T-BOND
ZB T-Bond Futures looking for a pullbackThe VWAP has been broken with a strong candle, so an ascending behavior is to be expected, the market could look for the precedent tops of the trading range.
But it has in front of it the historical trend line which works well (look at the ellipses), so maybe the support will be the resistance.
wait for Chicago to open the market + volumes + confirmation of RSI.
Ascending Triangle in 10 year T-Note The Market is compressing after having formed an ascending triangle.
So my expectation is that it could continue going up if it breaks the upper horizontal line of the Triangle.
Keep in mind that this market is slow (works in 30min), but it's a huge market looking at the amounts of money inside it.
Big Long opportunity for ZBVery large value area + demand zone play as ZB is approaching new lows. Both of those drawn on the chart. Looking for longs at 174'02 but my favorite place to go long would be 173'02. Once it bounces, expect a pullback from the down move at least to previous swing lows and VAL of yesterday at 175'08. For stops go for 8 ticks (based on lower timeframe structure at the top of area not shown on this chart, if they get broken then we cut the trade expecting a swing lower down the macro value area)
JAPAN 10-Year Bond Yield - path to lower levels aheadJapan 10-year interest rates seems to be tracing intermediate wave 3 of primary wave 5 down. A critical level is at -0.19, the low of minor wave B. If yields crosses this level the odds get stronger for this scenario and yields could go below -0.29. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES
US 2Y yield indicates further FED cuts are almost guaranteedThe FED has already cut the rates by 50 bps in an "emergency meeting" last week. The US02Y indicates that that was not enough and more cuts are needed. If history is any indication, we're looking at another cut of 50 bps or even 75 bps very soon .
BONDS OVER STOCKS 2020With equities looking increasingly volatility and valuations as frothy as ever, long term bonds have been quietly outperforming recently. I expect this trend to continue for foreseeable future and for us to rise 5-13% from here conservatively.
The global climate is shifting to reducing risk and buying safe haven assets. Therefore, 20 year bonds will likely continue to be a source that reaps the benefits of capital outflow from stocks and into US treasuries.