Targets
EOS/BTC going exactly like planned EOS/BTC went exactly like planned in the last post on EOS/BTC.
Resistance has never broken, therefore the bullish targets were never activated and we dumped to each important area mentioned in the previous post.
Right now we are about to hit my original long entry level.
If that holds, expect a big move up, however stopp losses can be adjusted (higher risk) to the second green square below or you can add long positions there.
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TRX/BTC, big long or short opportunity TRX/BTC is currently sitting in a very important zone.
Depending on if 222sat or 240sat break first will decide in which direction we will be moving.
Now, how to trade this:
If 240 breaks: Go long, targets are lines of the red boxes.
If 222 breaks: Go short, targets are the lines of the green boxes.
Remember: At those levels a bounce/correction is expected, that's where you can switch your positions.
What can you do if you are long/short now?
Adjust stopp loss a little above/below those important levels, that should be enough, however, this is no financial advice!
BTT is getting more attention and a possible boom!BTT is getting more attention and a possible boom!
I have been following the BTT price movement for almost 6 months, here is part of my analysis in favor of a bullish move for BitTorrent.
As you can see BTT was independent of bitcoin moves and just recently shows a significant correlation (shaded area). This could mean that BTT is getting more attention from the traders in the crypto market and starting to sync its price moves with bitcoin. But this sync happened recently and because of its independent moves in the past, it seems that it might finish its correction before bitcoin.
BTT entered its corrective waves on May 27 while BTC did start its correction a month later on June 26. BTT has met its fib levels for the correction and it seems that it also completed a 5-3-5 zigzag correction pattern. On the other hand, bitcoin first wave had 3 sub-waves and this pushes bitcoin to complete a flat correction or a double three. the second wave in the bitcoin correction had 0.78 retracements which do not qualify the correction to be a flat correction. Wave B in flats usually retraces more than 90% and even more than 100%. Given that bitcoin failed to retest its last high at ~14000 suggests that bitcoin continued its correction as a double three and signaled a more bearish correction. The last 5-wave move downward in bitcoin could be a wave A of an ABC.
Looking at daily RSI for both coins indicates a bearish RSI divergence for bitcoin and a neutral or even slightly bullish RSI divergence for BTT. Just recently BTT formed a bullish RSI divergence in 30 min time frame while bitcoin failed to form a bullish divergence. Both coins are facing supports and resistants from moving averages right now.
Given all the information, it seems that BTT will start a bullish rally while bitcoin completes its downward corrective move toward 0.5 or 0.618 retracement levels and end its correction around 7000 - 8500.
What would this mean for BTTBTC?
BTTBTC will moon as a result and looking at the BTTBTC chart it shows that it just tested its 9 sat for the 3rd time and it held the support. BTTBTC did go to 8 sat which as a result a bullish RSI divergence was formed on the daily time frame. BTTBTC being around 9-10 sat its bullish moves will put it in the top of the green altcoin list and it might even attract more attention.
This analysis is focused on a bullish scenario and I would enjoy receiving counter-arguments from you guys.
XBTUSD 4H chart (7/23/2019)Good morning, traders. Yesterday I warned about initiating a position at the EQ of the local TR as it was unclear whether price was headed up or down. Price ended up heading down as we can see. I mentioned that, if price dropped, I would be looking for it to bounce out of the blue demand zone or, if strong volume came in with the supply, then I would be watching for a bounce at the S1 pivot. So far, price is in the blue demand zone, so we should be watching to see if it bounces from this area since volume, so far, hasn't been significant at all.
The previous 4H candle again shows you why dojis are merely pauses and not necessarily reversals. Dojis during a trend require the next candle to confirm continuation or reversal. Traders should be watching this candle for a large lower wick which would be bullish and would also print tweezer bottoms suggesting a reversal incoming. Currently, price has almost touched the 61.8% retracement of the most recent bounce. A touch of the S1 pivot would have price just beyond the 78.6% retracement. I have outlined a possible descending red wedge, however until price actually bounces off the wedge support and targets wedge resistance, it could still fall below it. RSI has almost reached oversold again but Stoch RSI is oversold and nearing bottoming out. The 4H volume has not been significant though it did rise through yesterday morning. Today we see the volume spikes near that same level but the candle spreads are much smaller which tells us demand is showing up at these lower levels. The question is, will there be enough to reverse price direction from this point?
