I'm not a fan of Head and Shoulders patterns - inverted or otherwise - but many people will have noticed the formation in the FTSE100 and will be waiting for the break down. Whilst oversold stochastics could promote further right shoulder development, the eventual break will likely target 6400/50 as profit-taking pressure increases. Would Victor be a seller?
Rotating lower with falling momentum. Daily charts are also unwinding, suggesting profit-taking and a sell-into-strength strategy. Focus expected to turn to Fib supports within 2160/80~
Central banks are (again) helping bulls by keeping the stimulus active until they see higher inflation - according to rumors and speculation of the last three days, ahead of the next ECB meeting this Thursday, October 20, 2016, where Mario Draghi might surprise the market to the upside again, after the reaction to the last meeting was a falling stock market. This...
It seems we had more complex distribution schematic than expected. After FOMC USDCAD is going down. Strategy would be to wait for pullback to ICE and if "no demand" or upthrust, take a short.
Loonie shows No Demand on ICE. If next bar is down, I will go short.
USDJPY came back to distribution line (ICE). It made false breakout. I expect to move down to about 100.
USDJPY the bottom of the trading range was tested. A buyers entered the market with high volumes overwhelming the sellers. Now the top of the trading range should be tested. The 'TDI is also defining a trading range. So I will be looking long until the 'TDI reaches the top of its range to go short again.
Seeing some decent distribution here, the breaks on this move up have been applied. There's signs of weakening momentum up to monthly... That said just cause the breaks have been applied doesn't mean we're about to stop just yet. Might keep on grinding for a bit more. Likely more room on the downside than the the upside tho. Will be on the lookout for short...
I wanted to take a moment and train myself into recognizing the ICT accumulation / reversal / distribution. We can see this pattern come back to us on many occasions but this one is particularly easy to spot and so I'll happily take this chance to set this in stone for later reference. Inside fractals We have got buy and sell fractals generally consisting of: ...
The USDJPY has made a correction to the ML of the pitchfork setting the trading range during the redistribution phase. If this Wyckoff view of the market holds we could se the market range between these levels well into next year. For now we will be looking for a reaction at the LML of the Pitchfork.
EURUSD has just nearly touched this mornings 78.6 retracement level. Looking at the s//r levels from the past I was able to find some in february that match the 1.272, 1.414 and 1.618 levels of the present, which I've rounded off to be more precise. We're likely to see the high of the week forming tomorrow (tuesdays) to kill all scalpers and shorts that have tight...
Price has moved to the top of the 55 Day OF and has shown some strong price rejection at this level. Volume remains low but the next move down should show some volume and spread increase which would indicate distribution. The range for the redistribution has now been set. Price did not make it to the Pitchfork ML which shows some weakness.
Now that redistribution has started we had a strong price move up (breaking the 21 Day OF) but not supported by volume. This has now defined the trading range that should develop (grey horizontal lines). Within this I expect some corrective structure to develop. For next week we should be going short after Tuesday.
Gold's move upward seems to be losing momentum in more than just one timeframe. Theres potential for a short to support. Or it'll just break up and continue a bit more. But I think down is more likely.
Last week I was still wondering if we would go into the re-distribution phase. We continued to spike down last week to reach the bottom of the 55 Day and 21 Day Oscillation Frequency Channels. We also touched the 100 level but did not break it. There as been divergence on the TDI for some time. With NFP coming in better than expected I think this could indicate...
I have observed three doji candlesticks, that denotes consolidation or distribution, where previous buyers book profit or distribute their shares. It is at the level of selling or resistance. I believe it is a good time to short it now at minimum risk size and also at this point where Nifty is also looking bearish. Further 3 points noted: 1. Doji formation with...
Based on the Wyckoff evaluation I have been following the past weeks it is possible that we could be in a redistribution phase for the USDJPY. The previous accumulation phase bounded the market between 105 and 101 and this could occur again. The redistribution could extend to the next fib time zone in February 2017 as measured from the market peek of the...