(TSM) Taiwan Semiconductor Set for a Bullish Surge!Technical Analysis: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade)
We entered a long trade on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) at 204.25 after a clear bullish signal. The trade is currently in progress, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 204.25 – The long position was initiated here following a strong upward signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 195.45 – Positioned below support to manage risk and protect against downside movement.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 215.12 – The first target we are eyeing as the bullish momentum unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 232.71 – A further upside target, marking a significant rally if the momentum continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 250.30 – A potential target if the bullish trend remains strong.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 261.17 – The ultimate target, signaling a substantial upside move.
Trend Analysis
The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upward movement is supported by a solid breakout, and we are now watching for the targets to be met.
The long trade on TSM looks promising, with a clear entry at 204.25. We are now monitoring the price as it approaches the first target at 215.12, expecting further upside momentum.
Taiwanstocks
TSMC’s Revenue Beats Market Expectation Stock up 1% in PremarketTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ), the world’s largest contract chipmaker, has once again surpassed market expectations, reporting third-quarter revenue of NT$759.69 billion ($23.62 billion). This result not only outshines the forecast of NT$750.36 billion but also marks a remarkable 39.6% year-on-year growth for September alone. TSMC's performance continues to be buoyed by increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, with major clients like Nvidia and Apple relying heavily on its advanced chip production. With AI hardware spending playing a pivotal role, the question arises: how long can TSMC sustain this momentum?
AI Demand as a Driving Force
TSMC (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) has been at the forefront of the AI revolution, with demand for cutting-edge chips continuing to rise. As one of the key suppliers for AI hardware, especially for Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) used in AI server farms, TSMC has benefitted immensely from the recent AI boom.
- Revenue Growth: For the third quarter of 2024, TSMC reported an impressive revenue of $23.62 billion, a 36.5% on-year growth compared to the same period in 2023. This growth is largely attributed to the rising global investment in AI infrastructure.
- Customer Base: TSMC’s clientele includes giants such as Apple and Nvidia, both of which are instrumental in the AI market. Apple’s continuous demand for high-performance chips for its devices and Nvidia’s increasing need for AI GPUs have fueled TSMC’s steady revenue stream.
- Pandemic vs. Post-Pandemic Demand: While demand related to the pandemic has tapered off, the surge in AI development has compensated for this decline. TSMC’s ability to pivot its focus toward emerging technologies has helped it maintain a competitive edge.
As governments and companies continue to chase AI supremacy, TSMC’s position as the key chip manufacturer cements its role in this ongoing technological race. However, there are concerns that infrastructure spending on AI may begin to taper off if no immediately monetizable AI use cases emerge. This sure will be an important trend to monitor in the coming quarters.
Technical Outlook: Is TSMC Approaching a Breakout?
From a technical standpoint, NYSE:TSM is showing strong signs of bullish momentum. The stock is currently up 1% in premarket trading as of Wednesday and has gained 72% year-to-date, outperforming the broader market.
As of Tuesday’s close, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TSM sits at 68, suggesting that the stock is approaching overbought territory but hasn’t quite crossed the threshold yet. This indicates that while there’s significant buying momentum, a pullback or consolidation phase could be imminent.
The stock has been trading closely to its moving average for several weeks before breaking out during the first week of October. This upward movement has triggered increased buying interest.
One of the most compelling technical patterns forming on TSM’s daily chart is the "Three White Crows," which is a bullish continuation pattern. This pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candles, each closing higher than the previous day, signaling that the stock could maintain its upward trajectory for a while longer.
Given the RSI nearing overbought levels and the emergence of the "Three White Crows" pattern, (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) may experience continued growth in the short term. However, cautious investors may want to wait for a possible retracement or consolidation before entering a new position.
Outlook and Risks: What Should Investors Watch For?
As TSMC (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) prepares to release its full earnings report on October 17, investors will be closely monitoring the company’s future guidance, especially in relation to AI demand. While current demand remains strong, sustained growth will largely depend on whether large AI players like Meta and Google can continue their current pace of infrastructure spending. Without monetizable use cases, there’s a risk that demand for AI hardware could plateau.
