Good morning, traders. I'm trying a darker color scheme here, so let me know what you think. It is the beginning of the work week in the U.S. after the 3-day holiday weekend. Shorts jumped up over the weekend the short/long ratio currently stands at 1.1558. There are a couple of possible reasons for this: 1) big player could be baiting retail into shorting so they...
Good Friday morning, traders. We saw another attempt by the market to push price up and through the $6450-$6650 resistance but the sell walls were dropped in when it did. Ultimately, we saw a high of $6562 this morning with a sharp sell off immediately afterward that led to a low of $6405. The high was at the dashed horizontal resistance line that we've had in...
Good morning, traders. It was a rough Monday for some of you, I'm sure. Those who have been following my live streams knew yesterday was a distinct possibility and, hopefully, were prepared for it. I continue to preach the importance of risk management so that traders don't get caught when price swings opposite their anticipated direction. The question now is has...
Good morning, traders. It's Monday and time to get the trading week underway. As pointed out during Friday's daily live stream (where we always go into greater depth concerning price action), Bitcoin appears to be following April's pattern. The same can be said with the shorts/longs ratio. While there are no guarantees, it does give traders something to watch as...
EURUSD is looking week and seems to be following a typical Wyckoff pattern of accumulation - mark up - re-accumulation - Mark up - distribution - Mark down - re-distribution and now potentially starting the mark down again. Volume has been low but picked up with the break out on Friday on the daily time-frame. We could see a back up to the creek but the previous...
Good Friday morning, traders. The end of the week is here and Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a large move. Many traders were shaken out overnight by the drop in price and remain even more skittish now. As I mentioned during last night's live stream, yesterday's daily candle printed an inside bar which most often precedes a strong movement. While that...
Good Thursday morning, traders. Things start becoming interesting now with the weekend just a day away and daily RSI sitting on oversold. If you have been tuning into our daily live streams, then you know I have discussed the various possibilities presenting themselves at this time. Daily oversold often provides a bit of a decent bounce for price, at least, though...
Good Thursday morning, traders. I'm sure many of you have thrown in the towel and believe price MUST absolutely make new lows. Remember, price does not HAVE to do anything, especially not what retail traders believe it needs to do and that is why retail traders often end up buying the top and selling the bottom. While I am not convinced in which direction price is...
Good morning, traders. Bitcoin appears to be working on the bounce that I discussed was more likely than not during the live stream last night. However, we must remain aware of the potential for a dead cat bounce rather than a full reversal of what may just be a corrective leg down since the $8500 high. This recent upward momentum has pushed price above the...
Remember, all corrections take the same general path as they are all the result of human beings and their unconscious reaction to fear and greed. They just take longer or shorter depending on the movement prior, and the movements may be more or less exaggerated. This comparison in no way suggests that price will definitively do one thing or the other. It is...
G'Day Cobbers A quick educational piece on Market Cycles. All on Charts. Message me with any Questions. G'day Thanks for dropping by, hopefully you garner something valuable from my post, be it educational or an idea towards a trade of your own. Please share, like and comment and engage with me, I am here to help. Trader, Chart analyst and all round...
There are 2 things after what I call a golden Chart in my Accumulation model (I'll leave it as related Ideas). The #1 thing is we might be in a distribution, so I tried to do the same thing I did with accumulation model, but now I am doing it based on distribution model, now, #2 thing is that either one of which I have been analyzing does not fit entirely with...
Good morning, traders. Price dipped a bit further than expected, but so far is acting exactly as I discussed it was likely to do. We saw strong absorption on the drop as indicated by the large volume and appear to have found the bottom, for now, at around $7450. This provides two possible scenarios if price is to continue upward. The right chart shows the...
Good morning, traders. It's Thursday which means the week's end is near and trade volume generally begins decreasing. The overhang from the OKEx $420 million long liquidation comes to a head tomorrow. OKEx needs price to ramp back up above $8000 by Friday's settlement, which is 16:00 Hong Kong time on August 3, to cover/mitigate the loss created by that...
Good morning, traders. Price action this morning exemplifies the importance of short term traders not getting into a position when the market is moving sideways like it has been. This is what I'm constantly warning new traders about. There is no definitiveness of movement until price exits that sideways chop. Unfortunately that is also one of the most difficult...
Cause and effect the cornerstone of Wyckoff methodology. Time to get physical, Isaac Newton famously once said ‘For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction’. With that in mind, let's use it analyse the previous cycles on BTC… Aprils accumulation (cause) and markup phase (effect). Accumulation lasted 13days and markup lasted an equal amount of time....
NASDAQ:SBUX has broken through the ICE and left distribution range to begin the markdown. Short orders at LPS.
EURNZD looks like is in distribution area and potentially the distribution is over. There are 2 options right now. If the pair is finished with distribution, the price will go down from this point or other option is that the distribution is not over and the price moves to the last high so let's wait and see if the price is able to break the demand zone.