$GOOGL .... LETS GET LOUD!!!Within the last month, we have watched NASDAQ:GOOGL get absolutely crushed, most of which has to do with a generally weak earnings report in early February. However, skepticism of this price action and investor sentiment is the only thing that should be on anyone's mind right now. One thing we know for a fact is that Google isn't going anywhere especially considering all the data they collect on their users. So why not apply this reasoning into buying the dip? To answer that, we should Look First/Then Leap ...
Here is the 4 Hour chart refencing back into September of 2024.
Let's start with the circle. The reason I have the area marked is because of the key factors in play that indicate we may possibly be bottoming out on this timeframe. Firstly, there are two lines to keep an eye on, a diagonal trendline and a horizontal price-level line. NASDAQ:GOOGL 's price action seems to obey these two levels (for whatever reason), which are coincidentally in the same area at the same time. Secondly, NASDAQ:GOOGL has just shown a rebound from the 400 EMA which also falls within this area giving a sort of "stars aligning" situation here. But the price action doesn't have to be the only thing we examine to analyze $GOOGL.
This is the MACD indicator on the 4 Hour timeframe referencing back to September of 2024.
This MACD chart shows the comparison between the last regional low for the MACD compared to the recent regional lows. Between these lows there is an interval of 76 to 78 calendar days (just over 2 and a half months) if I am not mistaken, which should strike some traders as very odd considering their similarity in distance. Amazingly, that's not even the weirdest part...
This is the combination of both charts.
How about that? Not only are the lengths between regional MACD lows similar, but NASDAQ:GOOGL 's returns between these periods are only roughly 2/3% in difference to each other. This just shows that there is more that what meets the eye when it comes to charting. Always look where others don't because that's where some keys are found.
In conclusion, I will be taking a long position on NASDAQ:GOOGL for the reasons stated above. When stars align like this, we are given no option but to act upon our rationality instead of our emotions...
TECH
$ACHR ARCHER AVIATION SCORES 300M BOOST BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDEARCHER AVIATION SCORES $300M BOOST—BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDE
1/7
🚀 $300M just landed in Archer Aviation’s pocket! Major institutional investors like BlackRock are backing Archer’s quest to dominate the eVTOL game. Ready to see why this funding is a big deal? Let’s go! ⚡️✈️
2/7 – WHAT’S ARCHER BUILDING?
Midnight Aircraft: Designed for short urban flights (~20 miles) with rapid turnarounds.
Targets commercial operations by 2025, battling congestion & pollution. 🌆
Hybrid Approach: Electric + other propulsion to boost range and expedite FAA certification.
3/7 – BLACKROCK’S INVOLVEMENT
Big Vote of Confidence: World’s largest asset manager sees serious potential. 💪
Aligns with green investing—eVTOLs can slash emissions compared to helicopters. ♻️
Could draw more partnerships and capital to Archer’s runway.
4/7 – WHY COMPOSITES & BATTERIES MATTER
Composites: Lighter & stronger materials = extended range & higher efficiency. 🏋️♀️
Batteries: High-energy density is critical for flight duration & payload. 🔋⚡️
Archer’s push here signals they’re tackling the industry’s biggest hurdles head-on.
5/7 – FINANCIAL & STRATEGIC IMPACT
Stronger Balance Sheet: $300M for R&D, testing, manufacturing. 💼
Timing is key: Archer eyes FAA approval soon—this cash could speed up that process. ⏱️
Competing with Joby, Vertical Aerospace, Lilium—the race is on! 🏁
6/7 Are eVTOLs the future of urban travel?
1️⃣ Absolutely—Game-changer for city traffic! 🏙️
2️⃣ Maybe—Need more proof and better tech. 🤔
3️⃣ Nope—I’m still skeptical about costs & safety. ❌
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – INDUSTRY CONTEXT
Market could hit $1.5T by 2040 (Morgan Stanley). 💰
Key markets: US, UAE, Japan, India—Archer is eyeing them all. 🌏
eVTOLs promise faster, greener commutes, but hurdles remain: regulations, infrastructure, battery tech.
Strengths: Archer’s recent $300 million funding, strategic partnerships, and regulatory progress position it well to compete in the eVTOL market. Its focus on composites and batteries aligns with industry needs.
Weaknesses: High R&D costs, limited manufacturing capacity, and lack of commercial revenue highlight financial and operational challenges.
Opportunities: The growing eVTOL market, international expansion, and defense applications offer significant growth potential.
$UBER UBER’S RIDE TO PROFITABILITY & BEYOND?UBER’S RIDE TO PROFITABILITY & BEYOND?
1/8 Uber ( NYSE:UBER ) just keeps on rolling! 🚀🚖
From 20% YoY growth in gross bookings to a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B stock buyback, here’s what you need to know about this market heavyweight.
2/8 – RECENT REVENUE GROWTH
• Q1 FY24: Gross bookings hit $37.7B (+20% YoY)
• Revenue: $10.1B (+15% YoY), beating estimates by FWB:40M
• Uber’s firing on all cylinders—mobility & delivery both on the rise
3/8 – EARNINGS & PROFITABILITY
• Operating margin up from -3% to 2%—that’s a serious pivot to profit
• Adjusted EBITDA soared 82% to $1.4B
• First annual profit since going public in 2019. Party time! 🎉
4/8 – BUYBACKS & BULLISH GUIDANCE
• SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B stock buyback → market approves, stock at all-time highs 📈
• Gross bookings outlook: +15–20% for the next 3 years
• EBITDA growth pegged at ~40%—can they keep the momentum?
5/8 – VALUATION SNAPSHOT
• Forward P/E ~35x—a bit high, but consider the growth & dominance
• Market cap ~$140B vs. robust free cash flow projections
• Competition (Lyft, DoorDash) often has higher P/E or shakier growth
6/8 Is Uber undervalued given its trajectory?
1️⃣ Yes—ride (and deliver) the wave!
2️⃣ No—too pricey at 35x forward P/E
3️⃣ Maybe—needs more proof (robotaxi success?)
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/8 – SWOT/SCOT TAKE
Strengths: Global brand, diverse services, Waymo partnership 🤖
Challenges: Regulations, high op costs, fierce competition
Opportunities: New markets, AI, autonomous tech
Threats: Legal hurdles, changing consumer habits
8/8 – WHAT’S NEXT?
Uber’s aiming for an autonomous future—could that turbocharge margins? ⚡️🏁
PLTR -- more volatility forecasted into MarchExpecting quick progression to 118$ level as final buy-side wave near term.
Looking for renewed significant selling action from that level to retrace price back to pre-earnings levels near 80-85$
Possibility exists (imho) that we fully retrace back to 63-64$ levels by April timeframe, depending on sentiment as we head into next FOMC meeting in mid-March.
After that, my cycles analysis indicates we will continue higher toward 120...Therefore, I will be planning on taking profits on put option contracts once underlying share price reaches below 85$, and will plan on scaling into long equity positions on discounts between 64-85$ for the projected subsequent buy wave to 120+
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (log)Hello community,
A quick update on the Sox in weekly, in log.
We are at the top of both channels, the medium term and the short term.
It would be desirable that it does not go too far out of the regression channel.
In any case, the trend has been bullish since 1995, and will be for many years to come.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
2000 $CSCO vs 2025 $NVDA, is the similar crash possible?🚨 Could Nvidia be the next Cisco? 🚨
In 2000, Cisco dominated networking with its own chips. But competitors used cheaper, nearly as effective chips, and the stock dropped from $82 to $8 in just 2 years. Is the same fate possible for Nvidia?
Cisco invested heavily in its IOS CLI and aggressively defended it.
Nvidia did the same with CUDA, taking action against anyone trying to make alternatives.
But now, competition is heating up.
DeepSeek and other companies could lead those who over-invested in Nvidia chips on borrowed money to offload them, flooding the second-hand market with GPUs.
Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 might slow down orders since they already have tons of Nvidia chips stockpiled.
Just like Cisco switches were 80% off in 2001, could we see a similar scenario with Nvidia?
And let’s talk about the $2000 RTX 5090 — would you buy one today?
Nvidia has committed huge resources to TSMC for chip production. They could be facing an overstock issue, and slashing prices could hurt profit margins. 😬
We will soon know the direction it will go, next few quarters will show us all.
Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model.
DeepSeek.
What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now?
DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions).
That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology.
Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings.
DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data.
The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow.
Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans?
Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion.
The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise?
Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ?
Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%.
Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply.
Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
US100 NASDAQ SHORTThe US dollar is broadly firmer, though the Japanese yen is proving a resilient ahead of the BOJ deputy governor's speech
Nasdaq slide as key tech stocks get hit
All three benchmarks are down for the last two weeks, with tech shares causing most of the damage
With the 10-year yield potentially getting to 5%, it’s going to be very hard for the equity market to really gain any meaningful traction here until there’s — at minimum — stability in interest rates
Interest rates rise? iN 2025 it will be possible:Inflation, signs of recession.
PLTR volatility ahead! more volatility ahead as market digests decreased Fed funds rate cuts in 2025.
buy target at 90$ AFTER we fill the gap on 15min chart near 71.2-71.5 level imo..
looking to trade this setup via 80$ strike call option contracts for 1/10/25 & 1/17/25 expiration dates
after 90$ is reached, still anticipating additional volatility back down to 65-68$ range one final time before Inauguration Day. After that, I think this turns strongly bullish once again and runs above 100$
NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system.
This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release.
Have fun.
This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SIRI | a case of Domination to Missing Outmost hyped company back in the day
the new radio satellite kinda like the BLOCKCHAIN METAVERSE NFT and Ai early stages
a great Hype Cycle issue
that is applicable to TECH STOCKS crypto narratives etc..
the initial phase is a classic 40x similar to Pre Ipo holders and pre allocation of iCOs
the recovery stage is also similar wth a 100x ++ payout ..
question is .. where the BOTTOM is as it can shake most players
Tesla in orbit!Hello community.
Daily chart.
Nothing to say, everything is on the chart.
Musk and Trump, the winning duo for the USA?
If this continues they will succeed in changing lead into gold!
The USA is not dead, the big comeback!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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TESLA Update - Above 180 we look for bullish variables Tesla gave us some insane profits from our last set up below, now it has turned however.
Earnings has resulted in a single day 12% loss and probable continuation after. So what should we do now?
Our theory is that Tesla is in it's third major wave and therefore can't take out is low for this to remain valid. We expect Tesla to make a higher low, probably above 180, pivot and run to 300 as a first target. This gives us an accumulation idea for now that can turn into a trade set up like our last if more variables develop. We are buying some stock today and will accumulate above 180. If futher edges develop we will update.
A second important point is we believe Tesla will outperform relative to the nasdaq in the mid to long term. It has underperformed for the past couple of years but the tide might be shifting. The chart below showcases our argument.
Tesla in daily logHello community,
A quick analysis of Elon Musk's action.
D-Day for him with the American election.
The market has granted him 6 red candles!
Doing politics and managing companies, I wonder if it's a good idea.
American citizen at the polls, your destiny is in your hands.
Courage, the world is watching you, American First!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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