Did you see this too? The simplicity of identifying tapering!This is the most basic I could do to show you all how simple it can be to identify good trade opportunities. It all starts with building the story and from there... well you've got the keys to the kingdom!
For those who don't like that I'm doing this after the fact - please see all of my other videos which identify these trade opportunities (like this one) before they happen.
Hope this was helpful!
Happy Trading :)
Tapering
Ethereum Analysis and Trading PlanCrypto Series:
Part 1: Ethereum
I'm looking at a few short term trade opportunities and they all lead to the ultimate higher time frame breakout which is clearly defined and proven to be the proof of and breakout of our White/Pinkish tapered selling algorithm.
HTF Progression:
We've seen the progression happen in the passed as a HTF liquidity build in preparation for a HTF breakout. We begin with a low and a high of a breakout - from there we have created the white/pink HTF bounds to our "bull flag" or what I call controlled selling/Liquidity building. We then utilize a strong selling algorithm such as orange here to take us from top to bottom of this tapered white bull flag. Our ultimate goal as bulls is to prove that white is in control and that this selling is in fact controlled and only happening in order to build more liquidity for a further move up. Once we prove white and build all that liquidity which includes the left shoulder of the HTF head and shoulders being create, we use all that liquidity built up within it as a propellant for the breakout of white and move to all time highs.
LTF Trade Opportunities:
If we then want to break down the HTF move into LTF trades, we can dissect the algorithms even further to identify LTF tapering. In this chart we see that first proof of tapering when the blue algorithm takes control of price from the orange stronger selling one. This is our first indication that we can break out of orange and begin our way up towards white resistance (and proof of it). From blue we then look for white to show signs on the LTF of being in control of price. Once that happens (which is happening now) , we can attempt the HTF orange and look to break out.
In this case, we know we're at a strong level as the 50% retracement (which last breakout was our low point as well), so with the sell-side support at this level and the proof of buy-side tapering as well (in a controlled selling white), we are given good indication that we can see a LTF breakout toward a HTF algorithm.
Confirmations:
Our HTF earliest confirmation of an attempt and break of white is when we see our strong buying yellow algorithm start to hold activate and guide price. As we can see from last time, this is proven right before we make our ultimate break.
So the progression that we saw last breakout, from Orange --> Blue --> White --> Yellow buying is what we're looking to see happen now. We've gotten through steps one, two, and three, by proving sell-side tapering - we are now looking for Step 4 of a buying continuation to happen.
Hope this was helpful and for further analysis and a video breakdown of this chart, see the video I posted 20 minutes ago on my page.
Happy Trading :)
RIG - Good opportunity post-earnings drop with very tight stop We are seeing clear sell-side tapering with the orange algo and purple showing it's control. We are now retesting the breakout of strong selling magenta and coinciding with green buying continuation.
This could be a very good opportunity knowing that if we don't hold green, we're out. However with a retest of magenta and a proven buying continuation lining up, I will definitely enter a position if the opportunity presents itself.
Hope to be back more consistently in a week or two when I'm back in the states.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
RBLX - Updated analysis to my Pick of the Month!I put out analysis on this trade on Friday and am still a believer in this stock longer term! Good signs on Friday off of a yellow pickup and looking to retest that more tapered blue selling algorithm before a continued activation by yellow and breakout toward the top of this daily IH&S.
Stay tuned, Happy Monday, and...
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
MSFT - We nailed this short analysis, Don't sleep on the taper!!In my video yesterday I explained that proof of tapering from our purple HTF buying continuation to an even more tapered blue will lead to a liquidity build and a need to activate a stronger buying algo below. If taken correctly this turned out to be a 15 R:R trade.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
MSFT - Updated Analysis as we see further tapering rejectionsWe are seeing rejection from a very tapered blue buying continuation after last week's rejection of purple. We are holding magenta stronger buying continuation so we will need to see this fail in order to get into a further downside trade - however, with additional proof of rejection from blue tapered, we can get in an early short position to at least magenta to see if we're picked up there.
Either way, plenty of opportunity here on MSFT in the coming days and weeks.
Happy Trading :)
MSFT - Great opportunity to short IF we fail this activationWe need to see yellow strong buying hold us to attempt another breakout of tapering up top. If we fail yellow, our next stop is magenta support which will be important for bullish price action to continue.
We will likely see this happen today - and if we do hold yellow and reject at tapered blue above, I will be taking shorts and expecting a gap down below yellow as we've seen in the past.
Happy Trading :)
GOOGL - Weekly chart tells us a lot. Tapering being provenWe may be transferring control from our strong buying magenta to our tapered green continuation - and that means one thing - More liquidity needs to be built.
If we do see this rejection off green (proving it's in control) we will look for a controlled selling back to try and get picked up by our magenta stronger buying.
See you all live at 9:30 AM!
Happy Trading :)
QQQ Bearish Scenario - 422 Short Term TargetThe price action momentum over the last month or so in the QQQ has begun to slow down.
Price within the main black bull channel seems to have shifted into a more shallow (blue) bull channel, which is a sign of slowing momentum.
This shift into the blue channel gives better chances that the bears could take control if the black channel is lost by the bulls.
A bearish scenario i will be watching is if they break below the 435 area, price will likely be breaking down from both the main black bull channel, and the blue tapering channel.
With this setup, overall i would like to see some sort of right shoulder to form to build liquidity to take it lower.
The next (blue tapering) lower channel line should be around 431, and another pause and right shoulder there would be good to see.
If they can break the 2nd tapering channel line at 431, they should have room to about 422 area, to test the recent gap and pivot, which was the day of NVDA's earnings.
