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#GOLD XAUUSD SELL MORE?🌐The Fed cut interest rates by another quarter point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% early this morning and announced it would continue to shrink its balance sheet. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted to keep rates unchanged. After confirming the Fed had delivered a 25 basis point cut, markets immediately turned to see how the central bank’s view on future rate cuts has changed. Unsurprisingly, the Fed is expected to be more cautious in 2025 than President Trump had predicted before the election. The Fed is expected to cut by 50 basis points, while raising its inflation outlook
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeAdvisory
Potentially a good time to switch from BTC to ETH.Hi all, let's look at the 1W ETH to BTC chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving below the downtrend lines, in this situation we have several such lines which also indicate strong resistance places for the price in a given move. Currently, a correction is visible, but as the trend reverses, resistance levels are visible at the following levels: T1 = 0.04504btc around 21.5% T2 = 0.05346btc around 44% T3 = 0.06004btc around 61.5% T4 = 0.06652btc around 79% T5 = 0.07623btc around 105% Now let's move on to stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 0.03166btc SL2 = 0.02213btc SL3 = 0.01612btc On the RSI indicator, we have a visible movement at the lower end of the range, which could potentially indicate an upcoming increase, here it is worth watching the trend line under which we are moving, because the moment of approaching it gives a renewed price recovery.
by cryptodailyuk
MKR/USDT what’s next?Hello everyone, let's look at the 8h MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price broke out of the upward trend line and the attempt to return above it turned out to be unsuccessful. A downward trend line is visible locally and the price remains below it. Currently, a correction is visible, but when the trend reverses, resistance levels are visible at the following levels: T1 = $1955 T2 = $2,172 T3 = $2,487 T4 = $2723 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $1591 SL2 = $1,369 SL3 = $1118
by cryptodailyuk
AVAX/USD Fibonacci targets Avax has to hold the blue level to retest the previous local high. Breaking it will set us flying towards the red targets . The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by DCCryptoacademy
Link/USD Fibonacci targetsLink does look ok, but not as good as many other coins. If we hold the blue level, we will pump towards the next bullish targets. Breaking it will mean a dump to the green levels. The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
BINANCE:LINKUSD
by DCCryptoacademy
1
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Trader-Shah
12
Will Kasia stay in the support zone?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the Kaspa chart in USDT pair, taking into account the time frame of one day. you can see here how the price has returned to the very important support zone from $0.177 to $0.0931, this is a very important zone because it is the last place of support before a strong price drop. You can see here how the price is struggling to maintain the level in the triangle, from which we can see candles that are trying to pay off the triangle with the bottom, then the last support line is visible. Looking the other way, when the price starts to rise again, first of all you can see the resistance at the level of $0.144, then the level at the price of $0.168 will be important, and then the very important resistance at the price of $0.208, which previously turned out to be the price peak.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 4h review chartHello everyone, let's look at the current ETH to USDT situation considering the four-hour time frame. In this situation, we can see how the price defends itself from falling to the local upward trend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = $2,560 T2 = $2,628 T3 = $2734 T4 = $2,814 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $2,496 SL2 = $2,441 SL3 = $2,353 SL4 = $2,279 Looking at the RSI indicator on a 4-hour interval, we have touched the bottom of the range, which may indicate a temporary end of the correction, which confirms a quick price rebound.
by cryptodailyuk
BNB/USDT 4h chart review Hello everyone, let's look at the current situation of BNB in ​​the USDT pair considering the four-hour interval. In this situation, we can see how the price, despite the rebound, remains above the local upward trend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = $613 T2 = $626 T3 = $652 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $592 SL2 = $579 SL3 = $559 SL4 = $545 Looking at the RSI indicator, the recovery resulted in a significant move on the indicator, but there is still room for a larger decline.
