Today Trump and Pence seemed to finally get serious about preventing a coronavirus recession, offering a payroll tax cut, a bailout of the cruise line industry, and a promise that coronavirus patients won't have to pay for testing. Admittedly these things are small potatoes compared to the scale of business disruptions that may be coming, but it was meaningful...
Perfect! Fundamental + Symmetric Preview : Take profit for further pullback to resistance. Looking good at level 0.382 & 0.236
Stop loss = red heikin ashi candle
Every one on the Street talks about incoming crisis and 5%+ downtrend for main US indexes. I suppose every trader should use such opportunities and open corresponding short positions. What we have for S&P today? 2017 and January 2018 made it extremely overbought - RSI was on 86, the last time we saw these levels during 1980 rise, and it was followed by 21%...
If gold can retest last week's lows and hold i believe gold will be entering a bull run. Based off seasonality, tax bill, and multi-year trend this level has a high probability of holding for the long term.
USD Bullish Rationale : 1. Optimism tax reform bill 2. It's been said that the market have fully priced in December interest rate hike but this "certainty" seems to ease investors in betting Dollar strength at the moment 3. Personally, I see no reason as of now to be bearish the dollar GBP Bearish Rationale : 1. Continued uncertainty and MESS over the...
The tax reform potentially will be the major theme for the dollar today. Even if price goes all the way to Friday's high, I will see that as technical correction before investors buying the dollar again. A break beyond that will invalidate my trading plans. The rationale for "bearish" the Euro today is the lack of fresh news/catalyst for the Euro currency. Risk...
Refer to my EURUSD trading plan for my rationale to be bullish the Dollar.
The rationale for this trade is to take advantage of the vanishing Australian Yield spread, the slowing growth, the expectancy of holding the interest rates by the RBA tomorrow.. thats my bearish rational for the Australian Dollar. My bullish rationale for the USD is ofcourse the tax reform news. Risk for this trade to be nullified (for the dollar) is as...
Fiscal Reform in the US The Republicans failed to agree on Thursday so they postponed voting on the bill on Friday. Because of the minimal edge, the vote of every Republican is important for success of the reform, that’s why senators have to seek for a tradeoff with the "fiscal hawks", who see an acute problem in expansion of the budget deficit as a result of the...
Hi guys those who watched my video probably remember me saying, 'I'm repeating myself, the USDCAD is lagging and I expect to see that third leg lower. The upside was limited as I explained. For those who are not in the short-trade yet, wait for a consolidation that confirms the move lower. My minimum target is still 1.26. A note; as most of you know, I combine...
Rationale for the plan : 1. 'Hawkish' statement from Powell 2. Equity markets as of now is positive. Potential Risk-On mode today. 3. Technical Sentiment is bullish USDJPY as price making higher-highs /lower lows since testing 110.900 handle R isks for the plan (that could invalidate the plan) : 1. Poor U.S Prelim GDP numbers later (Forecast 3.3%, Previous...
Rationale to short EURUSD : 1. Market pricing in the positive progression on German politics (coalition), lack of fresh news coming out of it, I am neutral on Euros right now (but keep my eyes peeled for the German CPI) 2. The "hawkish" statements by Powell, it should make the dollar supported for the day at least. 3. Technically, EURUSD making a lower-low...
European stock markets followed their Asian counterparts on Monday as the US economy returns in sight, in particular the fate of the tax reform. Gold is rising against the backdrop of increased risks before the resumption of discussion of the tax reform in the Senate. The asset has risen in price by 0.5% to $ 1.293 and looks determined to reach another round...
Notices of doubt EURUSD is stumbling on the spot today, swaying around the range of 1.17-1.18, the market did not allow to spread pessimism associated with the political problems in Germany, as well as optimism associated with the tax reform. The US is preparing to celebrate Thanksgiving, in this regard, the senators have postponed the discussion of large-scale...
Oil market Oil traders have not yet decided on further price direction, but rather are looking for an excuse for pullback than for backing last week rally. According to Baker Hughes, the number of drilling rigs in the US increased last week while production reached a record 9.62M bpd. The most alarming part in fundamental picture of the US output was the pace of...
Asian markets gained on Tuesday dismissing weak factory data in the Chinese economy while the dollar has decided to hold up with growth, as the investigation into Russia’s meddling wth the US presidential election led to former campaign manager Manafort charged with money laundering and tax evasion, promising more intriguing data on possible POTUS collusion with...