Trump's Impact on Interest Rates: Higher Rates Ahead?After Trump’s decisive win on November 6th, Bitcoin, the USD, and yields (or interest rates) moved higher. In fact, these markets began moving upward in September, more than a month before Donald Trump became the 47th President of the United States.
We will study the direction of interest rates based on the actual market sentiment as reflected in U.S. bond yields.
10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
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T-BOND
The Best Explanation of The Bond Market You're Ever Gonna Get12 Month US10Y Bollinger Bands between 2.5 and 2.9 Standard Deviations away from a moving average model greater than 4 years in length, preferably exponential. I haven't optimized this to perfection, but it's close enough to give you the basic idea.
The bond market is just a simple oscillator emerging from a complex system and simply does what every other very large and complex system does. It has a trend around which it travels but in decades and centuries not years. It isn't complicated, but it is extremely slow.
There are 2 phases and a 5,000 year long trend. It goes up. It goes down. Over the course of centuries it declines. In the down phase, it stays below trend and does the exact opposite in the opposite phase. A kindergartener can trade this thing.
Currently the phase is turning over from a down phase that lasted from 1980 to 2020, and entering into a new up phase that will most likely last for 3-4 decades.
Trading it: buy secondary market long duration government bonds at the bond yield 3 standard deviation line and sell at the trend. Repeat for the next 30-40 years. Easy peasy.
BOND symmetrical triangle patternBased on the Symmetrical triangle pattern I see bond falling down further for around 50%. I depend the 50% because of its last big drop where the symmetrical triangle pattern started. If BOND can NOT break out then I will go in position. If BOND will breakout we will see if it faked out or go up higher.
What are your thoughts?
I suggest to always Do Your On Research (DYOR) and that this is no Financial Advice (FA).
BONDUSDT Break Out or Break Down? Crucial Levels to Watch Now!Yello, Paradisers! Are you prepared for #BONDUSDT's potential breakout? This analysis will keep you on the edge of your seat!
💎#BOND has shown a price rebound from the demand zone and is attempting to break out of the descending resistance. A successful breakout of this resistance could be a positive sign for the next movement of BOND.
💎However, for a shift to a bullish trend, the price needs to break through the supply zone around the 2.8 area. If this happens, there's a high probability that the price will move significantly upward, possibly reaching our target resistance and the strong resistance area.
💎On the flip side, if BOND fails to break out of the descending resistance and gets rejected, the price will likely move downward and revisit the demand area.
💎The demand area at 1.88 is a crucial level for BOND. It needs to rebound and attempt to break out of the descending resistance again. But if BOND fails to rebound and breaks through the demand area, the bullish scenario will be invalidated, and the price could dip further.
If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait for the best, highest probability trading opportunities. Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BOND looks BearishIt looks like we have a large diametric that we are now in the G wave of.
The G wave looks like a triangle.
Keeping the red range, we expect wave c to be hit from G.
The targets are clear on the chart.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Rates are breaking recent up trends, $TNXGood Morning Everyone!
The 2Yr Yield is retesting the recent support level, highlighted by arrows.
The 10Yr #yield is currently breaking the recent uptrend.
The yellow box was highlighted in the last post showing the WEAKNESS. However, forgot to speak on that yesterday (see profile for more info).
They cannot lower #interestrates... But they must, at least short term.
QT is done.
BOND UPDATE (1D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related Ideas" section.
Now we are in the green range of the previous analysis, but due to a small pump and rejection from the QM L range, we see a bearish QM on the chart.
BOND can drop towards the targets while maintaining the red range.
The targets are clear on the chart.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BONDUSDT.4HOn this BOND/USDT 4-hour chart, I’m examining the inclusion of the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators alongside identified support and resistance levels.
The RSI, currently at 51.38, is hovering around the mid-point, which suggests neither an overbought nor oversold condition. In the context of the RSI, a reading above 70 typically indicates that an asset is becoming overbought, while a reading below 30 indicates an oversold condition. Therefore, the current RSI level provides no clear directional bias.
The MACD, which is near the zero line and appears with minimal histogram bars, also shows a lack of strong momentum in either direction. The convergence, or lack thereof, of the MACD line and the signal line can offer insights into potential price movement, but as it stands, it's not indicating a strong bullish or bearish momentum.
Looking at the price chart, we see that price has recently been making higher lows, which is tentatively bullish as it suggests an uptrend. However, price action is currently compressed below the resistance level (R1) at $4.734. A breakout above this level could indicate bullish momentum leading towards the next resistance level (R2) at $5.417.
Support levels are marked as S1 at $4.013 and S2 at a lower point. These would be areas to watch for potential buying opportunities if the price were to retrace. Particularly, the $4.000 level is psychologically significant and aligns closely with S1, which could reinforce it as a strong support zone.
To form a complete trading strategy around this chart, I would seek confirmation from price action, such as a bullish breakout above R1 with increased volume. A stop-loss strategy would be prudent, potentially just below S1 to mitigate risk in the case of a false breakout or sudden reversal. As always, it’s wise to consider the broader market context, including any news or events that could impact the price of BOND.
