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A Detailed Guide for New Traders!Technical Analysis: A Detailed Guide for New Traders Technical analysis (TA) is a trading method used to evaluate and predict the future price movements of assets like stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, or forex, by analyzing past market data, primarily price and volume. It differs from fundamental analysis, which looks at financial metrics like earnings, revenue, and overall economic conditions. For beginners, here’s a breakdown of technical analysis and its essential tools and concepts: 1. Price Charts: The Foundation of TA Price charts are visual representations of an asset’s price over a specific period. There are different types of charts, but the most common are: Line Charts: Show the closing prices over time. Bar Charts: Display the open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC) for each period. Candlestick Charts: Similar to bar charts but more visually intuitive, displaying the same OHLC data with colored “candles” for up or down movements. Candlestick charts are the most popular among traders because they provide more information and are easier to interpret visually. 2. Key Concepts in Technical Analysis a. Trends A trend is the general direction in which the price of an asset is moving. Understanding trends is crucial in technical analysis because traders aim to follow the market’s momentum. There are three types of trends: Uptrend: Prices are generally increasing, making higher highs and higher lows. Downtrend: Prices are decreasing, making lower highs and lower lows. Sideways Trend (Range): Prices move within a specific range without a clear upward or downward direction. b. Support and Resistance Support: A price level where an asset tends to stop falling due to increased buying demand. Resistance: A price level where an asset tends to stop rising due to increased selling pressure. These levels are essential for identifying potential entry and exit points for trades. c. Moving Averages Moving averages (MAs) are a simple way to smooth out price data over a specified time period to identify trends more easily. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): The average price over a set number of periods (e.g., 50-day or 200-day SMA). Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information. Traders use MAs to determine the overall trend, and crossovers (e.g., when a short-term MA crosses a long-term MA) are often seen as buy or sell signals. 3. Indicators and Oscillators Indicators and oscillators are tools derived from price and volume data to help identify potential trends, reversals, and overbought or oversold conditions. a. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate whether an asset is overbought or oversold. It ranges from 0 to 100: Above 70: Overbought (price might be too high, possible reversal). Below 30: Oversold (price might be too low, possible reversal). b. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, and momentum of a trend. MACD Line: The difference between the 12-day and 26-day EMA. Signal Line: A 9-day EMA of the MACD Line. Histogram: Shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. A crossover between the MACD Line and the Signal Line can signal buying or selling opportunities. c. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and two outer bands that are two standard deviations away from the middle. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility. When the price moves toward the upper band, the asset might be overbought, and when it moves toward the lower band, it might be oversold. 4. Chart Patterns Chart patterns are formations created by the price movement of an asset, and traders use them to predict future price movements. Some common patterns include: Head and Shoulders: A reversal pattern that signals a change from bullish to bearish or vice versa. Triangles (Ascending, Descending, Symmetrical): Continuation patterns that suggest the price will break out in the direction of the current trend. Double Top and Double Bottom: Reversal patterns indicating that the price may reverse its current trend after testing a support or resistance level twice. 5. Volume Analysis Volume refers to the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded during a particular period. It can confirm trends or warn of potential reversals: Rising volume during an uptrend confirms the strength of the trend. Decreasing volume in a rising trend can indicate a weakening trend and potential reversal. Volume spikes often occur at trend reversals. 6. Risk Management No trading strategy is foolproof, and technical analysis is not a crystal ball. To succeed, you must manage your risk: Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically sell a position if the price moves against you by a certain amount, limiting your losses. Risk-Reward Ratio: Determine the amount you're willing to risk for a potential reward. A typical ratio is 1:2, meaning for every $1 risked, you aim to make $2 in profit. Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your total capital (e.g., 1-2%) on a single trade to prevent significant losses. 7. Combining TA with Fundamental Analysis While technical analysis is valuable, many traders combine it with fundamental analysis to get a complete picture. For instance, in the stock market, technical analysis might show that a stock is oversold, but if the company’s fundamentals (earnings, revenue) are strong, it could be a buying opportunity. 8. Conclusion Technical analysis is a powerful tool for traders to predict price movements and make informed trading decisions. However, it requires practice and patience. Start with the basics, use demo accounts to test your skills, and never forget to manage your risk. For beginners, mastering the key concepts like trends, support and resistance, moving averages, and common indicators like RSI and MACD will set you on the path to becoming a successful trader. Like and follow if you found this helpful! #Crypto #Bitcoin #bullrun
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
Breakout Alert: KSM Surges as Falling Wedge Pattern Shatters!🚨 NYSE:KSM is breaking out of a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1D chart, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. 📈 Entry Point: $20.00 to $22.00 🎯 Targets: $26.93 $33.75 $49.80 $64.13 🔄 Trading Options: NYSE:KSM is available for trading in both spot and futures markets. You can purchase it on the spot market, or if you prefer to go long on futures, consider setting a stop-loss at $18.00. 📊 About NYSE:KSM : KSM (Kusama) is a scalable, multichain network for radical innovation in the blockchain space. It serves as a testing ground for Polkadot, offering developers the opportunity to experiment and fine-tune their projects before deploying them on Polkadot’s main network. 📢 DYOR, NFA
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Alert!🚨 Bitcoin Update 🚨 In the past day, not much has happened in the crypto market. On the four-day timeframe, we still see a bearish signal indicated by the Supertrend indicator on the Bitcoin chart. As I've mentioned before on the channel, this suggests that the trend on the four-day timeframe remains bearish, with the price forming lower highs and lower lows. However, it's important to note that during this bearish trend, we may occasionally see pumps to the upside. While the price has been following this bearish trend, it is also forming a massive descending broadening wedge pattern. I've recently discussed this on the channel, with resistance around $68.5K and support around $53.5K. As long as the price stays between this support and resistance, and particularly while it remains below resistance, the trend is still forming lower highs and lower lows. If we eventually see a confirmed breakout with candles closing above this resistance, it would set up a major bullish price target for this descending broadening wedge pattern. However, as of now, we have not confirmed a breakout, which means we do not yet have a confirmed bullish price target. Instead, the trend remains bearish as the price continues to sit below this resistance. #Bitcoin
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
#BITCOIN POTENTIAL OVERVIEW!🚨#BITCOIN WEEKLY TIME FRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS🔔 After breaking the previous all-time high, which was $69,028 and achieving a new high of $73,773. Currently trending above the strong support zone of $64,500 to $66,300, technically it’s a very strong support zone. Today is the weekly closing, and Bitcoin must maintain its position above the mentioned support zone. Here we have two scenarios. First, if this week's candle closes above the $64,500 support then in the upcoming week, we anticipate a bullish move towards the $94,500. In the second scenario, if it does close below the support, then it is highly possible that it will drop to $38,500 to $40,000 before the halving, and that will be the last chance to buy bitcoin at a much lower price. Here is the question: does it drop before the halving or after the halving? So it is advisable to be prepared for this possibility, especially when accepting a drop before the halving event. This is because, historically, the market tends to shake out less experienced traders before the real bull run begins. This chart serves as a valuable aid in making informed trade decisions and is intended solely for educational purposes. Your insights and perspectives on the charts are highly appreciated and can be shared in the comment section. Thank you for your contribution.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
25
BITCOIN: HISTORICAL CYCLES AND HEALING ROADMAP!THIS CHART IS BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA In the first cycle, after the ATL, CRYPTOCAP:BTC took 532 days to break above it’s previous ATH. In the second cycle, it’s taken 546 days to break above its previous ATH. If history repeats itself, we could see a new ATH around 385 days from today, possibly by December 2024. ROADMAP FOR BITCOIN HEALING First Halving: July 9, 2016 546 days of the bull market! Second Halving: May 11, 2020 546 Days of Bull Market after Halving 3 Third Halving: April 25, 2024 (Expected) Likely to last 528 days to 546 days of bull market. Based on fractal analysis and chart data, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will reach its next bull market peak in September 2025. Subsequently, a shift back into the bear market is expected. Consequently, a decision to exit the market before September is considered, given that these projections are assumptions derived from fractal chart data. I hope this graph clarifies how BTC's long-term growth dynamics work. Only in a probabilistic approach, this concept is. This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if you consider upvoting it. I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
12
BITCOIN SHORTER TIME FRAME UPDATE Bitcoin (BTC) is currently operating within a bullish channel and has recently experienced a bounce off the support provided by the ascending trendline and the 100-day moving average (MA). The cryptocurrency is presently trading within the Ichimoku cloud, accompanied by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), signaling a bearish divergence move. For bullish trend confirmation, it is imperative for the bulls to regain momentum and achieve a decisive breakout above the horizontal resistance level, approximately around 38,000. Conversely, a sustained breakdown of the ascending trendline would suggest the potential for a short-term correction. In simpler terms, Bitcoin is following an upward trend, finding support at the ascending trendline and the 100-day moving average. However, caution is advised as the RSI is signaling a potential bearish divergence. A clear breakthrough above the resistance at 38,000 would be a positive indicator for a bullish continuation, while a sustained break below the ascending trendline could indicate a short-term correction in the market. This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if you consider upvoting it. I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
JUST A REMINDER CHART FOR BEGINNERS Here are some Educational Chart Patterns JUST A REMINDER CHART FOR BEGINNERS I hope you will find this information educational & informative. >Head and Shoulders Pattern A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is the highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. >Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern An inverse head and shoulders are similar to the standard head and shoulders pattern, but inverted: with the head and shoulders top used to predict reversals in downtrends An inverse head and shoulders pattern, upon completion, signals a bull market Investors typically enter into a long position when the price rises above the resistance of the neckline. >Double Top (M) Pattern A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs. >Double Bottom (W) Pattern The double bottom looks like the letter "W". The twice-touched low is considered a support level. The advance of the first bottom should be a drop of 10% to 20%, then the second bottom should form within 3% to 4% of the previous low, and volume on the ensuing advance should increase. The double bottom pattern always follows a major or minor downtrend in particular security and signals the reversal and the beginning of a potential uptrend. >Tripple Top Pattern A triple top is formed by three peaks moving into the same area, with pullbacks in between. A triple top is considered complete, indicating a further price slide, once the price moves below pattern support. A trader exits longs or enters shorts when the triple top completes. If trading the pattern, a stop loss can be placed above the resistance (peaks). The estimated downside target for the pattern is the height of the pattern subtracted from the breakout point. >Triple Bottom Pattern A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears). A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance. The formation of the triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position. >Falling Wedge Pattern When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line. When the price breaks the upper trend line the security is expected to reverse and trend higher. Traders identifying bullish reversal signals would want to look for trades that benefit from the security’s rise in price. >Rising Wedge Pattern This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well. The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal. While