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usdchf h2 best level to short it tp +150 pips swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for USDCHF today. Previous trade hit TP +135 pips, congrats if you followed, feel free to recap via link below. 🔸Prior trading range is defined by range highs at 8520 and range lows at 8420, recently price broke to the upside, however I see limited upside beyond 8600/8620 this is key s/r zone and bears will defend this level. 🔸Recommended strategy for USDCHF traders: focus on short selling high near 8600/8620 price cluster SL fixed at 8640 TP1 +75 pips TP2 +150 pipsp. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mid of the prior accumulation range. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
12
USD/CHF: Jordan’s Final Moves as SNB Chief Switzerland's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August is forecast to show a year-over-year increase of 1.2%, down from 1.3% in July. On a month-over-month basis, CPI is expected to rise by 0.1%, rebounding from the prior month’s 0.2% decline. The figures, due on Tuesday, come as Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Thomas Jordan recently acknowledged the challenges posed by the strong Swiss franc on the nation’s industry. Speculation is mounting over whether the central bank will respond with a 50-basis-point rate cut in September or intervene in the currency markets to ease pressures. Bear in mind, Jordan, who has steered the SNB for over a decade, will step down at the end of September 2024, marking the end of an era for Swiss monetary policy. On the daily chart, we can see that USDCHF broke the August low last week. The near-term resistance is possibly around 0.8590,
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCHF: Elliott Waves and Dovish SNB Are Pointing HigherUSDCHF turned higher this year, after breaking some important trendline connected from 2022 highs on a daily chart, where a breakout can lead to higher prices within a big triangle range. One of the reasons why Swiss franc is that weak compared to others is because SNB surprised and cut rates twice after inflation has softened. So as long as FED sticks to current rates, USDCHF may do well, but this cycle may change later this year when FED finally cuts if data convince them that inflation is back at normal levels again. But for now, we have to focus on the current trend and pattern which seems to be pointing higher, on USDCHF. Looking at the 4-hour chart, it looks like pair recently pulled lower into a higher degree corrective setback, temporary (A)-(B)-(C) corrective decline, where wave (C) appears completed because of five subwaves down from wave (B). We also see some nice reactions higher, from new low and back above 0.900 where overlap confirms the resumption of an uptrend. However, there can be some intraday setback as pair comes into a channel resistance now, near 0.9050. But sooner or later we think the channel will be out and more upside ahead, while the market is above 0.8826, the short-term invalidation level.
by ew-forecast
USD/CHF bulls eye move to 0.90The daily chart shows a nice bullish trend on the daily chart. A minor retracement has occurred at the cycle highs, although Thursday's bullish hammer found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci level and prior swing high. RSI (2) is confirming the trend and RSI (14) is above 50 to show bullish momentum of the past three weeks. Given the bullish trend structure and shallow retracement, the bias is for a bullish breakout and for prices to head towards the 0.9 handle, near a volume cluster from an older trend.
Long
by CityIndex
2
AUD/CHF Why Not?OANDA:AUDCHF Sure, why not trade something I don't normally look at. I have to start with this pair at some point. After a couple of close TP misses prior/during the recent Asian session, took a short on the Aussie Swissy heading into a round number before NYSE open. After the opening bell, it slowly chopped and hit my hard 10pip TP, right before the small whiplash "Pending Home Sales" USA release 10:00 am est (UTC-5). My trades are not huge pip amounts, but consistency wins the race. Think rabbit and the tortoise, and the amount of lots on each of my positions. Trade well
Short
by makerup
1
Potential bullish breakout on CHF/JPYThe yen began to correct against its sustained weakness in September, when the MOF (Ministry of Finance) intervened in the currency markets to strengthen the yen. That helped CHF/JPY spent the next three or so months pull back from its highs and retrace against its bullish trend. However, the end of the correction may have been seen around 137, as momentum turned higher at a Fibonacci cluster which includes a long-term 38.2% retracement and 161.8% projection level. Since then, prices have moved higher, built a level of support just above 140 and closed above the 200-day EMA. We also note that Friday’s low respected the 200-day EMA as support. So we’re now on guard for a potential bullish breakout above 143.60, which would also clear the 100-day EMA. A strong inflation report and further hawkish commentary from the SNB could help with such a scenario (as would confirmation of a dovish BOJ governor to replace Kuroda). A break below 140 invalidates the bullish bias.
Long
by CityIndex
USD/CHF (Bull Camp Attcks)View On USD/CHF (7 Feb 2023) We are seeing some attempt (attempts) from the USD BULLISH camp recently and they are using 0.905~0.91 as strong support region. If the bullish attempt is an success, we may see some strong UPward move later. 0.955~0.96 will be pretty attainable. Anticipate, Participate and Manage Sonic DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading. Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by SonicDeejay
USD/CHF (A Swing UP to find sellers is in progress)View On USD/CHF (21 Nov 2022) We have a strong sell down on USDCHF last 2 weeks ago and it went lower the previous swing of 0.94 (of 12 Aug 2022) That move shall trigger a lot of buyers' SL and bagged in a lot of new short positions. Now, they are trying to reverse it up and likely to retest higher. I reckon 0.965 to 0.97 shall be easily reachable. DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading. Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by SonicDeejay
USDCHF Targeting A .9300 TestTechnical & Trade View USDCHF Trade View Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below .9660 Technicals Primary resistance is .9660 watch for bearish reversal patterns here Primary pattern objective is .9300 Acceptance below .9440 next pattern confirmation Acceptance above .9700 opens a test of .9840 20 Day VWAP bearish , 5 Day VWAP bullish Options Expiries for today’s New York cut USD/CHF: 0.9525 (1.0BN) Institutional Insights Analysts at Credit Agricole note ‘Heightened concerns over Europe’s energy outlook going into the winter have spurred sustained safe-haven bids into the CHF whose appreciation was temporarily halted by a neutral SNB. Consolidation could still ensue, as Switzerland’s sounder stance makes the CHF a more compelling alternative among European currencies’, while the ‘ The USD has been seen as the key beneficiary of the unfolding global economic slowdown: (1) the US economy is more resilient than its European and Asian counterparts; (2) the Fed has emerged as one of the more hawkish G10 central banks in a boost to the USD’s real rate appeal; while (3) risk-averse investors continue to seek refuge in high-yielding USD cash. We expect the USD to peak only in Q123 as it remains supported by its status as a high-yielding, safe-haven currency. The fact that the USD is overbought and overvalued also means that the pace of any additional gains could slow down in the next 3-6M, however. Further out, depending on the severity of the global downturn, the USD should cede some ground vs other safe havens like the JPY and CHF –under a global ‘hard landing’
by Tickmill
The SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hikeThe SNB (Swiss National Bank) are expected to hike interest rates tomorrow, which would send their rate above zero for the first time since 2011. The central bank entered ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) between 2011 – 2015 before switching to NIRP (negative interest rate policy) with a rate of -0.75%, where it remained until June this year. And with seemingly few paying attention, they not only hiked rates but came out swinging with a 50bp hike and sent shockwaves across currency markets. This quickly saw the yen strengthen as traders assumed the BOJ would be next to follow, but we’re still waiting and will likely be for some time. But the main point I am making is that the SNB are likely to hike again tomorrow, and it would be wise to at least be prepared for a larger hike than some expect. A 50, 75 or even 100bp hike could be on the table for the SNB A recent poll saw economists up their 50bp hike for the SNB to 75bp. But in light of Sweden’s Riksbank hiking by 100bp, wholesale prices in Germany exploding higher and the potential for the Fed to hike by 100bp, I’m not discounting the potential for the SNB to join to 100bp club. Besides, they hiked by 50bp when the consensus was for no change at all and have a track record with an element of surprise. Furthermore, the Swiss government upgraded 2022 CPI from 2.5% to 3%, and for 2023 from 1.4% to 2.3% - so perhaps they know something we don’t. CHF/JPY daily chart: There are fewer finer examples of a strong bullish trend on a currency chart, than CHF/JPY right now. Momentum has been increasing during each impulse move higher, the moving averages are in ‘bullish sequence’ and fanning out, and prices are respecting the closest average as support. Prices have been coiling up within a falling wedge pattern (bullish in an uptrend) and potentially printed its swing low this week at the 10-day EMA. Furthermore, a 3-day bullish reversal pattern called a morning star has formed, so the bias remains bullish above this week’s low and for a move to the 150.71 high. A break above which brings 154 into focus. However, even if prices break low we would still keep an eye out for a potential swing low, given the diverging policies between the SNB and BOJ.