The 1H RSI is printing bullish divergence at this time but we need to see price continuing higher to confirm it. The RSI resistance has been noted on the different TFs and should be watched. 1H volume has increased noticeably over the previous period but the candle spread remains small, again telling us that demand is attempting to overcome supply. Stoch RSI is nearing a possible bearish cross. The M30 RSI is printed bullish divergence and is currently attempting to confirm it as it nears a break of its resistance. While Stoch RSI is much higher on this shorter TF, it is curling up for a possible bullish cross.
My targets remain the green and orange boxes for now. With a clear ABC completion on the daily, we must now follow price action to see if that is the end of the correction or if we have a combo which will ultimately see price heading toward the mid-$8000s. However, we should generally expect price to target that ~$12000 level before doing so. The 3D chart shows multiple hidden bullish divergence following each other and RSI is retesting resistance as support. Stoch RSI on this large TF bounced in overbought and recently crossed bullishly. Price remains supported by the pivot.
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Symmetrical Wedge Pattern in BTC forming Predicting BTC will continue to move in wedge, flag, and pennant patterns by forming this giant symmetrical wedge. breakout of wedge either direction with volume and it should fly to retest the .618 retracement of all time high to recent low around 13400. Funny the timing of all this lines up perfectly with Iran, Facebook, the Fed, the uncertainty of money. Bullish bias but the lack of volume is pretty insane compared to what is happening in the crypto bubble. Don't worry, Facebook will be introducing it to billions in January, months before the halving. Earlier at bottom of the wedge volume came in out of nowhere to prop it up. Retesting here very soon.
new to annotating and goofed up thinking it saved snapshot. oh well here is my future doodle! makes alot of sense though. retest .618 and fail hard down to 9800 then wedge and climb to 16k then honor mirror of symmetrical wedge which takes it to key levels. was trying to stretch it out till it is testing all time high in december. 12500, 13400 (.618), 9800 fake out while setting up the timing for an end of the year rally into FB Libra 2020. By early 2020 100k price target.
LTC Long with Tragets and Invalidation-LevelIt's quite self explaining.
I'm looking for a long or short at breakout/breakdown-area.
Bull Targets = grren arrow
Bear Targets = red arrow
Always remember to be patient and let the chart show you the direction.
And super important: Always use stop losses .
If you have questions don't hesitate to ask.
Cheers
Darking Duck
BTC bellow 10000?!
I wasn’t satisfied with the 38% correction and here is a bearish scenario for bitcoin to complete a double three correction. The four last waves could be 1234 of a 5-wave move as sub-wave 1 of wave 3. A higher-high would signal a bullish scenario and lower-low signals the bearish scenario, simple as that. For the bearish scenario all three targets 0.38, 0.5, and 0.61 are equally likely right now and there is no significant accumulation of the fib levels around any of them. Fundamentally, BTC needs a bigger correction and reaching ATH this early is premature I guess. Breaking ATH in the last wave (2014-2018) resulted in a huge bullish move which is healthier if it happens in wave 3 or 5. Let me know what you think?!
2/3 bullbreakout targets hit; Is btc about to go hyperparabolic?We have finally hit both the purple descending channel's and the downward slant pink inverse head and shoulders' breakout targets and are currently consolidating just below the horizontal resistance at 13071. Our bigger green inverted h&s pattern's breakout target is still to come at 14400 but there is a chance we may find resistance on the way there at the potential 1day chart cup&handle's rimline around 13850 or so...however if once we reach the 14400 breakout target we can maintain price action there for a few consecutive 1day candle closes we should then trigger the cup and handle pattern in which case our next big pitstop would probably be at the ATH to form another handle while on our way to 25K correct a month or 3 then break that handle continuing our way to the 1st cup and handles target of 25-26k while simultaneous created a new bigger cup and handle breakout target around $36k. Sure sounds hyperparabolic to me let's see if it plays out like that. . . .Psychologically, right now everyone knows the 1st big correction of the new bull market is now officially over. I anticipate the wave of volume we will soon get as people who've been waiting on the sidelines this whole time finally reverse capitulate and flood the market will likely be at magnitudes unlike anything this market has ever seen before.
LTC/BTC - Bear TrapHi!
Since the last idea posted on Litecoin vs Bitcoin I was stopped at 0.010950. They are past waters.
Analyzing the further movements,we can see that Litecoin might be facing a bear trap (purple square) which is a good sign of reversal, indicators also show us good risk/reward. Stochastic is pointing up, volume is growing.
Bitcoin is consolidating, so it means we may see few altcoins performing meanwhile, Litecoin has good fundamentals to keep it's way up.