price can be out of either trend line, wedge patterns have a tendency to break in the opposite direction from the trend lines. Therefore, rising wedge patterns indicate the more likely potential of falling prices after a breakout of the lower trend line. Traders can make bearish trades after the breakout by selling the security short or using derivatives such as futures or options, depending on the security being charted. These trades would seek to profit from the potential that prices will fall. >Flag Pattern A flag pattern, in technical analysis, is a price chart characterized by a sharp countertrend (the flag) succeeding a short-lived trend (the flag pole). Flag patterns are accompanied by representative volume indicators as well as price action. Flag patterns signify trend reversals or breakouts after a period of consolidation. >Pennant Pattern Pennants are continuation patterns where a period of consolidation is followed by a breakout used in technical analysis. It's important to look at the volume in a pennant—the period of consolidation should have a lower volume and the breakouts should occur on a higher volume. Most traders use pennants in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as confirmation. >Cup and Handle Pattern A cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. The cup and handle are considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. >What is a Bullish Flag Pattern When the prices are in an uptrend a bullish flag pattern shows a slow consolidation lower after an aggressive uptrend. This indicates that there is more buying pressure moving the prices up than down and indicates that the momentum will continue in an uptrend. Traders wait for the price to break above the resistance of the consolidation after this pattern is formed to enter the market. >What is the Bearish Flag Pattern When the prices are in the downtrend a bearish flag pattern shows a slow consolidation higher after an aggressive downtrend. This indicates that there is more selling pressure moving the prices down rather than up and indicates that the momentum will continue in a downtrend. Traders wait for the price to break below the support of the consolidation after this pattern is formed to enter in the short position. > Channel A channel chart pattern is characterized as the addition of two parallel lines which act as the zones of support and resistance. The upper trend line or the resistance connects a series of highs. The lower trend line or the support connects a series of lows. Below is the formation of the channel chart pattern: >Megaphone pattern The megaphone pattern is a chart pattern. It’s a rough illustration of a price pattern that occurs with regularity in the stock market. Like any chart pattern, there are certain market conditions that tend to follow the formation of the megaphone pattern. The megaphone pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and lower lows, which is a marked expansion in volatility: >What is a ‘diamond’ pattern? A bearish diamond formation or diamond top is a technical analysis pattern that can be used to detect a reversal following an uptrend; the however bullish diamond pattern or diamond bottom is used to detect a reversal following a downtrend. This pattern occurs when a strong up-trending price shows a flattening sideways movement over a prolonged period of time that forms a diamond shape. Detecting reversals is one of the most profitable trading opportunities for technical traders. A successful trader combines these techniques with other technical indicators and other forms of technical analysis to maximize their odds of success. Technicians using charts search for archetypal price chart patterns, such as the well-known head and shoulders or double top /bottom reversal patterns, study technical indicators, and moving averages and look for forms such as lines of support, resistance, channels and more obscure formations such as flags, pennants, balance days and cup and handle patterns. Technical analysts also widely use market indicators of many sorts, some of which are mathematical transformations of price, often including up and down the volume, advance/decline data and other inputs. These indicators are used to help assess whether an asset is trending, and if it is, the probability of its direction and of continuation. Technicians also look for relationships between price/ volume indices and market indicators. Examples include the moving average, relative strength index and MACD. Other avenues of study include correlations between changes in Options (implied volatility ) and put/call ratios with a price. Also important are sentiment indicators such as Put/Call ratios, bull/bear ratios, short interest, Implied Volatility, etc. There are many techniques in technical analysis. Adherents of different techniques (for example Candlestick analysis, the oldest form of technical analysis developed by a Japanese grain trader; Harmonics; Dow theory; and Elliott wave theory) may ignore the other approaches, yet many traders combine elements from more than one technique. Some technical analysts use subjective judgment to decide which pattern(s) a particular instrument reflects at a given time and what the interpretation of that pattern should be. Others employ a strictly mechanical or systematic approach to pattern identification and interpretation. Contrasting with technical analysis is fundamental analysis, the study of economic factors that influence the way investors price financial markets. Technical analysis holds that prices already reflect all the underlying fundamental factors. Uncovering the trends is what technical indicators are designed to do, although neither technical nor fundamental indicators are perfect. Some traders use technical or fundamental analysis exclusively, while others use both types to make trading decisions. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
31
Types of market days that every trader should be aware of! Hello traders, today we will talk about Types of market days Some crucial aspects significantly influence technical analysis. The type of the market day is one of those crucial elements. Any trader who is actively trading in stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies, forex, derivatives, etc. may gain an advantage by properly analysing the type of market day. Today, we'll talk about "6 different types of days" that could occur in the market. Please be aware that the six days differ greatly from one another. These patterns are not inviolate, thus they should only be used as a general indicator rather than a precise one for any given trade. Types of market days: # Trend day # Double distribution trend day # Typical day # Expanded typical day # Trading range day # Sideways day #Trend Day The 'Trend day' is typically a volatile trading day with a definite bullish or negative momentum. On a day with a positive trend, the beginning candle typically represents the day's bottom, and the market subsequently slowly rises throughout the day. The day's high is typically marked by the opening candle on days with a negative trend, and the market then progressively decreases during the day. Typically, a quiet day with range-bound movements comes before the trend day. Gives the