PDD - Our patience paid off! Our "lines" tell us everythingWe finally got the breakout we were waiting for on PDD and the makers set us up perfectly for a post-earnings gap up.
Happy for everyone who followed along our analysis and held strong on this one. Or maybe even added on the dip like I did.
We can expect some resistance at top of yellow here before a retest of white tapered selling and then an attempt to breakout of orange tapering again. See you all there!
Happy Trading :)
MSFT - Analysis after strong rejection off a tapered channelIf you understand what I see, this will make a lot of sense to you.
We are simply... Tapering. From strong buying magenta continuation, you can see signs of purple more tapered buying continuation starting to pick up and hold price. This means that we will taper in purple until we activate a stronger buying continuation to then break out of purple. If not, magenta will be no longer (for the time being).
That will be all for my analysis this morning. Will keep you updated as price develops on all of these!
Goodluck in the market today and...
Happy Trading :)
AAPL - Updated Analysis - Important PA ApproachingWe would love to see yellow strong buying continue to guide price out of our selling algos.
First step is a breakout of strong selling purple and then we expect a fight to occur between strong yellow and more tapered blue. Soon enough if blue or yellow holds price (bullish buying continuation) we will see a retest of our teal selling algo and that will be our first sign of a true bullish reversal.
Will keep you all updated as price continues to develop!
Happy Trading :)
META - Updated analysis after nailing our 20 point shortIf you caught the move down utilizing my last video, bravo. We knew what to look out for and why we were expecting that move.
Moving forward, we do have a bullish bias considering the strong recovery off of yellow support however we are going to need green and blue tapered selling to continue to build liquidity for a larger breakout. We can see massive liquidity built in our left shoulder for a potential grab of liquidity and confirmation of an inverse H&S.
For immediate price action, we do need to see our orange strong buying continue to carry price - and if magenta more tapered is what is holding us up, we do expect a retest of the bottom of our green and blue tapered selling algos. This, although short term would be bearish, would be great for bulls to utilize for a larger breakout upward.
Keep an eye out for those levels to act as support and reactivate our strong orange buying.
Happy Trading :)
GOOGL - Weekly analysis after the bullish AI newsWe gapped up heavily and are showing bullish signs after announcement of the potential partnership with AAPL and Google's Gemini.
Keep an eye out for a retest of teal - however I would not take this to ATH without being weary of the tapered continuation channels we have in the way (yellow and green) as well as our tapered purple selling channel which is being used to build liquidity.
Will update analysis as price develops!
Happy Trading :)
Using Intra-day algorithms for trade entries. 43 R:R Trade!As of writing this (about 10 minute after recording this video) we did rebound perfectly off our level and are 3 points up ($900). If we were to close the trade now it would be a succesful 10 R:R trade. But we have daily algorithms for a reason.
I'll share updates on how the trade is going below on this post!
Hope this was helpful!! It's truly incredible how you can "Catch bottoms" and have such a tight stop loss utilizing both intra-day and daily algorithms.
Happy Trading all!
DIS - Familiar Price Action presenting itself. Watch for thisWe know from the past what to look out for and what algorithms and channels we need to activate in order to break out of our less-strong buying continuation channels.
Yellow (with purple as support) is our key algorithm to breaking out of green - yet, once we see tapering on green and especially our red controlled buying presenting itself, we are prepared to make some money on the move down to at least find support at green.
Hope this was helpful - sorry I am a bit tired but wanted to get this one out to you before we open tomorrow in case we get some important signs during the market.
Have a great night and
Happy Trading!
PDD - Daily analysis - Opportunity to prove tapering approachingThis could be the sign that bulls have been waiting for. To prove tapering on the daily and activate a strong buying algo to make a move to breakout of our selling algos.
Keep an eye out for this - we will look for the white tapering on the daily to line up with our pruple tapering algo on the 1 HR.
Happy Trading :)
META - Understanding recent PA! Special edition for the haters..Hope this was helpful for those who are interested in learning!
Again, I can't emphasize enough - you're charts don't HAVE to have all these "lines" in order to succeed. I see the market this way without all the chaos. But it is helpful to understanding PA and why price is moving where it is and what kind of strength of buying we need to see in order to have real continuation. If you understand, you understand. If you don't, keep coming back and you will!
And as always I'm always here to answer questions and give further explanation for those who want it. It took me years of practice and studying to learn this and get to the point of consistency and success.
See you all in the market and
Happy Trading :)
AAPL - LIVE BLASTOFF!!! We were prepared for this move!!We were preparing for this move all day in my livestream and were back and forth shaking out sellers at this very strong level.
I ended the livestream earlier but thought I'd catch the move live for all the members who were with us waiting for the take off to happen. Here it is! Hope for those who were in my last stream got to enjoy some nice profits from this move!!
Happy Trading :)
A further breakdown of how I read the market and all the "lines"Key words to understand:
- Tapering
- Liquidity
- Tapering
- Tapering
It's important to understand how liquidity plays a role in moving price and what it actually means. In order for price to make a solid move anywhere, there has to be liquidity built up for price to grab (use) to break out of strong resistance levels (i.e. levels with lots of sellers ready to short when price gets there).
Tapering is a way of seeing a lack of liquidity by a certain side - if we begin tapering from a strong buying channel to a less strong buying channel, it typically means we are lacking liquidity to break out of that strong selling level (i.e. the top of a more tapered channel acts as a level of resistance because the more tapered it is (or the more horizontal it is), the more it lines up for all sellers to get in at the same price win the battle.
This all makes so much sense to me and it is the key for you to unlock the market . To be able to tell a story in every chart and understand who is in charge, why there in charge, and what each side has to do in order to win their next battle.
Please reach out with any questions, comments, etc. I am here for you !
Happy Trading :)