Resume:
- Bear Trap;
- Stochastic pointing up;
- Volume is growing;
- Good Risk/Reward;
- Bitcoin consolidating.
Conclusion:
Long
Strategy:
- I'll wait for a confirmation. I wish Litecoin test 99 MA (0,013813) and then test it's symmetrical triangle support (0,012107).
- I'll put a buy order at 0,012960 and put a stop-loss at 0,010960.
- I'll move my stop always the market is in my favour.
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Manage your stop according to your risk management. This is not financial advice.
ETH / BTC - Ethereum holding its support level since 11/27/2017Objectively:
- Ethereum is holding 0.025 support since nov17
- RSI at oversold area
- We'll probably see a move when Bitcoin consolidate.
Targets:
1. 0.03097
2. 0.04000
3. 0.05221
Stop:
0.02140
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Manage your stop according to your risk management. This is not financial advice.
Looking at Fib levels for BTC
for different waves in a price movement, if extensions and retracements are drawn, prices that they are around many of these fib levels have significance. Also, a proposed top for a 5-wave move generally has its fib ratios matching previous significant levels.
for the top of the current wave, I see two potential targets where previous fib levels are pointing at. 11700 and 14000. if this wave tops at 14000 the resulting wave satisfies many of the previous significant levels. what do you think of this approach?!!!
H1 - Short with valid and ideal APF with a good psych number... A potential bearish and authentic APF Bat 88.6% XA ret within 161.8% - 261.8% CB ext for a short/sell trade opportunity with a good psychological number at price 0.66600 even handle. Aggressive entry with pending sell limit order at the completion and stops just above setup's X point giving us a good 1:2 RRR to TP 1 and 1:3 RRR to TP 2. Conservative upon confirmation to short/sell once price completed the setup and SL and TP as seen in the chart. Could there be one good short/sell opportunity? We will see. Trade with care and good luck in the markets
Bitcoin: Still BullishCoinSavvy here with a Bitcoin Analysis.
Bitcoin closed the daily chart with a hanging man doji and right below $9,000 however I think that’s just due to the exact time that it broke bullish and the lower time frame oscillators being at extreme levels.
If you take a look at the weekly close it looks very bullish with a higher low set and now a higher high.
Higher time frame oscillators are bullish and there is bullish divergence on the lower time frames with the RSI.
From my previous analysis I would still say $9,500 to $10,000 is a target.
Shorts have been stacking up since $8,000 and have not covered and only 1,000 of them are hedged (Bitfinex)... I would say this is perfect fuel for a final short squeeze that could get us a lot higher than $10,000.
12 hour closes below $8800 would be a sell and I would pick back up for the CME gap fill around $8,500.
Coin Savvy, signing off. Enjoy your night, enjoy the charts, and respect the technical analysis .
Bitcoin: Higher Time Frame Breakout Series - MonthlyCoinSavvy here with a breakout update, we are going to focus on different time frames to give us a heads up of what is to come after this breakout is finished rallying, so far though very exciting and if you look back at my post from the 17th here you can see that the 3 day closed above the 200 sma and how I wrote if that happens then Bitcoin is going to around $9,500.
To gain maximum perspective, we should look at low, medium, high and macro time frames. This is so we can put the puzzle together and see the big picture to make educated game plans to execute depending on whatever scenario plays out.
I am creating multiple chart analysis for the high and macro time frames starting with the Daily then the 2 Day, 3 Day, Weekly and Monthly .
Analysis :
The monthly chart is the only thing that needs something to really make it bullish is a higher high and a higher low. If we close the monthly above $7,725 then that would technically be a higher high. If we can get a higher low compared to the local low at $3,122 then that would be the higher low then it would be overall bullish and would technically be an uptrend on the monthly time frame.
Stochastics %K (blue) had a bullish cross above the %D (purple) and out of the bearish critical area, as long as Bitcoin doesn’t go down to sub $5,500 by the end of the month then it should close above and that would be a confirmed cross to the upside which hasn’t happened since July 2015.
RSI just crossed above the ema and headed towards the bullish control zone, same deal with the stochs, as long as Bitcoin doesn’t crash then this should be a confirmed cross, this hasn’t happened since November 2015. Now we could have a confluence of both the RSI crossing it’s ema and stochs having a bullish cross, which didn’t happen back in the last cycle, it was delayed.
Regarding moving averages, ever since Bitcoin closed above the 21 ema around $5,300 it’s been very bullish and I wrote about this in one of my previous articles here
Overall this chart needs a higher high and a higher low to make it fully bullish technically.