possibility of a significant reward if correctly identified. Rarely, perhaps only a few times every month, do such trending days occur. #Double distribution trend day The 'Double distribution trend day' is a slightly complicated but incredibly effective strategy for executing aggressive trades. Because of this, institutions and experienced traders make extensive use of this method. It is typically distinguished by being undecided at the start of the session. On a day like this, the market first moves in a narrow range. An initial balance is another name for it. The reference points are the initial balance high (IBH) and initial balance low (IBL). The day of the Double Distribution trend is quiet to start. The price eventually moves away from this range and tends in the direction of a new value, driven by buyers or sellers. When the market's momentum has subsided, another range-bound movement develops.Due to the fact that the majority of trading activity takes place at either extreme, this is where the phrase "Double Distribution trend day" originates. Wide initial balances are more difficult to break than narrow initial balances. #Typical Day It is distinguished by a significant rise or fall at the start of the trading day. It might be a reaction to any significant macroeconomic news. Then, by adopting opposing positions, the market participants drive the price back in the opposite direction. The market simply trades within the range it generated earlier in the trading session when a broad range was formed in a relatively short period of time. #Expanded Typical Day It resembles that of the 'Typical Day' that was previously addressed. The beginning balance is not as large as on a "Typical Day," but the early price fluctuation is less erratic. This gives market participants the chance to break this constrained range. When this range is violated, either by an increase in selling pressure or purchasing pressure, the market then moves strongly in that direction. The initial balance in this situation is greater than on a Double Distribution Trend Day but less than on a "Typical Day." #Trading Range Day Prices are being deliberately pushed up and down by buyers and sellers. Buyers and sellers who are responsive will try to enter at the extremes, driving prices back to the starting position. This kind of day offers both sides fantastic trading opportunities. #Sideways Day A "Sideways day" is one in which there is little movement in the price. As neither party makes any bold directional trades today, it is somewhat of a day of indecision for both parties. Option sellers typically enjoy trading on days like this since they can profit from time decay due to the non-directional, subdued action. Although the Trading Range Day and the Sideways may appear to be identical, they differ greatly from one another. On a "Trading Range Day," both buyers and sellers are quite prevalent; however, this is not the case on a "Sideways Day." Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
6
CANDLESTICK PATTERNS CHART SHEETCandlestick patterns need to be one of your trading arsenal's most effective weapons. We can determine the direction of the market using several candlestick patterns. All timeframes exhibit these patterns, but the daily candlestick patterns seem to be the most reliable. Once you recognize these patterns, you may be ready for your next move and use other tools to join the market, including the previously discussed MA approach and flag patterns (see attached charts). This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
SIMPLEST VIEW OF BTC #BTC UPDATE On the daily timeframe chart, #BTC is still advancing inside the wedge pattern and is currently situated above a major trendline. A potential bullish rally of about +20–25% might be anticipated if Bitcoin maintains its position above the trendline and successfully breaks out from the wedge to the upside. However, a bearish rally towards 21.5k may materialize if Bitcoin loses the support of the major trendline. Significant volatility is anticipated next week because of the US CPI and FOMC schedules. For more quality Charts analysis, follow us. I'm grateful.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
7
EMOTIONAL STATES OF A TRADERHello traders, today we will talk about EMOTIONAL STATES OF A TRADER #1 Optimism – Everything starts with a positive outlook or a hunch that will lead traders into buying a stock. #2 Excitement – Things start to move the way we want them to you feel giddy because of it. This is where we start hoping and anticipating that we are possibly making a success story in the stock trading world. #3 Thrill – The market is continually going in the direction favorable to you. At this point, you are starting to feel that you are too smart. This is the stage where we are fully confident with the trading system that we have. #4 Euphoria – This is the point where both the maximum financial risk and maximum financial gain are marked. As the investments you made start to turn to easy and quick profits, we simply ignore the risk’s basic concept. At this stage, we start trading at every opportunity we see with the aim of making bucks. #5 Anxiety – The market starts to turn around. The market is starting to get back your hard-earned gains. However, this is new to us, we still believe with the trend we have seen before and still trade. #6 Denial – We still think that the market simply does not turn as quickly as we hoped. There must be something wrong is what we keep on believing. #7 Fear – Reality finally sets in and you now realize that you are not that smart after all. From being confident, you are now confused. We know that we should start getting out with a small profit but we just cannot bring ourselves to move on. #8 Desperation – At this point, all of your gains are lost. Without knowing what to do, we attempt to do things that will leverage our position again. #9 Panic – This is the most emotional stage as this is where we are hopeless and clueless. We feel like we lost control and now are left at the mercy of the market. #10 Capitulation – This is where we reach our braking point and start selling our position for whatever price so as we can get out and lose no more. #11 Despondency – After our exit, we now view the market as something not for us and we develop a phobia of buying stocks. #12 Depression – We drink, pray or cry. We think we are so dumb and we start to analyzing where we went wrong. This is where true traders are born. #13 Hope – We realize that the market has a cycle, which then renews our hope and we believe that we can still do it. #14 Relief – The market turns positive once again. We are seeing the coming back of our prior investment and we now have our faith in it back. The cycle will then start all over again and it is up to you how to play it this time. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
Why You Should Never Hold on to Your Positions Beyond a Certain Good day, traders. I'd like to use this opportunity to advise both new and experienced traders alike that holding (hodling) your position is not recommended beyond a certain point. According to percentage calculations, the return required to recover to break-even increases at a considerably faster pace when losses grow in size (due to compound interest). It goes downward after a loss of 10% because a gain of 11% is required to make up for it.When the loss is 20%, it takes a 25% gain to make up the difference and return to break-even. To recoup from a 50% loss, a 100% gain is needed, and to reach the initial investment value after an 80% loss, a 400% gain is needed. Investors who experience a bear market must understand that it will take some time to recover, but compounding returns will aid in the process. Think about a bear market where the value drops by 30% and the stock portfolio is only worth 70% of what it was. The portfolio increases by 10% to reach 77%. The subsequent 10% increases to 84.7%. The portfolio reached its pre-drop value of 102.5 percent after two further years of 10 percent gains. Consequently, a 30 percent decline requires a 42 percent recovery, but a four-year compounding rate of 10 percent returns the account to profitability.I will be doing a second part to this post on the idea of "DOLLAR COST AVERAGING" (DCA). The math behind stock market losses clearly demonstrates the need for investors to take precautions against significant losses, as depicted in the graphic above. Stop-loss orders to sell stocks or cryptocurrencies that are mental or limit-based exist for a reason. If the market is headed towards a bear market, it will start to pay off once a particular loss threshold is reached. Investors occasionally struggle to sell stocks they enjoy at a loss, but if they can repurchase the stock or cryptocurrency at a lesser cost, they will like it. Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
BIASES THAT EXPLAIN WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEYHello traders, today we will talk about WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEY BIAS WHAT IT MEANS… HOW IT INFLUENCES TRADERS Availability People estimate the likelihood of an event based on how easily it can be recalled. Traders put too much emphasis on their most recent trades and let recent results interfere with their trading decisions. After a loss, traders often get scared or try to get back to break even. Both mental states lead to bad trading quickly. After a win, many traders get over-confident and trade loosely. You must be aware of how you react to recent results and trade with a high level of awareness. Dilution effect Irrelevant data weakens other more relevant data. Using too many tools and trading concepts to analyze price could weaken the importance of the core decision drivers. I wrote about redundant signals and how to combine the right tools here: click here Gambler’s fallacy People believe that probabilities have to even each other out in the short term. Traders misinterpret randomness and believe that after three losing trades, a winning trade is more likely. The probabilities don’t change based on past results. Even after 10 losses in a row, the next trade does not have a higher chance of being a winner. Anchoring Overestimating the importance of the first available piece of information. Upon entering a trade, people set their whole chart and analysis in reference to their entry price and don’t see the whole picture objectively anymore. You must always have a plan BEFORE you enter a trade. Insensitivity to sample size Underestimating the variance for large and small sample sizes. Traders too often make assumptions about the accuracy of their system based on just a few trades, or even change parameters after only a few losers. A decent sample size is 30 – 50 trades. Do not alter anything about your approach before you have reached this number. And make sure that you follow the same rules to get an accurate picture of your trading within the sample size. Contagion heuristic Avoiding contact with objects people see as “contaminated” by previous contact. Traders avoid markets/instruments after having a large loss in that instrument, even when the loss was the fault of the trader. Hindsight We see things that have already occurred as more probable than they were before they took place. Looking back on your trades and fishing for explanations why the trade has failed, even though those signals weren’t obvious at the time. Do not change your indicator or setting after a loss to come up with explanations or excuses. Accept that losses are normal and always follow your plan. Hot-hand fallacy After a successful outcome on a random event, another success is more likely. Traders believe that once they are in a winning streak, things become easier and they can “feel” what the market is going to do next. I wrote about the hot-dand-fallacy in trading before: click here Peak–end rule People judge an event based on how they felt at the peak of the event. Traders look at a losing trade and only see how much they were in profit at the maximum, but don’t look at what went wrong afterwards. Do not change your reference point when in a trade and have a plan for your trade management and when to exit before entering a trade. Simulation heuristic People feel more regret if they miss an event only by a little. Price that missed your target only by a little bit, or a trade where you got stopped out just by a few points can be more painful than other trades. The outcome is out of your control and you cannot influence the price movements. The only thing you can do is manage your trade within your rules. Social proof If unsure what to do, people look for what other people did. Traders too often ask for advice from other traders when they are not sure what to do – even when other traders have a completely different trading strategy. You must take responsibility for your actions and results. And not rely on someone else. Framing People make decisions based on how it is presented; a gain is more valuable than a loss and a sure gain is more valuable than a probabilistic greater gain. Traders close profitable trades too early because they value current profits more than a potentially larger profit in the future. Cutting winners too soon is a huge problem. If this is an issue for you, reducing screen time can be helpful. Do not watch your trades tick by tick. Sunk cost We will invest in something just because we have already invested in it. before Adding to losing trades because you are already invested, even though no objective reason to add exists. You must define your stop loss in advance and then execute it without hesitation when it has been reached. Confirmation Only looking for information that confirms your beliefs, ideas and actions. Blanking out reasons and signals that don’t support your trade and just looking for confirmation. Especially when traders are in a loss, they only look for supportive information. Stay objective! Overconfidence People have a higher confidence than what their level of skill actually suggests. Traders misjudge their level of expertise and skill. Consistently losing traders don’t see that it’s their fault. Analyze your results objectively and get a trading journal to add even more accountability. Selective perception Forgetting those things that caused discomfort. Traders forget easily that their own mistakes and wrong trading decisions caused the majority of their losses. Do not blame the marjets, unfair circumnstances, your broker or any other outside event. You are the one who is responsible for making it work. It’s totally up to you and blaming others won’t help you make progress. Which bias is the one that is causing you the greatest troubles? What are you workin on right now? Let me know in the comments below and I will answer with tips and ideas on how to overcome your struggles. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