Additionally, geopolitical tensions, particularly between Taiwan and China, could present risks for TSMC. As a key player in the global semiconductor supply chain, any disruption in TSMC’s production capabilities could have far-reaching consequences.
Conclusion
TSMC’s recent performance reaffirms its pivotal role in the global AI hardware ecosystem. With AI demand driving substantial revenue growth, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this trend. However, investors should be mindful of potential risks, including overbought technical indicators and broader market factors that could impact AI hardware spending.
Technically, the "Three White Crows" pattern suggests continued bullish momentum, but with the RSI nearing overbought territory, a cautious approach may be warranted. Long-term investors with faith in the sustained growth of AI and semiconductor demand may view this as an opportune moment to hold or add positions in TSM(NYSE: NYSE:TSM ).
Ultimately, TSMC's future trajectory will hinge on AI developments and how effectively the company navigates emerging challenges. All eyes will be on its full earnings report and guidance later this month.
TSMC To Win More Than $5 Billion in Grants for a US Chip PlantTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( BCBA:TSMC ), the world's largest contract chipmaker, is set to win more than $5 billion in federal grants from the U.S. government for setting up a chipmaking plant in Arizona, Bloomberg News reported on Friday.
The award is yet to be ascertained and it is unclear whether BCBA:TSMC will tap the loans and guarantees also on offer from the 2022 Chips and Science Act, the report said, citing people familiar with the matter.
TSMC, makes chips used in Apple's iPhones, has said it would invest about $40 billion in its Arizona plant, among the largest foreign investments in U.S. history.
The U.S. has been vying to increase domestic semiconductor production through the U.S. CHIPS Act, which was passed in 2022 and provides $52.7 billion in funding, including $39 billion in subsidies for semiconductor production and $11 billion for R&D.
Last month the Biden Administration said it was awarding $1.5 billion to contract chip manufacturer GlobalFoundries under the Act. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo had said in February, the department plans to make several funding awards within two months.
TSMC's advanced manufacturing processes are used in the production of Nvidia's industry leading artificial intelligence chips.
The Taiwanese chipmaker had said in January that demand for advanced packaging was very strong and it couldn't offer enough capacity to support customers, which will continue to next year. Lagging capacity for advanced packaging has been a central bottleneck for the scaling up supply of complex AI chips.
Technical Outlook
Amidst facing a decline in share price by about 1% on Friday's trading session, NYSE:TSM Relative Strength Index of 74.45 poses positive signs of trend reversal coupled with the Grant being awarded to $TSM.
TSMC Surges to Record High on AI OptimismTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ( NYSE:TSM ) has reached unprecedented heights, surging to its highest-ever level amidst a global rally in chip stocks driven by the promise of artificial intelligence (AI). As TSMC's market capitalization approaches $600 billion and its stock price reaches historic milestones, the company emerges as a pivotal player in the technological renaissance reshaping industries worldwide.
Record-Breaking Performance:
TSMC's stock soared by 5.2% to close at NT$725 in Taipei, marking a historic milestone since its listing in 1994. This surge propelled its market capitalization to $597 billion, edging closer to reclaiming a coveted spot among the world's 10 most valuable companies. Against the backdrop of a global chip shortage and burgeoning demand for AI-powered technologies, TSMC's meteoric rise underscores its pivotal role in driving technological innovation and economic growth.
Key Beneficiary of AI Boom:
As the main supplier to tech titans like Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp., TSMC stands at the forefront of the AI revolution, poised to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for advanced semiconductor solutions. With executives anticipating a return to solid growth fueled by the AI boom, TSMC's strategic positioning and technological prowess position it as a key beneficiary of the ongoing technological paradigm shift. Nvidia's recent upbeat results serve as a testament to the robustness of the semiconductor sector and further fuel investor optimism surrounding TSMC's prospects.
Driving Technological Innovation:
TSMC's relentless pursuit of technological innovation and commitment to advancing semiconductor manufacturing capabilities underpin its leadership in the industry. As AI continues to permeate diverse sectors, from autonomous vehicles to healthcare and beyond, TSMC's cutting-edge chip solutions play a pivotal role in enabling transformative AI applications. By leveraging its expertise and infrastructure, TSMC empowers companies worldwide to push the boundaries of AI innovation and unlock new possibilities for the future.