Interest Rates NOT showing cuts...Let's keep looking at #InterestRates. Gives us an idea of what the Fed may do.
The 1 & 2 Year are still under their RESISTANCE level. Struggling a bit, but not breaking down. Trend is still there, weak though.
10 Yr looks like it wants to break the resistance zone.
30 YR looks like it's gone. Does not look like it wants to retrace at the moment.
#FederalReserve TVC:TNX
bondSupport and press the rocket to cheer me up
Observe the ten percent loss limit
Stay away from Bitcoins
Feel free to buy and sell and post your comments
BOND/USDT Break alert! Indicating continue the upward movement!💎 BOND has recently experienced significant market dynamics. After successfully breaking out of the resistance area, BOND is currently undergoing a retesting phase.
💎 If BOND manages to bounce from this retest and find support, there's potential for the price to continue its upward movement towards our target area.
💎 However, if BOND fails to find support and breaks below the retesting level, the next downward target lies at the demand area of around $4.3.
💎 BOND must bounce from the demand area and reclaim the price above the support level at $5.1 to maintain its upward momentum. Failure to do so could result in continued downward movement for BOND.
New exit pumpWith most delistings, we have already observed the exit of the pump up to a significant overshoot of the level at which the news about delisting was released. Today I filled positions on the exit pump for drep and pnt. A pump is possible on the reversal of the current weekly candle, which will turn into a pullback on the monthly candle. In a less optimistic scenario, the rollback attempt will already be in a new monthly candle. The likely targets are retests of 0.250-275 for drep and 0.15-75 for pnt, which can bring up to 200%+. The drep team announced the burning of a significant part of the tokens, which is an additional reason for the pump.
Rates not acting as if a cut is coming...Let's look at rates for a bit.
Short term #yield is slowly climbing the trend line.
1 & 2 Year.
Longer term #interestrates look similar to the short term.
10 & 30 Year.
US #Dollar not as strong as bond yields but it is trading similar to them.
TVC:TNX TVC:DXY
BONDUSDT.1DBONDUSDT,1D
The BOND/USDT chart here shows a snapshot of Bondly’s price action on a 1-day timeframe, along with the Ichimoku Cloud, a trend-following system with multiple lines that help identify support and resistance levels and generate buy or sell signals.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting that we're in a bearish trend. The cloud is quite thick, which could indicate that there is significant resistance above the current price.
Support (S1, S2): Two support lines are marked. S1 is at 2.451 USDT, and the price is currently below this level, which could now act as resistance. S2 is the ascending line that has been supporting the longer-term uptrend; however, it appears that the price has breached this support.
Resistance (R2): A resistance line (R2) is marked above the current price level, indicating where the price might face obstacles if it attempts to recover.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is above the signal line but the histogram is decreasing, indicating that the bullish momentum might be waning.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is near the 40 mark, which is slightly bearish but not oversold, suggesting there could be further downside.
Given these indicators, the overall sentiment seems bearish, and caution should be exercised. If considering a position, one might wait for the price to either retest the former support at S1 as resistance or for a bullish signal from the MACD and RSI to indicate a potential reversal. The breach of the long-term support line (S2) would warrant a careful re-evaluation of any bullish outlook on the asset. It's important to stay abreast of broader market trends and news that could impact the sentiment around Bondly.
BOND/USDT Breakout Alert! Indicating Bullish Momentum for BOND.💎 BOND has recently encountered significant developments in the market. Currently, BOND has successfully broken out of a key resistance area.
💎 There is potential for the price to undergo a retesting phase, possibly retracing back to the support level before resuming its upward movement and probability of reaching our target area.
💎 However, if BOND fails to bounce during the retesting phase, or if the price breaks down below the support level, the next likely stop is at the demand area.
💎 At the demand area, the price must bounce and reclaim the area above the support level if it intends to continue its upward movement. If this scenario fails to materialize, BOND may continue its downward movement, potentially breaking down the demand area and pushing the price even lower.
BOND looks a rocketLooks like BOND's big diametric is over.
It can go up while maintaining the green range.
By maintaining this limit, it can move towards the targets. The targets are marked on the chart.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bond Looks ready for PumpHi Guys
Bond Looks good here for move up.
Best buy area is around 3.30 - 3.40 but also we can buy a part here.
Dyor plz.
If u bought it please use stoploss.
Good luck.
BOND after the breakout is continuing to go upBOND after the breakout is continuing to go up.
🔵Entry Zone 3.639 - 3.775
🔴SL 3.335
🟢TP1 4.128
🟢TP2 4.528
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BOND/USDT Keep an eye on the support!! Potential strong bounce.💎 BOND has recently shown notable market dynamics, experiencing rejection at the supply level.
💎 There's a possibility that the price will undergo a retesting phase, initially targeting the support level around 3.51. If successful, a bounce from this support could propel the price higher, aiming to revisit the supply area once again.
💎 However, if BOND fails to find support at the aforementioned level and breaks down below it, the price may retreat further towards the 4-hour demand area to gather new momentum.
💎 The demand area holds significance, as it typically serves as a level for potential price rebounds. Yet, if BOND fails to bounce from this demand zone and breaches it, it could indicate further downward movement, potentially leading to additional declines.