TECH
NAS100 Forever Dropping! 😎🥱🐋No one, absolutely no one, can tell you what the hell is going on in the tech market. But we can at the least try to come up with our own explanations.
For me, I think the market is just correcting because of all the inflation scares. We may see this week turn bullish. A move up to 12 800 may be a good sign.
And a close above the open price today may start the pump up to 13k.
If the drop continues then the next support area I would target is at 10 864. Share your thoughts down below. What do y'all think!??
Make suree you secure the bagg!!! 💰💰💰🤑🤑🤩🔥✔📈
First Time This Has Ever Happened for Tech StocksSQQQ is the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) inversely. When tech stocks fall, SQQQ rises. Traders therefore use SQQQ to short tech stocks.
This is the first time, in its 12-year history, that SQQQ shows a fully red heatmap of the daily timeframe. A fully red heatmap represents extremely overbought conditions.
This is worse than the bottom in March 2020 and the bottom in 2018. This heatmap reflects that too many traders are too fearful of tech and growth stocks right now as they have all switched to shorting them.
Although it's hard to predict bottoms, this indicator coupled with the extremely low NDTH value (the percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks that are above their 200-day moving average) could indicate that peak fear is occurring right now and that a potential rally will occur soon. The last time the NDTH was this low was on the exact day of the March 2020 bottom. Therefore, even in a recession, these values suggest bottoms.
$BTCM earnings tomorrow 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered Bitcoin Mining Company $BTCM today at $1.78 per share. Our first take profit is $2.40. We also have a stop less set at $1.60
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STOP LOSS: $1.60
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NSDQ Drop n BounceI think the Decline is coming to an end... weakness in crude Oil, Natgas and fingers crossed the DXY Topping out. Fed "Dealing" with inflation is the the argument from a fundamental perspective...
From a TA standpoint I can see something like this playing out.
I've been wrong before!!! NFA
Amazon Pricing in a Great Recession...This is simply an observation: The yearly return on Amazon (AMZN) is approaching the yearly return it had during the Great Recession. Are markets becoming too fearful? Are we truly as worse off now as we were during the financial collapse in 2008?
History has shown that more likely than not, ten years from now most people won't even remember why there was panic selling in June 2022. How many people remember why the stock market crashed in May 2010, August 2011, or August 2015? The VIX was much higher in each of these months than it is now.
Tech Stocks This chart highly suggests that capitulation and peak fear is finally here.
This is the chart of SQQQ, which is the inverse derivative of QQQ, which in turn tracks the Nasdaq 100. There's virtually no way that SQQQ's price can sustain a gap up like this on a weekly time frame. The gap is extremely likely to close and the price will move back below the Ichimoku Cloud resistance by the end of the week. Those who are just now selling tech and growth stocks because of inflation are capitulating. Inflation and rate hikes have been evident in the charts for over a year, and it, therefore, makes no sense to just now be selling tech.
See my post here for why I believe this is the bottom for tech:
With this said, if SQQQ does indeed close the week above the Ichimoku Cloud resistance and EMA exp ribbon then we're looking at a market crash. Statistically, this is highly unlikely to be the case though. The NDTH is far too low for QQQ to break down and crash just now. We are in peak fear/peak inflation/peak capitulation this week. In fact, this is a super good risk-to-reward entry. One can enter TQQQ/QQQ/tech this week and stop out on Friday if support breaks at the weekly close. If support holds, you would have bought in at the absolute bottom.
If the Fed hikes rates by 75 bps on Wednesday, it's quite likely that the markets will quickly rally from this low.
Not financial advice. Anything can happen. Trends can break.
AAPL Breakdown ideaFrom left to right on the chart.
Price established support at 151 / 152 level and after it lost it, price dropped to a new low at 140 (also psychological)
From there we had a mini rally towards 150 forming an ascending wedge. Once the wedge broke,(great short trade) we saw price just collapsing and not only retesting the bottom of the wedge but making a new low at 133.
Fasting forward to current Price action and my personal game plan.
I was initially tracking a symmetrical triangle, where i almost for trapped at the top twice. With that triangle failing and a possible short term double top, i am watching to see if we can lose support for a nice R:R short position.
You can notice a trendline from the lows at 133s. I will be watching tomorrow 144.36 support, which is the trendline. If we break it to the downside, i might try a quick scalp towards 143.11 (risky) Previous resistance, will likely act as support, but below 143.11 good chances we test 140.
NQLikely has another correction to finish before the 4th wave bottom is confirmed, a rejection has happened off the LT channel bottom TL and now the Vix has some momo on the daily chart. I expect a double bottom type move b4 grinding higher to capitulate the last of the bear market is here now and sell everything gang that has been running the markets since Feb 2022.
GL guys big mike loves u.
SHOP Sideways ideaInteresting chart.
Price for a while couldnt break 411.50 support (left) and after it broke, it tried to reclaim it many times and trade above it, but the level proved to be a strong resistance and pivot to the upside.
Supports: 347.16 - below that can see 325.15 and below 308.23
Only interested in the upside if we break 411.50
Buying Opportunity: Cloudflare (NET)Chart analysis is showing that Cloudflare (NET) is trying to form a bottom at an important Fibonacci level. Currently, there is momentum to the downside on the daily chart and a gap to be closed at 46.38. It's therefore likely that with the downward momentum, NET will attempt to close this gap and then quickly rebound up to 59 as it will also try to maintain price at or above this level for the monthly close. The weekly charts are already showing bullish signs and the asset's underperformance relative to the S&P 500 has already slowed down, which virtually always occurs right before a reversal. The Wave Trend Oscillator by @LazyBear shows that momentum to the downside on the highest timeframes is already bottomed and will soon start to revert back to the upside. On the daily chart, Heikin Ashi candles and Fibonacci Bollinger Bands also show signs of a bottoming pattern forming. The daily RSI has been showing bullish divergence since May. Therefore entering NET at prices around the gap closure at 46.38 could be a great risk-reward entry for long-term investors. Although anything is possible, it's statistically unlikely that NET will make a full retracement and fall much lower than the gap closure. In the years to come, Cloudflare will likely go to the moon.
