach key resistance levels indicates a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, the SNB's commitment to adjusting monetary policy underscores the uncertainty in the current economic environment. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, considering both technical and fundamental factors shaping the USD/CHF trajectory.
Our preference
Short positions Below 0.88200 with targets at 0.85200 & 0.8400 in extension.
NZDCHF: Falling Channel & Bullish Move 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF is trading within a falling channel on a daily.
The price reached its support on Friday.
As a confirmation of the strength of a trend line, the pair
formed a tiny double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and
broke its neckline.
We can expect a pullback now.
Target - 0.53
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Swiss Franc can rebound up from support line to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. By observing the chart, we can see that the price started to trades in a downward pennant, where it first rebounded from the resistance line and made a strong downward impulse to the support line, thereby breaking 0.8720 and 0.8490 levels. But after this, CHF at once rebounded from the support line of the pennant, and made a short impulse up to 0.8490 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level. After the price some time traded near this level, it bounced and started to rise to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and the resistance line of the pennant. When Swiss Franc reached this area, the price at once turned around and in a short time declined to support line of pennant. But a not long time ago, the price bounced and started to rise. So, I think that the Swiss Franc can fall to the support line, making a little correction, and then rebound up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant, pattern. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8720 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I CHF can break resistance level, but then turn aroundHi folks today I'm prepared for you Swiss Franc analytics. A few moments ago price declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and at once bounced up and some time traded near. But soon, CHF started to decline and in a short time price fell until to trend line, thereby breaking 0.8695 and 0.8465 levels. After this, the price rebounded from the trend line and made impulse higher than the 0.8465 support level, breaking it again. As well price started to trades in a wedge, where CHF some time traded near the support level and later rebounded from it and tried to rise, but soon it made a correction to the trend line. Then Swiss Franc rebounded from this line and made impulse up to the resistance level, and even tried to break it, but failed and now trades below this level. For my mind, the Swiss Franc will break the resistance level and even rise to the resistance line of the wedge. But after this movement, I expect that the price can turn around and start to fall to the trend line, thereby breaking back this level again. So, for this reason, I set my target at the 0.8600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDCHF H4 | Potential bullish bounce off overlap supportUSD/CHF could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.86303 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 0.85800 which is a level that sits under an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is between 0.87150 and 0.87307 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Swiss Franc to R23.70 in 2024? InsaneAs we know. The rich get richer.
The poor get poorer.
Well a rich and sustainable economy like Switzerland (one of the most expensive countries to live) is showing major strength for the Swiss Franc.
We are seeing a Cup and Handle form. The price broke above the brim level, came back down and jumped up.
This conservative entry is where all the demand and buying kicked in for the CHF.
So with the price above 200MA and with the upside momentum with CHF, we could see the target at R23.73
USDCHF - Price can try break resistance level and continue riseHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price made strong downward impulse from resistance area, which coincided with $0.8550 level.
CHF declined even support level to support line, and at once bounced back, but soon repeated this movement again.
Then price finally broke $0.8420 level and rose to resistance level, after which it bounced and a short time later fell to support line.
Next, Swiss Franc bounced up from this line, made fake breakout of $0.8550 level, and then declined back.
At the moment, I think that CHF can reach resistance level again and try to break it, after which price can make a retest.
After this, Swiss Franc will bounce and continue to move up to $0.8600 level.
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Top 7 inflation-induced trading opportunities this weekThis week, the focus of many traders will be on US inflation data, which will provide valuable insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.
The forecasts indicate a potential 0.2% increase in both headline inflation for December and the core rate. On an annual basis, the headline inflation rate is anticipated to rebound to 3.2% from November's five-month low of 3.1%. Meanwhile, the core rate is likely to ease to 3.9%, the lowest since May 2021. This crucial data will be released on Thursday.
In the midst of the US inflation focus, there are noteworthy inflation data releases from other countries, including Switzerland, Australia, Mexico, Brazil, China, India, and Russia. This diverse set of data presents many potential trading opportunities for USD pairs throughout the week:
Monday: Switzerland Inflation Rate
Tuesday: Australia Monthly CPI Indicator
Tuesday: Mexico Inflation Rate
Thursday: Brazil Inflation Rate (before US inflation data)
Thursday: China Inflation Rate (after US inflation data)
Friday: India Inflation Rate
Friday: Russia Inflation Rate
AUDCHF Triangle waiting for the break-out.The AUDCHF pair is trading within a Triangle pattern since August with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) acting as the Resistance, having consecutive near rejections in December. If that breaks, we expect an aggressive bullish run towards Resistance 2, despite the presence of Resistance (0.952625). In that case, we will buy the break-out and target 0.61500 (just below Resistance 2).
If however the Triangle breaks downwards first, we will wait until the price breaks below Support 1 (0.560685) and target 0.54000 (-9.09% from the recent high, which was a standard decline in 2023). This scenario is quite likely to take place as the 1D RSI has been trading within a Channel Down, showcasing a Bearish Divergence.
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Swiss Franc can break resistance level and then make retestHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago and started to trades in the range, where it first declined to the 0.8910 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and the bottom part of the range. After this, CHF rebounded from this level to top part of the range, but when it reached this area, the price rolled down back. Next, the price exited from the range and entered a downward channel, where it broke the 0.8910 level and a short time later declined to support line of the channel. Then Swiss Franc bounced from this line and rose to the resistance line, where it at once rebounded and continued to decline to 0.8500 current resistance level. After the price fell to this level, CHF broke it and declined to 0.8330 points, after which it started to rise to this level. At the moment, the price trades close to the resistance level and I think that the Swiss Franc can break this level, and at once make a retest. After this, CHF will continue to move up, so I set my target at the 0.8700 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