MKR/USDT 1D chart - accumulationHello everyone, let's look at the 1D MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a channel where it is currently struggling to choose the direction of further movement.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $1,533
T2 = $1,703
Т3 = 1997$
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $1,301
SL2 = $1150
SL3 = $1008
When we look at the RSI indicator and the MACD indicator, we can see that we are moving at the bottom of the range, which may indicate an upcoming trend change, in this situation, after such accumulation, we should see price increases again.
Targets
$ETHUSD Head and Shoulders UpdateThis chart of Ethereum (ETH/USD) on the 12-hour timeframe presents several key technical analysis insights that suggest a potential bullish trend. Notably, an inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern is visible, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder clearly defined. This formation typically signals a bullish reversal when confirmed. The head represents a significant lower low compared to the shoulders, while the right shoulder aligns symmetrically with the left, indicating recovery behavior.
The volume profile on the right side of the chart reveals significant trading activity between $3,000 and $3,500, forming a high-volume node. Above $3,700, there are volume gaps that could result in rapid price movements if the price breaks out upward. Resistance at $3,700 aligns with the top of a wedge pattern, while a larger breakout target zone is identified between $6,000 and $7,000, suggesting significant upward potential if the bullish momentum persists.
Several break-of-structure (BOS) levels are marked on the chart, which highlight pivotal price action shifts. These levels serve as dynamic support and resistance points. A descending trendline, in place since November, has recently been broken, aligning with the inverse H&S pattern to reinforce the bullish outlook. The Stochastic Oscillator at the bottom of the chart shows a clear downtrend in momentum over a 72-hour and 4-hour window, but bullish divergence is forming. While momentum continues to make lower lows, the price action is showing higher lows, indicating a potential upward breakout in the near term.
Finally, support zones are evident around $2,400–$2,700, based on historical lows and high-volume trading activity. If the bullish momentum weakens, these areas could provide a safety net for price action. However, with the current alignment of bullish patterns, the focus remains on breaking the $3,700 resistance level, which could open the door to significant upward movement toward the $6,000–$7,000 target.
LONG GBP/GPY!Here is my current idea on GBP JPY for this week/month.
Price has already bounced off the .618 level and unless I see new market structure being formed on the MTF (4HR etc) i will continue to believe price will reach the .705 fib level.
If not I will update the chart and find a long position.
As seen from the chart, I have 3 targets in place for this bullish idea, and I will need to see a close above 194.2 to validate it.
Inflation rate news also coming on the 15th which could explain the bleeding of all GBP pairs last week and we are already near 'priced in' levels. But I will be cautious and leave an update on my thought process when it happens.
Thanks if you took the time to read and good luck.
DOT/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local uptrend channel where the price is moving at its lower boundary.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $7
T2 = $7.35
T3 = $7.92
T4 = $8.86
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $6.47
SL2 = $6.24
SL3 = $5.86
SL4 = $5.58
Looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that we are moving along the lower boundary, which may indicate an upcoming upward movement in price.
LTC/USDT 12H chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 12h LTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local upward trend channel where the price has bounced off the lower border of the channel.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $105
T2 = $110
T3 = $117
T4 = $128
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $102
SL2 = $94
SL3 = $86
SL4 = $80
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local downtrend channel where the price bounced from the upper border of the channel and quickly started to recover.
Let's now start by defining a stop-loss in case of further declines in the market and you can see how the price rebounded from the first support at the level:
SL1 = $94285
SL2 = $92209
SL3 = $89,541
SL4 = $85,924
Let's now move on to defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $97131
T2 = $100036
T3 = $103179
T4 = $105491
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that there is still room to continue the recovery, and such a situation could bring the price to around $89,000.
What goals for ZEUS?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ZEUS to USDT chart, as we can see the price is moving in a local uptrend channel, where there is still potential for growth. However, here it is worth looking at the RSI indicator, which clearly indicates the crossing of the upper limit and the level at which the price usually reacted with a correction, which may indicate a potential change in the direction of the movement.
In such a situation, it is worth starting by setting a stop-loss in case the market decides to go into a downtrend:
SL1 = 0.904 USD
SL2 = 0.839 USD
SL3 = 0.733 USD
SL4 = 0.661 USD
SL5 = 0.571 USD
However, if the market decides to go further up in such a situation, we have clear goals for the near future, which the price must face:
T1 = 1.016 USD
T2 = 1.141 USD
T3 = 1.274 USD
T4 = 1.499 USD
BNB-USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has moved sideways from the uptrend line, and what's more, we can see how the price is staying on the local downtrend line.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $714
T2 = $730
T3 = $743
T4 = $756
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $703
SL2 = $686
SL3 = $672
SL4 = $658
SL5 = $638
CAKE-USDT 4h chart ?Hello everyone, let's look at the 4H CAKE to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local upward trend channel, we are again heading towards the upper border of the channel, which with a slight rebound may result in an attempt to exit the current channel at the top.
In such a situation, it is worth moving on to defining goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $2,698
T2 = $2,765
T3 = $2,964
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $2,622
SL2 = $2.56
SL3 = $2,453
SL4 = $2,281
LINK/USDT 1D chart review Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D LINK to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the local downward trend channel which we are currently fighting to go up.
Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $22.29
T2 = $23.98
T3 = $26.65
T4 = $28.54
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $19.65
SL2 = $16.58
SL3 = $14.54
SL4 = $12.73
BTC/USDT 4H Chart ReviewHi everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart, looking at the 4h time frame, we can see that the price is moving in a triangle where we are getting close to the exit and taking the direction of further movement.
In the short term, we can start by defining potential SLs in a situation where the price continues to correct:
SL1 = 94431 USD
SL2 = 92902 USD
SL3 = 91260 USD
SL4 = 88598 USD
However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts to gain strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = 96526 USD
T2 = 98225 USD
T3 = 99528 USD
T4 = 101113 USD
When we look at the additional indicators, we can see how the CHOP indicator and the RSI indicator are around the middle of the range, which indicates a possible movement in both directions, but here we also have the STOCH indicator, which shows an upward movement below the middle of the range, which in the short term may raise the price a bit more.
SOL/USDT 1W Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W SOL to USDT chart, looking at the large time frame, we can see how the price is moving in the uptrend channel in which we currently have a visible correction approaching the lower part of the channel.
Seeing the current correction, which most likely held on support at our first stoplos, we will designate the locations of the next potential SLs:
SL1 = 184 USD
SL2 = 166 USD
SL3 = 143 USD
SL4 = 117 USD
However, if the price changes direction and the visible green candle starts gaining strength, it is worth moving on to setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = 211 USD
T2 = 234 USD
T3 = 253 USD
T4 = 271 USD
COTI/USDT 1W chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W COTI to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price was moving in a downtrend channel from which the upper one dynamically emerged, but now we have returned to the upper border of the channel which keeps the price from moving further.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement mesh, resistance can be seen at the following levels:
T1 = $0.137
T2 = $0.158
T3 = $0.173
T4 = $0.196
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $0.111
SL2 = $0.088
SL3 = $0.07
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
as it returned to the middle of the range where the upward trend had previously reversed.
#GOLD XAUUSD SELL MORE?🌐The Fed cut interest rates by another quarter point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% early this morning and announced it would continue to shrink its balance sheet. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted to keep rates unchanged.
After confirming the Fed had delivered a 25 basis point cut, markets immediately turned to see how the central bank’s view on future rate cuts has changed. Unsurprisingly, the Fed is expected to be more cautious in 2025 than President Trump had predicted before the election. The Fed is expected to cut by 50 basis points, while raising its inflation outlook
Potentially a good time to switch from BTC to ETH.Hi all, let's look at the 1W ETH to BTC chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving below the downtrend lines, in this situation we have several such lines which also indicate strong resistance places for the price in a given move.
Currently, a correction is visible, but as the trend reverses, resistance levels are visible at the following levels:
T1 = 0.04504btc around 21.5%
T2 = 0.05346btc around 44%
T3 = 0.06004btc around 61.5%
T4 = 0.06652btc around 79%
T5 = 0.07623btc around 105%
Now let's move on to stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 0.03166btc
SL2 = 0.02213btc
SL3 = 0.01612btc
On the RSI indicator, we have a visible movement at the lower end of the range, which could potentially indicate an upcoming increase, here it is worth watching the trend line under which we are moving, because the moment of approaching it gives a renewed price recovery.
MKR/USDT what’s next?Hello everyone, let's look at the 8h MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price broke out of the upward trend line and the attempt to return above it turned out to be unsuccessful. A downward trend line is visible locally and the price remains below it. Currently, a correction is visible, but when the trend reverses, resistance levels are visible at the following levels:
T1 = $1955
T2 = $2,172
T3 = $2,487
T4 = $2723
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $1591
SL2 = $1,369
SL3 = $1118
SOL/USDT Targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 8H SOL to USDT chart, in this situation we see the price moving in the local downtrend channel.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $225
T2 = $232.7
T3 = $238.
T4 = $244.75
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $217.82
SL2 = $207.61
SL3 = $199.95
SL4 = $190.45
SAND/USD Fibonacci TargetsThe current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets.
Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target
Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts
Green: Buy or rebounce expected
Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level
Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib
Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
AVAX/USD Fibonacci targets Avax has to hold the blue level to retest the previous local high. Breaking it will set us flying towards the red targets .
The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets.
Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target
Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts
Green: Buy or rebounce expected
Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level
Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib
Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
Link/USD Fibonacci targetsLink does look ok, but not as good as many other coins.
If we hold the blue level, we will pump towards the next bullish targets. Breaking it will mean a dump to the green levels.
The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets.
Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target
Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts
Green: Buy or rebounce expected
Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level
Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib
Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets
Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move.
Background
Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader.
Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them.
To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value.
Definitions
Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement.
When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection.
For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea..
Data
Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change.
As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data.
Retracement Tool
In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup.
From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation.
For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action.
Projection Tool
When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time.
In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move.
Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common.
Application
The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move.
There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective.
Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings.
The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves.
In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections.
This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere.
Example Use
1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move.
2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing.
The first two points define the swing move.
The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move.
3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.