Gold (Daily Chart) - Bullish Reversal At Last?After a few false starts last week, we are finally seeing the buyers step into Gold, judging by the latest bullish price action.
Price has successfully tested the resistance-turned-support, with a confluence at the 20 & 50-day EMA, which all provide good support for prices.
I am currently long on this counter, and should the bearishness in the stock market continue, we may see more upside here.
Synapsetrading
USD/CHF (Daily chart) - Bears Stepping In?After hitting key resistance, this pair had a huge bearish engulfing pattern, which is a sign of bears stepping in.
With the US Dollar Index also hitting a roadblock, it seems like we will see a temporary (or long-term?) decline in the USD, at least till the NFP later today.
I would rather be short than long at this point of time.
S&P 500 (Daily Chart) - Time for a Rebound?After our last predicted move down, the S&P 500 has been bearish for the past 2-3 weeks, and has fallen all the way to the target trendline.
While there is a high chance that this might lead to a bear market, there is an even higher chance of a small rebound first.
The key will be where the rebound ends.
If the rebound falters before testing the prior highs, then it could well confirm the new downtrend.
US Dollar Index (Daily Chart) - Crucial PointThe US Dollar Index has been bullish recently, but it is now at the prior swing high.
Will it be able to cross over?
While the market has experienced "Risk-Off" for the past few weeks, we might finally see a rebound in the equity markets, which will add some strength to the USD.
However, this might not be sustainable.
We will need to see the price break firmly above the prior swing high to be sure of more bullishness to come.
CAD/JPY (Daily Chart) - Bullish Trend ChannelThis pair is now at the bottom of the bullish price channel, making it a low risk trade to go long now.
There is strong resistance near the top, but there is enough room for it to go up to make it a viable trade.
The most recent bar shows strong buying pressure, which is a good sign for entry.
AUD/NZD (Daily Chart) - Chance to Short?After breaking down from a multi-month range, this pair has pulled back to test the breakout point.
This could be a good opportunity to take a low-risk short trade, as the next support level is still quite far away, and the price action looks weak overall.
If you are more cautious, you can wait to see if price pulls back further to touch the downtrend line before shorting.
Facebook (Daily Chart) - Not Looking GoodSince its highs 2 months ago, the price of Facebook has declined about 36%, which is almost 1/3 of its value.
This is surely not a good sign.
To make things worse, the probability of further decline is pretty high.
After forming a double top (it could also become a H&S instead if it forms a right shoulder), the price has also broken the neckline, which by most measures would put it strongly in bearish territory.
It will very likely have some sort of rebound soon, but I will be hesitant to buy for the long-term until winter is over.
Straits Times Index (Daily Chart) - Where is the Bottom?Since our last predictions on the Straits Times Index, the price has continued to fall from 3300 to 3000, and then below it.
At this rate of decline, is there any support or bottom in sight?
I generally do not like to do projections, because most projections are just guesses.
The best way to know is to observe the price as it moves, then you will know when it has likely bottomed.
And for now, it still looks like it can continue to fall.
So i will stay bearish and continue to monitor.
EUR/CHF (Daily Chart) - Confluence of Bearish FactorsThis pair is probably one of the best shorts at the moment, with many bearish factors lining up.
Firstly, if you zoom out, you can see that it recently completed a bearish H&S reversal pattern, and after a successful breakdown, the price has now come back to test the breakout point.
Second, the breakout point is now a support turned resistance.
Lastly, prices are resisted by a minor bearish trendline and both the 20&50-day EMAs.
I am currently short the full size on this counter.
Good luck!
GBP/USD (Daily Chart) - Double Top BreakdownThis pair has formed a mini double top in the middle of a downtrend, which is not officially how a double top works, but it still brings the same bearish connotations.
If it manages to break below the prior swing low, then it is really going to drop like a rock.
I am currently short with a small position, and will continue to add more if the next support level is cleared.
Good luck!
EUR/AUD (Daily Chart) - Potential TopThis pair is looking very toppish after running into resistance, and has tried (and failed) twice to break new highs.