by cryptodailyuk
SPX Key $ Levels | 70%+ Accuracy! | WednesdayNew price targets for Sep 25 using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy. Topics: - Today's Targets Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of TradingView indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them. Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself. Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve. Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade. Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Long
by DIY_Trades
SPX Key $ Levels | 70%+ Accuracy!New price targets for Sep 24 using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy. Topics: - Today's Targets Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of TradingView indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them. Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself. Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve. Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade. Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Short
by DIY_Trades
Ethereum Resistance Starts At $2800Ethereum flashed green on my indicator system on the 9th of September. I don't see much resistance until we move into that $2800 area. Our first resistance area will be that block of sell side pressure which coincides with the 350 DMA. Above that we have the top of our channel which coincides with an area of higher volume according to the VRVP. This is where I will begin watching closely for my indicator system to flash red. Of course, we could always break the top of our channel and continue up. The bulls will have shown a lot of strength to do so. I will try to keep you posted as Ethereum tends to lead much of our altcoin space.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by stewdamus
MKR/USDT 1WHello everyone, let's look at the 1W MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see that the price has returned to the downtrend, but we are still above the main uptrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: T 1 = $2,183 T 2= $2,548 T 3 = $3,121 AND T 4= $3,554 Looking the other way, there is very strong support at $1,277, but if it is broken, the price drop may be much greater. Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that it is at a very low level, which may result in a change in the direction of movement in the coming weeks.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Preparing For A Potential Double-Top HereTraders, As you all know, the SPY has been moving EXACTLY as anticipated by me the last two years. And that worries me. Don't get me wrong, I have thoroughly enjoy the profits that have come with getting it right, but what we have to be careful about when doing so well is over-confidence. Because if we don't take a couple of steps back and say to ourselves, "I could get it wrong this time", then we could likely get it wrong. The market loves to humble cocky traders. And that is why I have sold half of my longs once again ...just in case I could be wrong. So, you can all read my previous posts and calls on the SPY, but for new readers, let me just catch you up with a brief summary to give you some context. About 2 years ago, after the market had dropped and many investors thought it would continue down, I came under the persuasion that it would soon reverse. Though, I am a rookie when it comes to Elliot Wave, I had noticed some other contrarian traders and chartists had begun to explain from a fundamental basis why it would move up soon. These same investors began plotting a likely blow-off top scenario based on fundamentals, market psychology, and Elliot Wave theory. It made sense to me but I was hesitant to go full in based on this information alone. I began reading more about market fundamentals and psychology and learned that most of what I read actually supported the idea of a blow-off top. Then I spotted another pattern on the daily chart (an inverse head and shoulders pattern) which strengthened the theory even more. This pattern gave me my SPY target of 570. You can still see that Previous Target outlined here on my chart. We nearly reached that target. Missed it by a few dollars. It was there that I sold half. And right on time. The Japanese carry trade flash crashed the markets and down we went. As we were nearing the 200 DMA, I spotted a new bullish pattern on the weekly chart. This was a Cup and Handle. I bought back in near the bottom recognizing that this blow-off top was probably not at an end ...yet. Fast forward to today. We are once again nearing my Previous Target of SPY 570 and though we could move even higher (and I honestly believe we will), I want to prepare for a scenario where I could be wrong. You can see from the chart here that we may also be forming a bearish double-top or M-Pattern. If this is the case, it is wise for me to prepare for another drop soon. Thus, I have once again, sold half. Should the M-Pattern play out, I will likely buy back in around the 200 DMA (wherever this happens to be at the time) because I still believe that Cup and Handle pattern on the 2-week chart will play out and that the blow-off top will not end until we reach 650-700 on the SPY. Obviously, this forcast could change based upon significant geo-political/global events. But for now, this is how I see it going. Scenario 2: If we do not drop and that M-Pattern becomes invalidated. I will also buy back in should we exceed my previous target on the chart. In either case, updates will follow.
AMEX:SPY
by stewdamus
Will The SPY Hit 650-700?Just an update on progress in the markets. The dollar has hit my support level already. Because of the quick drop, I expect it to continue to drop even further, though we may get a bit of a bounce first. The Vix is back down and inside of our long-standing sideways channel. And gold has hit its target to the upside. Plus we'll talk about where the SPY (and U.S. Stock market) is going. That section of the video begins around 07:30 if you want to skip right to the title content of the video. And towards the end of the video, we'll of course discuss where I think Bitcoin is still going before the end of the year and also, where I think it will end up by the end of next year. These are longer-term targets but they are not solely predicated upon technical analysis. Though the technicals do help support my claims, there is also some fundamental rationale for why I believe the markets remain so volatile, but overall, they will continue their journey upwards.
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus