NZDUSD: Ask 2 ?'s "Where Should Price Go & How Can It Get There"With Jason out of town I’ll be pulling double duties helping out with the morning War Room as well and today I had about six potential trades on my radar. I typically don’t actively trade on Monday’s but I will be keeping an eye on the NZDUSD for multiple trading opportunities. Bigger picture I’m still looking for a chance to short this pair once we retrace to our previous support level, but currently we put in a nice base, which was broken above and could provide as a good place to get long if the market were to retrace to that level. . Sort of like a 2618 type of move.
Whenever I make my predictions about the market I don’t just ask myself “where is price most likely to go?” I also asked myself “How is price most likely to get there?” These simple questions have often given me the opportunity to catch the move before the move.
Obviously a lot can happen, but I always like to start off my week with a plan of “what to look for” that way I’m dialed in. What now? Well now I sit back and see what the market has to do. Remember as traders it’s our job to react, not to tell the market what it “will” do.
If you get the chance check out my Interview on Brandon Clay’s Trading Story website talking about my trading story & setting up a plan of action for you trades tradingstory.com
Best of luck this week traders, and let me know what you think about the interview.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com /@AkilStokesRTM / Forex Weekend Review Videos:
www.youtube.com
TCT
At Market Short on the NZDUSD Bear BatAs the week ends the NZDUSD gives us a shorting opportunity with a harmonic pattern to the down side. However the risk on this trade is about 100 pips and a potential gain of +200 pips profit. As traders i will be watching how the NZDUSD continues to act around structure to see if there is a better Risk to Reward opportunity as 100pips is to much for me to stomach in one trade
Good Trading Guys
EURAUD: Cypher Pattern W/ Trend but BE AWARE.Before checking out what's in store for us on the fundamental side of things I would have called this a no-brainer trading opportunity. On the daily chart we have recently put in a LLLC and presently we're retracing back into the previous 2 days highs. Not to mention we've had the completion of a bearish Cypher pattern at 1.3828 which I'd be looking to use as an entry reason into a TCT trade offering a good sized reward compared to it's risk.
The one concern that we need to be aware of is the 8:30 NY time RBA Monetary Policy Minutes. Will they give a drop a hint about rate cuts or not? That's the big question, and we all know (or know now) that because the Asia markets are very thin, news on the Aussie tends to react in a major way.
I'll be sure to stay very close o my computer before the announcement to avoid or rather minamize potential slippage one way or another
GBPJPY TCT SELL SETUPAs we come mid week of week 10 of the year, the markets are snailing they way this month. However with this being said this gives us a chance to look at other pairs. particularly i am not a GBPJPY trader but it seems interesting for me to do an analysis on it. So without further due lets go. We are currently bearish. So my mind is thinking short however as a counter trade trader we currently have an at market bull bat which i have not drawn out but is worth considering. At 183.37 this is a level i would watch for a possible sell option. As a filter if price reaches this level i would look for a double top LLLC.
Good Trading Guys
NZDUSD: TCT at Ratio & StructureI've got to run soon so I'm not sure if I'll be able to catch this or not. But for those looking for the next place to short Kiwi this area looks as good as any. Harmonic move, fib extension, multiple fib retracements and of course structure to hide stops above. If it's still a potential trade by the time I return I'll keep you guys updated on what 'd be looking for in order to actually enter this thing either on here or on a Syndicate video later.
GBPUSD: Bearish TCTThis trade was originally brought to our attention this weekend in Jason Stapleton's Forex Market Preview video "Studying Harmonics" ( www.youtube.com ) As I take a look at it today price action (after creating a LLLC) has retested the previous level of support which should now act as resistance.
In addition to the structure level we also have a Fibonacci ratio cluster of retracements and an inversion. Lastly, we have hidden divergence on the RSI which is a sign for trend continuation. Of course when I say a sign, it doesn't mean it will happen everytime, but it's something that we can add to our score when breaking down this trade.
Akil Stokes
Head Currency Trader at Trade Empowered