$AMZN | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 10/18Anticipating Amazon to find a local top around the $3420 area and pullback into the indicated buy box. That's where I'll look to ideally go long. However, it's important to note that Amazon had an extremely strong bullish weekly candle last week, so we must take that into account going into this week.
If $3434 breaks with volume, I will take it long looking for $3450, $3500 targets immediately.
TECH
$AAPL | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 10/17As long as the lows at $138 hold, I believe Apple has put in an EXTREMELY important wave 4 low. As most of you know, Apple can act as a market-wide indicator and typically is in line with the trend of overall market. Hence, if Apple dumps market dumps. If Apple makes an important low, so did the markets.
With that being said, this week I'd love to see a break over $145 to take entry in a swing position looking for a new ATH to finish off wave 5.
$TSLA | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 10/18Tesla had an extremely strong weekly candle last week, and am expecting to see continuation into this week. Possible we see a slight pullback first, but I wouldn't try jumping in front of a moving train. I'm already positioned long from last week.
Possible we see a new ATH this week... long term outlook still the same as it has been for months now.
VXN - NQ Volatility Weekly - Significant Falling WedgeWhen in doubt, Zoom Out has been suggested for as long as we have been trading.
Alexandra reminds me of this tried and true Axiom when Counter-Trends Develop.
Confirmation in the Weekly Time-Frame supports the BULLs, of this there can be
very little doubt, it is a large falling wedge of extreme range.
It looks terrible for the SELL.
And yet we saw 1343 Ticks come off the NQ within the downtrend, barely a blip
to the Upper Trend Line only to fail again.
A ~6% move down in NQ generated a 50% move in VXN.
Institutions/Funds profited from their Put buying Spree as Implied Volatility
had been crushed again. Step and repeat... same as it has been for a long time.
There are always anomalies in Weighted Indexes - TSLA by example was falling down
the mountain and kissing dirt... BUT... implied VX in TSLA was rising quickly as PUT
Buyers began to double down, triple down, and begin a degenerative campaign against
the Heavy Weights who hold Tesla. Tesla is a Protected entity and has a decidedly large
weighting within its Index.
For 12 straight days, Put Buyers were smoked, used as lighter fluid for a relenting grind
higher and higher.
Anomalies occur, the Heavy Weights always catch the Bid to prop, and when there's fuel
a match is merely a few feet away. Once again the Tesla Dumpster Fire was put out
with Gasoline.
With the VXN feeling the Crush, having broken 23.52, 22.12, 21.32, 20, and 19.73, then
18.60. It's a beat down that only the Chevchenko's can deliver.
So where is the Lower Boundary, we'll know as we head into EPS and VX Settle.
More importantly, where is the UPPER BIoundary as it serves to provide indications as
to whether 4/5's completion ends there or an Overthrow of this Weekly Trendline can
occur, signaling much larger issues ahead as 5/5 completes.
We shall see, it will take a monumental effort to keep this in check as Yields are quite
clearly a threat to the TECH Complex. There are a large number of Additional Threats
beyond Yields.
We are entering a cautionary period for TECH, as we maintain it will fail.
By all appearances, one would expect the exact opposite, and there is the challenge.
Trade safe~!
- HK
ROKUIF QQQ can comply and move forward higher ROKU can explode
Even with weakness though i believe the main leaders in tech currently would be ROKU / NFLX ..
NFLX does have upcoming ER so this could be reason as to why it's strong going into the new month while QQQ has been shaky and moving towards the downside. Expect ROKU and NFLX to continue with great strength and surprise.
IF Roku gets above 340 this opens the door to 370-420 range.
Monthly iTM calls could pay NICELY if we catch some steam on this one
LIS 316
AbCellera: $15 | a Gem under the radar should be the next crispr or illumina ... it supplies stuff to MODERNA
it could be the secret sauce in pre diagnotics or preventing diseases before they become serious
currently winding down and allocation of shares to serious players and strong hands with conviction in the Ai Tech Cum Biologics
NQ - Profit Objective Hit - LTL of DTVXN & VIX will set the possibility for a Counter-Trend.
VIX Above 22.15 - the SELL Remains.
VXN - Draw it up Lows to Highs on Daily. The .618 and
.500 are S1 / S2.
We will see if the Larger Objectives below trade into
Friday or the CT Develops today.
We are anticipating a CT end of the week at the latest.
Again - 10Yr Yields, DX, News will provide VX.
Contact with the Lower Trend Line of the Downtrend
can Squeeze...as VX Roll/Settel is 12 Trading days away
Long $GRMN - GARMIN. GRMN.NAS Long GRMN.NAS- @ best price available below 160. Currently trades @ 155
TA Highlights
- RSI @ 24 and turning upwards. (add more on break of 30)
- Bounce of 200 DMA
- Bounce off lower Bollinger bands( on the 3 previous occasions this occurred in 2020, the stock went on to return 8.8% in the next 20 days.
FA Highlights
- CAPEX increased from 185m (2020) to 385 (2021) and managed to hold a steady cash flow. Should pay off in 2022
- R&D expense increase from 605M (2020) to 705M (2021) $705M. Should pay back with new to market products in 2022.
Sector Highlights:
- Garmin has 'moat' on marine and aviation GPS systems.
- Aviation: revenue expected to normalize back to 2019 levels in Q1 and through 2022.
- Fitness: European market for wearables increased 28.5% yoy through Q1 2021. Garmin fitness revenues increased by 31.5% suggesting increasing market share.
GOOGLE REACCUMULATION!Hello my beauties.
I think Google is completing a phase of reaccumulation, and it might jump above the trading range soon. The arrows do not indicate exact price action, and the trade setup needs to be verified through accurate observation of the developing event in the price action.
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Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
SECOND POSSIBLE SCENARIO FOR HP! DISTRIBUTION!Hello my beauties.
We will wait for the price to move towards the top of the range and give us some more indications. I tend to think that HP is going to show strength regardless, but I would like to react to the price rather than predict it. What looks like a Spring (quick weakness in the price followed by a rapid recovery within the range). The price might also provide the Wyckoff events outlined in this analysis, so we still need to wait for some more information before we can delineate a clear trade setup. Remember that the lines don't intend to predict price action exactly, rather give us a general view of the events that will follow based on the Wyckoff trading strategy.
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX