TAL Education Group Resilience in the Face of Challenges
TAL Education Group ( NYSE:TAL ), a leading player in the education industry, recently released its Third Quarter 2024 earnings report. The results show a mix of positive and challenging aspects, leaving investors to assess the company's resilience and growth potential in the coming years.
Financial Performance:
TAL Education ( NYSE:TAL ) reported a robust revenue figure of US$373.5 million for Q3 2024, marking a substantial 61% increase from the same period in 2023. The company's net loss also demonstrated improvement, narrowing by 54% to US$23.9 million. While the earnings per share (EPS) showed improvement from the previous year, with a loss per share of US$0.04, it fell short of analyst expectations by a significant 194%.
The revenue outperformance is notable, exceeding analyst estimates by an impressive 13%. However, the substantial gap between the actual and expected EPS raises questions about the company's cost management and operational efficiency.
Future Growth Prospects:
Looking forward, TAL Education Group ( NYSE:TAL ) anticipates an average annual revenue growth of 17% over the next three years. This projection stands out in comparison to the Consumer Services industry's average forecast of 10% growth in the United States. The optimistic growth outlook suggests that TAL Education ( NYSE:TAL ) is positioning itself as a key player in the evolving education landscape.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, TAL Education ( NYSE:TAL ) Group's stock has been on an upward trajectory, with investors displaying increasing optimism. The medium to long-term rising trend channel indicates a positive sentiment among market participants. The recent break of the inverse head and shoulders formation had the stock meeting its objective at 12.74. While the price has experienced a temporary decline, the formation suggests a potential for further upward movement.
The stock is currently approaching a resistance level at $13.00, which could lead to a negative reaction. However, a decisive break above this resistance could serve as a positive signal, potentially attracting more investors to the stock.
Conclusion:
TAL Education Group's latest earnings report paints a picture of a company experiencing both successes and challenges. The impressive revenue growth and narrowed net loss highlight the company's ability to navigate a competitive industry. However, the EPS falling short of expectations raises concerns about the company's profitability and cost management.
Investors should keep a watchful eye on TAL Education Group ( NYSE:TAL ) as it embarks on its journey towards sustained growth. The optimistic revenue projections and positive technical outlook indicate a potential for long-term success. However, potential investors are advised to conduct thorough due diligence, considering both the company's strengths and areas that require improvement, before making investment decisions.
TAL
TAL Education Group (NYSE: $TAL) Pivotal PointsFundamental Analysis
TAL Education Group ( NYSE:TAL ) is a leading provider of after-school tutoring services in China, with a network of over 1,000 learning centers and 10,000 online courses. The company has been on a strong growth trajectory, with revenues increasing by 27.38% year-to-date and earnings per share (EPS) improving by 11.32% in the past three years.
The company also has a high gross margin of 54.62%, indicating its ability to generate profits from its core business.
NYSE:TAL has a bullish technical outlook, as it is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a positive momentum indicator (MACD).
NYSE:TAL has been on a strong uptrend since the beginning of 2023.
TAL - TAL Education Group - Buy timeAccording to the market behaviour, TAL has been rising sharply on the one hour, five hours, daily, and weekly charts. Technical analysis indicates that the next target will $14, and if it crosses that level and closes above successfully, the next target for the market will be $15 & 18.20.
Italian Translation:
Secondo il comportamento del mercato, il TAL è in forte aumento sui grafici di un'ora, cinque ore, giornalieri e settimanali. L'analisi tecnica indica che il prossimo obiettivo sarà 14 dollari e, se supera quel livello e chiude con successo al di sopra, il prossimo obiettivo per il mercato sarà 15 e 18,20 dollari.
German Translation:
Dem Marktverhalten zufolge ist TAL auf den Ein-Stunden-, Fünf-Stunden-, Tages- und Wochen-Charts stark gestiegen. Die technische Analyse deutet darauf hin, dass das nächste Ziel bei 14 US-Dollar liegt. Wenn es dieses Niveau überschreitet und erfolgreich darüber schließt, wird das nächste Ziel für den Markt bei 15 US-Dollar und 18,20 US-Dollar liegen.
Longsetup for TALNYSE:TAL
We realized some unusual call volume in the last days for the chinese stock of TAL. As TAL was performing well in 2022 many investors speculating that the uptrend will continue and there will be a breakout above the last high.
