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Growth stock's hiatus ?Growth stocks outperform value stocks most of the time on a weekly chart of $VUG / $VTV, Vanguard's growth and value elf's respectively. Since the start of the 2022 bear market that relationship has reversed and, in August 2022, broke both horizontal support as well as a 14 year long diagonal support. These breakouts are being retested now, in January 2023. The outcome can impact both trading and long term investing strategy. For reference: $SPY in the bottom pane. Today's close: 400.35 Fib tool (not formal analysis)
AMEX:VUG
by gb50k
1
TXN - Texas instruments (earnings)TXN is trading into resistance. A large wedge pattern has formed. Chopping from the low end to the high end is still favourable until you break out and confirm above. TXN has a history of strong performance on earnings so i does favour a beat however the question is has the market priced this in already? Based on the volume trends it looks like there is distribution occurring which could signal a sell after earnings even if the report is good.
NASDAQ:TXNShort
by Trading-Capital
2
MNQ struggling to break resistance. Launchpad setting upIf you trade the MICROS, like me, then you'll want to be cautiously aware of a key Flag/APEX pattern setting up in the MNQ. Any breakout above the PURPLE resistance channel may prompt a strong upside price rally after February 12th or so. Pay attention to the volatility over the next 10+ days as the ES/NQ/YM are likely to struggle and become wildly volatile as price attempts to break free of the downward trend channels. If you have not been following my research, please check out my other TradingView posts and other resources. The next 5+ years are going to be very surprising for traders/investors. Get ready for a Wave-5 rally.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by BradMatheny
Double Bottom Setup on NAS100, Target at 13,600The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart. The heavily tech-weighted NASDAQ 100 Index (NAS100) is in a double bottom chart pattern setup. The Index sustained heavy declines in 2022. However, during the period October 2022 and December 2022, NAS100 held support around the 10,400 to 10,800 price zone. Initial resistance, or the middle of the W or Double Bottom pattern, is at the 12,000 price level. Pattern completion will be when the Index hits 13,600. This view will be negated if NAS100 declines below 10,400. Technical Indicators The technical indicators corroborates this view. NAS100’s Supertrend indicator recently turned to buy-mode on the Daily close on January 9th, 2023. This was supported by a positive crossover on the 75 Day Simple Moving Average a couple days later. The Awesome Oscillator has been showing positive momentum from January 4th 2023 while the Index’s RSI is above 50 and trending higher. The intra-day trend following indicators of the NAS100 also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. Short to medium term support is seen around the 11,170 price level. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 10,400 and a target of 13,600. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.90. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time of writing, I have exposure to NAS100.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Ceddy86
1
VOLUME FLOW: SEMI'S ($SMH) AGAINST THE BROADER MARKET ($SPY)VOLUME FLOW INDEX: Both $SPY (broader market) and $SMH (semi-conductor industry) are currently in a neutral trend as measured by their 13 Day EMA envelope (top box). Both are also residing in similar places within their longer term downward trends. It is only when we take a look at volume as measured by the Volume Flow Index (VFI) that we can uncover some relative differences that could prove meaningful in the near term. Volume has yet to breach zero line (white horizontal histogram) to the upside in broader market ($SPY, see left lower box). Volume has breached the zero line in the semi-conductor sector($SMH, see lower right box), as illustrated by the yellow vertical line. This would indicate good 'force' behind the recent semi-conductor rally as measured by 'volume follow through' which I would consider a measure of 'conviction'. This could be indicative of a near term preference for the semi's amidst an overall run to defensives in the broader market OR it could just be that semi's are a little bit stickier than the rest of 'growth' and still have some downside wood to chop. Given the semi's association with 'Growth' this divergent volume trend seemed counter-intuitive to the prevailing narrative so I thought I would share. (Not financial advice)
NASDAQ:SMH
by Firewalker_Charts
Is Apple about to be 'bitten'?Apple is one of the companies whose stock price is overvalued, and the company is facing several severe issues: 1. Big tech layoffs. If US tech is doing quite poorly and companies are laying off people, they probably won't buy new equipment or software. The fired tech workers probably won't be buying stuff for themselves either, and neither will those that see their colleagues fired. 2. Apple's production in China faces significant problems due to lockdowns or because the 'employees' are revolting. These disruptions hurt the reliability of Apple, as well as its image. Unfortunately, many employees are working and living in awful conditions, which is being exposed. Many ESG funds that hold Apple could end up having to dump their shares based on these concerns. 3. Some US politicians are increasingly worried about the connections between Apple and the CCP. With Apple 'threatening' to remove Twitter from its Appstore while supporting the CCP in an era where tensions between US and China aren't great, we could see Apple face more pressure to move away from China. That could increase their costs significantly while also disrupting production even further. 4. As retail consumers are affected by inflation and high-interest rates, they will spend less on buying new stuff, and many devices/apps aren't necessary. At the same time, Apple has been raising its prices due to increased costs (of production), which might further incentivize customers not to purchase their products/services. As if these weren't enough, some of its new products aren't that much of an upgrade to the previous versions. 5. As the world is moving closer toward open source and open technologies/marketplaces, the 30% tax on the Apple app store looks worse and worse by the day. Based on the above, the free market and politicians in the US might try to break Apple's monopoly, which could initially lower its revenue. 6. Current Apple valuation is 3.4x that of the entire crypto market (stablecoins excluded). This is just too large. AAPL is trading below all its major moving averages, has broken its old uptrend, and has plenty of room to move down toward that major gap at 96$. Most major US companies have fallen more than 30% and have filled many significant gaps, yet Apple has not. Therefore it is possible to see the stock price go down to those levels in the next few months.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by BitcoinMacro
1
"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other Digital Asset Companies" Coinbase is a company that helps people buy and sell digital coins called cryptocurrencies. It became a public company in April 2021 and was worth a lot of money at the time. But lately, the value of cryptocurrencies has been changing a lot and it's made it hard for Coinbase to make as much money as it used to. Another company that helps people trade cryptocurrencies, called FTX, had to close down because it was having financial problems. This made people worried about investing in cryptocurrencies and caused the value to go up and down more than usual. Some people try to make money by betting that the value of a company's stock will go down, and they're called short sellers. They've been trying to make money by betting that Coinbase's stock will go down, and they've had some success because the stock has gone down a lot this year. Other companies that are related to cryptocurrencies have also seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. There is a tool that helps people see how much demand there is for borrowing a company's stock to sell it, and it's called "utilization." Utilization for Coinbase has gone up recently because more people are trying to borrow its stock to sell it. Short sellers have to pay a fee to borrow the stock, and this fee has gone up a lot for Coinbase recently. There are also other companies, like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital Holdings, that have seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. The fees to borrow their stock have also gone up.
NASDAQ:COINShort
by maraxrara