Long
by CityIndex
AUDCHF Long Trade SetupA bullish opportunity recently presented itself on the aussie-swissy trading chart. This follows from the bullish engulfing candlestick pattern which printed just above the 0.64000 psychological level, indicating a rejection of the level. A stop loss below the same psychological level and a profit target anywhere between your entry and the swing high of 0.67512 could give you a reward-to-risk ratio as high as 3 or even higher. Be sure to size your position based on your trading account balance and apply other risk management measures before placing trades. FX:AUDCHF Rooting for you! Your FX Plug
Long
by charles-okoukoni
2
Short term bias remains bearish on EURCHFEURCHF - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9943 (stop at 0.9964) Our short term bias remains negative. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.9935. 0.9945 has been pivotal. Previous support at 0.9945 now becomes resistance. Our profit targets will be 0.9888 and 0.9878 Resistance: 0.9900 / 0.9920 / 0.9945 Support: 0.9870 / 0.9850 / 0.9830 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'
Short
by OANDA
CADCHF Long Trade OpportunityA 'buy' opportunity has just presented itself on the loonie-swissy trading chart. This is occasioned by the bullish harami candlestick pattern which closes just above the 0.74593 horizontal support level, which signals a fakeout and suggests an upward price movement. You can still enter this trade by setting your stop slightly below the level mentioned earlier and placing your target anywhere between your entry price and the 0.78000 psychological level (ensuring a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 3.00). Happy trading!
Long
by charles-okoukoni
1
USD/CHF ( The UPtrend shall resume soon)View On USD/CHF (09 June 2021) USDCHF is on the rise again and this time, it is going to continue UP higher. It shall eventually break up and shall hit the recent high of 1 and beyond. You know what to do and let's try our best. DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading. Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by SonicDeejay
USDCHF is reaching for parity againThe USDCHF can be relatively slow-moving compared to other major forex pairs. However, we have seen some significant moves since March this year. In fact, the most recent April monthly candle was the largest bodied candle in almost seven years. Albeit April’s candle moved in the USD’s favour rather than the francs. In April, The USDCHF opened at 0.922 and closed at 0.973. As of writing, the USD is again approaching parity with the Swiss franc, trading at 0.998. Last month, the pair was rejected at 1.001 and closed lower on the month (0.959). This movement occurred after inflation in Switzerland rose faster than expected and landed further outside the Swiss Central Bank’s (SNB) target of 0-2% per annum. With inflation in Switzerland at a 14-year high of 2.9%, the Swiss Central Bank’s rhetoric concerning interest rate hikes has ramped up. But, Switzerland still has the lowest interest rate in the world (-0.75%), and the SNB’s rhetoric has been mild and equivocal, especially compared to the US Federal Reserve. Thus the USDCHF has forced its way into parity territory in June. A monthly time-frame analysis indicates that the pair may be able to sustain a push through this zone of resistance at parity for June and beyond. The Coppock Curve indicator, found on the graph above, helps gauge long-term trends. When we see the Coppock Curve move above zero, it is to be interpreted as a continuing uptrend. It is not typically used on the smaller time frames because it doesn’t show accurate divergence signals. The Coppock Curve is just below 10 on the monthly time frame, which is the highest it has been since January 2015. After which, the curve plummeted. Those familiar with forex history may know of the SMB’s decision that day. After that event, the Coppock Curve still indicated rising prices with this pair, which ultimately came true for almost the next two years.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDCHF 'Long' Trade IdeaA 'buy' trade opportunity presented itself on the AUDCHF trading chart, following the bullish pin bar at the end of a bearish run. The pin bar closed above the 0.68214 daily horizontal support level, signalling a rejection of the same level and providing a buying opportunity. An RR of 7.38 is possible if you enter the trade at the 0.68452 price level, with your stop at 0.68162 (about 29.0 pips) and target at 0.70592 (about 214.0 pips). Please check with your setup before placing any trade. Happy trading!
Long
by charles-okoukoni
4