Not financial advice.
$CLSK another cycle 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team purchased shares of digital mining bitcoin company CleanSpark $CLSK today at $7 per share. Our take profit is set at $12
Our entry: $7
Target: $12
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1972-2022 Comparison of Nasdaq and GSPC Indexes.This chart shows the monthly Nasdaq and S and P 500 going back to the early 70's, a little after the Nasdaq index first started (which I believe was 1971). I should note that it's a monthly chart, again, so it's SMA's are monthly based, and I use logarithmic scale for long term charts. Log. is not really for short term so much. I like to look at very long term charts periodically, and freshly analyze them. I believe it's important to study longer time frames especially if you're a day trader like me. I get consumed by the short term movements, and believe you need a full history of anything to truly understand it.
It's fairly easy to see that the Nasdaq moves further and faster than the GSPC. The Nasdaq has tripled the long performance of the GSPC since 1975, and when it corrects, expect that to be more pronounced as well. I like to look at Fibonacci Retracements simply because other people look at them, and they're probably programmed into the big quant trading companies algorithms as well. Almost everyone looks at Fib. retracements whether they admit it or not. Of course, you can't trade directly at these levels as if they are a "golden mean". In the stock market if you meet one person who trades off of some indicator, you can bet others do to, no matter how crazy you think it is. Even if you don't agree with it; the sum total of all points of view of those trading, equate to the current price. I know what I'm thinking, it's the average of everyone's thinking, that I can't figure out. Of course, something like 80 percent of the price action is said to be the result of automated, algorithmic trading. So, I'm taking classes on computer programming, algorithmic trading, data structures, etc. Which leads me into some notations I have on the chart.
I have a big orange arrow pointing to October of 1987 when new computer trading systems got everyone in trouble. I've placed red arrows at points on the Rate of Change indicator where the ROC begins to diverge with price action. It isn't 100 percent, but if this divergence begins to occur be prepared for downside which could move extremely fast. We had a Rate of Change price divergence starting in 12/20/21 and look what's happened since then. Also the Rate of Change is moving down now, and it's very low already, about 20 below the Zero line. This indicator alone makes me believe that there will be more short side price action to come. The Nasdaq went from a low of 1265, roughly, in March of 2009 to a high of 16,212 in November of last year. That's not supposed to happen. There are people who are 31 years old right now, and there hasn't been a real bear market since they became legal adults. I generally live by not having a directional bias in the market, I just follow price action, and I don't believe much in holding positions overnight. I am just cautioning people who have a long bias after 13 years of a generally bullish market, that we have some very unique market condition coming into play, and learning a more price action based strategy, if they haven't is somewhat warranted. We have a few, MASSIVE, market caps holding indexes up which are skewing the outlook more positive than it should be. We have economic experts that are about 150 years old, and they've never seen anything like this. I loved the idea of Cryptocurrency, but I tend to agree with Buffet on that one. Crypto doesn't have value at it's core, it wasn't worth anything when the idea started. Normally, when a company goes public they have some core value. They produce something, or create a new technology that has value. I love that it trades 24/7 basically, I love that you can use it on the dark web, I love that politicians don't get rich from it, I loved that computer guys could make money mining it in the beginning. Soon you're going to need your own power plant and cpu company to mine it.
I ramble too much maybe, without getting to the point. The point is from 2009 to our 2021 index high, the recent Nasdaq low was about a 35% retracement of that gain, and statistically that's just not enough given the decade long upside performance of it. We had a decade run that came close to the Nasdaq gains in the 90's tech bubble. The tech bubble was around 1500% in a decade, we were close to 1300% in a decade (those numbers are give or take a little obviously). The tech bubble bottom 34 months later with a 84% retracement of it's decade long gain. We're currently only 6 months away from our high in November, and only saw a roughly 35% retracement. No one knows what the market will do, but if you believe we've seen the bottom you have to explain away numbers like that. My friend thinks it's un-American to be short a position. Remember that these quant. trading companies have MIT students developing algorithms to beat you out of your money. Competition is the American way.
Logarithmic Channel Since IPOSince 2002, Netflix has remained in a constructed bullish channel. With an RSI-based MA to compliment an established bottom, $NFLX has tapped the support of this channel only twice in its public history before racing to new ATHs in a few years.
I believe the risk-to-reward ratio at these prices has significantly improved, allowing those with a long-term view to construct a position more confidently.
Nasdaq finds support on base lineA single line (the Ichimoku base line) on the QQQ monthly chart tells you a lot. It has held QQQ as support for over ten years. With the NDTH dipping to nearly 10 a few days ago, and with the SQQQ derivative markets reaching insanely overbought levels, all charts are confirming that a major bottom has just formed. If you're still short in QQQ or tech, you may want to start taking profit. There's little statistical probability that QQQ will drop much below this base line for the time being. Tech and growth stocks are largely inversely correlated to interest rates. With inflation expectations cooling and therefore the pressure to raise interest rates, tech and growth consequently will rebound. With this said there is a bear case to be made: the QQQ/SPY outperformance trendline is breaking down. Unless QQQ jumps rapidly, or SPY breaks down, before the close of the month, the steepest QQQ/SPY trendline will have been breached.
Not financial advice.