For the bearish case see
Coin Savvy, signing off. Enjoy your night, enjoy the charts, and respect the technical analysis.
Bitcoin: Higher Time Frame Breakout Series - WeeklyCoinSavvy here with a breakout update, we are going to focus on different time frames to give us a heads up of what is to come after this breakout is finished rallying, so far though very exciting and if you look back at my post from the 17th here you can see that the 3 day closed above the 200 sma and how I wrote if that happens then Bitcoin is going to around $9,500.
To gain maximum perspective, we should look at low, medium, high and macro time frames. This is so we can put the puzzle together and see the big picture to make educated game plans to execute depending on whatever scenario plays out.
I am creating multiple chart analysis for the high and macro time frames starting with the Daily then the 2 Day, 3 Day, Weekly and Monthly.
Analysis :
This chart is very bullish, higher bull volume on higher prices with bull flags while all the moving averages point up instead of sideways or down. We will officially have all smaller ema’s trading above larger ones end of next trading week (Sunday June 2nd @ 8pm EST) as long as the 21 ema closes above the 55 and 89 ema’s.
Stochastics are looking good and still pointed in the upward direction and the blue is above the purple and in the critical zone, this is healthy in a longer-term trend but a pullback looks to be coming somewhat soon, although I see us continuing this breakout at least to $9,500.
RSI looking very strong but getting overextended, if we look back in time this looks like it’s one of the longest times it’s ever been away from the ema, so a pullback is coming shortly in terms of a weekly chart, that doesn’t mean we can’t keep rallying though, especially with all the higher time frames being so bullish.
Weekly chart is overall bullish and I see us make that move to $9,500 however I see a severe retrace all the way down to around low $6,000 region maybe even $5,400 and it still be overall bullish, I will discuss this in a different series at a later time although if you look back at my older charts you can see that I wrote about these longer term bearish targets.
For the bearish case in this series see
Coin Savvy, signing off. Enjoy your night, enjoy the charts, and respect the technical analysis.
Bitcoin: Higher Time Frame Breakout Series - 3 DayCoinSavvy here with a breakout update, we are going to focus on different time frames to give us a heads up of what is to come after this breakout is finished rallying, so far though very exciting and if you look back at my post from the 17th here you can see that the 3 day closed above the 200 sma and how I wrote if that happens then Bitcoin is going to around $9,500.
To gain maximum perspective, we should look at low, medium, high and macro time frames. This is so we can put the puzzle together and see the big picture to make educated game plans to execute depending on whatever scenario plays out.
I am creating multiple chart analysis for the high and macro time frames starting with the Daily then the 2 Day, 3 Day , Weekly and Monthly.
Analysis :
3 day looking bullish ever since closing for the second time above the 3 day, this was my simplistic approach from my previous analysis basically saying if it closes above that line then price will most likely continue higher and there’s not much stopping this rally from $9,500 - $10,000, if you want to know more click the chart that I pasted above this analysis. This breakout candlestick is going to close tonight at 8pm EST (in one hour) and it's looking good, so far as long as nothing crazy happens within the next hour, closing above $8,800.
The 55 and 89 are trying to cross above the 200 ema but hasn’t happened yet, they are pointed up and trying get above them, once they do that will be very bullish for the longer term trend.
Stochastics %K (blue) had a bearish cross below the %D (purple) a few ticks back however if we look back in time during trending bull moves these can get overextended (May 2017 stochs went from 97 down to 80 while price went from $1,600 to $3,000 which is a 90% gain, this just proves that these stochs can be in the critical zone and be pointed down and have the blue crossed below the purple and price just continues to shoot up) So yes technically this is a bearish signal but in this case I would say the bulls are likely to continue through. The RSI is looking very strong however we are likely to create some bearish divergence just like I discussed on the 2 day. Divergence targets for me are the 21 ema and the 21 ema on the 3 day is right around $6,300 however by the time things play out I would suspect this 21 ema to land us around $6,500 to $6,700 and that’s if this goes up to $10,000 then back down. This is all only if we set a local high and the RSI is at a lower low than the previous local high within a roughly 14 period range roughly to create bearish divergence.
Overall 3 day is bullish but looking like it's weakening, I still see a $9,500 Bitcoin before a $6,000 bitcoin.
For the bearish case see
Coin Savvy, signing off. Enjoy your night, enjoy the charts, and respect the technical analysis.