THERE IS NO PERFECTION IN TRADINGToday, I want to provide with you an essay that will clarify just how far you should push your trading perfectionism. There is no ideal trading technique, to put it succinctly and painfully. Losses will be a part of life. Yes, there are High Frequency Trading (HFT) outfits that have been producing successful days after successful days for the past five years, but let me let you in on a little secret: you are not an HFT outfit. Additionally, these HFTs lose money; it's only that because they execute a million trades every day, their advantages soon disappear. Therefore, give up hoping and begin understanding that you will lose. The ideal trading strategy is one that generates profits over the long term; a strategy that generates profits on each trade would be utopian. Additionally, you won't begin making money until you acknowledge that you will also lose money. I know it's an old story, but this is one of the factors to consider if you aren't yet profitable. You still believe you are superior to the market, and you are still searching for a trading method that guarantees a 100% win rate, deep inside your reptile brain. Curve Fitting Is Asking For Disaster If you still want to develop your trading strategy after it has proven to be profitable, you must proceed with extreme caution. Your winrate and reward:risk ratio will change whenever you alter a parameter in a trading system because it is such a delicate construction. Your variance, average drawdowns, average updraws, and so forth will all increase. A trading system should only undergo subtle, gradual changes based on reliable data. If you keep trying to improve, curve fitting is what you'll finally do. As a result, there will be no room for any future changes in market behaviour because your approach will be too firmly tied to the past. However, markets are alive and continuously changing, as we all know. Every backtest faces the very real challenge of costing a lot of money by designing a system that is too tightly based on historical data. In addition, if you have three years of data, create your system on the first two years then test it on the third year without making any alterations, regardless of the third year's results. This is why you should always utilise an outsample while backtesting. You must eventually decide where you stand as a trader and prepare to lose. You may already be using a winning trading strategy, but are unaware of it since you constantly try to make adjustments to your system in an effort to minimise losses. This will, however, need a change to your current setup and expose it to new risks of loss. You will eventually just have to accept that your trading system will occasionally make bad trades because that is how trading works. Nobody would ever think consider trying to win every hand they play in poker; it is a stupid and insane idea. Most traders ruin good systems by striving to turn them into perfect systems. Accept this as who you are and your trading strategy, with all of its advantages and disadvantages. Accept that losses are a part of it and learn to love it. What more could you ask for when you know that you have a good outlook on life and that the system generates income for you? You already outperform around 95% of everyone who has ever entered this industry. You must aim for excellence rather than perfection. If you cannot fulfill your dream of creating the “Magic Strike Rate Trading System”, what is left? Excellence! It is your job to make sure to follow your system 100%. Not even the slightest deviation is allowed. Make sure you are always trading at the peak of your performance. Strive for excellence and make every trade count! Every trade that you take outside of your trading system is an insult to yourself, to the time and effort you put into trading, and to your self-respect. Excellence really comes down to respecting yourself in the end. Once you come to respect yourself and trust your abilities and your system, it will become easier and easier for you to follow your system. If you go on a losing streak, find out if you completed each trade well, and if so, whether the market conditions changed or something else occurred. When you are on a losing streak, it is crucial to keep going and stick to your plan while also comprehending why you are losing. It's good if there is nothing to be done. This is how a process-oriented approach should be adopted by every professional trader. You can weather the storm if you take pride in your losing streak, preserve your money, and trade expertly every time. Instead of endlessly optimising one setup, focus on mastering another setup or the market. It's really quite simple: If you follow your method perfectly for a time (let's say 50 transactions) and you are still losing money, you can say with a high degree of certainty that the system is the issue. You can then make adjustments, but if you don't use your system in the first place, you won't ever know if it works or not. Demo accounts and backtests are used for just that. And believe me, the more focus you place on strictly adhering to your system, the quicker it will become a winning system that complements your lifestyle and personality, which is crucial. But wow, if all of a sudden you are outperforming a sample of 50 trades. This might be it. You might have a successful strategy. Why make a change now? You are getting paid. Trade the system till you can follow it without thinking every day while doing flawlessly. Go for it if your trading log indicates that there is a LOT of potential in a particular location. Naturally, test the modified system first on a demo. If you are successful, though, and you can't locate any significant leaks, leave it alone. Don't curve fit once more. It's fantastic if you get bored! Monotony is a sign of successful trade. Congratulations, you have mastered your setup. You can now create a different configuration using the same technique to smooth your equity curve and diversify your revenue sources. Your equity curve will appear virtually perfect over time if you master 2-3 setups to locate trades in all market conditions, but there will still be a lot of losers among your winners, of course. Your strike rate, average risk-to-reward ratio, and risk tolerance are all important factors. Be disciplined Be flexible Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
7