It now looks like it might be heading downwards instead.
I am taking a small short position, and adding more if it manages to break down from the yellow box.
Good luck!
USD/JPY (Daily Chart) - Will We See Another Leg Up?This pair has had a decline after running up into strong resistance, and is now resting on the bullish trendline.
Will we see prices break below this trendline, or will it serve as a rallying base to build up buyers for another test of the resistance?
I would take an early long position now, and use a tight trailing stop in case the support does not hold up.
AUD/CAD (Daily Chart) - One More Leg Down?This pair has fallen quite a bit, but it looks like it might still have one more leg of decline left.
After bouncing up from the strong support level, prices were unable to stay up long, and ultimately formed a bearish pin bar.
Since prices were rejected on the upside, there is a strong possibility that prices will head down to test the support again.
AUD/NZD (Daily Chart) - Price Breaking Down!This pair is showing some serious bearish price action, after breaking the bullish trendline, while at the same time forming a bearish H&S pattern.
The price went on to break the neckline of the H&S, further declining and showing more selling pressure.
I am currently short on this, and will continue to monitor.
AUD/CAD (Daily Chart) - Long-term Major SupportThis pair is now at a long-term major support level, which goes back all the way to 2013.
This means the R/R is pretty good to take a long position, as the top of the range is around the 1.03 level.
I have already taken a small long position, and will continue to add on if the price continues to head higher.
Good luck!
GBP/JPY (Daily Chart) - Will Price Finally Break Down?This pair has been pretty resilient, with price hovering near the major resistance level for quite a while.
Since the R/R is quite good, I have decided to take a small short position first.
If price breaks down, convincingly clearing the 147 level, I will be ready to add more short positions.
Good luck!
USD/JPY (Daily Chart) - Running into ResistanceThis pair had been creeping up steadily in an uptrend channel, till it hit a key resistance area and bounced off it.
Now, it looks like it will be heading down to test the trendline, and it it breaks that, will continue to head lower.
Personally, I am already short, and will continue to hold unless i see the bulls coming back in.
GBP/AUD (Daily Chart) - Broke Above Previous HighsThis pair has managed to break above its previous highs from way back in April 2018, which shows that the bulls are back in control.
It is within a long-term bullish uptrend price channel on the weekly chart.
I will be looking for a chance to long when price has a pullback, especially near the breakout point.
EUR/GBP (Daily Chart) - H&S BreakdownThis pair managed to break above its downtrend line, but unfortunately was unable to break above the price swing high.
Upon hitting that resistance, price did manage to break above for a few bars, but eventually gave up and formed a bearish H&S pattern and headed south instead.
After the neckline of the H&S broke down, which was a major bearish sign, the odds now greatly favour the shorts.
I will be looking to go short on pullbacks.
CAD/JPY (Daily Chart) - Top of Price ChannelThis pair has had a sharp price run-up before running to strong resistance near the top of the price channel.
After that, we saw some indecision (several price bars moving sideways) before prices came crashing down and closed the price gap.
Odds are now good that prices will continue to fall back to the bottom of the price channel.
I will be looking to short on pullbacks.
EUR/JPY (Daily Chart) - Bullish Setup on Dual TimeframesThis pair has exhibited long-term bullishness in the form of an uptrend channel, which is good for long-term traders.
On the shorter timeframe, it has recently broken out of the inverted H&S formation, which is a bullish chart pattern.
Considering both these signs of bullishness, I think it would be a good opportunity to take a long position.
Cheers!
AUD/USD (Daily Chart) - Good Chance to ShortThis pair has been on a long-term downtrend, and recently had a pullback to the 20&50-EMAs.
After observing some bearish price action, there is a very good chance that the downtrend will resume.
This means now is a good opportunity to initiate a low-risk short position.
Good luck!
Crude Oil (Daily Chart) - Bullish Inverted H&S Breakout!After a period of indecisive sideways movement, this counter has managed to break up to new highs.
Based on the price pattern, it has the potential to reach the 77.76 area, which is also a resistance level.
Recent news is also bullish for oil prices.
Will be taking a small position and building up.