BTC (BNC) 1D - Are we seeing lower lows before Trendreversal?Bitcoin is rallying since couple of days and making all Bulls extremely happy, yet, we need to pay attention of possible downtrends or invalided patterns for a bullish scenario.
The falling wedge (purple) is playing out so far. Adding FIBA from the local high (5. NOV - Start FTX Saga) we see that level of -0.618 are reasonable.
For now we are looking at Fiba level 0.5 that coincides with the falling wedge and a Reversal Point (blue). Eventually we get higher to Fiba 0.618 as potential Bull trap and get all the way down before we rally.
At the level of 18,700$ for Bitcoin is a major liquidation level waiting to dumb the price. Another liquidation levels are at 15,500$ and 13,800$
Thanks for reading, commenting and sharing.
TA
Nasdaq Fractal Blackswan Cycles 📈📉The average citizen lacks any real understanding of Central Banking all they know are uneducated talking point from 🐑 that have the same or less power over their lives & the system as a whole that gave rise 2 them at leverage while they are none the wiser they are referred to by the architects of the system as... 🤓👉 ( working class / human capital)
Scandals like Enron, Madoff, & now FTX are just bi-products of easy money policy that gives risk to excessive risk seeking behavior by the 🐑 which the FED understands most be corrected out of the system in order to maintain the 100 yr + trajectory they have done with the United States of America & ensure the survival of the livestock in the farm so the country has a stable to growing labor pool to remain an ongoing concern. There is a reason Steve Jobs didn't care what the peeps in the mailroom complained about and that is cuz its not their system and they have no idea how lucky they are to even be part of it 🧐
This cycle with FTX is just one more demonstration of just how much The Federal Reserve is the market & really knows what they are doing. As painful as the de-risking process the Fed puts the country through can be we can see on the macro that it is indeed a necessary evil to flush out back actors that form during easy 💰 policy cycles ♻️ & before they can grow even larger & more damaging to the system as a whole 🤓
Bear 🐻 markets end in mass graves 💀 so these events are 🔑 2 bringing aboutthe depression phase of the cycle & bottoming out the market before the Fed engineers new growth 📈 Patiently waiting for 2024 💡
REN Getting Slammed By Whales (Pump and Dump)Second crypto asset I've seen today get completely slammed with a pump and dump by the whales. Potential short if you managed to catch the pivots at the top that got wicked.
Let me know if you have any questions!
Bitcoin TA bottom in 2023If you draw a trendline between two cycle top whats next too each other and clone it to the cycle bottom that line will cross with the next cycle TA bottom. Fact thats line currently 25% under the bitcoin price and some banks and hedge founders predict to 2023 a 25-20% crypto and stock market crash.
Daily Bitcoin Update - Move lower as expected | ECB HawkishEvening all,
Full TA in the video as usual. Some notes:
- Bitcoin clinging on to the lower trendline of the rising wedge we have identified.
- Look for support levels on a breakdown - $16919 is an important level
- The breakdown measure move is around $16374
- If we do break down past $16919 look for a bearish retest and a possible short opportunity
- Daily Indicators - Stoch RSI, RSI and MAC D looking bearish. If the MAC D crosses down we could see some strong movement down from Bitcoin.
- Major stock markets are all down today - SPX, ES1 and Nasdaq (the ones that we follow)
- USDT dominance increasing suggesting that traders are moving back into USDT
- DXY also on the move after testing major support - if the DXY increases, Bitcoin generally decreases
- Keep an eye on your alt positions. With BTCD increasing and BTC decreasing - Alts are getting REKT.
Be patient and stick to your strategy!
Please hit the boost button if you like this update.
Back tomorrow.
Thanks
SIMON BPOI
ETH 4 HOUR 12/06/2022EXPLANATION ON CHART
Outlook for ETH heading into FOMC meeting
Expect some volatility leading into the FOMC meeting later this week, after the recent accumulation for both BTC and ETH there is definitely the possibility for a decent bear market rally.
jerome powell hinted at being slightly more doveish than hawkish in last weeks meeting.
Bitcorn toight like a tigerBTC toight like a tiger on the 4hr here
Downtrendline watch- orange
Also watch for the 4HR RSI trendlines breaks
bulls need to hold either the higher lows on 4HR
or
Hold the box support
For best followthru both RSI downtrendline and Price EQ to break at the same time!!!
EZ-PZ right?
Get ya stop loss in
BTCUSD Cost basis indicates current mid-pointBTCUSD cost basis indicates that potentially the downside target is just over USD 12k, with upside of the range currently around USD 24k.
This analysis's is based on 75% of BTC current supply (being around 80% of 21 million) can be traded and around 20% of that supply is more active than HODL or cold wallet volumes. Whether 60% or 75% numbers are used, the lower support line is still around the USD 12-14k mark.
Realised profits and loss calculations indicate that volume shifted in BTC has been due to storage and not profit/loss realisation and exit out of BTC.
The point being that a potential low is forming, but we are not quite there yet.
Bitcoin and cryptos - time to bail? too late? safe haven?This custom chart that I post periodically continues to have excellent TA.
Right now it's reflecting the volatility from recent crypto events, and less obviously but more importantly, that gold has bottomed.
The spike upwards is showing us where things are headed - bullish for precious metals compared to cryptos.
BTC *may* have found it's bottom (for now, though I see it headed lower still in 2023), regardless gold and especially silver will be bringing this ratio much much higher in the coming weeks, months, and years.
So if you really want to maximize your crypto gains (this is not financial advice), it might be prudent (and for some, counterintuitive) to pull out of crypto (no, it's not "too late") and dip in to something that CANNOT go to zero: precious metals.
But how you ask? There is a platform that does this reliably that I have done my own due diligence around (please do your own DD too), however trading view does not like me to tell you about it here. (Maybe check the comments ;)
Good luck out there everyone!
Is Ethereum forming this one pattern?Is it a triangle or head and shoulders? Or are we going to break bull or bear?
It's too early to tell,. It good to keep an eye on and make trade plans accordingly.
Which one is it going to be?
I reckon a triangle that breaks bull.
Find out on the next episode of dragon ball z
EOS Long in Daily, three targetHi, Here is the our analysis from EOSUSDT, so price hit the bottom at a major support level and bounced back,
so If we draw our next few resistance and at the same time we put FIB retracement we can see have the possibility of the price to hit 0.5.
at three different stage, First 1.15, next 1.30 & then 1.38- to1.40.
LINK AnalysisHello Dear, as we can see in the chart, Link kind of broke the daily down trend line but it's not moving toward upper resistance yet.
instead formed another dynamic downtrend in which is clearly visible in 4h timeframe.
If it breaks that up and give us confirmation, we can go long. otherwise we are short now.
BITCOIN Big move incomingBig move incoming bear or bull
BULLS:
1) Broke out of the downtrendline on the daily going back 5 months!!
2) Need to confirm with volume & followthru, break and stay above 20k
3) Need to break D RSI triangle bull!
4) Tether just printed 1 Billion (not trillion typo in the chart) USDT, historicallly a bull sign
BEARS:
1) Dominant trend is down, likely to continue
2) Need to break down and stay below 18k
BitcoinI know a lot has been going on in the world, but Bitcoin has been showing unusually high volume with usdt pairs as opposed to usd pairing. It can get interesting coming up to this line here with volume and divergence after being mostly sideways since June. Of course, anything is possible here. We could reject and continue down, break this trend and continue sideways, but I like the idea of meeting back up with that 200EMA and see what attention crypto can get while the world is in need of something financially positive.
Let me know what you think.