TAL Education is a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector. This group includes 285 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of #15. The Zacks Sector Rank includes 16 different groups and is listed in order from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors.
The Zacks Rank is a successful stock-picking model that emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions. The system highlights a number of different stocks that could be poised to outperform the broader market over the next one to three months. TAL Education is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
Stop Buy: 10.47 $
Sell Stop Loss: 6.50
Sell Profit Target: 15.00
When the stock reaches 13.50 $ you can also move the stoploss to your entry price as a breakeven stop.
$TAL on 1HR Bullish Pennant formation$TAL on 1HR Bullish Pennant forming
I agree, this isn't the best looking bullish pennant but the flag pole is definitely there.
I expect a "slight" pullback for consolidation at open and then proceed towards resistance of $9.75 to test it.
TAL
Support: $8.19
Resistance: $9.75
What are your thoughts?
Comment Below!
Thanks,
Kelly
TAL - Overbought and still worthy of attention.China is expected to focus on online eduction amid the recent Covid shutdown, but it appears the shutdown will not be as stringent as in the first major outbreak. I believe the price action is more likely due to end-of-year transactions by institutions. TAL has a high float and I don't see retail being the main cause for the recent volatility, even the market sentiment is high.
For the Bulls, I would give it time to break 9.63 and then observe the price action. Do NOT chase in this market! If it breaks 9.63, then wait to see new levels of support. Also, check out $YQ.
The fate of private education in SingaporeAs a parent living in fast-paced Singapore, it is relatively a common practice to have private tuition or enrichment programs for your school going kids.
With the recent clampdown in the China education sector, would we see a similar pattern happening in Singapore ?
To be fair, the 3 listed companies are not so much into enrichment programs but more towards academic courses like IT , math and so on.
Would you want to invest in these companies ? DYODD
TAL education - long upon confirmsHello,
Please see for the quick analysis referring to TAL education.
Where the chinese government crack down has shown the removal of assets in a snap of finger, the price has dramatically lost value, with shareholders either holding or realising losses.
The monthly chart below shows an opportunity to purchase - upon confirmation.
Here is the daily opportunity
Be aware - without confirms, price can move against you and all foreign holders can be diminished as china will, may want Chinese investors only.
The view is of a weekly reactive level, but be aware for buyers, foreign stock holders of this chinese company, will experience a transition from Nasdaq at some point to Hong Kong - which a volatile exchange.
So for the buying opportunity, await confirms of rejection between the monthly zone.
Thanks,
XYHLX
TAL Education Dead Cat Bounce ?Think about this perspective: a temporary recovery in share prices after a substantial fall, caused by speculators buying in order to cover their positions. this is the Dead Cat Bounce!
China's crackdown on for-profit education companies was a disaster for traders not using a stop loss.
In the 52 Week Range TAL Education Group went from 90.96 to 4.03usd.
After-school tutoring institutions must transform themselves into "nonprofit organizations".
Jim Cramer (Mad Money) on China's tech crackdown: You can't own Chinese stocks!
ARK Invest dumps Chinese stocks.
It seems dangerous to hold Chinese stocks right now.
US-listed Chinese companies have three years to comply with US accounting oversight, to comply with the rules of accounting and transparency that American public companies must follow, if not they will get delisted.
This looks like the beginning of China`s stock market crash.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about this!
TAL Education Group 🧙Fourth Fiscal Quarter and the Fiscal Year 2021
- Quarterly Results:
Net Revenues up by 58.9% Year-Over-Year for the Fourth Fiscal Quarter
Non-GAAP Loss from Operations was US$216.9 million, compared to Non-GAAP Loss
from Operations of US$8.4 million in the Same Period of Prior Year
Total Student Enrollments of Normal Priced Long-term Course up by 44.0% Year-OverYear
- Fiscal Year Results:
Net Revenues up by 37.3%
Non-GAAP Loss from Operations was US$233.3 million, compared to Non-GAAP
Income from Operations of US$255.4 million in Fiscal Year 2020
Non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$89.0 million, compared to non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL of
US$7.7 million in fiscal year 2020
Quarterly Average Student Enrollments of Normal Priced Long-term Course up by
54.4% Year-Over-Year
(Beijing–April 22, 2021)—TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL) (“TAL” or the “Company”),
a leading K-12 after-school tutoring services provider in China, today announced its
unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and the fiscal year ended February 28, 2021.