HOW TO MANAGE YOUR LIFE AND TRADINGHello traders, today we will talk about how to manage your life and trading Hey! When we all started, we encountered some trading challenges. These issues typically arise in the first year of trading. By year's end, the majority of traders had lost all of their money and had given up forever. In essence, this was brought on by excessive trading and a lack of knowledge. Trading requires certain skills and techniques, much like many other professions, which you can learn and use to achieve success. But if you're just starting off, you probably don't even know where to begin. PROBLEMS: Constantly worried about deals. This point greatly depresses you and diverts your attention away from other vital matters. - Personality and emotional losses When you start losing money too much, it might be difficult to recover, and attempting to do so will just result in further losses. - Confusion of mindset Like every sadness we experience in life, this one clouds our ability to think clearly. Rushing into new professions Overtrading is a mistake that many traders and investors make, and often results in significant losses. - Investing all of your money in assets. Write me a comment if you've ever tried trading with all of your money! Due to this issue, trading has turned into gambling and new traders are losing too much money. Solution: Schedule your trades. Concentrate on upcoming trades, plan your entries, take profits, and halt losses. It should be planned, and if something doesn't work, you need to fix it and try again, just like in any other firm. - Make modest deals Start with little trades when trading; don't hurry things if you won't be wealthy until the end of the year. But first, master trading, and make sure you've gained knowledge from both losses and triumphs. - Emphasis on manageable risk Yes, only 10% of traders make money each month; the other traders struggle somewhere in the middle. Before starting any new trades, attempt to understand your risks to ensure that you will be among the 10% winners. - Implement trading system You must experiment with many techniques and tactics before you can determine which trading criteria work best for you. Your trading system should fit your personality. You will be fine and closing months in substantial profits once your trading method is set up, though. - While trading, take pauses. When there is nothing to do on the market, take a deep breath and relax. Make sure you have time for other things. Try to arrange your trading time. The market is here to stay: This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
TRADING IS HARDER THAN YOU THINK: THE COMPLEXITY OF TRADINGHello traders, today we will talk about THE COMPLEXITY OF TRADING THE FIRST DECISIONS ABOUT YOUR TRADING STRATEGY People who are unfamiliar with the financial sector may find it daunting to have to respond to several questions before they can even make their first trade. However, because each element and idea is interconnected with the others, leaving out even one will cause your otherwise flawlessly constructed trading strategy to fall apart. Each and every one of the financial markets is significantly dissimilar from the others and requires a completely unique skill set and perspective. Do you prefer trading less leveraged equities that require a larger account to the 24/5 forex market where leverage allows traders to potentially make large gains with as little as a few hundred dollars? Are you more interested in trading on the simple spot market or the more complicated. If you have to balance trading with your everyday life, time and time horizon are the main determining elements, and this directly relates to questions regarding your trading approach. The question of whether you want to be a day trader or a swing trader who holds positions for a longer period of time is related to the timeframes you want to trade and affects how long you keep positions. If you don't currently trade full-time, you will also need to figure out how to fit trading into your daily life. Additionally, you must choose your trading instruments, such as price action patterns and/or indicators. Which one you like is a matter of personal preference, but the fact that there are thousands of self-described trading experts TRADING DECISIONS BEFORE YOU TAKE A TRADE You are prepared to proceed to the next level once you have provided answers to the questions above. Once your trading strategy has been determined, you should be extremely clear about the entrance criteria, the significance and order of each entry condition, and whether or not the various entry criteria have an impact on your win rate. Then, be completely honest with yourself and determine if you actually possess an advantage. Have you backtested your trading method without lying to yourself or cheating? If it's even conceivable, did you demo trade and handle demo trading as you would real money trading? Are you able to gauge whether markets have altered and are you ready to respond to them? Additionally, you will need to have an organised and well-considered risk management strategy. Your trading performance is significantly impacted by the size of your account alone. If your account is too huge, fear and greed will dictate your trading choices, as opposed to your trading being very sloppy if your account is too small. What is your position sizing strategy, secondly? Do you utilise a fixed % amount for each trade, or do position sizes change depending on the strength of setups? Last but not least, how much exposure are you ready to take on for all open trades, and do you take correlations into account when making new trades? TRADING DECISIONS WHEN YOU ARE IN A TRADE You are prepared to make a deal once you have answers to all the previously asked questions. However, once you enter a trade, you are forced to handle a completely different set of issues while feeling the strain of actual market exposure. As a result, it's crucial that you have all the answers before making any transactions so that you can carry out your trading strategy without having to think too much.carry out your trading strategy without having to give it any thought. Scaling in and scaling out, increased risk, and having to deal with comparable trading decisions if you have open positions in linked instruments are some of the ideas connected to risk management that come up in the questions. Do you also monitor how your risk-to-reward ratio changes throughout the course of a trade? Your risk management strategy will also influence how you respond to challenges like news events, unforeseen political and geopolitical developments, and making trades over the weekend. The principles of risk are very intimately related to issues of trade management. Stop loss and take profit management are the two most crucial aspects of trade management. When a trade goes in your favour, do you actively move your stop loss order? If the answer is yes, develop a complex and tried-and-true stop loss technique rather than hopping around stops. For your take profit orders, the same is true. The reason why most traders take profits too soon is because they confuse a small pullback with a trend change. In order to improve, write down your stop loss and take profit management rules, test them, and evaluate their results. Furthermore, non-chart events are just as significant as your active trading choices on your price charts. The difference between a competent, lucrative trader and a continually losing amateur trader is a sound trading strategy, where you map out potential trading scenarios beforehand and prepare your trades before they take place. His trading journal is the trader's second-most crucial instrument. A trader keeps a record of all of his previous trades in a trading notebook in an effort to identify weak points and improve his edge. Because it takes a lot of discipline and effort, yet will mean the difference between continually losing and making profits, it is surprising how few traders have neither of the two. CONCLUSION: BEING A TRADER MEANS MAKING DECISIONS Despite the fact that trading initially appears to be relatively straightforward, being a successful trader demands a very professional mindset and approach. A trader has to come up with sophisticated and tried methods to manage his deals before, during, and after they occurred. He must deal with a number of extremely difficult issues on a regular basis. This article's objective is not to scare you away, but to inform you of the complexity of trading and provide you with a rule to follow in order to maximise the effectiveness of your trading strategy. Be disciplined Be flexible Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