Implications for the Semiconductor Industry:
TSMC's record-breaking performance and pivotal role in the AI ecosystem signal a paradigm shift in the semiconductor industry. As AI emerges as a driving force behind technological innovation and economic growth, semiconductor manufacturers like TSMC play a central role in fueling this transformative journey. With increasing reliance on AI-powered technologies across industries, TSMC's continued success underscores the critical importance of semiconductor innovation in shaping the future of humanity.
Conclusion:
TSMC's unprecedented ascent to historic highs epitomizes the transformative potential of the semiconductor industry in driving technological innovation and economic prosperity. As the world embraces the promise of AI-powered technologies, TSMC stands at the forefront of this revolution, shaping the future of industries and societies worldwide.
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Team solo mid (haha jk) is in a rough spot here. After an impeccable print of $98.87 it shot right past the 200 ema on the hourly chart. TEAM: If you were in at lower levels and raked profit before the slam, CONGRATULATIONS YOU DESERVE TO WIN!
It is not an easy PLAY to execute when opening up certain windows of print gain green.
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She may climb briefly to approximately $93.97 then drip further down.
Overall, feels like a decent short setting up for a bit here for the short term. We'll see. Please remember, entry is critical to print win rate.
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How to Pick the Best Performing Stockmarket 🐉This is our idea from last October on the FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index.
Well , first let's understand why Taiwan is such a great place to live and invest
Also, How Taiwan beats China to be Asia's top-performing economy
The rest is just history, Taiwan is a miracle.
the FXPROFESSOR
TAIEX: Structured long term buy opportunity on Taiwan stocks.The Taiwan stock market is trading on a very standard long term 1M Channel Up which is currently neutral close to its median (RSI = 50.364). We see a very reliable buy signal pattern. Each Golden Cross (MA50 over MA200) has a distance of roughly 950 days from the Death Cross (opposite). The Death Cross comes to signal the end (or approaching) of the cycle's bottom. Based on that sequence we have calculated that to be around the end of July/ August 2019. We will be going long on TAIEX then with TP = 11,100 (1W Resistance).
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TAIEX and China Stocks Both Benefit From US-China Trade DealTAIEX enjoys a positive correlation coefficient with the Shanghai Composite which has strengthened consistently over the past few months. Then if we believe that a trade deal with the US is coming then the TAIEX will surely enjoy some gains as well even especially since TAIEX greatly outperforms Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component. However, TAIEX RSI is well into the overbought territory and let's also not forget TAIEX suffered its worst single day loss (6 percent) since the 2008 financial crisis back in January of 2018. More volatility to come?
The Low Volatility Taiwan Dollar Is Now Less VolatileThe already incredible low volatility of the US dollar to the Taiwan dollar somehow over the past few weeks managed to drop volatility even lower than before. The range trading has tightened further from 30.42 to 31 by a tighter range of 30.65 to 30.94. This is truly incredible, even for the foreign exchange market which has suffered (or enjoyed given your financial position) from extremely low volatility compared to other asset classes such as commodities or equities. The question remains if this volatility can be sustained and if so for how long. Clearly, this pair suffers from low liquidity which can be seen by long tails of the candlesticks indicating short-term volatility. Less clear is the fact that this pair is still manipulated by the central bank. Either way, USDTWD is a fairly stable pair to invest in with foreign exchange risk extremely low, at least for now.
TWSE Off From Technical Overbought HighsWhile RSI and Bull/Bear sentiment have edged away from clear overbought signals, we are continuing to see exponential moving averages assert their authority in suggesting the uptrend will continue. This is the case for the 'ribbon' of EMAs excluding the five day EMA which price action has dropped below. In the short-term I am a bit bullish on Taiwanese equities especially since they tend to outperform other Asian equities when the majority of Asian stocks are in deep red territory. Moreover, Taiwanese equities outperform their Asian peers in differing times of entry point since the 2008 Financial Crisis. However, entry point is extremely important for this and perhaps for a buy and hold strategy prices are a bit too expensive for those types of investors.