What's next for NAS?My what a day it has been! Its always a good feeling to be on the right side of a trend.
Now for those who have been viewing my last few ideas (related idea tagged). We have managed to catch a long opportunity in which case profits were confirmed due to what i thought was rejection of our 88 level based on fibs. I could have squeezed out a few more points for better profit but i feel better knowing that i confirmed what i did. Price actually managed to close past our100 level! Normally this can indicate a breakout but it seems we had a fake-out instead. Price tried to complete a Inverted H&S pattern but failed to. Due to momentum dying out (divergence, smaller swings in trend) i managed to find a sell opportunity and am currently up 600+ points because of it. As mentioned before, although i closed my trade early due to what i thought was rejection of the 88 level, I still WAITED for a proper setup before entering trade.
I am curious now to see what price does next. Although we had a massive sell off today, it is clear that on our higher TFs that HH's and HL's were still established at the close of our candles. With the addition of divergence across my higher TFs, it strikes my interest of how price will react once back down at the 11800-11700 levels. Actually if you look at my past idea, this is the same area that we DID NOT get a retest of yet based off our 1H TF. I am currently trailing my short position and waiting to see how price responds at those levels mentioned before (11800-11700). I personally will have a limit set with tight SL in order to be prepared for retest. If this is accurate im expecting price to rally back up towards the 12550 level to either create a new high or retest the current high. However there is always possibility that price will keep pushing down.
I will update this idea as i go along. Safe Trading
Tcwtf
Analysis for NAS (Possible Entry)Sorry in advance because i meant to post this prior to leaving for work. If you followed my updates from my last idea, we understand that we would have broken even because price tested a lower level than expected (11700). Thats why i always try to find the best entires so that the RR is always worth it. With that being said lets get into the charts! I noticed a shift of momentum on the 4H TF. We have as i know it an 'engulfing move". With a retest of the doji candle engulfed. Personally for me i wouldnt have wanted price to retest so low however SL would have most likely been below the Lowest low (11700). So i probably would have had it slightly lower just in case price did continue to drop at which point i would have been prepared. Now after our retest look where price is now....coincidence? No. Understand we are still in a BEAR market right now so this bull run may not last for long. HOWEVER based off fibs there some things i would like to see.
1. How price reacts to the 61.8 level
2. Will momentum remain strong once at that level?
3. If momentum does stay strong, how will price react to our 78.6 level? Proper push past that level to the 88 and we may have something going here.
Understand that this may altogether be a retracement to our 61.8 seeing how we are STILL in a downtrend (Bear Market). The 78.6 and 88 are MAJOR LEVELS OF RESISTANCE. For price to make it past would be amazing but at the same time unlikely as this would cause a shift in whose in control. Proper push past the 88 level can mean a new trend altogether. For now this move is already in motion. i will be looking to see how price reacts to the 61.8 level.
Will Update as i go along!
***https://www.tradingview.com/x/bUCiJa3P/ (This is the entry i TRULY wanted. however price has yet to retest the doji candle engulfed).
Possible entry for NAS (LONG)If you saw any of my last few ideas we managed to secure profits prior to a heavy dump off from the 8:30 news his morning. Price has broken or our support level and is currently playing underneath the zone. However price seems to have (for the meantime) rejected our next area of support at the 12000 level. Now we are STILL in a bearish market right now so i would not be surprised if we don't have an extended push to the upside however if we do i believe there are TPS that can met at our areas of resistance climbing back up. Lets not forget we have more HEAVY news dropping tomorrow but if this plays out we should see slight profits going from London session into NY before a reversal. Always trail profits!
These are just my thoughts. Always take with a grain of salt and use proper risk management.