Highlights for the Fourth Quarter of Fiscal Year 2021
- Net revenues increased by 58.9% year-over-year to US$1,362.7 million from US$857.7
million in the same period of the prior year.
- Loss from operations was US$297.2 million, compared to loss from operations of
US$41.3 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Non-GAAP loss from operations, which excluded share-based compensation expenses,
was US$216.9 million, compared to non-GAAP loss from operations of US$8.4 million
in the same period of the prior year.
- Net loss attributable to TAL was US$169.0 million, compared to net loss attributable to
TAL of US$90.1 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Non-GAAP net loss attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$88.7 million, compared to non-GAAP net loss attributable to TAL of
US$57.2 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Basic and diluted net loss per American Depositary Share (“ADS”) were both US$0.27.
Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS, which excluded share-based
compensation expenses, were both US$0.14. Three ADSs represent one Class A common
share.
- Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled US$5,937.5 million as of
February 28, 2021, compared to US$2,219.3 million as of February 29, 2020.
- Total student enrollments of normal priced long-term course increased by 44.0% yearover-year to approximately 6,690,950 from approximately 4,646,040 in the same period
of the prior year.
Highlights for the Fiscal Year Ended February 28, 2021
- Net revenues increased by 37.3% year-over-year to US$4,495.8 million from US$3,273.3
million in fiscal year 2020.
- Loss from operations was US$438.2 million, compared to income from operations of
US$137.4 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Non-GAAP loss from operations, which excluded share-based compensation expenses,
was US$233.3 million, compared to non-GAAP income from operations of US$255.4
million in fiscal year 2020.
- Net loss attributable to TAL was US$116.0 million, compared to net loss attributable to
TAL of US$110.2 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$89.0 million, compared to non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL
of US$7.7 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Basic and diluted net loss per ADS were both US$0.19. Non-GAAP basic and diluted net
income per ADS, excluding share-based compensation expenses, were US$0.15 and
US$0.14, respectively.
- Average student enrollments of normal priced long-term course per quarter during fiscal
year 2021 increased by 54.4% year-over-year to approximately 4,669,140 from
approximately 3,023,840 in fiscal year 2020.
- Total physical network increased from 871 learning centers in 70 cities as of February 29,
2020 to 1,098 learning centers in 110 cities as of February 28, 2021.
TAL Education Group 🧙Founded in 2003, TAL Education is one of the leading K-12 after-school tutoring providers in China. The firm offers tutoring services to students from pre-school to the twelfth grade via small classes, one-on-one personalized premium services, and online courses. In fourth quarter fiscal 2021, TAL's small classes account for 53% of its revenue, one-on-one 6%, and Xueersi.com 32%. Its tutoring services cover the core academic subjects in China’s school curriculum, such as Math (K-12), English (K-12), Chinese (K-12), Physics (Grade 8-12), Chemistry (Grade 9-12), and Biology (Grade 10-12). TAL's learning centers currently cover 101 cities in China and a total of 1,098 learning centers. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2021, current normal priced long-term course student enrolment was 6.7 million.
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TAL Education Group 🧙Founded in 2003, TAL Education is one of the leading K-12 after-school tutoring providers in China. The firm offers tutoring services to students from pre-school to the twelfth grade via small classes, one-on-one personalized premium services, and online courses. In fourth quarter fiscal 2021, TAL's small classes account for 53% of its revenue, one-on-one 6%, and Xueersi.com 32%. Its tutoring services cover the core academic subjects in China’s school curriculum, such as Math (K-12), English (K-12), Chinese (K-12), Physics (Grade 8-12), Chemistry (Grade 9-12), and Biology (Grade 10-12). TAL's learning centers currently cover 101 cities in China and a total of 1,098 learning centers. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2021, current normal priced long-term course student enrolment was 6.7 million.
If you want not to miss ideas like this one,🎯 subscribe and press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
TAL uptrend breakout (Fibs and Ascending Triangle)The Upper Orange lines are the 1.272 fib extension levels from previous high
The Upper Yellow lines are the 1.618 fib extension levels from all time highs
The Red lines are the ascending channel trend that the price action has been following during the current uptrend
The projected time frames of price targets are based on the previous time decay from Lows-to Highs-to Lows
The ascending triangle pattern is not charted but the low is $61 and breakout area is located at the indicated buy zones
Ascending triangle pattern = $81-$61= delta of 20
$81+20 = Price target of $101