Just two months ago, a SELL signal was given and confirmed by my systems. September return was -2.54 % , but October was one the best trading month since 2011 with 8.51 % return . Because of this Huge momentum 2 out 3 systems gave a BUY signal. Let's take a closer look System 1 : SPY vs 200 ma This system has been very reliable for a long time. As you...
Through out my time swing trading i have found that there are some desecrate tools and information i must look at in each equity before i make my final decision, certain criteria like Short interest , days to short , SQZMOM indicator along with a sweet chart that channels up. 1. it all starts at finviz where i search up stocks that fall under the lower priced...
Is possible to be determine when to be on the right side of the market , most of the time ? well yes, using simple market timing strategies such as the SPY against it's 200 ma, would help you avoid all the bear market in the last 20 + years . But is there another way to do this ? Here's a strategy i'm currently forward testing in my IB account. By calculating...
Another year , another double digit return for the SPY. The trading year is not over yet , but I assume the SPY will finish the year with ~ 15 % return,including all dividend payment. 2014 has been pretty volatile for the SPY , with avg volatility at 11.6 % ( as of 12/29/2014) . October was by far the most volatile month this year, but the SPY end up positive...
The sell off in oil continues to drag the market down . The S1TH is at 68 % , but 2/3 supportive indicators are negative. As per the rules of this system, long positions should be closed. Chances are will see oil at or below $50 this week. I t will be very interesting how investors react to this. Also keep an eye on treasuries and the mighty USD. Have a...
The SPY finish the month with a positive return of 2.73 %. The volatility for the month was incredibly low at 4.2 % , compare to 9.2 % for the previous month. Looking at the chart it is currently at the top of the channel, so December may be a bit volatile. However , it closed above it's 200 MA , so this trade is still open. *YTD return % : 13.75 % * Return...
The S1TH seats at 80.19 % and 2 out of the three supportive indicators are positive. This means conservative investors may once again open new positions. Cheers Algo
The S1TH increased to 77.22 % this week. However , only one out of three indicators is positive, so this system is still out of the market. Cheers Algo
The S1TH is now at 74.25 % , however all three supportive indicators are still negative. As per the rules , at least 2 out 3 supportive indicators need to be positive before opening new positions, this system is still out of the market. cheers Algo
The SPY closed above it's 200 ma this month, so this trade remains open. Trade up 69.90 % since December 2012 ( dividend payments included) cheers Algo
The S1TH shoot back above 65 % this week. However , all three supportive indicators are still negative. Despite the rally , no new position should be open , as per the rules for this system. cheers Algo
The BoJ just announced the expansion of their "QE" from 60 trillions to 80 Trillion Yen. This is an unexpected move by the BoJ, as this announcement wasn't expected anytime this year. The Nikkei closed up 4.84 %, S&P 500 futures made a new all time high at 2016.75. I expect the SPY to make a new high at the open as well. What a week this has been for bulls....
The SPY has been closing above its 200 MA since January 2012. As of Friday close, this represent a 58.79% gain, including all dividend payments. But eventually, all good things must end ( for bulls anyway...). So far this month, the S&P is down 4.34% and trading below its 200 MA . Late this week, the bulls attempted to push the price above the 200 MA , but to no...
The futures are currently trading below its 200 ma, and the SPY will also be below its 200 MA pre-market tomorrow morning. I'm still waiting till the end of the month to confirm if the position is SPY should be closed or remain open. SPY trade as of Friday's close, up 60.53 % Since December 2012 ( dividend payment included) , 4.6 % YTD. Have a great trading week...
Last week the S1TH was still above 65 % line last week, however due to high volatility , and negative reading from two supportive indicators, i advised that this market wasn't "tradeable" ( not a word) or new position shouldn't be opened. fast forward to yesterday, the S1TH is well below 65 % ( 51.48),volatility so far for the month is 22.5 %. at this point , if...
the S1TH dipped below the 65 % line on Wednesday ,before closing above it again at 69.30% . However , two of the supportive indicators are negative. Also the volatility is EXTREMELY high, 19.5 % so far. When I first published this strategy three years back, I described it as a strategy for conservative investors. so due to the high volatility in the market...
Gold price closed below its 10 month MA , so this trade is close with a loss Cheers Algo
SPY finishes the quarter up 1.23 % ( including all distribution payment). As expected September continues to be a volatile month for the markets( Volatility = 9.3% for Sept.). With earning season around the corner , I expect the same volatility for the month of October. The SPY continues to trade in a channel, and should stay within these limits ( we 'll see)....