3
How to Avoid Falsa Breakouts and Breakdowns?Hello traders, today we will discuss how to Avoid Fails Breakouts and Fails Breakdowns. Have you ever witnessed a significant resistance level being broken and opened a long trade just before the market made a sharp move to the downside? Have you ever entered a short position after seeing the price break-through support only to watch the market rebound? You are one of many false breakout victims, so don't feel bad. It might be challenging to learn how to recognise these things. Continue reading as we talk about fakeouts and breakouts and introduce two potent indications from the @CRYPTOMOJO_TA team that can assist you in staying on the right side of the market and avoiding more suffering. As shown above, the answer to this issue is actually quite straightforward. Waiting until the candle closes to determine the strength of the breakout is preferable to acting on trade as soon as the price breaks a crucial level. Therefore, it is not a good idea to position entry orders above or below support or resistance levels in order to automatically enter a breakout trade. Entry orders allow us to become "wicked" into breakout trades that never occur. This indicates that the only way to successfully trade breakouts is to be seated in front of our trading terminals and prepared to take action as soon as the candle closes in the breakout zone. When the candle goes out, we can How to avoid a false breakout It can be almost impossible to tell a true breakout from a failed break if you don’t know what you’re doing. Here are four ways to avoid a failed break: Take it slow One of the simplest ways to avoid a false breakout is also one of the most challenging for many traders and investors – to simply wait. Instead of buying into the trend the moment your asset breaks through its support or resistance level, give it a few days (depending, of course, on your trading style and its timeline) and watch as, often, the failed breaks simply weed themselves out. Watch your candles A more advanced version of waiting it out, a candlestick chart can come in handy. When you suspect a breakout is happening, wait till the candle closes to confirm its strength. The stronger the breakout appears, the more likely it’s not a failed break. While this can be an effective way to identify false breakouts, many traders and investors don’t have the time to sit and watch their chosen chart around the clock. That’s why, with us, you can set alerts to notify you of the specific market conditions you’re waiting for. In the case of a breakout, for example, you’d create an alert based on the candle’s close price, to notify you of any potential breakouts. Use multiple timeframe analysis Another efficient way to identify breakouts, and what of those are likely failed breaks, is multiple timeframe analysis. This entails watching your chosen market using a variety of different timeframes. When using this technique, you’d likely spot the potential for a breakout in the short term, then ‘zoom out’ to view that same market over a week, a month or even longer before opening a position. This helps with identifying a false breakout because you’re paining perspective of your asset over both the longer and shorter term. Studying its patterns can show if what you think is a breakout is actually significant in the context of that market. Know the ‘usual suspects Some patterns in charts can indicate the likelihood of a false breakout. These include ascending triangles, the head and shoulders pattern and flag formations. Learning how to identify these patterns can help you to tell the difference between a breakout and a false breakout, as these three formations are often associated with failed breaks. For example, ascending triangles are indicators of a temporary market correction, rather than a true breakout. How to trade a false breakout If you’re a trader, you may want to use a false breakout as an opportunity to go short, making a profit or loss from predicting that a market’s price is about to drop from its current high. Or, you could use it as an opportunity to hedge – going long in case it’s a true breakout and going short on the same market in case of a failed break. To trade a false breakout you’d: Create a live CFD trading account Do technical analysis on your chosen market to identify false breakouts Take steps to manage your risk, including stop orders and limit orders Open and monitor your first trade How to trade breakouts Here’s how to trade breakouts with us: Create a live account or practise first with a demo account Learn the signs of a market about to break out – you can find out far more about breakouts by upskilling yourself on IG Academy Open your first position Plan your exit from the position carefully, including setting stop orders and limit orders Take steps to manage your risk Everything you need to know about trading breakout stocks False breakouts summed up A false breakout is a significant movement out of a market’s normal support or resistance levels that don’t last – hence it ‘fails’ These can cause costly mistakes for traders, thinking a market has hit a true breakout and to go long, only for it to lose momentum shortly afterwards You can avoid false breakouts – or trade them intentionally – by studying your chosen market and knowing the chart patterns timeframes and other signs of a failed break With us, you can trade on breakouts and failed breaks using CFDs. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
8
5 IMPOTANT TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS!Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns. Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘ 4. Flat: The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure. In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves. This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does. On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure. A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat. The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above. 5. Triangle: The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E. This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways. The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge. The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom. The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy to spot a triangle, but it may take a little practice to identify them in the market. Bottomline: As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
6